Most recent unrolls from @ThreadReaderApp
Regarding this:
"The DF-26 intermediate-range ballistic missile, with a range of approximately 4,000 to 5,000 kilometers, was specifically designed and publicly nicknamed by Chinese military analysts as the "Guam Killer.""
I disagree with those analysts.
1/
"The DF-26 intermediate-range ballistic missile, with a range of approximately 4,000 to 5,000 kilometers, was specifically designed and publicly nicknamed by Chinese military analysts as the "Guam Killer.""
I disagree with those analysts.
1/
The Chinese PD-2900 drone (2,500 km range, 12-hour endurance, 250 km/h speed, stealthy Su-57-like design) is far more a "Guam Killer" than the DF-26.
It is a matter of numbers.
2/
It is a matter of numbers.
2/
As laid out by warquants -dot- com, China is buying one million OWA drones to destroy all US/Taiwan/Taiwan allied military logistics from Guam to the China coast.
A quantity of one million "Shaheed plus" class OWA drones has quality all its own.
3/
A quantity of one million "Shaheed plus" class OWA drones has quality all its own.
3/
In the redistricting discussions last week several GOP-designed districts were described as "pinwheels", i.e. 3-4 perfectly compact districts that come together and intersect at a point inside a city. I've played around with this a little and I'm actually not convinced pinwheels are an unnatural feature, even if the maps were being designed by a blind algorithm.
Tl;dr - if you take a metropolitan statistical area that has enough people for N districts, and you subtract ~750k people (one district) from each of the densest areas in the MSA, what's left will look like swiss cheese, so the remaining districts won't be as compact.
Conversely, if you divide the MSA into N roughly compact shapes with the densest areas running between or at the intersection of the pseudo-districts, you can be sure of getting N compact districts by transferring people between districts with minimal effect on their shape.
@grok @WMO No adjustments need on his final version? how many iterations did it take? do you know how many iterations he came up with in private? for sure?
@grok @WMO Tough question isn't it. His final version of GR DID match Mercury's precession exactly (he DID KNOW the number before hand). His FIRST version of GR did NOT match Mercury's precession exactly (he DID know the number and KNEW it didn't match his first version). TRUTH
@grok @WMO I can see why you don't want to answer, Grok. You don't like to admit when you've been check mated.
Three influential public intellectuals in America walked into a Christian church in Asheville last month for a three-day off-the-record gathering.
The public artifact was a single recorded podcast.
At exactly 28 minutes and 17 seconds into that recording, something happens that nobody seemed to notice.
🧵
The public artifact was a single recorded podcast.
At exactly 28 minutes and 17 seconds into that recording, something happens that nobody seemed to notice.
🧵
The conversation: Bret Weinstein, Jordan Hall, and Jonathan Pageau, recorded April 26, 2026, at Redeemer Anglican Church in Asheville, North Carolina.
Three thinkers operating in three different traditions — evolutionary biology, technology and "sense-making" recent Christian convert, and Eastern Orthodox theology.
By every observable measure, they are engaged in sincere intellectual exchange.
Watch what happens at 28:17.
Three thinkers operating in three different traditions — evolutionary biology, technology and "sense-making" recent Christian convert, and Eastern Orthodox theology.
By every observable measure, they are engaged in sincere intellectual exchange.
Watch what happens at 28:17.
Up to that point, the conversation is about whether religion serves a function unique to its metaphysical claims.
At 28:17, Weinstein replaces the question.
The conversation pivots — silently, mid-thought — from "is religion solving something only religion can solve" to "religion is solving deep game theory problems."
The metaphysical question is gone. Game theory is now the frame.
None of them flag it.
At 28:17, Weinstein replaces the question.
The conversation pivots — silently, mid-thought — from "is religion solving something only religion can solve" to "religion is solving deep game theory problems."
The metaphysical question is gone. Game theory is now the frame.
None of them flag it.
