Martin Rafelt Profile picture
Jul 19 15 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Argentina is one of the most interesting teams I ever watched. Very unique flair, great activity, confidence and game competence. They handle so many situations differently than any other team and still it makes so much sense.
They're difficult to put into words, but I'll try:
The comparison to Spain is a great display of the variety within "possession-based football".
Spain is triangles, ball control, pass to free player, repeat. Argentina is this and everything else. Keen to dribble, long switches, quick combinations in small spaces, brutal crosses.
It does not even make a lot of sense to talk about structure. They stand in shapes like whatever, but then they find good ideas from everywhere.
Here's some 4-1-5-thingy with Messi on right-back (who doesn't even get the ball). Then: tripple movement, direct passes, counterpress. Image
Image
Image
They underload depth like crazy and just circulate, then they attack depth with multiple players and play super direct. And then there's Messi floating as a type of counterweight who knows perfectly when to join, when to oppose the flow of the team. Image
Image
Spain is: Every player plays the game of the team.
Argentina is: Every player plays his game together with the team.
To analyse them properly, we need to understand the cues they use to interpret game situations.
For example: No pressure on the build-up = we overload between ball and goal and try to play directly towards the goal (or force a defensive over-reaction) + prepare runs to support. Image
Image
Pressure on the ball = we come closer to give support and switch towards open space as quickly as possible.

Not complicated, but something that many teams still miss too often. Image
I disagree with the notion that this team is build "around Messi" or "for Messi" by the way. I think they would be very good with a non-superhuman #10. I think the big difference to the unsuccesful early Argentina-teams is exactly that they can play without him. They create a...
...good overall flow, they achieve control and then Messi can slot right in. In the past the idea often was "all around Messi" and it lead to worse results.
The thing that's best for Messi is simply that this is a good, functional team to begin with.
What's ugly for the opponents is that it is more difficult to read their cues than with usual teams and they do more extreme things (= you need to react more extremely) than normal teams. They catch you off-guard.

That's why I feel that in different ways, Argentina and Spain...
...are both antidotes to each other in different ways.
Spain is hyper-consistent in creating options for themselves and taking options from the opponent. They don't make mistakes, they never give you an advantage. That could hinder Argentina to build their rhythm.
That's what the Spanish game relies on. But Argentina can probably handle being on a disadvantage better than most other teams.
And where Spain anticipates the logical, simple play, Argentina might overpower them with a surprising move. France was cautious. Argentina is crazy.
And they're crazy while being smart. And having the best player of all time on the pitch. A very, very dangerous mixture.

Spain probably has the better average action, but goals usually happen through extraordinary actions.
Really looking forward to analyse this in-depth in the Academy soon. Sign up if you're interested in a professional 2-hour-analysis of the game. July 29. spielverlagerung.academy/#live
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More from @MartinRafelt

Jul 19
POSITIONAL PLAY AS A GROUP STRATEGY
The secret of Spain's dominance is not only structure and technical quality, but an amazing collective movement that allows them to apply their prefered solutions extremely often.
They want to find the free player and he's ALWAYS there. Image
What Spain does incredibly well is 1. to move as a team very quickly towards the ball to create options and 2. to coordinate the movement around the ball to end up in clear triangular structures of 3-5 players.
These are then easy to play for them & they execute super consistent. Image
Image
The interesting thing here is that this is not exactly the same thing as the classical idea of positional play (which they do also use) to move the ball accross the pitch and find the free players where the opponent is not defending them.
Read 13 tweets
Apr 28
The response of most people on such a game will be "they need to defend better, take less risks", but that's what everyone tries: You end up with 20% possession and still concede 3 goals.

Today is a breaking point of football. Defending is dead. It's a score-more logic now.
The classic logic is "don't allow them chances, then create as much as possible", but that implies that defense is naturally superior to attack in football.

I am convinced, that's not the case. Attack is superior, it is just harder. At some level of quality defending will break.
Elite football will be like that. Basketball logic: Make it as hard as possible for them and score one more than them.
Conceding is not an error, it's just a part of the game.

Welcome to the future.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 15, 2025
Tomorrow we start our Academy-seminar about "Spielgeist", which you may call the Spielverlagerung-football-philosophy.
It means "playing/game spirit", but it's not just about being playful and explorative. It's about seeing the game of football as a GAME. Here are three examples:
1. In football, the quality of your actions & the level of your play is usually being overly attributed to "talent". Everyone, who ever trained any game, knows that you can improve a lot by *doing better things*. Increase your understanding, your reactions, precision, speed.
The same applies to football. We work on decisions, positioning and fitness, but if we practice well, we also can improve speed and accuraccy and especially TIMING. Players can BECOME BETTER PLAYERS.
This idea sounds trivial, but in reality it's ignored all the time.
Read 19 tweets
Dec 8, 2024
That's a problematic take imo. The idea that you need to play defensive to fight relegation is mostly based on confirmation bias: If a defensive team gets relegated, noone questions their approach. If an attacking team stays in the league, they are overlooked. Swansea? Hello??
There are many examples of teams who would potentially fight relegation and don't even get into trouble because they are able score and grab enough win. Swansea, Werder Bremen, Nagelsmann with Hoffenheim. Brentford has the 4th worst defense in the EPL, but scored 2nd most goals!
If you're focusing on defense, then you're focusing on transition to score. ***Individual abilities are extremely important in transitioning moments.***
On the other hand, just keeping the ball in possession, keeping it out of pressure does NOT require massive individual talent.
Read 13 tweets
Dec 2, 2024
As usual when it comes to extreme streaks of good/bad results, ManCity's crisis is the result of a multitude of factors. Thread about what I think are the main issues:

1. Fitness & Rodri
2. (Increasingly) Strong opponents
3. Lack of sharpness in possession
4. Finishing streak
1.) Fitness & Rodri: City conceded about 2xg in all of their lost games. That's alarming and underlines how this is not an unlucky streak, but they fundamentally lack stability. Rodri is one reason for that, the other is fitness and their possession (see point 3).
Very important context here is that Pep's City is first and foremost an extremely stable and consistent team. I've discussed before how their extremely long possession phases are not necessarily and always great for attacking, but they always make the opponent extremely quiet.
Read 30 tweets
May 17, 2024
A train of thought about classical coaching, modern coaching and future coaching: Oldschool coaching is mostly individual improvement in specific situations. Which is a logical approach, but it's ineffective because in football there are so many situations with so many options.
Newschool coaching massively decreased this sort of micro-management and focuses on the team-level. You want to control what situations appear and be best prepared to solve these together. Optimally, you'll prepare players individually for these SPECIFIC situations.
So instead of trying to solve many small problems, perhaps randomly chosen, you will solve the biggest problems and systematically choose the most important small ones.

Very intuitive and obvious that this is going to be more effective, especially on the short term.
Read 17 tweets

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