Activity on frequencies used by Tu-22M3 strategic bombers suggests that launches of Kh-22 cruise missiles could take place tonight, although it is currently unclear if the activity is training-related.
Earlier, six Tu-22M3s redeployed from Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast, to Diaghilev Airbase, Ryazan Oblast.
Earlier, six Tu-22M3s redeployed from Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast, to Diaghilev Airbase, Ryazan Oblast.
Additional activity is being recorded on the 4389㎑ frequencies, which has been used by Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase in the past, although a different frequency was used in the most recent attack.
Large numbers of Geran-2 drones are being launched / entering Ukrainian airspace. 40+ are flying through Chernihiv Oblast, likely to the western regions of Ukraine.
So far, launches have been reported from:
Khalino Airbase, Kursk Oblast.
Millerovo Airbase, Rostov Oblast (x2).
Navlya Testing Ground, Bryansk Oblast (x2).
Shatalovo Airbase, Smolensk Oblast.
Tsumbulova Test Site, Oryol Oblast.
Cape Chauda, Crimea.
At least 70 Gerans are currently recorded in Ukrainian airspace.
So far, launches have been reported from:
Khalino Airbase, Kursk Oblast.
Millerovo Airbase, Rostov Oblast (x2).
Navlya Testing Ground, Bryansk Oblast (x2).
Shatalovo Airbase, Smolensk Oblast.
Tsumbulova Test Site, Oryol Oblast.
Cape Chauda, Crimea.
At least 70 Gerans are currently recorded in Ukrainian airspace.
Activity on combat frequencies related to Tu-95MS and Tu-160 strategic bombers at Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast, has also been recorded. Departures will probably take place in the near future.
4 Kalibr carriers are operating off the coast of Anapa, Krasnodar Krai, in the eastern Black Sea, including 3 Buyan-M class corvettes, and 1 submarine of the "Varshavyanka" project.
Total possible salvo up 30 Kalibr cruise missiles.
Total possible salvo up 30 Kalibr cruise missiles.
The airspace surrounding Diaghilev Airbase, Ryazan Oblast has been closed from midnight on September 10, to 11:59pm. As many as 6 Tu-22M3s may launch Kh-22 cruise missiles at Ukraine during the attack tonight.
Possible departures of 1 Tu-160 and 1 Tu-95MS from Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast.
Clarifying.
Clarifying.
Sections of airspace in the area of the launch zones for MiG-31Ks in Tambov and Lipetsk Oblasts have been closed. There is a possibility of launches of Kinzhal hypersonic Aeroballistic missiles tonight, but this is not definite.
So far, 2 Tu-95s are confirmed to have taken off from Engel-2 Airbase.
A third Tu-95MS has departed from Engels-2 Airbase.
A fourth Tu-95MS has departed from Engels-2 Airbase.
A fifth Tu-95MS has departed from Engels-2 Airbase.
A sixth Tu-95MS has departed from Engels-2 Airbase. This should be the last one.
Possibly a 7th Tu-95MS departure from Engels-2 Airbase. There could be double-counting with these aircraft, but in theory as many as 8 Tu-95s could have been stationed there.
There are currently ~95 Geran-2 drones in Ukrainian airspace. The vast majority continue to fly to the western regions of Ukraine.
It seems 8 Tu-95s from Engels-2 Airbase are airborne. Those are all of the bombers at the airbase. Not all of them will launch missiles.
Repeated launches of Geran-2 drones have been reported from:
Tsumbulova Test Site, Oryol Oblast.
Khalino Airbase, Kursk Oblast.
Navlya Testing Site, Bryansk Oblast.
Shatalovo Airbase, Smolensk Oblast.
The number of drones detected in Ukrainian airspace has increased to ~115, ~70 of which are flying through Chernihiv Oblast.
Tsumbulova Test Site, Oryol Oblast.
Khalino Airbase, Kursk Oblast.
Navlya Testing Site, Bryansk Oblast.
Shatalovo Airbase, Smolensk Oblast.
The number of drones detected in Ukrainian airspace has increased to ~115, ~70 of which are flying through Chernihiv Oblast.
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