paleoneoliberal Profile picture
Oct 23, 2025 16 tweets 13 min read Read on X
🧵 Had European immigration policies been more 'xenophobic' and leftist opinions disregarded, European cities would be much safer today, and European women would face fewer rapes and assaults.

Not all European countries collect or publish detailed data on the race/ethnicity of offenders (some publish data on nationality, which is misleading), but the evidence is overwhelming nonetheless. ⬇️Image
🇩🇪 In Germany, non-Westerners have significantly higher crime rates, and that is especially striking when it comes to rapes and robberies. The suspect rate for rapes and sexual assaults is 10-15 times higher among Afghans and Africans than among Germans. Image
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🇬🇧 In Britain, despite black people being only 3% of the population, they commit around 18% of all homicides. Africans and Afghans are the most overrepresented ethnic groups in violent crime, while around 80% of notorious gang rapists are Pakistanis. Image
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🇳🇱 In the Netherlands, African and Middle Eastern/Afghan immigrants commit sexual offences at rates 4-20x higher than the native population. Non-Westerners (especially Moroccans and blacks) are also highly overrepresented in other types of violent crime and robberies. Image
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🇩🇰 In Denmark too, non-Western immigrants are significantly overrepresented in violent crime, with Africans being about 14 times as likely to be convicted of rape as the native population (and 2nd generation immigrants tend to behave even worse). Image
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🇸🇪 Likewise, Swedish data show significant overrepresentation of non-Western immigrants in crime (especially homicides, rapes, and robberies), with Africans and "Central Asians" leading. Image
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🇳🇴 Unsurprisingly, non-Westerners (especially Somalis and Moroccans) are heavily overrepresented in violent crime in Norway, and the data suggest that their descendants are somewhat more violent than the first generation. Image
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🇫🇷 The data for France are perhaps the least informative, since they are presented by citizenship, while millions of Africans and Arabs have French passports and are thus counted as "French". Still, foreign nationals are significantly overrepresented in crime, and regional maps show a clear correlation between assault rates and immigration from the Maghreb.Image
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🇮🇹 In Italy, Africans are 7–10x more likely to be suspected of crimes than native Italians, and their overrepresentation is even higher for rapes, with similar patterns for Afghans and Pakistanis. Image
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🇪🇸 For Spain, crime data show patterns similar to those in the rest of Europe; foreigners, especially Africans, are significantly overrepresented in all sorts of crimes. Image
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🇨🇭 Switzerland has probably the most selective immigration approach in Europe, but even there, non-Westerners (mostly Africans) commit a disproportionately high share of crimes, and more than 70% of the prison population is of foreign origin. Image
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🇮🇪 Ireland has embraced mass immigrationism relatively recently, but it has apparently managed to transform Dublin from one of the safest to one of the least safe European cities in two decades. Perhaps needless to say, a very disproportionate share of rapes is committed by Africans.Image
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🇫🇮 In Finland, one of the most bizarre cases of mass immigrationism, crime patterns mirror those in Scandinavia and the rest of Europe. There is dramatic overrepresentation of Africans and Muslims, especially for sexual offenses. Image
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🇧🇪 For Belgium, good-quality data are difficult to come by, since ethnicity/race breakdowns are unavailable, but we can see a strong correlation between the percentage of the Muslim population and crime rates across municipalities.

researchgate.net/publication/34…Image
🇹🇷 Even in Turkey, basically a Middle Eastern country itself with fewer cultural differences, the recent influx of mostly Syrian immigrants has led to increased crime rates.

nber.org/papers/w30070
H/T @Marc_Vanguard_i @Scientific_Bird @KirkegaardEmil @cremieuxrecueil @XenosELY @demo_demo_nl @SilviodoQuental @whyvert @migrationCtrl

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More from @armsq17

Jan 28
1/ The irrevocable demographic transformation of Western countries via mass immigration of non-Westerners is indeed extreme. Let’s just look at the data showing the impact so far and the future outcomes we can expect. 🧵 ⬇️ Image
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2/ In every European country with a significant number of non-Western immigrants for which decent data is available, non-Westerners are significantly overrepresented in all types of violent crime, and their descendants seem to be just as violent, if not slightly more so. Image
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3/ The overrepresentation of non-Westerners (especially Africans and Muslims) in crime is most striking in cases of rape, with some ethnic groups raping at rates 15-20 times higher than the native population. Image
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Read 26 tweets
Jun 18, 2025
"The data show that an increase in government provided old-age pensions is strongly correlated with a reduction in fertility."

nber.org/papers/w11146

Predictably, when the government hijacks the social role that belonged to the family, the family (and fertility) will decline. x.com/GuthmannR/stat…Image
Any serious attempt to boost fertility in a meaningful way would have to focus on abolishing the pension state, the welfare state, and income tax for married parents, as well as defunding public education. Also, deregulate housing and slash the regulatory bureaucracy in general.
Btw, giving cash unconditionally is probably the worst possible way to raise fertility (see France): Image
Read 4 tweets

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