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Sam Ashworth-Hayes Profile picture
@SAshworthHayes
Jan 19 • 4 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
Shabana Mahmood, UK home secretary: her vision is a "panopticon" where "the eyes of the state can be on you at all times" Image
Curiously the idea of a policy approach like "jail repeat criminals" is somehow less attractive than letting them predate on the public and using their behaviour as an excuse to engage in mass surveillance.
Your rights end with serious criminal acts, like posting dissent online. Image
telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/01/1…

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More from @SAshworthHayes

Sam Ashworth-Hayes Profile picture
Oct 17, 2025
When you look at the Maccabi Tel Aviv story and wonder how this could happen in a British city, one version of the answer is that it didn't.

About 14% of Birmingham's population straightforwardly does not identify as British. In the centre it's more like 35%. Image
But that's too exculpatory. A better answer is that we now have large numbers of British citizens with little in common.

Birmingham is heavily segregated. In the areas around Villa Park, the population is roughly 70% Muslim. Cross over the road, and the share drops to 5-6%. These are communities living in parallel.Image
Across the city as a whole, the probability that two randomly chosen religious people would share the same faith is about 42%. On the same street, it's closer to 62%. We can tell a similar story with ethnicity: the probability jumps from 23% to 38%.

There are areas that are intermingled. And there are areas that are emphatically not.Image
Read 16 tweets
Sam Ashworth-Hayes Profile picture
Aug 22, 2025
I'm getting some confused responses to this. That's ok, the benefits system is very opaque by design, and the extent of hidden subsidies in the UK makes it hard to find out what things actually cost.

So here's how a family earning £100k ends up worse off than one on welfare:
The first thing to note is that the headline rates of Universal Credit are misleading. If you go to the main government page, it provides a list of payments based on circumstances and additional elements. And then there's a little caveat: you *could* get money for rent Image
Ok then, how much money? That depends on where you are, and how many bedrooms you're entitled to. Some combinations will entitle you to over £700 per week. If you're entitled to two bedrooms in, say, Wandsworth, you get £391.23. Each week. Image
Read 25 tweets
Sam Ashworth-Hayes Profile picture
Aug 16, 2025
The judges are running the county because Parliament surrendered control.

Take asylum. Would-be refugees are deliberately putting themselves at risk in sham "protests" outside embassies. As a result, a woman with eight failed claims was able to stay after joining a terror group Image
Or we can look at welfare. The reason so many people can claim state-funded luxury cars for anxiety is a set of court rulings that expanded PIP to those experiencing 'psychological distress' - and then struck down Government attempts to correct this. These decisions cost billions Image
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Both asylum and PIP are downstream of the Human Rights Act, and New Labour's decision to make judges responsible for handling the implementation of rights. This had the added effect of habituating judges to making judgements based on values as well as law. Image
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Read 12 tweets
Sam Ashworth-Hayes Profile picture
Aug 3, 2025
It's worth spelling out why they act like this.

Britain's establishment is aware that the migration policies it imposed have been an economic and social disaster. It also knows that it would be completely delegitimising to admit this.
The worry about coming clean is twofold. First, they can't see a way to fix the mess, and people would demand that changes were undone. Admitting they've inflicted an irreversible negative doesn't seem like a recipe for harmony. Second, they wouldn't be calling the shots anymore.
The defenestration of the Conservative government last year would look like a tremor next to the earthquake an actual reckoning with the scale of this failure would unleash. The politicians responsible would never hold power again. Their parties would be erased at the polls.
Read 17 tweets
Sam Ashworth-Hayes Profile picture
May 16, 2025
Mass migration is directly suppressing the UK's birth rate by driving up house prices. The policy we've adopted to address demographic imbalances is making the problem worse, and it's far from the only government policy making it harder to raise children 🧵 Image
If birth rates had been sustained at their 1972 levels - the last time the UK was at replacement level - there would be another 1.4 million children in Britain. Another 3.2 million adults.

It's as if Manchester, Birmingham and Liverpool ceased to exist overnight. Image
This hasn't happened because people don't want children. For every three children womany in Britain want, they end up having two. Economic insecurity is playing a huge role in stopping their living the lives they want. Image
Read 8 tweets
Sam Ashworth-Hayes Profile picture
May 4, 2025
The great immigration myth is that we need to import a million people a year or the economy falls apart.

Of the 955,000 visas issued last year, just 210,000 were for main work applicants, many of whom are temporary or unskilled workers . A brief thread:
Take the health and social care visa. 27,000 were issued, primarily for care workers. This is driven by care being funded in large part by councils, and council budgets being cut, causing wages in homes to fall behind supermarkets. The visa is an attempt to avoid pay rises. Image
We don't need a visa class specifically designed to hold down the wages of care workers. Given that we expect each arriving care worker to be fiscally negative over their lifetime, it's not even a good budget move from a long term perspective.
Read 15 tweets

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