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Brian Krassenstein @krassenstein
, 7 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter

This week @EdKrassen & I have been concentrating on the "brokerage of 19%" of the sale of Rosneft from the dossier. Today's Senate release of 1,500 documents and testimony related to the June 9 Trump Tower Meeting, seems to perhaps confirm this deal was discussed! (1)
Recall that the Steele Dossier claims that in exchange for the easing of sanctions, Russians would provide Trump and his people with the brokerage of a 19% stake in Rosneft. See Dossier snippet Below: (2)
Today's Senate Judiciary Committee release indicated that Paul Manafort had taken various notes during the June 9, 2016 meeting at Trump Tower. Note that he wrote down "133m shares". The notes can be viewed below. (3)
Now, we already know that the meeting was about the easing of sanctions, which the dossier alleged was part of the Rosneft deal, but there is more to this! Please try and stick with me while I do the math... (4)
There are 10.6 Billion shares of Rosneft outstanding. 19% of this, which is what the dossier claims was going to be sold (which we found out later went to the Qatari Investment fund who's manager Al-Rumaihi visited Trump Tower 5 months later) is 2.01 Billion shares... (5)
The typical brokerage rate for the sale of a Russian business is between 5-7.5% of the final sale.

5% of 2.01 Billion = 100 million
7.5% of 2.01 Billion = 150 million shares

So that means if 19% of Rosneft were to be sold, the broker would get between 100-150m shares (6)

That's the notes taken by Manafort. It's a number which would equate to exactly what the average brokerage commission on the sale of 19% of Rosneft would have been. These notes were taken at a meeting about easing sanctions! Exactly what the Dossier says! (7)
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