, 20 tweets, 6 min read Read on Twitter
“There were lies on both sides”. Is that really true? /thread #Brexit /1
1) “950,000 job losses” is predicated on leaving the EU so not yet. Certainly no large scale losses have occurred
Verdict: Too early to say
2) Since Brexit real weekly earnings have fallen by 0.5% ons.gov.uk/generator?uri=… mostly due to inflation. That’s £25 so far.
Verdict: Fact
3) Since Brexit vote the cost of food has risen by 4%. tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom… that’s a rise of £110 for the average family.
Verdict: Fact
4) This has already happened. We import 25% of all food from the EU bought in Euros. Currently exchange rate is £1 to €1.10.
Verdict: FACT
5) i) The same £2000 holiday in June 2016 to EU now costs £360 more: Fact
ii) EHIC has been kept: Fiction.
iii) Roaming: Too early to say.
6) Growth in UK is now lowest in OECD & inflation hit 3% without wages rise. While not sudden, the economic impact is real. Verdict: FACT
7) The Brexit bill alone is being discussed at £20-40b. The economic cost is est to be 2-10% GDP by 2030, hundreds of billions. Verdict:FACT
8) The EU itself has FTAs with 35 countries. Preferential trade was objected to by the USA and others. Verdict: FACT ft.com/content/92bb56…
9) Inflation rates rose & interest rates will rise in step. Tracker morgages will rise, new deals will be at higher rates. Verdict: FACT
10. If we have £40b for Brexit we don’t for NHS. We’re 40,000 nurses short currently & postvote EU nurses apps dropped by 96%. Verdict: FACT
11. The closure of EMA and EURATOM has reduced access to radiotherapy and chemo meds affecting cancer patients. Verdict: FACT
12. For the most part everything that was forecast about Brexit by Remain has become reality. Let’s look at Leave.
13. “£350m for the NHS”. See this thread for the long story: twitter.com/juniordrblog/s
Short story: Total Fiction.
14. Brexit deal “easiest in human history” Liam Fox July 2017
“No one said this would be easy” David Davis Sept 2017
google.co.uk/amp/www.telegr…
15. “Leaving EU will mean we can be free to trade with the world.” blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2017/05…. VERDICT: Fiction.
16. “We will take back control of our fish”. Overall this is doubtful. researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-… Verdict: Too Early to say.
17. “We will be free of bureaucratic Brussels.” The UK has 420,000 civil servants, the EU has 34,000. VERDICT: yes free, no bureaucratic
18. “Brexit will be good for the economy” no evidence to support that currently. Avg projection 3-4% loss in GDP by 2030. Verdict: FICTION
19. Overall, despite us nowhere close to actual Brexit, Project Fear was mostly Project Fact and Leave still means Lies. /end
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