C🅰️tSE Profile picture
May 15 15 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Telecom & space defense just shifted. T-Mobile USA pooling spectrum with AT&T & Verizon for AST is a massive geopolitical pivot

It is at its core about national security.

1/
Follow the money: T-Mobile USA is 53% owned by Deutsche Telekom. The German state holds a 28.6% block. Berlin is driving this well coordinated and timed defection from Starlinks regenerative network.

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Europe demands Data Sovereignty. Satellite Connect Europe (SatCo) was built to stop foreign monopolies owning the D2D future.

3/
Germany filed "D-BLUEBIRD" with the ITU to anchor AST infrastructure under domestic law. A sovereign command switch in space.

It is an $ASTS shell covering Europe including the high north.

4/
The rift: Regenerative vs Transparent payloads. Starlink routes data on-orbit. For states, this is a dangerous black box.

Can’t afford the risk after Greenland, Venezuela, Hormuz and the 2nd Trump administration going all-in on building the petrodollar economy by force.

5/
On-orbit routing by foreign firms bypasses domestic lawful intercept and GDPR. European defense planners won't risk custody.

Right or wrong (feel free to yourself hold the European position as false)

They’re still gonn be like:

”No fucking way are we trusting this guy”

6/
AST uses the Transparent (Bent-Pipe) model. Satellites act as "space towers," reflecting signals to domestic ground gateways.

It’s built from first principles to be acceptable by Europe AND the USA

Starlink is not.
7/
Ground gateways let states control encryption & routing. Space becomes an extension of national networks, not an independent actor.

That’s the mutualistic was of $ASTS

The antagonistic way of Elon is incompatible with the security framework Europe seeks.

8/
This control is vital for 6G. 6G natively integrates comms with ISAC (sensing), enhanced PNT, and electronic warfare softkill.

It’s a new world as dramatic as 4G brought us smartphones.

And it is national security first.

In that US is just 1 country.

There are more.

9/
Terrestrial proof: DT & Rheinmetall are building a drone defense shield using cell towers. This is the blueprint for ISAC.

It’s just the start.

10/
In LEO, 6G ISAC turns satellite constellations into radar meshes for AMTI (airborne) and GMTI (ground) target tracking.

11/
Dual-use 6G tracking for frameworks like Europe’s "Golden Dome" cannot be outsourced to a single private monopoly.

”Handing the keys to Europe to Elon Musk? No thank you.”
-Every single European decision maker.

12/
This is why T-Mobile left Starlink. State priorities require pooled carrier spectrum and open, ground-controlled space layers.

13/
Conclusion: Space & telecom have converged. This isn't a corporate squabble; it's a quiet war for spectrum sovereignty.

15/
A three tweet tale from Brazil can teach us things about how European MSS will play out.



Very similar mechanics.

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More from @CatSE___ApeX___

May 16
If your $ASTS thesis hasn’t changed in the last 48 hours, you are driving while looking exclusively in the rearview mirror.

The mid-May 2026 macro environment just delivered a dual paradigm shift that rewrites the entire SatCom playbook. Let's break it down.

🧶🐈‍⬛ Image
For two years, the narrative was frozen: A siloed turf war.
• AT&T & Verizon backing AST SpaceMobile ($ASTS)
• T-Mobile strictly exclusive with Starlink
Analysts built entire valuation models around this tribalism. This week, that legacy framework completely shattered.

2/ Image
Shift #1:

The Big 3 Joint Venture.
AT&T, T-Mobile, and Verizon have formed an alliance 👉to pool spectrum👈 under an open, operator-agnostic specification. T-Mobile effectively ended its exclusive isolation.

3/
Read 12 tweets
Mar 15
It is an underappreciated fact that $ASTS Bluebird constellation is capable of rendering Russian GLONASS system ineffective globally or regionally while not jamming allied GPS.

The LEO PNT-Denial military use case.
(One of many)
🧶🐈‍⬛

1/n Image
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Consider first upper L-band and Block 3 bluebirds stats, Seperately.

2/n Image
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Then combine the two.

Glonass 1 channel totally jammed while others are unaffected.

The entire band gone.

That’s PNT-denial. Total blackout.
Not Accuracy Degradation.

But that’s also possible.

3/ Image
Read 6 tweets
Feb 16
All of it.

Per public request.

$ASTS

1/ Image
Chapter one.

MESA and the L-band duality.

The Sensor Superiority Advantage
Sensor superiority isn't just about "seeing" first; it’s about Decision Space.

2/
By integrating Identification Friend or Foe with Radar, the Wedgetail discriminates targets at standoff ranges.

If you know where every friendly / 3rd party asset is, the rest are targets.

Speeding up Detection→ Recognition→ Identification means you Decide & Act first.

3/ Image
Read 35 tweets
Jan 23
In Latin, the concept of drawing an inference from what is not shown or mentioned is most commonly expressed as:

Argumentum ex silentio

$ASTS

🧠🐈‍⬛

1/n Image
When the last BlueBirds deployed there was two patterns.

One was a spike in drag and the level of drag settling on a higher level afterwards.

The other and first sign was a delay of TLE data longer than usual.

In a way the first -inconclusive- sign was the absence of data.
/2
As back then TLEs was delayed more than 2 full days. Which is /was unusual.

/3 Image
Read 10 tweets
Jan 8
Deploying a 200 sqm array within two weeks of launch is a high-stakes move. Historically, large structures wait longer for "checkout."

Is the upcoming FM2 launch giving us a faster deployment?

There is now FM1 data.

1/ Image
Here is drag data.

/2 Image
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Here is the relative change of drag (schematically) that you’d expect from detumbling, unfolding and the reorienting back to edge on flight.

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Read 9 tweets
Jan 6
I was asked to comment on Space-x last Ex parte letter that they have filed to the FCC.

So here is the picture:

$ASTS has asked authority to launch full constellation beyond 25 satellites.

Space-x wants to delay and complicate that.

They keep filing all the way to sunshine
1/ Image
It’s extremely uncompetitive behaviour and a bit immoral as what Space-X has begged be implemented onto AST is the same type of regulations they see as an obstacle when applied to themselves.

What they ask that AST shall not be allowed to is what they themselves do.
Golden rule? Image
It’s important to grasp that the next 20 satellites and the Block1s are approved already.

So this pen-fighting is about about satellites to launched beyond Q1 2026.

/3 Image
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Read 20 tweets

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