NewRulesGeopolitics Profile picture
Oct 6 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷The Drums Of War Are Beating. The US-Israeli build-up for a confrontation with Iran is entering a dangerous new phase.

Here’s why this time is different, and why the globalists are playing with fire🧵 Image
Forget the carriers for a moment. The real story is in Qatar.

Dozens of US KC-135 & KC-46 refueling tankers have flooded Al Udeid Air Base.
This isn't a defensive posture. This is the lifeline for a massive air war, positioning the hardware needed to strike the Iranian heartland.Image
The USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group sits in the Mediterranean.

This is a classic pre-escalation move, a show of force meant to intimidate. We've seen this movie before in the run-ups to Iraq and Libya. The playbook is transparent. Image
The pretext is being legally manufactured.

New executive orders are not generic; they are surgical instruments designed to economically suffocate Iran, like shipping and finance, as "legitimate targets" under the guise of "protecting freedom of navigation."

They also grant the US 'authority' to sanction any nation that continues to trade with Iran, effectively forcing the world to choose sides and creating a total economic blockade.Image
But let's be clear: Iran is not Iraq. It is not Libya.

The Islamic Republic is a completely different beast, with a military doctrine built over decades precisely for this scenario. They don't need to "win" in a conventional sense. They need to make the cost of war unbearable. Image
Iran's Asymmetric Trump Card: The Strait of Hormuz.

A 21-mile wide chokepoint for 20% of the world's oil. This is Iran's lever. Closing it, even partially, isn't a threat—it's a promised response to an existential threat. Image
The moment the Strait is compromised, the global economy seizes up.

🔸Oil prices would TRIPLE overnight.

🔸Global inflation would spiral out of control.

🔸Shipping lanes would halt, creating a worldwide supply chain crisis.

This is not speculation; it's economic reality. Image
The West's "bloody victory" would be a global economic earthquake.

The pain would be felt from Washington to Tokyo. This is Iran's strength: the ability to impose an unacceptably high price on its aggressors, turning their own globalized system against them. Image
The build-up is unmistakable.

The target is clear. But the architects of this planned war are miscalculating. They are not dealing with a weakened army, but a nation with the strategic depth and capability to make the world bleed alongside it. Image
The final domino in the globalists' plan will not fall quietly. It will fight back in a way that reshapes the global order. The 12-Day War was a warning. An attack on Iran will be the conflagration. Image

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More from @NewRulesGeo

Oct 8
🚨🇮🇷⚡️Beyond the Barrel: Iran's Resource Wealth

Iranian economic strength lies in a vast and diverse portfolio of natural resources, not just oil, which positioned Iran as a major energy, mineral, and agricultural hub in the region.

Let's break down these strategic assets🧵 Image
Natural Gas Powerhouse

Iran holds the world’s 2nd largest proven natural gas reserves. A new discovery in the Pazan field added 10 trillion cubic feet to its reserves, a volume that alone can sustain a major production phase for nearly two decades. Image
Copper: A Strategic Metal

With ~5% of the world's known copper reserves (2.6B tons), Iran is a key player. The National Iranian Copper Industries Co. (NICICO) reported sales of $1.58 billion in just the first five months of 2025, a 38% year-on-year increase. Image
Read 10 tweets
Oct 7
🚨🇨🇳✈️The J-35's Launch Proves It: China Now Leads in Carrier Tech

China's Fujian carrier successfully launched the J-35 stealth fighter with its electromagnetic (EM) catapult. This marks the world's first operational integration of a 5th-gen fighter with EM launch.

Here's how🧵Image
The US has been trying for 12 years. The first Electromagnetic Aircraft Launch System (EMALS) equipped Ford-class carrier launched in 2012. Yet, the US Navy's F-35C still operates from old steam catapults.

China has just leapfrogged the US in a core technology. Image
The US system (EMALS) is fundamentally flawed.

Its catapults are wired in series. A single failure can cripple the entire system, halting all flight operations.

A 2019 report showed it failing once every ~400 launches—10x worse than requirements. It's an "unfixable problem." Image
Read 9 tweets
Oct 3
🚨🇷🇺💡Russia's tech sovereignty: Not a gas station with nuclear weapons

From AI giants to space tech, here's how Russia's building its own future amid sanctions👇🏻 🧵 Image
Innovation Zones

Russia has built “tech hubs” to grow its own startups. For example:

🔸Skolkovo: 5,000+ companies, from AI to biotech. Their revenues hit $7.8B in 2024, up 38%.

🔸Innopolis: A whole city for IT, robotics & AI.

🔸Dubna Special Economic Zone: focused on nuclear physics & nanotech.Image
Technological Sovereignty Projects & Import Substitution

🔸By 2025, Russia launched 50 large-scale tech projects worth about $33B.

🔸In the Moscow region alone: 330 projects, $3.2B invested, and 29,500 jobs.

These focus on replacing Western imports with homegrown solutions. Image
Read 13 tweets
Oct 2
🚨🇷🇺🇮🇷 The new Russia-Iran treaty is IN FORCE. The world just SHIFTED.

This legally binding pact creates an anti-Western axis with real power to break sanctions, control energy flows, and redraw trade maps.

The counter-order is now official. 🧵👇 Image
The partnership is fundamentally driven by systemic pressure from tensions with the West.

Both nations, facing heavy sanctions, found common ground in their opposition to the US-led liberal international order and their need for alternative economic and military partnerships. Image
Energy: The Heart of the Partnership

🔸A key deal involves Rosatom building four nuclear plants in Iran in a $25B deal and $40B Memorandums Of Understanding for Gazprom to help develop Iran’s gas fields.

🔸A gas transfer deal that would transform Iran into a REGIONAL HUB for Russian gas.

🔸Under the deal, Russia will export 110 billion cubic meters per year to Iran – same volume as the two Nord Stream pipelines COMBINED.
Read 9 tweets
Oct 1
🚨🇺🇸🇷🇺The US Tomahawk Mirage: A Weapon Ukraine Can't Use

The recent buzz about potentially selling Tomahawks to Kiev seems more like a political soundbite than a serious military strategy.

Here’s a breakdown🧵 Image
The Launch Problem: Ukraine Has No Key

A Tomahawk isn't a simple "fire and forget" weapon. It requires specific, advanced launch systems:

🔸Guided-missile destroyers

🔸Specific class of submarines

🔸The new ground-based Typhon system

Ukraine has none of these. Image
The Typhon Hurdle

The ground-based Typhon is the only vaguely plausible option, but it's a non-starter.

🔸The US only has 2 operational batteries.

🔸They are earmarked for Asia & Europe.

🔸The system is massive, easy to spot, and a sitting duck for Russian airstrikes. Image
Read 10 tweets
Sep 30
🚨🇺🇸SENATOR WARNS: US COULD FACE DEFEAT IN FUTURE WAR

The myth of America’s unstoppable military is fading. Sen. Tim Sheehy warns the US' “broken, bureaucratic defense system” risks costing it the next major war—a fatal weakness against a peer like China.

Here's the breakdown👇 Image
The core of the issue is a massive divergence in focus and efficiency over the past two decades.

China spent two decades building its military with focus and discipline, while the US lost its edge—trading risk-taking for bureaucracy, and ending up with slower, smaller, lower-quality output.Image
The US National Defense Authorization Act analysis highlights a critical munitions deficit:

The US could exhaust its long-range anti-ship missile inventory in just one week of conflict with China. This is not a minor logistics issue; it is a war-losing scenario. Image
Read 8 tweets

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