✊ We need a complete paradigm shift. We need a British Javier Milei.
😱 The implication of the last Government Actuary’s Department review of the NIF is that the UK will effectively default on its welfare commitments, including those related to pensions, in less than 20 years.
🤦♂️ The collapse of the welfare state does not even account for a paralysed planning system, historic tax highs, declining productivity, & a persistent fiscal gap.
😵 And yet, the OBR’s Sept 2024 Fiscal Risks & Sustainability Report still projects govt spending to soar.
📈 Fighting for a Free Future is about securing a comprehensive and radical shift in how the UK operates.
❌ Our current problems are the result of decades and decades of a belief in the omnipotence of the state.
👉 We need freedom and free markets.
✍️ Learn more about our movement and subscribe to Voices for a Free Future with Steve Baker, where we lift the veil on how things in Westminster and Parliament actually work, and showcase rising stars in the free-market movement.
🎧 Listen to The Insurgency with Steve Baker, the FFF podcast, where we will be sitting down with journalists, politicians, and leading thinkers in the free market movement to interrogate the public debate, find out why it so often fails us, and work out what we can do about it.
📣#IToldYouSo: “HS 2 appears economically irrational: it requires tens of billions of pounds to increase the UK’s transport capacity by about 1%. Less money could be better spent.”
📰Via @thetimes, “The HS2 money train revealed — who’s made billions?”
😱”The Sunday Times breaks down the £38bn cost of the project, from billions given to construction giants to digging up graves and running sewing classes”
😱My paper for @axiombtc surveys the data and makes the argument that because politicians cannot face up to sufficiently cutting spending, we face currency collapse:
🇬🇧In negotiating this ‘reset’ in UK-EU relations, Keir Starmer has done exactly what he always intended: sat down on the EU’s side of the table and given them everything they wanted.
❌️This so-called “reset” isn’t diplomacy—it’s surrender. Sold as pragmatism, in reality it is a clear infraction of Britain’s interests and a betrayal of the referendum result.
👎The worst example? SPS alignment. Instead of mutual recognition like the EU-New Zealand deal, Starmer has locked us into the EU’s regulatory framework indefinitely—with no voice and no veto.
Inadequate risk modelling follows as a consequence of the moral hazard implicit in the system.
VAR-based risk models have repeatedly been shown inadequate yet they legitimize under-provisioning for losses, thus increasing risk and inflating profits.
Leverage ratio regulation suffers from the epistemological problem of the social sciences so it is likely to fail.
The accounting provisions of IFRS in relation to mark-to-market and loan losses further promote risk-taking and instability. [I believe this phenomenon has been improved.]
Basel capital adequacy rules failed in the past and will fail again.
Authors: Kevin Dowd, Gordon Kerr, John Butler.
2️⃣Capital-based macroeconomics and the boom-bust cycle
CPI targeting is dangerously misplaced: consumer prices are the final signal at the end of a long production chain.
Monetary fluctuations have material effects on the real structure of prices and capital. Prices become detached from underlying realities such as resource availability, technology and consumer preferences.
Interest rate manipulation by authority discoordinates the economy in time by sending false signals about preferences for saving, borrowing, consumption and investment.
Authors: Jesús Huerta de Soto, Detlev Schlichter, John Butler, Roger Garrison, Kevin Dowd, Mises, Hayek, Steve Horwitz.