This is your absolute alpha dashboard for $GRAIL

@SmallCapScience shared this with me

If you plan correctly, you can know what weeks will likely have the most sell

pressure/dipshttps://dune.com/martin100x/camelot-grail-tokenomics

Stall from 21st Feb > rocket run 1st March 😅 Check this out, next 7 days.

Considering we doing HUUUUUGE volumes, not even worried, $34k a day on average of unlocks if sold, is pennies in a market trading $10m a day eh.

Also point to note, anything sold also boosts fees oioii

ok so the big ones...

🧵 A thought thread on the moon runway for $GRAIL

It's still full steam ahead absurdly, but is it so absurd?

The tokenomics are revealing what happens when big volume comes into the asset and accrues in Xgrail

It's all about xGrail and the mcap of Grail let me explain... We are closing in on the 2 $ETH target and heck the market cap is only $33m. Right now. Fuck that gets me excited 😂

But true market cap is $70m? when taking xgrail + grail into account

I have a new term for this "DDV" the dynamic diluted value, similar to FDV...

🧵 My thought train on $GRAIL the token that’s launching today on @CamelotDEX

This isn’t a shill, just my thoughts on possible pumpamentals and long term expectations for those who have entered the CFL

For those who haven’t DYOR and never ape blindly… Firstly the amount raised is $3.8M which is a pretty neat amount given we are in a bear market

I was personally hoping it would be lower coz I’m greedy and want more for my money 😂

Clearly shows a strong confident community within the arb ecosystem…

I’m fully bought into the “L2 wars” or the fact that the “multichain” thesis will most likely be an L2 multichain space built on $ETH

However apart from $MATIC I can’t see a good case yet for L2 tokens, gas is paid in $ETH

Matic is actually a side chain hence it’s utility/need The only thing $OP and $IMX is used for is basically bootstrapping

What happens in this case? Well it’s essentially a farm token so “it should” have a long term downtrend

If it’s not used for gas… where is the demand driver coming from? Other than MM manipulation?

🧵 Why the #Bitcoin standard can simply work, but the gold standard could not.

The gold standard meant that people could cash in their “dollar cheques” for gold but because of the money printer, there was never enough gold to back the fiat.

So eventually the gold standard ⬇️ Got dropped. The banks never and could never have large enough reserves to back their money.

However with #Bitcoin limited supply, decentralised and the fact it is digital makes it the perfect reserve asset class

@PeterSchiff once said if gold could be on the block, it could

Following my strategy I should be currently looking for over extended, gassed out assets for short opportunities

As $BTC looks oversold

However I am also looking to see if $BTC really wants to confirm a reversal and uptrend, have to be neutral, don’t want to be caught out… Few things I am looking for… only had 1 oversold point on the daily so far and two overbought (both HH’s)

To confirm reversal I want to see a HL that is in stoch “oversold” territory

Or if $BTC can hold the 7day ema and run with it, will be a short bull run…

🧵 The Basic Plan from here ❗️

Bear market, sideways chop, recovery run to ATH then the mother of all crashes… doesn’t matter which.

If you’re down or new, start prepping for the next cycle

$BTC dominance is on the ascent, the basics until we get to the next big bull run… Step 1. Start averaging into the market

Start with #Bitcoin it is the de-facto lowest risk asset, the reserve currency of the space & can be traded into the majority or cryptos

It is reclaiming market dominance > means it will do better than majority of the market next 6 months

Technical Analysis - so subjective and so many indicators

Anyone can find an indicator to go with their bias

The trick is to select only a handful of indicators you like and find most useful

Keep it basic, the more simple the better. Some of the ones I prefer: Besides the moving averages which aren’t brilliant but can sometimes be useful I like a combination of:
- Stochastic RSI
- RSI
- OBV
- VPVR

‼️Leveraged Loans ‼️

Simply beautiful when they go to plan, outright destructive when it goes totally wrong.

There is one simple rule to avoid disaster when using these loans, but I will share a few things to consider.

The first rule… If you take a loan for $20k with $80k backed collateral (25% LTV) you must ensure you actually already have $20k of stables

Why not just use your stables? Because you are taking a risk to potentially make more.

So rule No 1 = always have stables to cover the cost of loan ready

❗️❗️❗️ $BTC Dominance ❗️❗️❗️

Fully believe BTC dominance structure will dictate the market bottom OR the entrance into a sustained Bear market.

Said a week or two ago I expected BTC to dump for dominance to hit the resistance. It just happened.

This means... 1) The market bottom is in, or atleast the market bottom is dictated by the resitance against $BTC's dominance. BTC at $25k made the contact.
2) Flipping the resistance to support means breaking to the upside and creating a new structure... this would mean a sustained bear market