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Matt Osborne @OsborneInk
, 13 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
Could Mueller leverage a Trump resignation? Speculative thread. 1/12

talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/an-mo-f…
"I suspect Trump and his kids had a false sense of comfort that their communications with Cohen would be privileged," @joshtpm's friend says. "I am convinced this is why Trump and his family are freaking out about the Cohen raid and the possibility he could flip."
There has been lots of discussion about "leverage" in this sordid saga.

For example, if Mueller had New York-based indictments of Don Jr, Eric, and Ivanka, it would be tremendous leverage, no?

So how might he exert that leverage?

thenation.com/article/does-r…
For corrupt politicians, resignation is *always* a bargaining chip. We recently saw this in Alabama, where Robert Bentley ended his governorship voluntarily to escape prison time.

al.com/news/montgomer…
So let us imagine that, after all the hoopla, Robert Mueller simply walks into the Oval Office and explains that "You can fire me now if you want, but then I can't stop what happens to your kids. Or you can resign and I won't let them go to prison."
Prosecutors do this all the time. Mueller has already done it to Michael Flynn.

cnn.com/2017/11/08/pol…
You can probably see how this would all get spun on Fox News. Which is fine, because Trump would quickly see the wisdom (or be made to see the wisdom) of becoming a martyr to the Obama deep state.

Victimhood is a profitable RW shtick. Ask Kevin Williamson, or Diamond & Silk.
"But wait!" I hear you cry. "What about Mike Pence?"

Yes, what about Mike Pence? Because he's also under potential investigation RE: Flynn and the transition. He is at least a witness.

So the real question to ask is "What leverage might Robert Mueller have on Mike Pence?"
Prepare for the possibility that few people will do a whole lot of time in the counterintelligence investigation of Team Trump. That is a likely outcome of Trump quitting the presidency: Manafort, Cohen do real time while Trump walks...to the helicopter

Yet we should not lose hope for a trial because Mueller has little control over what Eric Schneiderman does, and this is Stupid Watergate, after all.

Chances of Trump courtroom drama are still high in this scenario, auguring extensive MSNBC coverage.
Bear this scenario in mind whilst you listen to discussion of Trump invoking the 5th Amendment or fighting a grand jury subpoena or refusing an interview, etc.

We are in the end stage of the Trump presidency and Mueller seems to have all the leverage.

Whatever happens, Mueller's final report should hit before July 4th, as I explained in an earlier thread. I predict it will be read more than Trump's memoir of beating Hillary in the Electoral College and playing golf with Kim Jong Un.

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