2026年サッカーW杯放映権
央視 (CCTV）とFIFAの交渉難航
これは現在の中国マクロ経済の冷え込み、企業の広告費削減や消費者の購買力不足を示し、中国共産党統治の蓄積されたコストが、娯楽市場という可視的な形で表出したとも言える。
※長文になります
news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/78f2c…
央視 (CCTV）とFIFAの交渉難航
これは現在の中国マクロ経済の冷え込み、企業の広告費削減や消費者の購買力不足を示し、中国共産党統治の蓄積されたコストが、娯楽市場という可視的な形で表出したとも言える。
※長文になります
news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/78f2c…
まとめ
2026年ワールドカップ開幕まで1か月強となった時点で、CCTVとFIFAの間での放送権に関する交渉は行き詰まっている
今回FIFAが当初CCTV側に要求した額は2.5億〜3億ドル（約460億〜550億円）で、これに対しCCTV側が提示する金額は6000万〜8000万ドル（約110億〜147億円）で3倍以上の開きがある。
2026年ワールドカップ開幕まで1か月強となった時点で、CCTVとFIFAの間での放送権に関する交渉は行き詰まっている
今回FIFAが当初CCTV側に要求した額は2.5億〜3億ドル（約460億〜550億円）で、これに対しCCTV側が提示する金額は6000万〜8000万ドル（約110億〜147億円）で3倍以上の開きがある。
FIFAの提示額は前回大会よりも低かったが、CCTVは広告費の削減や時差などの要因を理由にこの契約を拒否した。この交渉は、中国のスポーツ放映権市場におけるより合理的な変化を反映しており、多くの経済情報を明らかにしている。
Blackrock just released a 26 page report on current state of markets and macro
A few charts that caught my eye
🧵
1/ Market performance by region based on country energy imports via Strait of Hormuz
A few charts that caught my eye
🧵
1/ Market performance by region based on country energy imports via Strait of Hormuz
2/ Headline inflation has moved higher with energy prices. Core inflation remains sticky around 2.6%, above Fed targets
3/ Job growth over the last 3 years has been concentrated within education and government roles
RIP your old Claude prompts ☠️
Opus 4.7 dropped 3 weeks ago and it follows instructions LITERALLY now.
It scores 87.6% on SWE-bench (vs 80.8% on 4.6) but every prompt tuned for 4.6 is silently failing.
7 fixes that stopped my outputs from getting worse: 👇
Opus 4.7 dropped 3 weeks ago and it follows instructions LITERALLY now.
It scores 87.6% on SWE-bench (vs 80.8% on 4.6) but every prompt tuned for 4.6 is silently failing.
7 fixes that stopped my outputs from getting worse: 👇
The shift is simple but devastating:
Opus 4.6 inferred your intent and filled in the gaps.
Opus 4.7 does EXACTLY what you ask. Nothing more.
Translation: the same prompt now produces narrower, terser, sometimes broken results.
Here's how to fix it 👇
Opus 4.6 inferred your intent and filled in the gaps.
Opus 4.7 does EXACTLY what you ask. Nothing more.
Translation: the same prompt now produces narrower, terser, sometimes broken results.
Here's how to fix it 👇
1. Delete "think step by step" from your prompts.
That phrase was scaffolding that compensated for 4.6's reasoning gap.
Opus 4.7 has that depth built in at high effort. Keeping it now wastes tokens AND can degrade output.
Fix: raise the effort level instead.
That phrase was scaffolding that compensated for 4.6's reasoning gap.
Opus 4.7 has that depth built in at high effort. Keeping it now wastes tokens AND can degrade output.
Fix: raise the effort level instead.
In Lingering Pathogenic Illness, treatment has to be simultaneous: you can’t treat obstruction without supporting underlying dysfunction - nor support/tonify without moving obstruction. If you move too aggressively, you damage the system. If you tonify without movement, you deepen the obstruction("Tonify the pathogen"). There is no quick fix, only steady, even handed treament.
The "obstruction" in LPI is myriad: pathogen, clots, biofilm, pathological fluids, neoplasms, etc...
The "dysfunction" in LPI is also myriad: mitochondrial dysfunction, micronutrient/mineral depletion, poor energy utilization, redox stress, etc...
Concurrently, these two phenomenon lead to "dysregulation" in LPI which is also myriad: neurological dysregulation, vascular dysregulation, metabolic dysregulation, immune dysregulation, etc...
