Most recent unrolls from @ThreadReaderApp
Het is NIET mijn gewoonte collega schrijvers publiekelijk af te kraken, daar ik dat extreem #onprofessioneel vindt.
Doch, deze schrijver gaat ver. De tweet in deze post van mij toont 't al heel duidelijk aan.
Doch, deze schrijver gaat ver. De tweet in deze post van mij toont 't al heel duidelijk aan.
Als agnost heb ik geen enkel moment erkend noch ontkend dat God bestaat, daar ik dat gewoon niet weet. Kern-principe van agnosticisme. Hij blijft zagen dat ik 't bestaan van God wel zou erkennen omdat ik zijn claim dat God niet bestaat niet direct ondersteun.
Al waar hij zich op baseert is GEBREK AAN BEWIJS, wel, dat is nu precies het uitgangspunt waar hij faalt, want gebrek aan bewijs dat iets bestaat is geen bewijs dat iets niet bestaat. Hij denkt echter dat je niet kunt bewijzen dat iets niet zo is.
Some thoughts on the Bennett-Lapid partnership, which builds on the previous two times they formally or informally joined together politically (2013-15, and the previous coalition) and what it does and does not accomplish: 🧵
1. This is about dynamics within the opposition bloc, not dynamics between the opposition and the Bibi bloc. This won't convince anyone to change sides in more than negligible numbers. What it does is shore up Lapid, who has been steadily falling in polls dangerously close to the threshold, and give Bennett a developed party apparatus and nearly three times as much in public funding than he would otherwise have.
1. This is about dynamics within the opposition bloc, not dynamics between the opposition and the Bibi bloc. This won't convince anyone to change sides in more than negligible numbers. What it does is shore up Lapid, who has been steadily falling in polls dangerously close to the threshold, and give Bennett a developed party apparatus and nearly three times as much in public funding than he would otherwise have.
2. It signals just how little Palestinian issues matter as a political issue. Bennett saying that he will never cede one inch of land or move one inch on a Palestinian state is not Lapid's position, but it won't prevent this partnership. It won't prevent Yair Golan from joining with them in a coalition either. This is the main arena of disagreement between Bennett and the others in the camp for which he will presumably be the candidate for prime minister, and it won't even be an invisible barrier.
3. There is much speculation that Gadi Eisenkot will now formally join with Bennett and Lapid in a unified list. He may, but I think that would be a mistake. The only reason to do so would be because it convinces voters from the Bibi bloc to come over to the opposition bloc, and I don't see how Eisenkot joining with them in a single party does that. If you are worried that Lapid is too far left, Eisenkot is not going to convince you otherwise. If Eisenkot runs without them, however, that may allow more hawkish, conservative, and/or Mizrahi voters to vote for him, even while knowing that he will form a government with others you don't like. It's not the same as putting your slip in the ballot box for a party that has three figureheads with one whom you are wary of. Joining with them in one party doesn't provide obvious upside, but does provide potential downside.
For 2025, the societal cost of Long COVID and ME/CFS in Germany is estimated at €64.4 billion - about 1.44% of GDP.
For Czechia, this would roughly translate to around CZK 120 billion per year if we apply the same share of GDP - 1.44% of the Czech economy.
A simple population-based conversion would produce a higher number (200 billion), but that is an overestimate.
A simple population-based conversion would produce a higher number (200 billion), but that is an overestimate.
This should matter to you, @strakovka.
Because this is what poor public health policy costs. Ignoring prevention, ventilation, surveillance, post-COVID care, and the long-term damage caused by repeated infections.
Because this is what poor public health policy costs. Ignoring prevention, ventilation, surveillance, post-COVID care, and the long-term damage caused by repeated infections.
@Elysee @EmmanuelMacron Signalisation exclusivement en anglais ; tant pis pour LES cultures EuropéeenneS & leurs LANGUES et donc LES Peuples (encore insultés) .
Le français est la plus vieille langue vivante d'Europe .
Soit nous y parlons français soit on rétabli le latin .
1/n
Le français est la plus vieille langue vivante d'Europe .
Soit nous y parlons français soit on rétabli le latin .
1/n
@Elysee @EmmanuelMacron Tous des traitres au service de l'impérialisme anglosaxon !
Et ces vendus veulent le "retour" des British qui n'adhéreront pas à l'€uro, afin d'intégrer l'UE à leur empire du Commonwealth et/ou le faire financer : couteux & bâti en ayant trahi la France en Afrique.
