Aakanksha Profile picture
Sep 18 8 tweets 2 min read Read on X
In 2005, Intel had an offer to buy Nvidia for $20 BILLION

But the company's board rejected it saying it was "too expensive"

In 2025, Intel has lost $23 billion, fired 25% of its staff, and needs a bailout

Nvidia just gave them a $5 billion lifeline, but why?

1/8
First, understand how bad Intel's situation is

-Fired 25% staff
-Market cap down from $250B to $115B
-Lost $19B in 2023, another $3.7B in 2024
-Shut down entire divisions US government had to buy 10% stake for $8.9B without which Intel was heading for bankruptcy

2/8 Image
Meanwhile, look at Nvidia,

-Market cap: $4.1 TRILLION, that's 40x Intel's entire value
-Controls 95% of AI chip market, every tech giant DEPENDS on them

But then why is Nvidia throwing money at a dying competitor?

3/8 Image
Well, here's why they are doing

Nvidia is NOT buying Intel shares at market price. They're paying $23.28 per share while the current price is $31

Nvidia negotiated a DISCOUNT on a company already 60% down! It's a steal deal for Nvidia

4/8
But what will Nvidia do with a stake in Intel?

Well, that too is interesting

Intel owns massive x86 patents.

If Intel dies, those patents would get auctioned. And you know who might buy them?

Well, Nvidia's competitors. And Nvidia can't let that happen

5/8
There is another thing Nvidia is looking for

Nvidia currently relies 100% on TSMC for manufacturing. That's a massive risk with Taiwan-China tensions

Intel has fabs in US, Europe, Israel, etc. By keeping Intel afloat, Nvidia keeps a backup option

6/8
The weird thing is, in 2005 Paul Otellini, then Intel CEO, begged their board to buy Nvidia

The Board rejected it saying that Nvidia is operating in a very narrow niche and are too expensive to at $20B

Instead they wanted to focus on an internal project Larrabee

7/8
Larrabee was Pat Gelsinger's (current CEO) project, but nothing came out of it, and they spent $10 billion on it

People talk about Yahoo not buying Google, but I think this story also turned out equally disastrous, what do you think?

8/8

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More from @aakancvedi

Sep 17
DreamFolks controlled 90% of India's airport lounge business

Stock price was 3x since IPO, revenue was growing 47% yearly

But YESTERDAY they shut down their entire domestic lounge business!

Here's how Adani killed DreamFolks' monopoly👇

1/9
First, let me explain what DreamFolks did

They were the middleman between your credit card and airport lounges

When you flashed your card for lounge access DreamFolks was verifying, approving, and billing

They had 76 lounges under them, and they were a MAJOR MONOPOLY

2/9
Their revenue numbers were INSANE

Banks paid DreamFolks Rs 800-1200 per lounge visit

Lounges charged only Rs 200-300 for actual service, DreamFolks kept the difference, 70% margins!

On 4 crore visits annually, that's Rs 2000+ crores , pure commission!

3/9
Read 9 tweets
Sep 15
India just spent Rs 76,000 Cr to make its FIRST semiconductor chip

But Taiwan made the SAME chip 10 years ago!

Everyone's celebrating while industry insiders are confused

So why are we pouring billions into "outdated" technology?

Here's what's really happening

1/11
IT Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw announced the VIKRAM chip last week 28nm technology, Made in India

Media went crazy, "India enters semiconductor race!"

But here's the thing, this 28nm chip is OLD technology

Taiwan is already making 3nm chips now

2/11
To put this in perspective, let me break down the numbers

-28nm chip = 2014 technology
-7nm chip = 2018 technology
-3nm chip = 2022 technology (current)

We're literally a DECADE behind!

Yet the govt is investing Rs 76,000 Cr in this

3/11 Image
Read 11 tweets
Sep 2
Hospital occupancy rates in India are ~65%

Yet reports show how patients are being turned away from hospitals because there are "NO BEDS AVAILABLE"

That's got to be bad for business!

But despite that, Apollo, Fortis, Medanta, etc have posted record profits!

Here's how

1/10
To understand what's happening, you need to first understand a metric common in the healthcare sector, Average Revenue Per Occupied Bed or ARPOB

Here's a simple analogy

Like hotels track revenue per occupied room, hospitals track revenue per occupied bed

2/10
And ARPOB across major hospital chains is near all time high!

Max Hospital is making ~Rs 78,000/day/bed
Fortis is making ~Rs 73,000/day/bed
Medanta is making ~Rs 67,000/day/bed
Apollo is making ~Rs 62,000/day/bed

Attaching a list below with estimate figures

3/10 Image
Read 10 tweets
Aug 28
A strange trend is playing across the Indian healthcare, major hospital chains are being acquired by global Private Equity

Manipal, Apollo, Care, Max, Sahyadri, Ujala Cygnus-- every major hospital chain in India has recently seen investments from PE funds

Here's why

1/10
First, coming to PE's interest in India’s hospital

-Temasek owns 59% stake Manipal Hospital
-Blackstone now owns a majority stake in CARE Hospitals and KIMS Health
-CVC Capital owns majority stake in Healthcare Global
-General Atlantic owns majority stake in Ujala Cygnus

2/10
It is a long list, I have compiled it below for you.

But why are these funds so interested in India’s private hospital space?

Well, it is kind of because India’s health care system sucks :/

3/10 Image
Read 10 tweets
Aug 26
Five years ago, the Adani group was operating ZERO airports in India

Today, they manage nearly 25% of the airports in India!

Here’s how Adani became India’s largest private player operating airports in just 5 years, without any prior experience!

1/7
In 2018, the govt invited bids to privatise 6 airports.

And Adani won all the 6 contracts!

But how did a player with Zero airport operating experience win all contracts in a single go, beating players like GVK, GMR, Fairfax, etc?

2/7
Well, that is because the bid with highest per passenger fee was going to win

And for all the airports, Adani bid upto 100% higher than most bidders

And no surprises, Adani won all airports. But why was Adani bidding so high?

3/7
Read 7 tweets
Aug 13
Something strange is happening in India's nuclear sector

The government swore for 76 years that private companies touching uranium would be "catastrophic for national security"

Yet suddenly it is now begging them to mine it!

But why?

1/9
Well, it is all in the numbers

The current government wants to expand nuclear capacity by 12x by 2047

That would take India from 8.18 GW to 100 GW

But here's the problem, the government can only fund 44% of what's needed

The math simply doesn't work

2/9
Let me put this in perspective,

-Total investment needed- Rs 14.7 lakh crore ($175 billion)

-Govt can contribute- Rs6.5 lakh crore

-The gap- ₹8.2 lakh crore

That's bigger than India's entire defense budget for 3 years. You can't expand 12x on 44% funding

3/9
Read 10 tweets

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