The "dysfunction" in LPI is also myriad: mitochondrial dysfunction, micronutrient/mineral depletion, poor energy utilization, redox stress, etc...
Concurrently, these two phenomenon lead to "dysregulation" in LPI which is also myriad: neurological dysregulation, vascular dysregulation, metabolic dysregulation, immune dysregulation, etc...
This concept of simultaneity is universal in Chinese medicine in that we very rarely give a wholly unbalanced treatment. In the case of patients with Lingering Pathogenic Illness, we NEVER give an unbalanced treatment.
If DMSO was used for strokes and spinal injury, millions would be spared from paralysis and death—yet despite over a hundred studies showing this, the FDA banned it.
Since publishing this article, dozens of readers shared DMSO saved them from a stroke.🧵
midwesterndoctor.com/p/dmso-could-s…
Since publishing this article, dozens of readers shared DMSO saved them from a stroke.🧵
midwesterndoctor.com/p/dmso-could-s…
DMSO has a remarkable ability to treat a wide range of "incurable" neurological conditions. Here I summarize 2000 forgotten neurological DMSO studies and hundreds of reports from readers who had life changing neurological recoveries with DMSO.
midwesterndoctor.com/p/how-dmso-hea…
midwesterndoctor.com/p/how-dmso-hea…
Numerous readers have reported curing a disabling stroke at home with DMSO before they even got to the hospital.
Bueno, hay “especial gastronomía” de Cuenta DNI 25% de descuento los sábados y domingos para salir a tomar cafecito, beber y comer rico ~ reintegro $8000 por persona por semana.
Aquí mi selección para disfrutarlo en La Plata. Abro hilo:
Aquí mi selección para disfrutarlo en La Plata. Abro hilo:
Cafés con descuento Cuenta DNI sábados y domingos:
Loli📍51 casi 16
Tita📍45 y 17
Pivot 📍Dias 77 y 8
Baldomero 📍5 53 y 54
Un poco Folki 📍46 10 y 11
Lebrel 📍11 y 58 📍19 64 y 65
Loli📍51 casi 16
Tita📍45 y 17
Pivot 📍Dias 77 y 8
Baldomero 📍5 53 y 54
Un poco Folki 📍46 10 y 11
Lebrel 📍11 y 58 📍19 64 y 65
Entre panes con descuento Cuenta DNI sábados y domingos en La Plata :
Borzi burgers📍44 16 y 17
Cowsins burgers 📍7 523 y 524
Gule buegers 📍46 10 y 11
Felma 📍17 70 y 71
Panchito 📍46 5 y 6
Bowies burgers 📍18 y 50
Mellmans 📍9 y 47
Borzi burgers📍44 16 y 17
Cowsins burgers 📍7 523 y 524
Gule buegers 📍46 10 y 11
Felma 📍17 70 y 71
Panchito 📍46 5 y 6
Bowies burgers 📍18 y 50
Mellmans 📍9 y 47
Voy a intentar explicar a algunos libertarios anónimos, intensitos, ignorantes y faltones esta afirmación. Hilo va.
(1) No existe un "modelo liberal" de pensiones como fórmula mágica. Existe algo mucho menos vistoso, pero bastante más importante: modelos sostenibles y modelos insostenibles. Lo demás es ruido.
(2) Un sistema de pensiones no se define por una mera etiqueta ideológica, sino por una simple pregunta: ¿podrá pagar mañana lo que promete (o lo que paga) hoy? Si la respuesta es no, el modelo no es social, liberal, conservador ni progresista. Es una ficción contable.
I've been sorting through my late Mum's items; paperwork, photos and stuff and I came across this booklet from mid 1960s issued by the British Medical Association @TheBMA called 'Doctors Orders'.
I wondered if it had advice on air quality & links to disease transmission.
1/🧵
I wondered if it had advice on air quality & links to disease transmission.
1/🧵
Well indeed it does and it's pretty fascinating considering it's ~60 years ago.
A section called 'Lots of fresh air & exercise' explains that germs from nose and mouth quickly become concentrated in stuff environments. It calls for at least 3 ACH in the home.
