Watched the full 3-hour $NVDA GTC keynote on my flight.
Here are 8 takeaways that matter and the names positioned to benefit:
🧵
1/ The Token Factory Era is Here
Jensen made it crystal clear: data centers are now "token factories." Revenue = tokens per second x price per token. The entire Vera Rubin platform is engineered to maximize tokens per watt. This is the new metric that matters.
$NBIS positioned to win - their 5GW+ deep engineering partnership with NVIDIA to power inference and agentic AI factories makes them the go-to infrastructure play for this shift.
2/ Optics is the Next Gating Factor - $COHR $LITE $TSEM $AAOI $MRVL
NVIDIA invested $4 BILLION - $2B each into Coherent $COHR and Lumentum $LITE with multibillion-dollar purchase commitments. Copper is hitting its physical limit at 800Gbps+ speeds. The Spectrum-6 switch now features 102.4 Tb/s co-packaged optics (CPO). The transition from copper to photonics is not optional - it's mandatory.
This is also a $MRVL story - their silicon photonics and optical DSP portfolio sits right at this inflection.
As mentioned, I’ve been tracking a fundamental + technical setup with 2–3x upside.
Time to reveal it: $INOD - Innodata.
Here’s why I think it’s just getting started 🧵👇
Innodata $INOD is a data engineering and AI company that helps enterprises build, train, and validate large language models through data collection, annotation, and validation.
Ticker: $INOD
Market Cap: $1.85 Billion
1/ Fundamentals:
Income Statement
Revenue Growth
2020: $58M
2023: $86.8M
2025E: $247M
2026E: $298M
That’s nearly 5x growth in 6 years → CAGR 28% post-2020.
I start with stocks trading above the 50/200-day moving averages to confirm the uptrend.
I look for names that have been basing 6–12 months and reclaiming the 200MA on both daily & weekly charts.
I also want to see revenue and EPS growing 20%+ year over year.
Before pulling daily charts, I check monthly/weekly to see how the stock behaved in past bull & bear markets.
2/ Rules - Portfolio construction
• Never size more than 15% in a single large cap.
• Never size more than 5% in a single small cap.
• Top 4–5 holdings are big caps → anchor the portfolio with steadier returns.
• Thematic/small caps make up 5–7 positions → rotated for realized gains.
• Portfolio structure: 50% conviction big caps + 30% thematic/small caps + 20% cash.
Cash is a position. It lets you strike when real opportunities (like tariff dips) appear.
$NBIS is the stock I bought in my long term portfolio last week.
I don’t usually do write-ups on stocks unless I have strong conviction — and Nebius checks all the boxes.
Why I’m Bullish on Nebius?
Here’s a clear, visual breakdown of my investment thesis:
1️⃣ Nvidia-Backed AI Powerhouse
• Investment: Raised $700M from Nvidia, Accel, and Orbis.
• Cash Position: $3B in cash (50% of its $6B valuation).
• Why It Matters: Nvidia’s backing gives Nebius priority access to AI hardware, a critical edge in the AI boom.
2️⃣ Explosive Revenue Growth
• 2024 Revenue (Projected): $190M
• 2025 Target: $1B — that’s a 5x increase in just 12 months.
• Growth Drivers: Soaring demand for AI data centers powered by Nvidia’s advanced infrastructure.