Sebastian Salek Profile picture
Sep 10 11 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Nigel Farage is the king of the U-turn.

He changes his mind so often, it's easy to think he'll say anything for attention.

9 telling reversals:
1. Second referendum

Before the Brexit vote, Farage said he wanted a re-run if the result was close.

He told the Mirror: “In a 52-48 referendum this would be unfinished business by a long way.”

But after Leave won, he said he’d boycott a second vote. Image
2. “Which one of you is lying?”

Farage claimed he was told not to meet constituents face-to-face in Clacton.

But when Parliament’s security service disputed that, he quickly dropped his claim. Image
3. U-turn on a U-turn

Farage claimed he’d send Afghan women back to the Taliban.

Then he rowed back, saying it wouldn’t happen in his first term.

But before long he flip-flopped again, confirming he’d let the deportations go ahead. Image
4. Another U-turn on a U-turn

In 2015, Ukip had a policy of capping net migration at 50,000.

Then Farage scrapped the plan. But weeks later he changed his mind again, setting a new target of 30,000. Image
5. Who owns Nigel’s house?

First he said he bought his Clacton home. Then he said his girlfriend did.

Wouldn’t have been so bad if he hadn’t just attacked Angela Rayner. Image
6. Small boats in two weeks

Farage promised to stop the boats within a fortnight of becoming PM.

But after the first bit of scrutiny he changed his story, admitting it’d only happen after the necessary laws had passed. Image
7. Sexually confused

In a live debate in 2014, Farage said Ukip wouldn’t scrap sex education.

But the party’s website at the time called for abolishing sex ed for under-11s. Image
8. Getting rid of MSPs

Farage once wanted to scrap all MSPs and fill Holyrood with MPs instead.

Later he said, “We’re not going to reverse devolution.” Image
9. Banning flags… then unbanning them

Farage announced that only Union Jacks and St George’s crosses could be flown from Reform-led council buildings.

But that meant prohibiting county flags. He quickly changed his mind to allow them, too. Image
If you’re interested in what’s going on in Parliament, my newsletter explains the bills MPs are voting on each week.

Get it free here: clearthelobby.co.uk

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More from @sebastiansalek

Sep 8
Reform’s polling lead is astonishingly brittle.

The headline numbers may look impressive, but the underlying data reveals a fundamental weakness.

4 major headaches for Farage:
1. The public doesn’t trust Reform to govern

Just 32% think Reform would improve how Britain is run, according to YouGov.

Even fewer (24%) believe a Farage government would govern competently.
2. Reform’s lead evaporates vs Labour

When asked to choose bewteen the two:

• 43% back a second Starmer term
• 37% want Farage in No 10

Starmer also leads on best PM (35% vs 28%).
Read 7 tweets
Aug 27
Reform isn’t a political party. It’s a corporate lobbying firm.

The business model is simple. Wealthy elites pay Farage to push policies that could make them millions.

4 infuriating examples:
1. Net zero

40% of Reform’s donors either question climate change or invest in fossil fuels.

They include Jeremy Hosking, who has tens of millions invested in oil firms.

Which explains why Reform is so passionately anti net zero. Image
2. Tax havens

Over half of Reform's funding comes from donors with offshore homes or businesses.

Their treasurer openly admits this is his fundraising strategy.

No wonder Reform wants to slash taxes for non-doms. Image
Read 7 tweets
Aug 13
Farage is desperately trying to sabotage Britain's recovery.

Reform tried to block some genuinely transformative laws. The polls would look very different if we talked about this more.

5 examples:
1. Reform are anti-workers.

The party’s MPs voted against:

• Banning zero hours contracts
• Sick pay and unfair dismissal rights from day one
• Making ‘fire and rehire’ illegal Image
2. Reform are anti-renters.

They tried to block:

• Banning no-fault evictions
• Making bidding wars illegal
• Limiting rent increases to once a year Image
Read 9 tweets
Aug 1
The most dangerous stat you’ll read today:

“1 in 8 prisoners were born overseas”

It’s being weaponised by far-right figures to stoke fear.

But here’s the crucial detail they’re not telling you:
On its own, the “1 in 8” stat means nothing.

We need to know how it compares to the general population.

And this is where things start to look bad for the far right.
Foreign nationals are UNDER-represented English and Welsh prisons.

Prisoners born overseas: 12%
General population born overseas: 17%

And with a bit more context, the stat gets even weaker.
Read 7 tweets
Jul 29
London is thriving. And the right can’t stand it.

They talk down our capital constantly, but the city is measurably becoming a better place to live.

6 facts that shatter their doom narrative:
1. London is getting safer

Knife crime is lower now than in 2016. The murder rate fell 28% from 2019 to 2023.

In fact, you’re less likely to experience crime in London than you are nationally.
2. London’s air is cleaner

Ulez helped achieve:

• 54% less NO2 in central London
• Cleaner air at 99% of monitoring sites vs 2019
• Air quality improving faster than rest of England
Read 9 tweets
Jul 18
It was a great week to be Labour.

Votes at 16 rightly grabbed the headlines, but there was plenty more good news for progressives.

7 things to celebrate: 🧵
1. £500m for youth services

The money will fund schemes helping children struggling with:

• Mental health difficulties
• School exclusion
• Crime
2. Tackling domestic abuse at the root

£53m to expand a successful pilot to 15 new areas. Results included:

• Physical abuse down 82%
• Sexual abuse down 88%
• Stalking down 75%
Read 9 tweets

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