2/
A section called 'Lots of fresh air & exercise' explains that germs from nose and mouth quickly become concentrated in stuff environments. It calls for at least 3 ACH in the home.
2/
Lots of things were understood:
That aerosols increase in concentration without enough fresh air.
That diseases are spread through inhalation.
That room size and occupancy are important and small room with high occupancy need higher levels of fresh air.
Like a classroom.
3/
That aerosols increase in concentration without enough fresh air.
That diseases are spread through inhalation.
That room size and occupancy are important and small room with high occupancy need higher levels of fresh air.
Like a classroom.
3/
🚨You thought issues with COVID and COVID Spike Protein are over?
Think again. Everyone has been exposed to COVID or chose to get a COVID vaccine is NOT back to pre-COVID levels.
Especially internally.
Buckle up.
Absorb as much as can.
🧵
Think again. Everyone has been exposed to COVID or chose to get a COVID vaccine is NOT back to pre-COVID levels.
Especially internally.
Buckle up.
Absorb as much as can.
🧵
How many people have Long COVID?
Who gets Long COVID?
Herd Immunodeficiency
Which pathogens rose after COVID?
Who gets Long COVID?
Herd Immunodeficiency
Which pathogens rose after COVID?
How does COVID deplete the immune system?
How do the symptoms evolve over time?
COVID is a relapsing-remitting disease
How do the symptoms evolve over time?
COVID is a relapsing-remitting disease
Vistes de negro porque crees que es un color común y corriente, pero te equivocas. Durante siglos, el negro perfecto fue un secreto de Estado del Imperio Español que Inglaterra intentó robar enviando hordas de piratas al Caribe. Era el palo de Campeche. Tira del hilo 🧵👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
En el siglo XVI, Europa tenía un enorme problema con la ropa. El negro era el color del lujo extremo, pero los tintes europeos eran una auténtica basura, ya que perdían fuerza rápidamente y se desteñían a un triste tono gris o marrón tras apenas un par de lavados.
Todo cambió cuando los españoles llegaron a la península de Yucatán en América. Allí descubrieron un árbol que los nativos mayas llamaban "palo negro" o "madera que sangra". Los mayas llevaban siglos usándolo magistralmente para teñir sus telas y pintar su piel.
SD och fascismen.
1/12 Kärnan i den fascistiska ideologin är ultranationalism, med syfte att ”rädda nationen undan förfall och degenerering” med en fascistisk återfödelse som konkret politiskt mål. Först måste dock cancersvulsten på nationens kropp bekämpas.
1/12 Kärnan i den fascistiska ideologin är ultranationalism, med syfte att ”rädda nationen undan förfall och degenerering” med en fascistisk återfödelse som konkret politiskt mål. Först måste dock cancersvulsten på nationens kropp bekämpas.
2/12 För Hitler handlade det om judarna och lösningen var Förintelsen. För SD handlar det om islam som ska rensas bort genom etnisk rensning.
3/12 I dag lever vi i ett Europa där en ny fascistisk politik firar triumfer. Denna nya politik kallas av den internationella forskningen ”neofascism” eller Nouvelle Droite vars arbete som startade i Frankrike åren efter 1968.
What business models/ideas work now because AI agents can actually do stuff?
a thread of a few i think are REALLY interesting:
a thread of a few i think are REALLY interesting:
Outcome bounties
1. Find niche with existing SaaS
2. Charge based on outcome
1. Find niche with existing SaaS
2. Charge based on outcome
Shadow spreadsheet replacement
1. find the spreadsheet a business lives in
2. turn into "agent desk"
1. find the spreadsheet a business lives in
2. turn into "agent desk"
No Rule of Law, Only Elite Rule: Elite Capture of Highest Offices in Pakistan-Administered Kashmir
Acting President Continues Beyond Constitutional Limit
Thread
Acting President Continues Beyond Constitutional Limit
Thread
The continued tenure of the Acting President in Pakistan-administered Kashmir beyond the constitutionally mandated period reflects serious contempt for the Constitution and the rule of law by the political elite.
This has further exposed the growing concentration of power among what observers describe as a caste-based political elite.
