In the last year, three critical moves have resulted in the Modi Government LOSING revenue. The income tax cut that kicked in this FY. The GST rationalisation in September 2025. And now, this war-driven excise duty cut. A testament to fiscal prudence. Look at the big picture.
Yes, the government did not bring down prices when oil was $70/barrel, but they have made up for it through intelligent fiscal management. That gives them room in today's uncertain times. 4 external shocks in the last 6 years (pandemic, RUS-UKR, supply chain crisis, West Asia).
GOI's committed infrastructure spend remains at more than Rs. 10 Lakh Crore for three consecutive FYs now. The welfare programmes have not been diluted, so all of it does count for something. Inflation is low (too low, I may sceptically add), but credit where due.
As long as we can create assets for long-term growth (infra+welfare), push people out of poverty, ensure fiscal health, and are agile enough to navigate through the external shocks we can't control or dictate, this is the best we have to make peace with; good or bad.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
🚨A lot of misconceptions, rumours, and misinterpretations are floating on social media with respect to the announcement of the trade deal between New Delhi and Washington. People are drawing conclusions that make no sense, economically or politically. Decoding them in a 🧵
1. The $500 billion goods question. Understand that it is Trump's calculation. Maybe he is factoring in the cascading effect on the local American economy, and even if not, we import goods worth $50 billion (approx) annually from the US. This number is not outlandish.
2. Tariffs 0% for the US?
No. While Trump claims so, there is no confirmation that US products are going to get a free run in the Indian market. As of today, India levies tariffs anywhere between 5 and 150 per cent on US goods. The final tariffs will depend on negotiations.
Hindus, across the caste spectrum, should understand one thing. Political power is everything. Nothing even comes closer to it. Therefore, winning elections should be paramount. Everything else, from outrage to long lectures on ideology, is noise. You snooze, you lose.
And therefore, the Modi-led BJP is your path to winning elections. If you have an alternative, try it out in the assembly elections, and put your agenda across. I don't see some GC parties doing that in Bihar, but sure, you have many assembly elections coming up.
Now, for the idiots who say BJP is Congress. INC+ wants a 50% reservation cap breached by the Centre (they claim they'll do it), wants private sector reservations, local reservations, and even advocates for wealth redistribution via economic mapping (whatever that means).
China will never be fond of PM Modi. In 11 years, he has done what was not done in 67 years. Pushing for strategic border infrastructure on a war footing, enabling MSMEs to manufacture instead of trade via China, and getting global giants to 'Make in India' (China+1).
It's nothing personal or diplomatic. Modi is ensuring India is not an easy dumping ground for the Chinese anymore. NSA Doval spoke about self-reliance in APIs in 2015, so the administration was quite clear in its priorities. Covid put the entire thing into hyperdrive mode.
Modi is allocating $10 billion for the semiconductor industry. Sure, China will get TSMC someday, but the conglomerates always have a way of keeping the supply chains sorted, as Tim Cook has been doing since 2016, balancing Taiwan, China, India, and the US.
Jews in the Middle East saw Iran's nuclear program as an existential threat. No diplomacy. No dialogue. Complete elimination. A Hindu nation, meanwhile, in the 1980s, allowed Pakistan's nuclear program to go on, despite the wars in 1948, 1965, and 1971. Despite Kashmir.
This is where Jews and Hindus are poles apart. Jews, or even the Chinese for that matter, think a thousand years ahead. An average Hindu's mental bandwidth can't comprehend anything beyond 5 years, and now with rapid news cycles, nothing beyond 5 days. Crude but true.
Hindus question an 'Operation Sindoor'. Jews prepare for the next operation. Hindus call for 'De-escalation'. Jews dismantle the threat. Some Hindus, a month later, appear ungrateful about Operation Sindoor for their politics. Jews are united against existential threats.
⚡️🧵
What happened in Ahmedabad today has happened before as well. Only a year ago. A sharp mid-air descent, but the flight in Ahmedabad had little time. However, the flight going from Sydney to Auckland had far more time and altitude, which may have prevented an air disaster.
On March 11, 2024, LATAM Flight 800, a Boeing 787-9, nosedived mid-flight from Sydney to Auckland. 50 of 272 on board were injured, some hitting the ceiling. No fatalities, but a terrifying ordeal. The Ahmedabad flight crashed from an altitude of 600 feet.
Two hours into the flight, cruising at 41,000 ft, the plane plunged, about 400 feet, briefly—passengers called it a “free-fall.” Unsecured folks slammed into the cabin roof, leaving dents. 12 hospitalised, 1 seriously hurt. The 787 landed safely in Auckland, thankfully.
🚨🚨🧵
Decoding the ACTUAL IMPACT of the INDUS WATER TREATY; and the larger picture in play.
Incomplete information about the Indus Water Treaty and its abeyance is being spread. Beyond the rhetoric, here is the story in numbers, facts, and ground realities.
Before we get started, you need to understand what MAF means (million acre feet). The volume of water that would cover 1 million acres to a depth of 1 foot' is how we describe MAF. That's 2.73 times the area of Delhi (1,484 sq km).
Why is this important?
Because every year, 135-145 MAF flows from Chenab, Jhelum, and Indus into Pakistan. 1 MAF can sink an area 2.7 times the size of Delhi by one foot.
The amount of water that flows into Pakistan from these three rivers annually can fill Bhakra-Nangal Reservoir 24 times.