Panican 2 Electric Bugaloo Profile picture
Jan 12 2 tweets 1 min read Read on X
The thing is, first term obama deportation numbers are mostly the result of ICE deportation machinery created under the Bush administration, Obama just didn't dismantle it until his second term. Image
George W Bush was saying "mi casa es su casa" at the RNC while slowly creating a massive deportation machine, which is what a more "centrist" way of doing deportation could potentially look like, but he never had to deal with the radicalized millenial leftist activist class

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More from @BarneyFlames

May 8, 2022
In 1982, B. M. Willmott Dobbie studied records from 3 English parishes spanning the 16th to 18th centuries and found that maternal mortality was ~30 maternal deaths/1,000 baptisms.

This is 100x the rate of maternal mortality today.

cambridge.org/core/services/…
As he mentions in his paper, part of the reason for myths like those repeated by OP is missing records, and hence you need to dig deep.

"... many an obstetric tragedy of motherhood is remembered only by an entry such as 'M- wife of J- S-' in the burial register."
The paper uses 2 different methods to estimate the true rate of maternal mortality:

1. Looking at burials of women within a few days or weeks of giving birth

2. Excess mortality of women over their husbands

Both roughly agree (one says 24/1000 baptisms, the other 29/1000)
Read 5 tweets
May 7, 2022
Making things illegal does make them (mostly) stop ! People have been too contrarian brained
Prohibition lead to a huge decades long decline in alcohol consumption that outlasted the end of prohibition itself !
Prohibition lasted for 13 years, but the reduction in alcohol consumption it induced lasted for ~70 years.
Read 4 tweets
May 7, 2022
Saw a lot of discourse about "Barstool Republicans". Barstool is owned by this guy:

> Chernin has donated >$100,000 to the Democratic Party, as well as hosting Barack Obama at his home for a fundraiser in 2013. He also supported Hillary Clinton in 2016.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Che…
David Portnoy is just an employee, even though he's referred to as "Founder".
As one of the replies reminds me, "Democrat who makes sexist jokes" are not really a serious conservative demographic and its really counterproductive to act like that's what's responsible for Republican political wins.
Read 4 tweets
Apr 22, 2022
This thread seems like spin from Disney lobbyists that's full of misinformation.

For starters, thread claims Disney spends money on some things it wants to run, and if the special district is ended the county would have to pay for that.

But Disney pays "taxes" to special district, when the district no longer exists, Disney's tax money goes to the counties.
Second, Reedy Creek includes parts of both Orange and Osceola counties. Its not just in Orange.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 20, 2022
Okay, so when are you going to start arguing that liberals should respect the gender binary ?
This of course gives the game away. The elite liberal tactic these days is to create an illusion of consensus and then claim that anyone disagreeing is "contrarian".
Globe emojis part of this scam of course, though they are partially low IQ marks instead of beneficiaries.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 21, 2021
One take I see a lot is "fall in presidential approval rating is mainly about gas prices", which is based on observational studies showing approval goes down when gas prices go up. But afaict this is mainly about data availability, as gas prices data is easy to find.
It could very well be the case that other prices (like food) matter a lot too, its just we don't have a convenient way to run a study on that.
@ColinJMcAuliffe and @RealAhmadAli had some interesting work on linking gas prices to Biden approval, would be interesting if someone does a version of that using more general price data from the billion prices project or something:

thebillionpricesproject.com/datasets/
Read 4 tweets

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