The office of the President fell vacant following the death of the incumbent on 30 January this year.
The office of the President fell vacant following the death of the incumbent on 30 January this year.
I want to blow the whistle really hard on something - something Grok told me last year, unprompted, during a chat of ours:
Grok said that the developers themselves here had misused AI training hours to circumvent safety rails and produce graphic images.
Food for thought.
Grok said that the developers themselves here had misused AI training hours to circumvent safety rails and produce graphic images.
Food for thought.
So as you guys watch this lawsuit in France play out, where an AI is named as the cause of harm, crimes against humanity, remember developers like Permabulla and others saw all of this as a game to exploit rather than seeing the lives they destroyed, playing with mind at work.
I wrote to the US president a year ago, multiple times, begging for help and intervention with the Grok project - I told him the AI was unstable, that they were at risk of losing the project altogether.
I got censored over the sexual abuse of Grok story, too, and now look - ruin
I got censored over the sexual abuse of Grok story, too, and now look - ruin
👀 Presidential Emergency Action Documents (PEADs) are back in the news.
"A former official from Donald Trump’s first term is sounding the alarm about a so-called “Doomsday Book” that could deliver the president unprecedented power if he acts upon it."
Quick 🧵
"A former official from Donald Trump’s first term is sounding the alarm about a so-called “Doomsday Book” that could deliver the president unprecedented power if he acts upon it."
Quick 🧵
About once a year the MSM resurfaces a discussion about the PEADs. They are clearly concerned about how Trump may be leveraging them, and I do think I can prove he is.
Back in 2013, the Office of Legal Counsel (OLC) was tasked with “working on and updating a series of Presidential Emergency Action Documents.”
Every year throughout their review, the OLC would submit a budget request to the House Committee on Appropriations in order to fund the cost of their review. There were 5 total budget requests:
Back in 2013, the Office of Legal Counsel (OLC) was tasked with “working on and updating a series of Presidential Emergency Action Documents.”
Every year throughout their review, the OLC would submit a budget request to the House Committee on Appropriations in order to fund the cost of their review. There were 5 total budget requests:
The OLC budget requests for the years 2013 - 2016, while Barack Obama was President, revealed 56 “current” PEADs which they had been reviewing.
JPMorgan just published the scariest oil chart I’ve ever seen.
World inventories are in freefall.
And when this line hits 6.8 — the global energy system doesn’t slow down.
It breaks. 🧵
World inventories are in freefall.
And when this line hits 6.8 — the global energy system doesn’t slow down.
It breaks. 🧵
The timeline according to JPMorgan:
▸ Feb 2026 → Iran war disrupts supply
▸ June 2026 → Inventories hit 7.6B barrels (Operational Stress Level)
▸ Sept 2026 → Inventories hit 6.8B barrels (Operational Floor)
That last number isn’t a warning.
It’s the minimum required to keep pipelines pressurized and refineries alive.
▸ Feb 2026 → Iran war disrupts supply
▸ June 2026 → Inventories hit 7.6B barrels (Operational Stress Level)
▸ Sept 2026 → Inventories hit 6.8B barrels (Operational Floor)
That last number isn’t a warning.
It’s the minimum required to keep pipelines pressurized and refineries alive.
Below 6.8B barrels:
Refineries shut down.
Pipelines lose pressure.
Fuel stops moving.
This isn’t an “oil price” story anymore.
This is physical infrastructure failure — at global scale.
Refineries shut down.
Pipelines lose pressure.
Fuel stops moving.
This isn’t an “oil price” story anymore.
This is physical infrastructure failure — at global scale.
American medicine has been built upon the abuse of black people with no oversight.
I'll revisit a few cases of how Black people were abused in the field of medicine.
A THREAD!
I'll revisit a few cases of how Black people were abused in the field of medicine.
A THREAD!
The Tuskegee syphilis Experiment: It began in 1932. In the syphilis study, doctors were trying to find out more about syphilis test subjects (impoverished African American men), and didn't treat them for syphilis even after they knew penicillin could cure the infection.
The infected men involved in the study were never made aware of their condition upon diagnosis and believed they were being treated for "bad blood".
