2) The original article was a systematic review which concluded:
"E-cigarette use may be associated with an increased risk of certain cancers, including cervical and breast cancer. However, the evidence remains inconclusive, and more rigorous longitudinal studies are needed"
3) However, as Miguel & Steffensen (who consult to RAI) pointed out in a letter to the editor, there were many severe flaws:
1⃣ There were large (and undisclosed) deviations from the preregistered protocol for the search:
(Below is my summary, not from the article)
4) 2⃣ The stated search criteria was supposed to capture nonsmokers only... (a good idea to avoid confounding by smoking history)
... but the paper includes comparisons with smokers, which means the search criteria were changed and/or not described properly.
5) 3⃣ The original article mis-categorized studies it reviewed, claiming that biomarker or inflammatory studies were "case-control studies" of cancer incidence:
6) It's also not clear whether there is n=1 or n=2 cross-sectional studies in the review.
This is inconsistent in different parts of the paper. One of these studies is a retracted paper:
7) 4⃣ The original article omits key limitations of the review and the underlying primary studies:
8) 5⃣ Finally, there were glaring inconsistencies in even the most basic numbers reported:
9) The editor-in-chief's retraction note echoes all of these major flaws.
This was not raised in the criticism or retraction note, but given the weird numeric mismatches, I have to wonder if parts of the original review were AI-generated.
Kudos to all involved! 🙌
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2 days, 2 new articles calling into the conclusion of a 2024 meta-analysis and systematic review on apparent health effects associated w/ e-cigarette use.
Lessons for how to analyze to reduce bias & confounding 🧵👇
2) Background:
Original systematic review by Glantz et al. examined a variety of health outcomes in relation to e-cig use and dual use, concluding:
3) Shortly after this was published, two letters to the editor followed:
Cummings et al.:
- E-cigs are recent & mostly used by people <40, but diseases are in older people after long exposures
- Didn't account for smoking history
2) Secondary analysis of the Wagoner et al. 2023 RCT (which also allowed choice of flavors) showed:
- Only 5% used only tobacco flavor
- Those who used non-tobacco flavors were more likely to continue using e-cigs, reduce cig consump, and (maybe) switch:
🚨 1) My new commentary with Martino Ruggieri & @RiccardoPolosa at @CoeharUnict on different definitions of youth e-cig use, evaluating pros and cons of each and making rec's.
Disclosures: Through Pinney Associates, I consult for JUUL. I also consult for CoEHAR which rec'd funding from FSFW (now Global Action to End Smoking). My prior academic research motivated this shift.
2) Gateway commentary, on evidence and alternative explanations of the e-cig gateway hypothesis:
2) Evidence for GH is based on individual-level survey data showing that youth who use e-cigs are more likely to also smoke cigarettes.
Strengths: this happens with the right time sequence (e-cigs first, then cigs), and has plausible mechanisms (e.g., becoming nic-dependent).
3) But, this doesn't mean e-cigs *cause* youth to smoke cigs when they otherwise wouldn't have.
The alternate explanation is "common liability" (CL), which says that pre-existing risk factors (e.g. social env., mental health, personality traits, etc.) explain both behaviors.