Ships sailing through conflict zones are required to carry War Risk Insurance. For a while when the Ukrainian Corridor started it was so expensive that Ukraine had to create and fund their own insurance in order to make it affordable for ships to operate…
*Side note, ships that are stateless or flagless nullify their insurance. Most Russian Shadow Fleet tankers either don't have insurance (of any type) or it's void.*
Ironically in the end the insurance market had to lower their prices to meet Ukraine’s price and the government insurance was under used. It was a monumental task to negotiate and change legislation and then fund the facility but they did it.
Ukraine has since repurposed some of those funds to offer War Risk Insurance to land based companies that want to invest in Ukraine and build and operate there. These programs have enabled Ukraine’s economy. odessa-journal.com/ukraine-to-lau…
For a time War Risk Insurance in the Black Sea was cheaper than transiting the Red Sea. Ukraine did such a good job at keeping ships safe that companies didn’t need to charge much of a premium for ships sailing in and out of Ukraine.
That changed with the Ukrainian USV attacks on the KAIROS and the VIRAT. Rates climbed for both Ukrainian and Russian ships sailing in the Black Sea. There are varying numbers being bandied about, some as high as 1%. reuters.com/business/energ…
This matters because the person buying the grain has this cost transferred to them. Your grain could go from cheap to mediocre and cause buyers to rethink purchasing Ukrainian grain. insurancebusinessmag.com/us/news/breaki…
This pricing change is not permanent. A month of calm with no strikes will likely cause prices to trend down again. Keeping Grain from Ukraine at a reasonable price point for buyers so Ukraine can keep exports up should be of the highest priority
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Again last night (and tonight) Russia attacked Odesa with shaheds and missiles. Thankfully no one died.
An update on Ukrainian grain prices and market factors. Prices are slowly rising as internal demand competes with export demand. latifundist.com/novosti/68707-…
Ukrainian and EU agriculture ministries met this week to investigate ways to increase Ukraine’s exports to the EU. As part of this project, Ukraine has committed to achieving compliance with EU production standards by 2028. ukrinform.ua/rubric-economy…
These are the kinds of rolling outages that we have seen in past winters, but typically they haven’t started until much later in the season. Russia’s strikes are effective but Ukrainians have three winters of practice and preparation for these outages.
One ship was assessed as delivered today, we have 19 ships left to deliver. A quick count shows that at least 14 ships sailed into Odesa Area ports in the past 24 hours.
The Rundown
Ukraine has announced a War Risk compensation mechanism for businesses today. In the shipping industry, Ukraine’s War Risk Insurance did not replace private insurance offerings but instead made pricing more competitive which encouraged trade more broadly. Similarly this insurance is expected to allow businesses to move forward with new funding and investment. kmu.gov.ua/en/news/uriad-…
That’s right, we finally hit a day with zero deliveries. More of these will happen as we only have 20 ships left to deliver…you may even see us take a day or two off here and there. Regardless, traffic continues consistently in and out of Odesa.
The Rundown
Last night’s large Russian missile and shahed attack hit the southern Odesa port of Izmail, destroying both port and energy infrastructure. blackseanews.net/read/236613
Russia has been strategically targeting power, rail and port infrastructure over recent weeks. Disrupting logistics is the main avenue to shut down Ukraine’s economy and create challenges for the armed forces. t.me/OleksiiKuleba/…
Thankfully a rail strike like this should be fixable in fairly short order. Currently having enough manpower to deal with the widespread damage is the biggest issue.
From 14-16Dec2024 , 17 ships likely sailed inbound to Odesa area ports and 15 ships likely sailed outbound for a total of 32 ships in the Ukrainian Humanitarian Corridor. *These numbers may change over time.
15 ships were assessed as delivered today, including three to Türkiye and one to Iraq.
We tracked 237 ships today.
The weather isn’t great across the Black Sea region but ships are making the most of the windows they have. There really isn’t much to report from Odesa because ships keep sailing in and out consistently other than weather effects.