Some posts are linking the Maduro’s Polymarket insider to a WLFI cofounder
It sounds explosive, but the logic is weak 🧵
2/ The claim:
• A Polymarket insider got ~250 SOL from Coinbase
• A similar SOL deposit was made into Coinbase, a day prior
• Post calls it a “99% match”
• That deposit is allegedly linked to WLFI
Conclusion: both wallets are connected
3/ Why it's flawed:
Claiming “one address match with 99% accuracy” is pure clickbait. In reality, thousands of wallets could fit this pattern.
• The time gap is absurdly large
A one day gap between funds going in and out of an exchange is not meaningful
• Only SOL inflow was considered
The deposit could be made in USDC, ETH, or another asset. When included, we find 20 matches using the same 1 day window (with a matching $ value)
• But it gets worse
The deposit could come from a bank transfer, multiple smaller deposits, or something done months/years ago.