2/n
Et ces vendus veulent le "retour" des British qui n'adhéreront pas à l'€uro, afin d'intégrer l'UE à leur empire du Commonwealth et/ou le faire financer : couteux & bâti en ayant trahi la France en Afrique.
2/n
@Elysee @EmmanuelMacron Mais c'est que Macron s'en fout lui, cet inculte méprise la Culture et la civilisation Française.
3/n
3/n
BREAKING ELECTION NEWS - VOTE PLAID, GET EXTREMISM
@TheGreenParty plan to be the puppet-masters in Wales 🏴
If no party gains an outright majority, a smaller party can hold @Plaid_Cymru to ransom, demanding they adopt more extreme policies in exchange for key votes.
AND THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT THE GREENS ARE BOASTING IN THEIR ELECTION LEAFLETS.
1/
@TheGreenParty plan to be the puppet-masters in Wales 🏴
If no party gains an outright majority, a smaller party can hold @Plaid_Cymru to ransom, demanding they adopt more extreme policies in exchange for key votes.
AND THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT THE GREENS ARE BOASTING IN THEIR ELECTION LEAFLETS.
1/
Plaid's policies on women's and girls' rights are dreadful - even their own leader @RhunapIorwerth
can only splutter and mumble when asked to defend them.
But those policies will not only be demanded by the Greens, they'll push Plaid even further.
2/
can only splutter and mumble when asked to defend them.
But those policies will not only be demanded by the Greens, they'll push Plaid even further.
2/
Of course we've seen this kind of political relationship before in Wales - Plaid have propped Labour up for decades, demanding they go further and faster, and Wales has suffered as a result.
But we also need to look to Scotland 🏴, where another nationalist party put itself under the thumb of the Greens, - to see how much worse it can get.
3/
But we also need to look to Scotland 🏴, where another nationalist party put itself under the thumb of the Greens, - to see how much worse it can get.
3/
On Friday afternoon, every member of the National Science Board received the same email.
It was sent by Mary Sprowls of the Presidential Personnel Office. It was one sentence long.
"On behalf of President Donald J. Trump, I am writing to inform you that your position as a member of the National Science Board is terminated, effective immediately."
Twenty-four scientists. One email. Effective immediately.
Here is what the National Science Board does.🧵
It was sent by Mary Sprowls of the Presidential Personnel Office. It was one sentence long.
"On behalf of President Donald J. Trump, I am writing to inform you that your position as a member of the National Science Board is terminated, effective immediately."
Twenty-four scientists. One email. Effective immediately.
Here is what the National Science Board does.🧵
Congress created it in 1950. It is the body that oversees the National Science Foundation. The Foundation funds about a quarter of all basic scientific research in America. The Board approves the big spending decisions. The Board sets the rules for grants. The Board reports to Congress and to the President on the state of American science.
Members serve six-year terms. Their terms are staggered on purpose. The design was meant to ensure the Board would always have experts whose service spanned across administrations. So that science policy would never depend on which party held the White House.
The Board is also required by law. It cannot be dissolved by an executive order. Only Congress can dissolve it.
Members serve six-year terms. Their terms are staggered on purpose. The design was meant to ensure the Board would always have experts whose service spanned across administrations. So that science policy would never depend on which party held the White House.
The Board is also required by law. It cannot be dissolved by an executive order. Only Congress can dissolve it.
The President fired the people on it anyway.
Here is what else has happened to American science under this administration.
Here is what else has happened to American science under this administration.
BJP's Vision for "Sonar Bangla" 🌅
The BJP’s 2026 manifesto isn't just a list of promises; it’s a roadmap to reclaim Bengal’s lost economic & cultural leadership. After decades of industrial stagnation, the focus is on a "Double Engine" model
🧵 (1/10)
The BJP’s 2026 manifesto isn't just a list of promises; it’s a roadmap to reclaim Bengal’s lost economic & cultural leadership. After decades of industrial stagnation, the focus is on a "Double Engine" model
🧵 (1/10)
Empowering the Household (The Welfare Pillar) 🏠
A key highlight is the promise of ₹3,000 monthly support for women & unemployed youth.This effectively doubles the current state doles,aims to provide immediate financial dignity while the party works on job creation
🧵(2/10)
A key highlight is the promise of ₹3,000 monthly support for women & unemployed youth.This effectively doubles the current state doles,aims to provide immediate financial dignity while the party works on job creation
🧵(2/10)
Justice for State Employees ⚖️
For years, WB’s government employees have highlighted the gap in Dearness Allowance (DA). The BJP has pledged the immediate implementation of the 7th Pay Commission and the clearance of all outstanding DA dues at par with central rates
🧵 (3/10)
For years, WB’s government employees have highlighted the gap in Dearness Allowance (DA). The BJP has pledged the immediate implementation of the 7th Pay Commission and the clearance of all outstanding DA dues at par with central rates
🧵 (3/10)
On Budanov’s desk sits notebook labeled “List of Assholes 2026.”
