1/ Something very important is being missed in the Peter Murrell coverage. And it explains why Murrell was able to carry on the embezzlement long after he should have been stopped. And why John Swinney cannot hide behind the “victim of criminality” defence.🧵
2/ There are really two different stories about SNP finances which have ended up becoming unhelpfully conflated. The first story is about the crowdfunder money, which was supposed to be ringfenced for a future referendum campaign.
3/ The total amount of donations supposed to have been ringfenced ended up being £667k, according to a statement by Colin Beattie in June 2021. We know from contemporaneous reporting that the vast majority of this (£482k) was raised in the first half of 2017.
4/ And we also know what happened to that £482k. Because before anyone realised this was going to become a scandal, the SNP admitted that the money had been spent on the 2017 general election campaign.
5/ The publication (on 21st August 2018) of the 2017 accounts confirmed this narrative. The accounts showed just £8k of cash in the bank, despite £482k having been raised and (supposedly) ringfenced in the first half of the year.
6/ This didn’t get much attention until @WingsScotland wrote about the SNP’s parlous financial situation in January 2020, and noted that the ringfenced crowdfunder money was missing. wingsoverscotland.com/the-betrayer/
7/ At this point, Nicola Sturgeon, John Swinney, and all senior SNP people got behind a cover-up operation. They must have known the ringfenced money was raided to pay for the 2017 general election. But now that Wings was making a fuss, they decided to pretend it hadn’t happened.
8/ This is why Nicola Sturgeon and John Swinney went on TV in 2021 to deny that any money was missing at all. They both knew it was missing, and were clearly lying. But at this stage, they thought they were lying about run-of-the-mill dishonesty surrounding the crowdfunder money.
9/ Now, let’s turn to the second story: Peter Murrell’s embezzlement. The year by year evolution of his embezzlements looks like this:
10/ Several things are notable. Murrell’s criminality was pretty small scale until he really started to accelerate the looting in 2016. Importantly, this was *before* the first of the indyref2 crowdfunders was launched in March 2017.
11/ The majority of the embezzlement happened from 2019 onwards. In other words: the majority happened *after* the disappearance of the bulk of the crowdfunder money was fully public information from the August 2018 publication of the 2017 accounts.
12/ Almost half of the embezzlement happened from 2020 onwards. In other words: almost half happened *after* Wings had first raised questions about where the crowdfunder money had gone.
13/ This timeline explains why Murrell was able to continue the embezzlement for so long. Sturgeon, Swinney, and numerous other senior SNP figures were trying to cover up run-of-the-mill dishonesty, and this allowed criminal dishonesty to continue (and to accelerate) unchecked.
14/ And this is why Swinney’s “victim of criminality” line will not wash. The criminality was able to happen because Sturgeon and Swinney lied about the money having gone missing. By saying “nothing to see here”, both Sturgeon and Swinney facilitated Murrell’s criminal behaviour.
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1/ This line, that because a Chinese company has a minority stake in Hinkley Point C, the UK Labour government must be “anti-Scottish” to have blocked the Ming Yang wind turbine factory, on national security grounds, is very easily debunked.
2/ The Chinese involvement in new nuclear was a decision made in 2015 by the David Cameron government. gov.uk/government/new…
3/ And in 2022, the Rishi Sunak government reversed that position by moving to exclude any further Chinese involvement in new nuclear, on national security grounds. hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2022-1…
1/ John Swinney used yesterday’s Ofgem price cap news to once again claim that independence is the solution to high energy bills in Scotland.
Coincidentally, Dorenell Windfarm Ltd published its accounts yesterday, and those accounts expose the vacuity of Swinney’s rhetoric.🧵
2/ Scrutinising accounts is essential to understanding what is really going on in Scotland’s renewables industry.
Dorenell is one of Scotland’s larger onshore wind farms, with 59 turbines and a total capacity of 177 MW. It is located just outside the Cairngorms National Park.
3/ It was awarded a CfD at a strike price of £82.50/MWh in Allocation Round 1, and became fully operational in 2019.
Strike prices are always quoted in 2012 prices, but in reality are uplifted for inflation. During 2024, the CfD guaranteed Dorenell ~£112/MWh for its output.
1/ In May 2022, Kate Forbes made a significant pledge: Scot Gov would reset the public sector, returning the size of the workforce to pre-Covid levels, & freezing the pay bill. Here she discusses the plan at a June 2022 meeting of the Finance & Public Administration Committee.🧵
2/ In January 2023, giving evidence to the same committee, John Swinney recommitted Scot Gov to delivering on the pledge.
3/ But then Shona Robison took over as Cabinet Secretary for Finance. When she appeared before the Finance & Public Administration Committee in June 2023, the pledge began to unravel. Robison favoured a more “nuanced” approach.
1/ According to the McCrone mythology, even if the famous 1974 memo was never “hushed up”, there was a conspiracy to keep his forecast of huge oil revenues hidden from the public.
There must be at least something to this, right? Wrong! The McCrone mythology is built on a lie.🧵
2/ This is the key passage in McCrone’s memo, written in February 1974.
3/ On 25th February 1975, within a year of McCrone making that forecast, the Paymaster General, Edmund Dell, made a statement in the House of Commons on Petroleum Revenue Tax (in other words: the taxation of North Sea oil).
1/ Speaking to the media during the general election, John Swinney castigated Rishi Sunak for disregarding civil service advice on not misleading the public with statistics, and was emphatic that he would never do such a thing.🧵
2/ Some chutzpah, you might think, given the SNP's track record with dodgy statistics. And you'd be right to be sceptical. 10 days before Swinney said those words, he rejected civil service advice to correct the record at Holyrood, after misleading parliament with a false stat.
3/ The false statistic in question is a familiar one. Over recent years Scottish Government ministers have repeatedly claimed that 100% of electricity consumed in Scotland is generated from renewable sources. There is no truth to this - it has been thoroughly debunked.
1/ With the SNP party conference just around the corner, let’s revisit one of the high profile announcements made at last year’s get together: the plan to issue Scottish Government bonds.
Humza Yousaf called it “our most ambitious proposal yet”. The reception was rapturous.
2/ The conference announcement was swiftly followed by an official Scottish Government release, confirming that the First Minister had commissioned due diligence assessments.
3/ You might think that would involve external advisors, and documentation subsequently released under FOI confirmed that external advice was to be part of the process.