Merridew Profile picture
Sep 8 11 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Rules of Trading:
1) Don't lose money
2) Make money

Lots of small positions with a special focus on options with decent sized premium representing a lot of non-recourse leverage (mentally treating ATM options as their notional implied exposures)
Wide universe of trading
Account has crypto, options, international stocks, US stocks, sometimes bond ETFs, occasionally currency options
Fastidious focus on risk management, with panic fully setting in on drawdowns greater than 5% and full position re-evaluation
Focus on relative market neutral trading, with high downside convexity
Accounts have around 500-ish positions I think, and rarely have a position that is more than 10% of the account notional, and even then, usually a lot lower VaR than that
Keep correlations low, both mentally and through relatively frequent risk checks (first order beta but more broadly single factor exposures - my drawdown in July was in theory uncorrelated stuff, in practice imagine the likelihood of 7 down days in a row at 2.9 sharpe)
For a directional options trader, the secret sauce is cheap leverage, which means buying things under your theo (not really anything concrete, I have some rules of thumb on this)
In general my rule of thumb is alpha is roughly proportional to the universe size, although I'm not sure if it's square root or squared tbh
The wider the universe you can trade, the more alpha you can possibly generate
This largely flies in the face of what most institutional traders will say and think (because most tend to be specialists in one or a few markets), but I've observed this in both my pnl and others who trade not dissimilarly to me (@goodalexander @Citrini7 @orrdavid afaik)
@goodalexander @Citrini7 @orrdavid My book turnover is several thousand percent I think, but I don't really pay attention nor measure this
Alpha is also clearly proportional to turnover
@goodalexander @Citrini7 @orrdavid Also ignore basically all the greeks except maybe vega, gamma, and delta
Even then, idk, it's not very useful for me, I don't use an options pricer, nor do I know anything past a dirty price of what the thing I'm buying should be
And I trade a lot of options, far more than you
@goodalexander @Citrini7 @orrdavid If you have actual alpha and most of us don't (I'm not even sure I do, except in the time period this is observing), then fundamentally making as many bets as possible for you makes sense rather than concentrated bets
Concentrated bets only make sense when you have limited alpha

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Merridew

Merridew Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @0xMerridew

Sep 3
Trading crime assets: the anatomy of a griftcycle
Given we're in the Golden Age of scams, grifts, and presidential rugs, it's timely to write about how to trade "crime assets" - assets related to specific crimes (corruption, mainly, but sometimes outright pump and dumps)
The genesis of the modern crime asset belongs to a mix of the crypto 2017-era ICO pumps & 2018 marijuana boom and the 2020-2021 meme stock hype cycle, where the common denominator of both is a retail induced hype cycle, spread via social media, using modern psych ops --
This could be unsophisticated or natural, but rarely is. In general, these pumps are organized by sophisticated bad actors, who control networks of both online bots (to induce social media trending, both on a raw numbers basis as well as inject into real conversations) and who --
Read 20 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(