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Julie Laumann #FBPE 🌎 @Otpor17
, 27 tweets, 14 min read Read on Twitter
"It's a symbolic threat that people feel, not to their own economic well-being, [but] to their group’s dominance in our country over all.”

Study finds Trump voters (white, Christian and male) were driven by fear of losing status, not economic anxiety
nyti.ms/2vI2b4j
The research debunked the "Left Behind" thesis: the likelihood of voting for Trump was *not* affected by real or perceived deterioration in one's financial situation (loss of job or income between 2012 and 2016; harm from foreign trade; unemployment etc)
Dr. Mutz reviewed other data, including National Opinion Research Center (University of Chicago) surveys, that supported this finding: anxieties about retirement, education and medical bills had little impact on whether a person supported Trump.
Economist Anne Case made a similar observation: a crucial factor in the "deaths of despair" is the white working class's sense of a loss of status, more than economic insecurity ft.com/content/34637e…
The racial grievance of the déclassé has deep roots, as Lyndon Johnson noted: “If you can convince the lowest white man he’s better than the best colored man, he won’t notice you’re picking his pocket. Hell, give him somebody to look down on, and he’ll empty his pockets for you.”
A great point (& thread) from @Noahpinion on why 2012 was perceived as a demographic tipping point by white conservatives, and became the catalyst for the shift to Trumpism
"When you’re accustomed to privilege, equality feels like oppression."

This July 2016 @cshirky thread identified the prevalence and potency of Trumpian white rage and cultural resentment (as described in Dr. Mutz's study) with stunning clarity
Outstanding @_EthanGrey thread, well-sourced with empirical research and historical insights
And of course, @docrocktex26 has been documenting this fact for years: racism is the Occam's razor of explaining the issue preferences and voting behavior of the white electorate.
storify.com/docrocktex26/n…
Trump 1989, NBC special on race in America, months after his Central Park 5 ad:
“A well-educated black has a tremendous advantage over a well-educated white in terms of the job market. If I were starting off today, I would love to be a well-educated black" nyti.ms/2FirYQc
When the very mention of Hispanics elicits lusty booing, which Trump does nothing to counter, can we finally drop the canard that racial animus is not the driving force behind his support?
June 2017: Research based on comprehensive longitudinal survey data found that "working-class whites flocked to Trump not because of job worries or free trade or economic populism, but anxiety about Mexicans, Muslims and blacks" voterstudygroup.org/publications/2…
"Race played a huge role in white evangelicals' support for Trump. In a single election cycle, from Obama to Trump, they went from being the group most likely to say a politician’s public morality matters to being least likely to say it matters" @rezaaslan
salon.com/2018/04/30/fir…
#pt The data showing that dramatic shift:

"Backing Trump, White Evangelicals Flip Flop on Importance of Candidate Character" (Public Religion Research Institute/Brookings survey) npr.org/2016/10/23/498…
{because of racist ads}
As @drvox observes, while journalists and pundits perform semantic gymnastics to avoid calling Trump's support for what it is, Trump himself feels no such constraint.
washingtonpost.com/politics/were-…
New @stevenvmiller and @ntdPhD study connects white American bigotry with support for authoritarianism: when intolerant white people fear democracy may benefit marginalized people, they abandon their commitment to democracy @nberlat nbcnews.com/think/opinion/…
"High levels of racial resentment are strongly correlated with reduced agreement with the scientific consensus on climate change"

Racism may be driving climate change denial, new @SalilBenegal research finds thinkprogress.org/racial-resentm…
(journal link: tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.108…)
"One of @stevenvmiller and @ntdPhD's most striking findings is that among socially intolerant whites, education heightens hostility to immigrants and fails to moderate the anti-democratic orientation of these white Americans" @Edsall
nyti.ms/2J6ikGj
"Trumpism has legitimized and ushered into the foreground of American politics contestation over core questions of civic membership & status: who is included in the political community and what are their participatory rights?" @r_lieberman @SuzanneMettler1
White Americans are increasingly opposed to the country’s social safety net, thanks in part to a rising tide of racial resentment: new study by Rachel Wetts (Berkeley) and Robb Willer @GhostfaceWiller (Stanford) washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2…
"Political efforts to cut welfare programs are driven less by conservative principles than by racial anxiety, the authors conclude. That also hurts white Americans, who make up the largest share of Medicaid and food-stamp recipients"
Deaths now outnumber births among white people in more than half the states in the country, signaling what could be a faster-than-expected transition to a future in which whites are no longer a majority of the American population
nyti.ms/2I6hpB0
Fertility rates dropped drastically after the Great Recession and mortality rates for whites who are not of Hispanic origin have been rising, driven partly by drug overdoses. That has put demographic change on a faster track.
This shift was a crucial factor in Trump's ascendance.

Mutz: "changing preferences were related to changes in the party’s positions on issues relating to the rise of a majority–minority America, threatening white Americans’ sense of dominant group status"
Excellent thread from @chrislhayes on abortive efforts to address the immigration issue: "The politics of opposition aren't driven by concerns about border security or lawfulness. The hardcore opposition is driven by demographic and racial panic." threadreaderapp.com/thread/1010275…
Detailed thread on the GOP immigration bill. As @David_J_Bier documents, the Republicans' true target is *all* immigration, legal or otherwise.
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