LiorLefineder Profile picture
Feb 9 9 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Under the Qing dynasty, China experienced a massive expansion in population, growing from 50-150 million persons in the Ming Era to around 400 million by the mid 19th century.

The main reasons for this extraordinary expansion🧵 Image
Was first its military expansion, by 1760, the Qing, under the "Ten Great Campaigns of conquest," had incorporated a massive amount of new land. Image
In the following decades, a mass movement of Han people into this new farmland significantly expanded agricultural production. Image
Another equally important factor is an increase in crop yields.
Data on rice yields shows a slight improvement over time, but a far greater factor is the introduction of new world crops into China. Image
Qing data from over 1300 counties relating to whatever maize is grown in the county allows us to map the spread of New World crops in China.

From the end of the Ming to mid 19th century, maize went from being utilized in 10% of counties to all counties. Image
Consequantly multiple studies indicate a significant increase in crop yields per mu of land over this period. Image
Another possible factor is a relative decline in the frequency of natural disasters. Image
Interestingly, the combined effects of the decline in mortality due to the decrease in disasters and of the increase in population possibly meant that the situation in China was becoming more Malthusian, with per capita GDP declining toward subsistence. Image
Graphs from:
"China’s Extraordinary Population Expansion and Its Determinants during the Qing Period, 1644-1911" - Kent Deng.
And also from the Cambridge Economic History of China, vol 1

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More from @lefineder

Jan 13
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Dec 30, 2025
Unable to defend itself from Umayyad incursions, the independent Duchy of Aquitaine surrendered to Charles Martel, who turned back the Umayyad at the Battle of Tours.

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Dec 14, 2025
There is a notion that largely peaceful hunter-gatherers are pressed into violent conflict due to population pressure and resource scarcity, but if you check with HGs, 'why are they fighting?' They would often respond It's about Women and Vengeance.

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Rates of physical aggression in children tracked since infancy are highest in the youngest ages and then decline over time.

As Saint Augustine would put it: "The feebleness of infant limbs is innocent, not the infant’s mind. I have personally watched and studied a jealous baby. He could not yet speak and, pale with jealousy and bitterness, glared at his brother sharing his mother’s milk. Who is unaware of this fact of experience?"Image
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"ten cohorts totaling 10,658 children were drawn from a national Canadian sample and followed longitudinally over 6 years"
journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/71…
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