Thread by @tyvansb

🏀FUNNELS - For OVERS🏀

Relevant data is tough to find on X. If your betting on the NBA Friday November 7th this is what you NEED to help find good spots.

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Top 5 Teams In Catch and Shoot Shoot Frequency Allowed (Target Shooters, and generally good for lower usage guys)

1: Jazz (37.7%) - Playing: Wolves
3: Rockets (35.9%) - Playing: Spurs
4: Hawks (35.4%) - Playing: Raptors

Rockets will be worse if Adams is out again.

Pull-Up Shot Frequency Allowed (Target ball handlers who shoot of the dribble; self creators)

1: Spurs (29.6%) - Playing: Rockets
2: Wolves (29.5%) - Playing: Jazz
4: Thunder (28.4%) - Playing: Kings
5: Bucks (28.1%) - Playing: Bulls

KD bounce back?

Less Than 10 Ft Shot Frequency Allowed (Target players who do their work in the paint)

1: Magic (50.7%) - Playing: Celtics
2: Mavs (48.7%) - Playing: Grizzlies
3: Bulls (47.8%) - Playing: Bucks
4: Nets (47.2%) - Playing: Pistons

Will Ja find his joy?

Spot-Up FGA Allowed (Target low usage guys, fade high usage guys. Should be somewhat similar to CNS FREQ%)

2: Nets (28.6) - Playing: Pistons
3: Heat (28.1) - Playing: Hornets
4: Cavs (28.1) - Playing: Wizards
5: Hawks (27.6) - Playing: Raptors

Maybe this time Duncan?

Pick & Roll Ball-Handler FGA Allowed (Target high usage players, typically guards. Should be somewhat similar to Pull-Up FREQ%)

1. Magic (16.1) - Playing: Celtics
2: Wolves (16.1) - Playing: Jazz
4: Kings (15.9) - Playing: Thunder

Fake hairline szn

Pick & Roll Man FGA Allowed (Target bigs who act as a roll/pop man)

1: Wizards (7.9) - Playing: Cavs
2: Bulls (6.9) - Playing: Bucks
3: Jazz (6.9) - Playing: Wolves
5: Raptors (6) - Playing: Hawks

Can Turner score 10 points finally?

Transition Shot Frequency Allowed (Target Players who get out and RUN, typically guards and wings)

1: Nets (22.1%) - Playing: Pistons
4: Magic (20.5%) - Playing: Celtics

Someone pretty athletic plays for the Pistons

Opponent O-Reb Allowed (Target Players who are reliant on getting their own stuff from putbacks)

1: Hawks (13.9) - Playing: Raptors
2: Mavs (13.3) - Playing: Grizzlies
3: Celtics (13.2) - Playing: Magic
4: Pistons (13.0) - Playing: Nets

Wordle szn

Opponent Assists Allowed (For assist props, or scorers who aren’t self-creators)

1: Nets (30.9) - Playing: Pistons
2: Wizards (29.3) - Playing: Cavs
3: Jazz (28.5) - Playing: Wolves
4: Hornets (28.4) - Playing: Heat

Opponent FGM in the Restricted Area (Good matchup for Gobert types lol)

1: Bulls (21.9) - Playing: Bucks
2: Mavs (20.4) - Playing: Grizzlies
3: Wizards (20) - Playing: Cavs
5: Raptors (19.9) - Playing: Hawks

Ja wick plz

Opponent Mid-Range FGA

1: Spurs (12.3) - Playing: Rockets
4: Celtics (10.3) - Playing: Magic
5: Mavs (10.3) - Playing: Grizzlies

Rockets have a guy who's made a middy or two in his day

Opponent Corner 3PA (Usually a super low usage role player is sitting in the corner)

1: Heat (11.4) - Playing: Hornets
2: Thunder (11.2) - Playing: Kings
3: Raptors (11) - Playing: Hawks
5: Nets (10.4) - Playing: Pistons

Opponent Above The Break 3PA (Non-Corner threes, typically higher usage/more involved players are shooting these)

1: Jazz (34.5) - Playing: Wolves
3: Pelicans (32.1) - Playing: Suns
4: Wizards (32) - Playing: Cavs
5: Hornets (31.3) - Playing: Heat

If you like these, make sure to drop a like on the top tweet & follow me @tyvansb as I’ll be doing these daily!