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Pete North @PeteNorth303
, 17 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
#Brexit as a concept is increasingly drifting from having anything whatsoever to do with the mechanics of leaving the EU. It is now primarily a culture war and both sides will totally ignore the details except for when they are temporarily convenient.
The consequence of this is that our future relationship with the EU will be just as readily ignored as our activities as a member. They said Brexit would make us isolated, self absorbed and insular but it seems that was always the case and there are no signs of that changing.
As ever the details will be delegated to officials and civil servants while our establishment politics drifts further into its cycle of decline, unable to usefully influence external events making us entirely passive and reactive to events rather than self-interestedly engaged.
EU relations will continue off-radar, on autopilot as ever they were while we put minimal intellectual resource into the global forums - and through that elective disengagement the UK will become increasingly irrelevant irrespective of Brexit. Britain has lost its way.
Remainers will say this is a consequence of Brexit but all the signs point to a far deeper malaise that developed over time. Partially EU membership is to blame but generally Britain has lost its place in the world and struggles for a sense of purpose. Rest of EU not far behind.
The next few years will show that Germany needs it's own poltical reckoning and on that the future of the whole EU project rests. The only difference between the EU and the USA is that the EU has a better propaganda arm. They are in equal states of institutional decay.
We're the EU a completed federalist entity with an executive subject to the tides of democracy, it would by now have a similarly populist administration to Donald Trump. Being that the EU is immune to democracy it can carry on pretending all is well.
This, I suspect, is why Trump is trying to mend fences with Russia. The Breitbart inspired administration sees a common threat to the West with Russia and sees the EU as the politically correct weak link in the defence of western civilisation.
The debate the west must have is whether Trump has a point. Can the constructs of a Christian liberal democracy withstand current levels of immigration & can we still expect to be safe & free from terrorism? The lack of a frank conversation in EU institutions is why populists win
And whether you like it or not there is a racial aspect to it. Races rise and fall. The ancient empire of the west is on the wane. A thousand years of history is about to become extinct. Everybody senses it. Some even welcome it. China is the new global superpower.
China has youth, vitality and aggressive self interest while the West allows itself to be manipulated through multilateralism, having drunk from the kool aid of hyper liberalisation in trade. That rolls out the red carpet for predatory Chinese practices.
So right now the West has some existential questions to ask. Do we go quietly into the night as we lose faith in the values we have exported or do we stand firm and reject the self doubt of institutional leftism masquerading as progressivism embodied by the EU?
This is why Donald Trump thinks there is a culture war concept between Happy Holidays and Merry Christmas. He's a hypocrite but he does tap into a sincere sentiment. If we are prepared to secularised Christmas then we will compromise on anything for any reason.
And that really is the crux of the culture war. A culture that will compromise on anything & everything for political convenience is one that will flush its values down the toilet & invite conquest. Every empire collapsed through decadence & moral decay. The west is no different.
But then at this point I am speaking similar language to white supremacists and ultra nationalists. Well, I'm neither. I just think that the liberal and safe society we have built is worth preserving and that means making some uncomfortable choices with regrettable consequences.
This is where the EU puts its head in the sand in pursuit of a post-WW1 ideal, completely oblivious to the fundamental shifts in population, technology, globalisation and migration. It is yesterday's solution for yesterday's problems.
Only thing one is certain. We might be out of the EU but we are certainly a vital part of the European conversation, and we might well have kickstarted the debate we needed to have a long time ago.
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