How bad was GOP turnout?
Overall, 56% of those who voted in the November turned out to vote again in January (we'll see this number go up a bit as a few more rosters come in).
By party:
Only 37% of independents came back
63% of Dems
56% of GOP
Overall, 56% of those who voted in the November turned out to vote again in January (we'll see this number go up a bit as a few more rosters come in).
By party:
Only 37% of independents came back
63% of Dems
56% of GOP
This slump in GOP turnout wasn't good--if 63% of Reps had come back, that would have netted us another 3k+ votes.
But Dem turnout wasn't exactly surging either--over 50k Dem primary voters stayed home, and new voters made up 19% of Dems who voted, 16% of Reps.
But Dem turnout wasn't exactly surging either--over 50k Dem primary voters stayed home, and new voters made up 19% of Dems who voted, 16% of Reps.
Why didn't Dems do better on turnout, despite all of the urgent appeals to vote? Some of the reason has to be that the Democratic Party still has a terrible image in TX and nationally. Dems just still aren't excited about being Dems.
At the end of the day, the explanation for happened last night was NOT that Democrats won TX SD-9 because of increased Dem enthusiasm. Rather, it was that Republicans LOST it because of the failure to persuade swing Republicans and right-leaning independents.
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