NewRulesGeopolitics Profile picture
Oct 6 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷The Drums Of War Are Beating. The US-Israeli build-up for a confrontation with Iran is entering a dangerous new phase.

Here’s why this time is different, and why the globalists are playing with fire🧵 Image
Forget the carriers for a moment. The real story is in Qatar.

Dozens of US KC-135 & KC-46 refueling tankers have flooded Al Udeid Air Base.
This isn't a defensive posture. This is the lifeline for a massive air war, positioning the hardware needed to strike the Iranian heartland.Image
The USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group sits in the Mediterranean.

This is a classic pre-escalation move, a show of force meant to intimidate. We've seen this movie before in the run-ups to Iraq and Libya. The playbook is transparent. Image
The pretext is being legally manufactured.

New executive orders are not generic; they are surgical instruments designed to economically suffocate Iran, like shipping and finance, as "legitimate targets" under the guise of "protecting freedom of navigation."

They also grant the US 'authority' to sanction any nation that continues to trade with Iran, effectively forcing the world to choose sides and creating a total economic blockade.Image
But let's be clear: Iran is not Iraq. It is not Libya.

The Islamic Republic is a completely different beast, with a military doctrine built over decades precisely for this scenario. They don't need to "win" in a conventional sense. They need to make the cost of war unbearable. Image
Iran's Asymmetric Trump Card: The Strait of Hormuz.

A 21-mile wide chokepoint for 20% of the world's oil. This is Iran's lever. Closing it, even partially, isn't a threat—it's a promised response to an existential threat. Image
The moment the Strait is compromised, the global economy seizes up.

🔸Oil prices would TRIPLE overnight.

🔸Global inflation would spiral out of control.

🔸Shipping lanes would halt, creating a worldwide supply chain crisis.

This is not speculation; it's economic reality. Image
The West's "bloody victory" would be a global economic earthquake.

The pain would be felt from Washington to Tokyo. This is Iran's strength: the ability to impose an unacceptably high price on its aggressors, turning their own globalized system against them. Image
The build-up is unmistakable.

The target is clear. But the architects of this planned war are miscalculating. They are not dealing with a weakened army, but a nation with the strategic depth and capability to make the world bleed alongside it. Image
The final domino in the globalists' plan will not fall quietly. It will fight back in a way that reshapes the global order. The 12-Day War was a warning. An attack on Iran will be the conflagration. Image

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More from @NewRulesGeo

Oct 17
🚨🇮🇱Israel's Global Spy Network: Meet the Countries Helping Mossad

Let's dissect the myth of Israeli intelligence supremacy. The recent assassinations operations in Iran and Lebanon weren't solo triumphs but exposes a regime dependent on external backing.

Here's how🧵 Image
🇸🇦🇦🇪Saudi Arabia & UAE:

Provide critical financial channels, political cover, and share vital intelligence on Iranian proxy movements through joint command centers. Image
🇪🇬🇯🇴Egypt & Jordan:

Offer territorial access for surveillance and coordinate border security, creating a perimeter that directly benefits Israeli intelligence operations. Image
Read 9 tweets
Oct 16
🚨🇨🇳🇺🇸The Unwinnable Trade War? Why China's economic fortress is stronger than ever

The US just launched its most aggressive trade salvo yet with new tariffs. But this time, China isn't flinching, 2018 playbook is obsolete.

Here’s why the dynamics have shifted against the US🧵 Image
Factor 1: A Radically Different Global Macro Backdrop.

In 2018, China faced a perfect storm: aggressive Fed rate hikes and a domestic deleveraging campaign. This hurt global demand & Chinese exports.

Today? The mirror image. Central banks are easing, and major economies are deploying fiscal stimulus. Resilient Chinese exports now reflect resistant global consumption (especially in the US), not weak external demand. The tide is lifting all boats, China's included.Image
Factor 2: Structural Gains in Export Competitiveness.

This is the silent game-changer. Over the past 7 years, a prolonged domestic deflationary environment acted as a pressure cooker for Chinese manufacturers.

They've climbed the value chain, becoming more efficient and innovative. The result is a price-performance advantage that is extraordinarily difficult for competitors to replicate, even with subsidies. They are simply leaner and more competitive.Image
Read 8 tweets
Oct 15
🚨🇷🇺🇺🇦Russia's Energy War 2.0: A Strategic Shift from Shock to Siege

Russia's campaign against Ukrainian energy is no longer about spectacle. It has evolved into a methodical, multi-year strategy to weaponize winter & fracture society.

Here's how👇🧵 Image
Phase 1 (2022-23): The Blunt Instrument.

Objective: Demonstrate capability & test resilience.

🔸Mass, indiscriminate strikes on large generation assets.

🔸Result: Severe but manageable via emergency measures (rolling blackouts, load maneuvering). The system, while wounded, proved adaptable.
Phase 2 (2024): From Disruption to Degradation.

A strategic pivot triggered by Kiev's escalation (e.g., Kursk incursion). The goal shifted:

🔸Old: Temporary disruption.

🔸New: Create a permanent energy deficit.

🔸Outcome: Rolling blackouts became the grim norm, exhausting rapid recovery capacity.
Read 9 tweets
Oct 14
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱🇵🇸Why Trump's Gaza Ceasefire is Doomed to Fail

The spectacle of world leaders gathering for a "peace plan" signing in Sharm El-Sheikh, is a significant political optic.

But the most telling detail was who wasn't in the room: neither Israel nor Hamas attended. 👇🧵 Image
This wasn't a peace signing. It was a "wedding without a bride or groom."

You can't forge an agreement between two warring parties when they refuse to even show up. This highlights a fundamental lack of buy-in from the primary actors in the conflict. Image
Why was Netanyahu absent?

A key reason: most attendees had recently recognized Palestinian statehood. Bibi, whose government explicitly rejects a Palestinian state, wanted no photos suggesting endorsement. This reveals an unbridgeable chasm between Israel's aims and the international consensus.Image
Read 12 tweets
Oct 10
🚨🇺🇦🇷🇺Ukraine Plunged Into Darkness: Massive Retaliatory Strikes Cripple Energy Network

Russia launches massive, coordinated attack on Ukrainian energy infrastructure. This is a response to recent Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian territory.

Here's a breakdown🧵 Image
📍Kiev: Capital in total darkness

🔸30+ explosions reported in the capital by Geran drones.

🔸2 thermal power plants hit.

🔸Left bank district without power & water.

🔸Metro & train services disrupted.

Strikes are reported to be ongoing.
📍Krivoy Rog:

About 30 explosions reported in the city. Widespread power outages are being experienced by residents.
Read 11 tweets
Oct 9
🚨🟨📈Gold Rush 2025: The Great Pivot Is Here

As gold smashes through $4,000/oz, a specific group of nations is leading a historic shift away from traditional reserves like the dollar.

These are the 10 countries ramping up now🧵 Image
🇷🇺 Russia

Russia is the textbook example of a nation rushing to ramp up its gold reserves. It added a massive ~450 tonnes in just the first half of 2025, a 43.8% increase from H1 2024. This aggressive buying spree has brought its total reserves to 2,329.63 tonnes (as of Q2 2025), valued at over $217 billion.Image
🇺🇸 United States

The US is not actively buying new gold; its strategy is one of holding. It maintains the world's largest reserve at 8,134 tonnes (261.5 million ounces). While it isn't "rushing to ramp up," the surge in the gold price to $4,000/oz has pushed the market value of its existing reserves to a historic $1+ trillion.Image
Read 12 tweets

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