Korea done, Canada done, Japan done, Mercosur, Chile, Mexico well on their way, now getting started on NZ, Australia. The EU is setting the pace for extending free trade well beyond the WTO multilateral high water mark.
Of course, if you read this thread of mine last year then you'll know all about it. You'll also know that these things do not get done overnight, they take years, sometimes decades of preparation before negotiations can even start.
If the UK does indeed Brexit, it doesn't matter whether it's a hard, soft, or no deal Brexit, all those deals will have to be done from scratch. It will take years. What do UK importers and exporters do in the meantime? Leavers cannot answer this question except with platitudes.
She answers her own question: “At the heart of this contradiction is a fixation on status. To Brexit supporters, EU members are bullying equals or uppity inferiors who need to be taught a lesson on British pluck.” Whereas we’ll happily assume the position for our US dom.
It’s a genuine insight. The UK *is* obsessed with status. It’s a sickness. Your accent, your school, your pedigree, everyone’s insecure here. And yet Trump is the ultimate non-U interloper, there’s not a club in St James where he wouldn’t be instantly blackballed.
“If a paper like this was going to be published, they should have done so just before they triggered Article 50. … it is not acceptable now, with just weeks of negotiating time left.” Further can-kicking, leaving either cliff edge or total capitulation. politics.co.uk/blogs/2018/07/…
Seems the White Paper shows that HMG still hasn’t woken up and sniffed the coffee. Still bathing in faith-fuelled delusion both about themselves and about the EU. Right now, I’m afraid I’m upping my prediction of a no deal armageddobrexit to 75% likely.
I predict that in this scenario the only mitigation would be emergency extension of A50 period or emergency sectoral agreements for nuclear, aviation.
The short of the EEA argument is the fact that we have been an EU member for 40 years and nothing less than a fully comprehensive framework for future economic collaboration with our neighbours is a sufficient replacement. It is that simple.
Had we never been part of the single market an FTA would have been sufficient and more suitable for our needs - but we have the better part of thirty years worth of economic activity working inside EU regulatory frameworks. We need to ensure its survival.
Without having all the mechanisms of recognition and proof of conformity then frictionless trade does not happen and we lose all our preferential participation in the European market. That means a hit for everything from cosmetics through to airline spares.
I am now reading Policy Exchange's report on the Irish border... because my students are doing exams and they are miserable so I want to be miserable too out of solidarity with them. #Brexit policyexchange.org.uk/publication/ge…
I suppose this GIF is me using the threat of a return to violence as a political tool. I am a disgrace. #Brexit
How many times does it have to be said? Ireland is not threatening to use its veto because Ireland doesn't have to use its veto. Ireland IS the EU; the EU is Ireland. The UK's entire #Brexit strategy seems to miss this fundamental point time and time again.
I have changed my mind on #Brexit and now accept it is the best thing that is happening to my country in my life time for the following reasons. Thread
I have come to realise that the EU will be hit worse by UK leaving single market as 8% of eurozone exports go to the UK but 44% of UK exports go to the EU clearly tge eu will be worse hit by a trade war
We will walk out not merely on the single market but every single trade treaty we now have with the entire world by ensuring all our exporters face worse trade terms this will toughen up lazy UK businesses and see unpatriotic ones go to the wall
In which Chloe Westley lies about Vote Leave having a plan and deliberately pretends that no deal does not mean no deal. London #Brexit luvvies are every bit as contemptible as the worst of the anti-democrat remainers.
2. Vote Leave never had a plan. They could never even agree on whether to use Article 50. Later on in the campaign the VL website published their favoured mode of exit, not using A50 and simply repealing the European Communities Act.
3. That's the equivalent of just tearing up the treaties and seeing what happens - making no provisions for trade, or any of the other three hundred areas of economic cooperation including space, maritime surveillance and fishing. ie total collapse of every regulatory system.
1/ Very small thread on why many people (including me) have been getting #Brexit wrong. We've been blinded by the theatre & complex issues of the "EU negotiations" - but in fact its much simpler than that....indeed.....
2/ #Brexit "EU negotiations" are not in any significant way actually taking place, & to the extent that that they are at a minor level even these are largely irrelevant. Once I grasped this everything else of the last 12 months made sense.....
3/ The political establishment whether Corbyn's Labour or May's Conservatives (& indeed much of the political media) are, contrary to the breathless reporting of BBC etc, largely unconcerned with the concrete nature of the EU process (not negotiations) of #Brexit. For 2 reasons..
I am going to start a thread. Quite a few people have asked me why I voted to leave the EU. Although I don't feel like I have to explain myself there are a couple of things I think people fail to acknowledge about the #Brexit vote.
Over 30% of Labour voters voted to leave and about 20% of Green party voters did the same. Not all leave voters are UKIP or even remotely right wing. I am a Labour voter and sit firmly on the left of the political spectrum. #Brexit
Nobody knew what would happen if we voted to leave the EU. There was so much nonsense, from both sides, that it was virtually impossible to be "well informed" about #Brexit