Damon Jones Profile picture
Jul 21, 2017 12 tweets 5 min read Read on X
The PhD Excellence Initiative was founded by @PeterBlairHenry

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More from @nomadj1s

Aug 25, 2022
One thing I’ll say about economists’ views on debt forgiveness

Our field tends to judge policies w/ a limited framework that tries to maximize net benefits today & in the future, & MAYBE cares if you are presently in more need.

But debt also captures PAST injury …

🪡/🧵
And notions of justice can also involve making up for things in the past that you prefer would not have happened, or re-doing redistribution that you don’t think was fairly carried out.

That can matter in addition to where people currently stand …
For example: funding for universities, specifically from states, and especially after recessions, has declined over time

This in part explains greater costs for students, and greater amounts of debt Figure shows federal and st...
Read 9 tweets
Aug 1, 2021
A simple, *hypothetical* example of the Base Rate Fallacy:

Suppose w/o a vaccine, 9/10 get hospitalized

Suppose w/ a vaccine 1/10 get hospitalized

(Note: a very good vaccine!)

Suppose 90/100 get the vaccine

What share of the hospitalized are vaccinated?
Instead, suppose 50/100 are vaccinated

Now what’s the share of the hospitalized vaccinated?
When 90/100 are vaccinated:

9 vaccinated people are hospitalized

9 unvaccinated people are hospitalized

So 50% of the hospitalized are vaccinated, BUT there only 18 hospitalizations
Read 5 tweets
Aug 14, 2020
A few days ago, the University of Chicago, i.e. the president and provost, emailed the campus with a subject mentioning “public safety”

The email starts out by calling for an “examination and reflection of law enforcement in our society”

🧵 👇🏾
One thing the email said was that the University is taking steps toward transparency.

What caught my eye: hyperlinks to publicly available data on all traffic stops and “field interviews” (e.g. questioning or searching people) done by University of Chicago Police (UCPD)
To their credit, there are searchable databases going back to maybe 2015 that show every traffic stop and search ImageImage
Read 26 tweets
Jul 24, 2020
Man, this got published in the year of our lord, 2020 ...

h/t: @ZParolin via @agoodmanbacon ImageImageImage
For people will apparently still be coming across these arguments in 2020, here are references on classic rebuttals to the culture of poverty argument:

https://t.co/uhZmuVMeyF
Here’s a link to another article that includes tons of citations on research refuting these arguments:

https://t.co/SqOxUOEYxz
Read 5 tweets
Oct 13, 2019
Atatiana Jefferson killed in her own home by police. Neighbor called non-911 line for a wellness check

Not sharing body cam footage; even the still image is triggering

Was just discussing w/ friends under what circumstances we could in good conscience call police for any reason
Like if someone is breaking into your car. Do you really want the cops to come and potentially harm the person?
If there is an actual intruder in my home, will calling the police actually make me safer?

I have an alarm system that notifies the authorities if triggered and not disarmed. I frequently wonder whether that could mistakenly be the end of me or a guest who can’t disarm it.
Read 8 tweets
Feb 10, 2019
10 minutes into the Frye* Festival doc on Netflix ... they all deserved to get duped ... except for any workers that got exploited

a freaking train wreck

*I keep calling it Frye
They could have easily crashed that plane ...
“It was definitely a trying work environment”
Read 30 tweets

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