paleoneoliberal Profile picture
Oct 23 โ€ข 16 tweets โ€ข 13 min read โ€ข Read on X
๐Ÿงต Had European immigration policies been more 'xenophobic' and leftist opinions disregarded, European cities would be much safer today, and European women would face fewer rapes and assaults.

Not all European countries collect or publish detailed data on the race/ethnicity of offenders (some publish data on nationality, which is misleading), but the evidence is overwhelming nonetheless. โฌ‡๏ธImage
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช In Germany, non-Westerners have significantly higher crime rates, and that is especially striking when it comes to rapes and robberies. The suspect rate for rapes and sexual assaults is 10-15 times higher among Afghans and Africans than among Germans. Image
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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง In Britain, despite black people being only 3% of the population, they commit around 18% of all homicides. Africans and Afghans are the most overrepresented ethnic groups in violent crime, while around 80% of notorious gang rapists are Pakistanis. Image
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๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ In the Netherlands, African and Middle Eastern/Afghan immigrants commit sexual offences at rates 4-20x higher than the native population. Non-Westerners (especially Moroccans and blacks) are also highly overrepresented in other types of violent crime and robberies. Image
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๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ In Denmark too, non-Western immigrants are significantly overrepresented in violent crime, with Africans being about 14 times as likely to be convicted of rape as the native population (and 2nd generation immigrants tend to behave even worse). Image
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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Likewise, Swedish data show significant overrepresentation of non-Western immigrants in crime (especially homicides, rapes, and robberies), with Africans and "Central Asians" leading. Image
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๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Unsurprisingly, non-Westerners (especially Somalis and Moroccans) are heavily overrepresented in violent crime in Norway, and the data suggest that their descendants are somewhat more violent than the first generation. Image
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๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท The data for France are perhaps the least informative, since they are presented by citizenship, while millions of Africans and Arabs have French passports and are thus counted as "French". Still, foreign nationals are significantly overrepresented in crime, and regional maps show a clear correlation between assault rates and immigration from the Maghreb.Image
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น In Italy, Africans are 7โ€“10x more likely to be suspected of crimes than native Italians, and their overrepresentation is even higher for rapes, with similar patterns for Afghans and Pakistanis. Image
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๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ For Spain, crime data show patterns similar to those in the rest of Europe; foreigners, especially Africans, are significantly overrepresented in all sorts of crimes. Image
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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Switzerland has probably the most selective immigration approach in Europe, but even there, non-Westerners (mostly Africans) commit a disproportionately high share of crimes, and more than 70% of the prison population is of foreign origin. Image
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช Ireland has embraced mass immigrationism relatively recently, but it has apparently managed to transform Dublin from one of the safest to one of the least safe European cities in two decades. Perhaps needless to say, a very disproportionate share of rapes is committed by Africans.Image
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๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ In Finland, one of the most bizarre cases of mass immigrationism, crime patterns mirror those in Scandinavia and the rest of Europe. There is dramatic overrepresentation of Africans and Muslims, especially for sexual offenses. Image
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๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช For Belgium, good-quality data are difficult to come by, since ethnicity/race breakdowns are unavailable, but we can see a strong correlation between the percentage of the Muslim population and crime rates across municipalities.

researchgate.net/publication/34โ€ฆImage
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Even in Turkey, basically a Middle Eastern country itself with fewer cultural differences, the recent influx of mostly Syrian immigrants has led to increased crime rates.

nber.org/papers/w30070
H/T @Marc_Vanguard_i @Scientific_Bird @KirkegaardEmil @cremieuxrecueil @XenosELY @demo_demo_nl @SilviodoQuental @whyvert @migrationCtrl

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More from @armsq17

Jun 18
"The data show that an increase in government provided old-age pensions is strongly correlated with a reduction in fertility."

nber.org/papers/w11146

Predictably, when the government hijacks the social role that belonged to the family, the family (and fertility) will decline. x.com/GuthmannR/statโ€ฆImage
Any serious attempt to boost fertility in a meaningful way would have to focus on abolishing the pension state, the welfare state, and income tax for married parents, as well as defunding public education. Also, deregulate housing and slash the regulatory bureaucracy in general.
Btw, giving cash unconditionally is probably the worst possible way to raise fertility (see France): Image
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