Thread by @diazcayeros

Elections in Colombia proceeded peacefully

After polls closed @Registraduria provided preliminary counts (unofficial results)

By 5 pm, 90% of the mesas reported and candidates stabilized

@ABDELAESPRIELLA is the likely winner by 250k votes

Result must wait official Escrutinio

US voters may be surprised to know that in Colombia citizens learn about the electoral results from official sources in real time

@CESJUL_ @Dejusticia @parescolombia

Citizens and NGOs can verify E14 Actas



Here is an example from Bogota municipality …vueltapresidente.registraduria.gov.co/home

The next President will have to forge legislative agreements

Colombia has become a highly fragmented party system

The Effective Number of Parties ENP as calculated by CLEA moved away from a centralized 2+ party system to a 5 party system in the 2010s

electiondataarchive.org/data-and-docum…

These calculations were updated by the Democracy Action Lab @StanfordCDDRL with @CESJUL_ data suggesting that fragmentation remained high...

but decreased in the 2026 parliamentary election

Pacto Histórico appears to have reduced fragmentation by coalescing forces of the left

If @ABDELAESPRIELLA wins we should expect a contentious relationship between the legislature and the Executive

With an added territorial tension of vast regions that did not vote for him

See territorial breakdowns here:



and @CESJUL_

@StanfordCDDRL resultados.registraduria.gov.co/v2/territorios…

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