Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #概率

Most recents (1)

只要是靠预测交易就会导致你亏完,因为 #交易 的本质是个概率游戏。

这个预测包括但不限于天干地支、阴阳五行、求签问卦、macd擒龙法、均线金叉死叉法、布林中轨上轨法、缠论、波浪理论、道氏理论、图标交易、高频交易等...以上方法排名不分先后。
你这一笔下去赚钱了,不错,牛逼。

你能保证接下去的一万笔都能赚钱吗?

当你交易时间足够长,你会发现你的胜率就是50%左右,跟扔硬币差不多,这个结果叫大数定律。
交易赚钱靠的是盈亏比和资金管理。

前者可以让你小赔大赚,保证你能用抓到大行情的爆赚开张吃三年,用来弥补平常小行情对你资金的磨损。

后者可以保证在大数定律里极端情况的出现下(比如连续止损W次导致心态爆炸,满仓梭哈),你不会一把输光,被赶下赌桌,再无机会。
Read 11 tweets

Related hashtags

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!