Okay let's look into this. Trump-class is not CG(X). We could use that. This, instead, is some confused thing that doesn't make any sense. So what would be the broad specs of a modern CG(X)? It's pretty simple -> Image
1) Big deck house and a lot of power to host a big SPY-6.
2) A lot of VLS cells. At least 128 and/or bigger than Mk.41
3) Sufficient facilities to command air defense.
4) A power system based on Zumwalt.
5) Not much accommodation for surface attack. Image
This confused thing betrays its nature by having both Mk41 VLS and CPS launchers.

So first of all, why would a CG(X) air defense cruiser dedicate substantial ship real-estate and mass to surface attack. But those on a destroyer. That's what it's for. Image
It can be an CG(X) air defense cruiser or it can be a multirole ship with CPS, but it cannot be both at the same time. And how will it most likely be used? As an air defense cruiser.

All those CPS cells should be VLS cells for SM-3s.
Now let's talk Mk41. The standard is decades old and while it's very versatile, it's design is dated and most of all, too narrow. As long ago as 2012, the Navy was mooting a new VLS with a wider diameter to accommodate a larger booster for a SM-3 Block IIB. Image
That never got made, but the idea is still valid: to better defeat ballistic missiles, especially better ICBM defeat, the booster to the SM_3s needs to grow, but it cannot within the confines of Mk41. So what are we doing saddling a ship we'll have into the 2080s years with it?
So the cruiser we want shouldn't even have Mk41. It should have a new modular standard like Lockheed's G-VLS that has somewhat greater diameter. That alone will take up more space for 128 cells vs Mk41, never mind having 200 cells or something.
If we consider what we need to put in VLS for just air defense in coming year - a mix of ESSMs, SM6s, SM2s, SM3s, and now Glide Phase Interceptor, we need cells because the diversity of the threat has only grown and each needs its own solution. Image
The Navy is in fact developing CAI, the Compat Agile Interceptor, to cram more air and missile and now hypersonic defense capability, within existing MK41s with a smaller diameter missile. That shows the urgency of the magazine depth problem. Image
Image
How does CPS on this ship advance us on that front? It doesn't. That's why it should go on an actual DD(X), which this replaced.

And then you can get rid of the other non-air defense cruiser supporting crap like the rail gun (that doesn't exist yet and will be heavy).
Rip out the shit throw something like G-VLS on it with 200 cells, and you're probably looking at a 20,000t displacement cruiser build around air defense, as it should be. This, not surprisingly, was the CG(X) spec before this other crap got loaded on.
Furthermore this thing is likely to cost upwards of $10billion. CG(X) will probably be 40% less than that. DDG(X) half. Burkes F3, a third. For the cost of one of these with 128 cell VLS, you could get 3 Burkes and 288 cells of VLS.
There is no argument for this ship. The money is better spent on a real CG(X), two DDG(X)s or three Burkes.

I anticipate as described today, Trump-class will never be built but will morph into CG(X) as features are cut.
To me the tell is that they want to put a rail gun on it, but just doing that alone requires years of work from where they left off. And the Navy enthusiastically just removed AGS from ZUmwalt. Why not have another CPS where the railgun is on this? Or more VLS?
They put it there to make Trump happy. It's obscene. It's un-American. But it's how they're doing business. And I also think it's not happening.
In summary, sure, buy me a 20,000 ton CG(X).
Buy me a 14,000 ton DDG(X) or a Flight IV Burke with CPS support.
Buy me a FFG(X) with 48 cell VLS.
Buy me a L-USV with 32 cells.

But do not buy me this overpriced Frankenstein's monster of a boat.

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More from @JamesRaxz

Dec 18
The NATO assumption was that average engagements would have dozens to well over a hundred aircraft at a time for 90 minutes within a 50km-50km box. Image
Image
The upper end would have seen 300-on-300 air battles, particularly during the first few days, with a density of 1 per 30 cubic km.

Compared to World War II, there would have been fewer fighters in a battle overall (about half), but in a much, much smaller area (1/6th as large). Image
Image
Image
There would bee multiple merges and both sides would have SAMs overlapping the combat area. This prioritizes fighters with extreme agility, high situational awareness, high sortie rates and high survivability. It's this that drove the design of F-15 and later F-22.
Read 8 tweets
Dec 17
Despite both being in the same ATF competition, the (Y)F-22 and YF-23 couldn't have been more different from each other. Really they didn't even try to do the same thing. They both looked at the requirements, looked at the Soviet threat and came to different answers. Image
They're far more different really than even X-35 and X-32 were over a decade later. To answer "why YF-23 would have been superior for the Pacific" is also to understand why F-22 was superior for Europe (and won).
The Air Battle vs the Soviets in the 1980s and 1990s was seen to be very short. The depth of air battle being a little over 400 km... 600km at the maximum extent. Most combat was expected to be no more than 100km from the front. Tanking was not required.
Read 25 tweets
Dec 17
F-22 was the right aircraft to fight the Soviets in Europe, which is why it won. The Air Force made the right choice in that regard. It was also at a more mature level of development.

YF-23 would have been far better in the present in the Pacific, but that wasn't the focus.
80s and 90s contingencies just didn't so large scale air battle over the Pacific that F-15Cs or a carrier couldn't handled. The F-22 made perfect sense to fight in what was expected to be a VERY dense air combat environment over Central and Eastern Europe.
NGAD would be less urgent if we chose the YF-23, but that's with the knowledge of how China has developed as a security challenge the last 25 years. But YF-23 also need much more development than the F-22. Raptor was mostly delayed for budget, not technical reasons.
Read 12 tweets
Mar 30
Extraordinary read. Austin and Syrsky come out looking like incompetent and the US-Ukraine relationship very dysfunctional, but held together through the heroism of people like General Donahue.

The indictment is unchanged: The US and Ukraine never agreed on an outcome. Image
US and Ukraine did agree to destroy Kerch bridge last year. But Ukraines got impatient and the entire effort took a little too long (a recurring problem in the war: delays).

The needlessly slow decision making process has been Russia's hidden (not really) partner in the war. Image
Read 17 tweets
Nov 17, 2024
Biden made a bet - an honest but wrong one - that he could diffuse MAGA in the swingies and red states through economic development. Didn't work. People just swapped their real fears for fake fears (DEI).

There are two takeaways from this experience:
First, Dems need to use their time in power to funnel federal attention to the swingies and their home states and districts. Trying to buy the reds doesn't work, so fatten up the blue regions and repay your consitentients.
Secondly, MAGA should have been mercilessly suppressed as an insurrectionist movement, not as an alternative point of view.

Garland should have been fired early on, or never nominated and Biden should have breathed fire about MAGA and assaulted it from day one.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 8, 2024
My letter to my Congressman/Senators. Only other topic I ever did this for was Ukraine aid. It's the same fight. Image
Dear _______
My name is ______. I'm a Democratic voter and donor from _____, ______. I am writing to you to express my support for President Joe Biden's re-election campaign and my hope that you will continue to support him in that effort.
Joe Biden brought me into the Democratic Party after many years of considering myself first a Republican, then an independent.
Read 11 tweets

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