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Thread by @LarrySchweikart: "1) New book thread: "The Devil's Bargain" (Joshua Green). First, I don't know Green & don't hang in the "correspondents' circles". But s […]"

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1) New book thread: "The Devil's Bargain" (Joshua Green). First, I don't know Green & don't hang in the "correspondents' circles". But so far, his book--with a few egregious flaws--is the best book on the election outside our own.
2) The book mostly focuses on the role of Steve Bannon, but includes a lot of (as far as I have seen) previous info about Trump and the campaign.
3) Oops, correction, there is no "The" in the title, just "Devil's Bargain." OK

One of his first claims is that Kellyanne Conway was a leaker & it was clear when a reporter said "this person" or "this adviser" rather than "he."
4) Green correctly says (8) that even Bannon had "moments of doubt" but those mostly came when the inexperienced Trump team on election day saw the absentee/early votes posted & didn't realize early votes almost always went to Ds.

In a call to Trump Tower in the am, I explained.
5) Green (9) drifts too much into buying Bannon's "conspiratorial worldview" when in fact, as matters unfolded, Bannon & the rest of us were NOWHERE NEAR CORRECT about the real level of corruption with Cankles & the DemoKKKrats.
6) For the first time other than our book there is a reference of Trump's team of "data scientists" presenting a report "Five Days Out" that showed Trump could win.

More important it showed continued "hidden" Trump support.
7) Again the book is a GOOD one, but a major flaw (as, I'll admit, with "How Trump Won") is that it never identified or interviewed Brad Parscale, one of the FOUR key people to enable Trump to win (Conway, Bannon, Mercer being the other three).
8) On election day (11) Bannon told Kushner that the "numbers tell two different stories," one being that Trump was killing it, another that they'd lose in a landslide.

This completely reflects the phone call I got from Trump Tower at about 8:00 am.
Which set of data was right?
9) I told Team Trump, "Trust your numbers." (13) Despite exit polls, Trump's data people knew he had FL and OH.

10) Trump, unlike other candidates, had not prepared EITHER a concession or a victory speech.
11) Throughout election night Trump continually asked the right question about districts as votes came in: "How well did Obama do there?"

12) Chris Christie screwed himself out of a job. (15-16) He claimed to have talked with Zero who would call to congratulate Trump . . .
13) . . on HIS (Christie's) phone & Christie would hand it to Trump. DT did not want to use Christie's phone & said "you know my number." Translation: Zero can call ME personally, the little twerp.
14) Green says many in the Trump team were convinced late in the game that he would lose & were shopping their resumes.

15) The missing piece to Trump's victory, Green says, was Bannon.
16) Now, forget "Fire & Fury." Green makes a terrific case. It wasn't just BANNON who was involved but the three key elements Bannon brought with him: Rebekah Mercer, Breitbart, and Cambridge Analytica.
17) Steve Wynn & Trump were arch enemies as long as they were competing in the resort business. When a key deal ended with Wynn buying Mirage, ending his Atlantic City bid, the two became friends.
18) According to Green, Bossie played a small role, but his victory over McCain-Feingold made him a more important player.

19) The WHCD in 2012 where Zero personally slammed Trump so outraged Trump that he more or less decided right there he would be president.
20) Oops. Sorry, WHCD was 2011. Bossie & Roger Stone brought in Ann Coulter & Laura Ingraham, but most important was Bannon. Trump began attending conservative conferences with Bannon who "took Trump's presidential ambitions seriously more than anyone" not on Trump's payroll.
21) This is where I think Green is dead-on: Bannon "supplied Trump with a fully former, INTERNALLY COHERENT WORLDVIEW" that included immigration, trade, national defense.

I think this is important: Trump HAD all these elements, but they were not well integrated before Bannon.
22) And this is where Green is wrong (47), that Trump "was the fortunate beneficiary of an elaborate plot to discredit" Cankles.

Sorry, there was no "plot" & Cankles discredited herself every time she opened her mouth.
23) Green goes into a bio of Bannon. In the Navy he was NOT in "NAVALINT". He was on the USS Paul F. Foster then as a junior asst to the CNO.

The story of how he got a job at Goldman-Sachs is interesting, an accident. He developed a team of math guys--NO economists.
24) Working on deals to bail out movie companies he became a specialist in selling toxic movie assets. From there he produced a Sean Penn movie (a flop) & in a deal with Castle Rock/Westinghouse had to take residuals instead of a fee to make it work. The residuals were Seinfeld
25) Typical of Bannon, he moved quickly from one area to another, partnering with a talent agent to form The Firm w Leo DiCaprio & Ice Cube. Then he left to form a company that ran Warcraft gaming sites in Asia.
26) According to Green (82) this was key because Bannon got insight into young white males' buying and association patterns that would be used in the campaign. This would become a basis for Breitbart. He then was back in Hollywood producing low-budget ($1m) documentaries.
27) That led him to Andrew Breitbart. He produced "The Undefeated" about Sarah Palin, another flop for investors but Bannon himself always came out ok. (He had put $1m of his own in the movie)

Helping to finance and relaunch Breitbart News, Bannon heard Andrew had died.
28) Green shifts to Trump doing the "Apprentice," and notes that Trump had EXCEPTIONALLY high ratings across all demos. DT himself had a very high "Q" score among blacks & Hispanics (approval). Indeed his Q w blacks was 3 times HIGHER than with whites.
29) This is critically important because it shows that DT is NOT as far removed from attracting massive black/Hispanic support as the media thinks.

30) Green claims the birther attack drove down DT's black approval, Trump didn't care.
31) Green is wrong that DT was building a movement around "identity politics." Just the opposite: he saw that the DemoKKKrats were doing that & he pivoted the other way, NOT alienating whites.

32) After the 2011 WHCD, Trump began hitting conservatives websites & talk radio.
33) Bannon was hammering illegal immigration, which Trump perceived was "the" main issue. Green claims he stopped "talking to everyone" & began talking to conservatives. A couple of operatives tried to get him to run for NY Gov, but DT wanted something bigger.
I'll stop here for today, but some really good stuff in this book. I'll finish tomorrow.
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