Justin Bons Profile picture
Sep 26 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
1/9) Ethereum is dying while L2's dance on its grave

ETH cannot sustain high fee revenue because it lacks the capacity

At the same time, L2s are seeing record highs in usage & fees while they lobby to keep ETH's capacity down!

That is what makes it a parasitic relationship: 🧵
2/9) Since EIP-4844 (Proto-Danksharding), fee revenue has collapsed!

That is why the fee burn can no longer catch up with inflation, as L2s are taking all the fees instead!

This is why inflation has risen over ETH ever since L2s took over, as ETH has outsourced all execution... Image
3/9) Fragmenting the entire ETH ecosystem into separate competing camps

Breaking up liquidity & composability

Without any realistic possibility of putting the shattered pieces back together

As solutions such as shared sequencing go against L2 incentives, just like L1 scaling!
4/9) This also pushes the users into centralized L2s

As every single L2 in the top 20 (stopped counting after 20) can now steal user funds & censor

This is ironic, considering that the entire "L2 scaling" roadmap was justified in the name of decentralization...

A bait & switch
5/9) That is what happens when we put ourselves at the mercy of a centralized decision-making process

The total rejection of on-chain governance by the ETH community could only have one outcome:

Capture, resulting in what is effectively centralized control over ETH development!
6/9) With L2 money now dominating the ETH ecosystem

A pivot back to L1 scaling becomes impossible

In the hypothetical scenario of ETH scaling the L1 with a new breakthrough tech

It would crash the token & equity price of all L2s overnight by making them obsolete & unnecessary!
7/9) L2s are effectively stealing ETH users & fees

By pretending they are the "same" as ETH, but that could not be further from the truth

At best, they are competitors; at worst, it is a vampire attack, slowly draining ETH of life

L2s will migrate or become L1s, while ETH dies
8/9) That is why we can be bullish on certain L2s & not on ETH

As ETH has sacrificed itself in favor of L2s, even if that trade made cypherpunks cry!

That ETH follows the same pattern of corruption & capture we saw in BTC is significant

Exposing systemic problems in governance
9/9) That is why there is little hope left for ETH; its leadership sold out for L2s

Scaling ETH would destroy all capital & fees earned by L2s, as VCs cannot skim from L1 scaling

These parasites have twisted a public good & turned it into a platform for VC chains to rent-seek!

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More from @Justin_Bons

Mar 1
1/9) Bitcoin is not the future of money!

BTC is terrible money, even according to the most basic definitions; Aristotle prioritized three attributes:

1. Medium of Exchange (No Capacity)
2. Unit of Account (Too Volatile)
3. Store of Value (Not Scarce or Secure)

BTC pretends: 🧵
2/9) Medium of Exchange:

If everyone in the world wanted to do one TX, the queue would be 40 years long...

If all current holders wanted to move their BTC, it would form a 2-month-long queue!

BTC serving as money is technically impossible & mass self-custody is a pipe dream!
3/9) Money that cannot be used directly at scale whatsoever is not good money at all

Aristotle knew this over 2 millennia ago, as well as almost all preceding philosophers & economists

BTC used to be a decent MoE when it promised to scale on-chain

Today, BTC only plays pretend
Read 9 tweets
Feb 6
1/9) Cardano is very decentralized for its size & even has on-chain governance!

What a shame it does not scale, with a max capacity of 18 TPS; it will never support mass adoption

People are being sold a lie;

ADA has no use cases & there are no plans for significant scaling! 🧵
2/9) For anyone doubting reality, here is the math:

Block size limit is 90,112 Bytes & a basic 1 to 1 TX is 250 Bytes; so, with a 20-second block time: 90112÷20 = 4505÷250 = 18 TPS!

TPS is a measure of 1 to 1 TXs; multi-outputs do not count, as ADA is not unique in that regard:
3/9) Almost all chains are able to batch TXs without additional costs

Even BTC can do this using Schnorr signatures!

Yet none count this toward their TPS, except for ADA; in this sense, ADA's marketing is misleading & false

When it comes to lying about TPS, ADA beats SOL!
Read 9 tweets
Jan 17
1/31) ICP is centralized & insecure; ICP is dangerous!

You can bring down ICP by only attacking 40 nodes in known & fixed data centers!

ICP promises the moon but offers nothing unique

Scalability without decentralization is meaningless; ICP's modular design is the problem: 🧵
2/31) ICP is made up of independent subnets, as opposed to being a single chain (monolithic)

However, unlike DOT & AVAX, there is no "shared security"

Subnets are responsible for their own security!

This inevitably results in extremely low validator counts, endangering users: Image
3/31) At most there are less than 40 nodes protecting the user at any one time!

At worst, security depends upon a mere 13 nodes, this is not decentralized by any stretch of the imagination...

As the security of using ICP is entirely dependent upon whatever subnet you are using!
Read 31 tweets
Dec 19, 2024
1/9) BTC's security is lower today compared to 3.8 years ago!

A shocking revelation when contrasted with the lies we are being fed

The halvenings exponentially decrease security every 4 years & fees are not taking up the slack!

BTC's security is failing & this chart proves it: Image
2/9) This chart shows BTC miner revenue going down

BTC's security is based on the block reward, not hashrate!

This runs contrary to what most BTC advocates like @saylor claim, as they lie to keep the party going 🤫

The truth is that BTC's security will collapse in 4-12 years!
3/9) Hashrate is a meaningless metric for measuring security!

Miner revenue can go down even while the hashrate goes up...

This can be explained; as hardware improves, it costs less to produce these same hashes

It is instead the cost of producing these hashes that secures BTC:
Read 9 tweets
Dec 6, 2024
1/15) BTC is a purely speculative meme-coin with ZERO utility

ETH is also totally uncompetitive; as they sold their soul for L2 tokens & equity!

XRP is centralized & they are deceiving the public

So what is left? Plenty! Let's explore some options together with impartially: 🧵
2/15) SOL is more centralized compared to most due to high node requirements

There is also a long history of downtime (since fixed)

There are no permissioned elements! (no off-switch)

SOL is the leader in usage, by far, anyone who disputes this fact has lost their objectivity
3/15) TON's relationship with the giant Telegram app cannot be ignored

Giving it a unique ability to natively integrate with the app, leading to an adoption explosion

The sharding tech is promising but its true capabilities are too opaque, there are also other massive red flags
Read 15 tweets
Dec 2, 2024
1/25) Ripple is centralized & permissioned, contrary to the claims made by its executives

XRP is misleading investors by lying about its decentralization

The foundation has total control over the network!

Attracting retail buyers with such false claims is straight-up fraud! ⚠️
2/25) XRPs consensus is based on UNLs (Unique Node Lists)

Literal centralized lists of trusted nodes released by single parties, including the foundation...

XRP is not based on PoS or PoW, but PoA (Proof of Authority)

Yet they claim to be more decentralized than BTC & ETH...
3/25) This is all backed up by XRPL's own documentation:

You will be hard-pressed to find any researcher outside of XRP to call this design "decentralized"

Yet, they are fooling the masses

Even if nodes outside of approved lists are untrusted & do not participate in consensus! Image
Image
Read 25 tweets

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