Korea done, Canada done, Japan done, Mercosur, Chile, Mexico well on their way, now getting started on NZ, Australia. The EU is setting the pace for extending free trade well beyond the WTO multilateral high water mark.
Of course, if you read this thread of mine last year then you'll know all about it. You'll also know that these things do not get done overnight, they take years, sometimes decades of preparation before negotiations can even start.
If the UK does indeed Brexit, it doesn't matter whether it's a hard, soft, or no deal Brexit, all those deals will have to be done from scratch. It will take years. What do UK importers and exporters do in the meantime? Leavers cannot answer this question except with platitudes.
She answers her own question: “At the heart of this contradiction is a fixation on status. To Brexit supporters, EU members are bullying equals or uppity inferiors who need to be taught a lesson on British pluck.” Whereas we’ll happily assume the position for our US dom.
It’s a genuine insight. The UK *is* obsessed with status. It’s a sickness. Your accent, your school, your pedigree, everyone’s insecure here. And yet Trump is the ultimate non-U interloper, there’s not a club in St James where he wouldn’t be instantly blackballed.
“If a paper like this was going to be published, they should have done so just before they triggered Article 50. … it is not acceptable now, with just weeks of negotiating time left.” Further can-kicking, leaving either cliff edge or total capitulation. politics.co.uk/blogs/2018/07/…
Seems the White Paper shows that HMG still hasn’t woken up and sniffed the coffee. Still bathing in faith-fuelled delusion both about themselves and about the EU. Right now, I’m afraid I’m upping my prediction of a no deal armageddobrexit to 75% likely.
I predict that in this scenario the only mitigation would be emergency extension of A50 period or emergency sectoral agreements for nuclear, aviation.
Take this for example, ditch #EU regulation and replace it in order to reach a trade deal with the US. They will have us for breakfast, forcing further deregulation and acceptance of harmful agri-products. Industry don’t necessarily want it and in services they will squeeze us./2
This; how, what and when? @DavidDavisMP has been Secretary of State for 2 years and hasn’t come up with any substantial and viable proposals, as the technology doesn’t exist. Neither has he strongly engaged with the #EU27 to work this out due to lack of internal HMG agreement. /3
A v small thread on Italy & it’s likelihood of leaving the EU-a scenario that has excited a lot of UK chatter after yesterday election 1/
2/ many people seem to be comparing Italy with UK as if Italy would or even could be the ‘next domino” to fall. But the two nations couldn’t be more different.
3/ if you had to choose an EUcountry which could pull of leaving EU, the UK would be it. It’s international, flexible, reasonably well run public life, much industry esp services internationally orientated, its a big EU contributor & not in the EuroZone
The facts being what in your view? I have been an online seller for over 10 years. What our govt *SHOULD* have done 10 years ago was curb the power of the online giants in the mid-2000s - when it was clear we were going to end up with one giant shop serving the world, 1/n
that was based in the US. For me, the opportunity for small businesses & talented artisans & inventors to have websites was huge, & incredible, craft people, makers of new toys, original thinkers, could all sell their different items online without the crippling overheads of 2/n
a B&M shop (Bricks & mortar - to you non-cyber dwellers). How exciting that seemed in the early days. The big High Street stores went into total inertia & many barely set up websites to show their location, let alone selling online. ToysRus & Maplin probably guilty of this 3/n
In my opening remarks at #NDSS18 today, I took a few minutes to talk about the process we took as a Program Committee to build the program. My goal is to increase transparency and improve the academic reviewing experience. (long thread) 1/
These efforts and initiatives were made by both myself and my co-chair, @AlinaMOprea. However, any problems with phrasing or opinions on Twitter are solely my fault. 2/
We faced three main challenges this year: 1) an ever expanding community; 2) changes by other conferences to their submission practices and 3) an almost universal sentiment that the peer reviewing process in security has become unhelpful and unfriendly 3/
#Brexit as a concept is increasingly drifting from having anything whatsoever to do with the mechanics of leaving the EU. It is now primarily a culture war and both sides will totally ignore the details except for when they are temporarily convenient.
The consequence of this is that our future relationship with the EU will be just as readily ignored as our activities as a member. They said Brexit would make us isolated, self absorbed and insular but it seems that was always the case and there are no signs of that changing.
As ever the details will be delegated to officials and civil servants while our establishment politics drifts further into its cycle of decline, unable to usefully influence external events making us entirely passive and reactive to events rather than self-interestedly engaged.