Ethan (X) Profile picture
Jun 8 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
‼️ LA Mayoral Race STOLEN?

This chart shows how each candidate’s new ballots compare to their Election Day rate.

Raman climbs to nearly double her normal pace while the others fall below theirs.

The gap in performance is difficult to explain under normal conditions.

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‼️ LA Mayoral Race STOLEN?

When each ballot drop is looked at on its own, Raman wins multiple mail-in rounds in a row.

Pratt’s share shrinks sharply with every new batch.

The results move in the opposite direction of the in-person baseline.

🧵 Image
‼️ LA Mayoral Race STOLEN?

Raman pulled late ballots at a noticeably higher rate than her early performance.

Both other candidates fell below their early pace.

She gained more than twelve points in overall share from those later ballots alone.

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‼️ LA Mayoral Race STOLEN?

Mail ballots counted before Election Day gave Raman around twenty percent.

After Election Day, her share in mail-in ballots rose to thirty-seven percent.

The other candidates saw their shares drop during the same period.

🧵 Image
‼️ LA Mayoral Race STOLEN?

Raman’s strongest late mail-in support came heavily from areas like Skid Row.

These districts have large numbers of people without addresses or phone numbers that can be verified.

The maps show where those votes were most concentrated.

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‼️ LA Mayoral Race STOLEN?

Raman has now moved ahead of Pratt by a few thousand votes.

She reached this lead after taking forty-four percent of one large recent batch.

The charts show both the overtake and the size of her portion in that drop.

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‼️ LA Mayoral Race STOLEN?

This cumulative vote chart shows a troubling anomaly.

The red arrows point to a large ballot batch that produced an unusual shift in the totals while other candidates’ lines moved differently.

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‼️ LA Mayoral Race STOLEN?

In one late ballot drop, Pratt received zero votes out of twenty-four thousand.

He had been polling near thirty percent.

The chance of that exact result is extremely low.

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‼️ LA Mayoral Race STOLEN?

No example exists in American elections of a third-place candidate surging days after Election Day to pass second place.

That is what appears to be happening here.

The numbers do not follow normal election behavior.

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