For those wondering why I was melancholy posting the other day: The name of the inquiry and seemingly the scope have been changed and widened. The two candidates for chairs are a police officer and a former social worker. It’s hard to trust in the outcome with these conditions
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The latest “this American life” podcast is pretty good. It’s framed in a way that’s sympathetic to the immigrants but goes into detail of how the Trump Admin is pulling levers to deport people and close their asylum system. A useful listen for people considering judicial reform🧵
The first thing they did was fire all of the top immigration people at the DoJ that were appointed by Biden and place their own. Then they fired half of the Biden appointed appeal judges. At the lower courts they’ve fired hundreds of judges after reviewing their records
To make up the shortfall they’re drafting millitary lawyers as temporary judges to rapidly clear the backlog. On top of this they’ve changed the rules for what appeals are even allowed to be heard, setting new precedents top down that lower courts have to follow
I just found a property dispute ruling in north London that involves a dead Nigerian general, a woman that dies during the court case & then turns out to have never existed, and two sets of people alleging fraud and identity theft against eachother, including a Nigerian judge 🧵
In a nutshell, this guy - Chief Mike Agbedor Abu Ozekhome, applied to register a transfer of ownership of a property to himself, which is objected to by “ms Tali Shani”, who claims to be the owner
Shani never actually shows up, & all her identity documents were proved fake. The court finds that Mr Tali Shani could never have bought the property in 1993 for Ms Tali Shani because his claims were implausible and contradictory
Farage is directly referencing my posts on stage and Fraser is responding to him but has me blocked so I can’t reply directly lol, anyway he’s now pulled out a second survey - the A&E knife crime report another short effort 🧵
“Serious violence in England and wales - an A&E perspective”
it’s a report from Cardiff university that Fraser is using to claim knife crime is at at 25 year low. Let’s take a closer look. cardiff.ac.uk/__data/assets/…
Firstly - what is being measured and by who? A&E admissions as a result of serious violence by “participating emergency departments” which adds together minor injury units (MIUs), walk in centres and serious trauma units. The coverage ratio in 2024 was 48%, half the EDs in the UK
I don’t know if zoomers know this but there used to be a real shitty magazine called gawker. They published hogans sex tape & refused to take it down, he was broke at the time and they had a good enough legal team to bully him into submission. Unfortunately for gawker -🧵
They had also previously outed Peter thiel as gay against his wishes, so thiel approached hogan and offered to fund his legal battle on the condition that they don’t settle out of court, the goal was to destroy them. Thiel finds a rockstar legal team for 3 years and they manage
To win an amazing $115 million not just from the company, which is forced to shut down, but personally from their CEO, who is probably still working today, having his wages garnished by hogans family (hopefully). Fuck gawker and fuck this woman, least sympathetic tweet ever
Fraser has blocked me so I can’t QT, but everyone knows crime isn’t in fact, going down. So let’s explore how to lie with statistics, a rare effort 🧵
Lots of other datasets show crime is up, this one dataset shows it’s down “the Crime Survey for England and Wales”. Their methodology here is face-to-face doorstep interviews about victimisation rates with tens of thousands of households. Ok fair fair enough, HOWEVER
Let’s look at how it’s sampled - it uses the “middle layer super output area” and a pair of “lower level super output areas” for lower density neighbourhoods. For those not familiar with government statistical geography - super output areas are defined to have roughly equal population sizes which helps normalise rates (e.g heart attacks per 1000 people) and to be stable across time. This is fine for other types of statistical reporting, but crime isn’t this uniform thing that happens to anyone like heart attacks. Crime tends to be focused on some specific geography. 80% of crime in any given area will occur on certain streets or hotspots like pubs, trains or bus stations. Using surveys of these super output areas instead of crime reported to the police broken down by ward level or county data ignores that much of the country still sees no crime, while crimes in crime hotspots might have skyrocketed. It also ignores that locals tend to know the high crime rate areas and avoid them, most of the victims of crime are living in high crime rate areas and can’t avoid crime, businesses or tourists.
I have so much to say about this, it’s an unbelievable scandal. 100k afghans applied, and they leaked the data while vetting them which means they’re going to just allow them in unvetted? The data on afghan rates of sexual offending are dire, £7 billion to house them in your town
On top of that - the MoD used a superinjunction so that the only MPs aware were the speakers of both houses? I don’t think one part of government should be hiding stuff from other parts of the government, resettling tens of thousands of people at the cost of billions, mental
Hermer & friends are gonna be absolutely salivating at this, the opportunity to sue the government & embarrass us on behalf of 100k of some of the worst people on the planet. Parliament needs to pass some legislation giving them no recompose at all or we’re gonna get rinsed