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Adam Schwarz Profile picture
@AdamJSchwarz
Sep 13 • 6 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Deeply disturbed to see today's 'Unite the Kingdom' march in London with 100,000+ attendees.

This was likely the largest far-right protest in British history and was led by Tommy Robinson and addressed by Elon Musk.

The far-right are emboldened. But, here's the good news... 🧵
Today's show of force for Tommy Robinson - a long-time street thug - will exacerbate far-right divisions.

Robinson is a rival of Farage who's disavowed him & refuses to campaign for him or allow him into Reform UK.

There are many people in Reform who'd like to embrace Robinson. Image
Image
Reform UK's greatest challenge is not Labour/Tories but to avoid implosion before the next election.

Like every far-right party, Reform is ideologically split - 'pragmatists' who want to (appear) moderate for electoral reasons vs 'puritans' who want to be explicitly far-right.
Farage and Reform UK's leadership represent the 'pragmatists'. But the membership and junior figures are more 'puritan' and want to embrace Robinson.

Farage is polling well but has never pulled anything near 100,000 to a rally. Today's march will empower the puritans vs Farage.
Farage's next problem. Musk escalated support for Robinson today by addressing the rally.

Musk backed Farage and was going to bankroll Reform until they split over Robinson.

Musk continuing support for Robison (maybe financially) could further empower Reform puritans vs Farage.
Robinson claimed today's objective was to "unite the Kingdom".

That was never the real purpose. This was a show of strength in a far-right turf war.

The UK public are rapidly being radicalised & every far-right figure is fighting to become the leader of the desired revolution.

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More from @AdamJSchwarz

Adam Schwarz Profile picture
Apr 24, 2023
The Govt published the Register of Ministers' Interests last week - the first update since May 2022.

A quick thread on points raised in the Commons today from an Urgent Question on standards that highlight the system's inability to provide transparency on conflicts of interest:
Lib Dem @wendychambLD noted the Register of Ministers' Interests doesn't include ministers who departed before the publication date.

This raises the potential for the public and MPs to never know the interests of ministers who were appointed and departed govt between updates.
Labour's @RhonddaBryant said the new Register of Minsters' Interests was already out of date given Raab's exit.

If the register is only updated every year (as with latest update), then given the inevitable turnover of ministers, current conflicts of interest can't be assessed.
Read 6 tweets
Adam Schwarz Profile picture
Nov 17, 2022
We're witnessing the contraction pains of a country that's being relegated from the top tier of economies.

The UK has degraded market access, higher costs from EU divergence, a hugely contracted labour market, skyrocketing public debt & political instability - all self-imposed.
This is what being outside the Single Market & Customs Union looks like. Quality of life for UK consumers going backwards, diminished UK purchasing power, decreased global influence, greater vulnerability to global shocks and investment and opportunities going to other countries.
The UK must face the reality that we cannot compensate for the economic loss of Single Market & Customs Union membership. Bilateral trade deals barely impact GDP and UK consumers. Joining other trade blocks like CPTPP can't replicate free trade with the countries on our doorstep.
Read 5 tweets
Adam Schwarz Profile picture
Sep 13, 2022
With confirmation of Russia's foreign political meddling, it's worth revisiting the UK's Russia Report (2020):

- UK welcomed Russian money with no questions asked.
- Money gave Russia influence across UK.
- No central UK govt investigation of Russian interference in Brexit ref.
"The UK welcomed Russian money, and few questions - if any - were asked about the provenance of this considerable wealth... The money was also invested in extending patronage and building influence across a wide sphere of the British establishment". (Russia Report, page 15)
"Russian influence in the UK is ‘the new normal’, and there are a lot of Russians with very close links to Putin who are well integrated into the UK business and social scene, and accepted because of their wealth." (Russia Report, page 15 continued)
Read 8 tweets

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