He is a Hero of Ukraine, former head of military intelligence, now head of the Presidential Office. Babel tells his story. 1/
He is a Hero of Ukraine, former head of military intelligence, now head of the Presidential Office. Babel tells his story. 1/
Born in Darnytsia, raised in an ordinary family. His father engineered parts for the Soviet space program at the Kyiv Radio Plant. He studied at a school with Jewish classes funded by the Jewish community. He learned Hebrew and still keeps ties with Ukraine’s chief rabbi. 2/
He dreamed of being a soldier from childhood — his grandfather told family legends about intelligence officers. He trained in Crimea every summer, hiking 30-40 km with a backpack and climbing cliffs. That passion would later save his life. 3/
Let's have a little reset today, because there's a lot of infighting and Monday Morning Quarterbacking going on.
Not everything Stearns has done has been bad.
Some of his moves I liked, but haven't worked out yet, though it's still early (like Williams).
🧵🧵
Not everything Stearns has done has been bad.
Some of his moves I liked, but haven't worked out yet, though it's still early (like Williams).
🧵🧵
Others were overpays but I thought were OK at the time, that a big market team could afford to make, but which worked out poorly (like Manaea and Montas). Those are also, generally, fine.
He's just gotten too many other things *very* wrong.
He's just gotten too many other things *very* wrong.
Nimmo for Semien was a disaster. Not because of sentiment, but because they traded a decent player for an older, worse who was owed nearly the same amount of money.
Bichette & Peralta were "win now" moves, but far far too expensive-- and players not good enough.
Bichette & Peralta were "win now" moves, but far far too expensive-- and players not good enough.
3 jours après une triple offensive du JNIM et du FLA contre l'armée malienne 🇲🇱 et l'Afrika Corps russe 🇷🇺, le point sur la situation :
Le Front de Libération de l'Azawad a levé ce matin son drapeau sur Kidal, marquant une retentissante victoire.
🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️
Le Front de Libération de l'Azawad a levé ce matin son drapeau sur Kidal, marquant une retentissante victoire.
🧵THREAD🧵1/24 ⬇️
Alors que les rebelles touaregs du Front de Libération de l'Azawad (FLA) levaient leur drapeau sur Kidal, russe de l'AC et une partie des maliens (FAMA) étaient escortés par le groupe terroriste JNIM (groupe de soutien à l'Islam et aux Musulmans) en dehors de la ville.
Le 14 novembre 2023, deux semaines après le départ de la MONUSCO de Kidal, les FAMA et Wagner aveint relancé la guerre contre les touareg (malgré les accords de paix d'Alger), s'emparant de la ville.
Depuis, les FAMA et Wagner maintenaient une série d'avant postes dans le nord.
Depuis, les FAMA et Wagner maintenaient une série d'avant postes dans le nord.
Probably the most common question I get from younger guys is “How would you do it all again if you were my age?”
I’ll do you one better. Here’s an extremely realistic gameplan to get from ~$0 to $1MM in 5 yrs
I’m going to assume that you have a W2, are roughly 22 and have limited capital coming out of college
We’re going to get you from $0 to $1MM in just 3 deals
I’ll do you one better. Here’s an extremely realistic gameplan to get from ~$0 to $1MM in 5 yrs
I’m going to assume that you have a W2, are roughly 22 and have limited capital coming out of college
We’re going to get you from $0 to $1MM in just 3 deals
// Deal 1 //
You’re broke and have no skills. Everyone was here at some point. You can either whine about it or you can get moving
Reason most people think making money is hard is that they focus on how hard the end goal is (making $1MM) instead of focusing on the first step of the process – gaining the knowledge necessary to start making money
This first deal doesn’t matter at all. The only reason it matters is to “get you in the game”. Once you buy a deal you start accruing market knowledge, you start accruing relationships (lender, investor, broker, etc) – you start to become “dangerous”
You obviously want it to be a good deal but it doesn’t need to be a *great* deal. Because the purpose isn’t to make money, it’s to gain knowledge/skills/relationships so you can make real money on future deals
So what does this mean in a practical sense?
Step 1: Figure out how much equity you either have yourself or can raise
I was literally dead broke for my first deal so was only able to put $2,500 of my own money in. I reached out to my entire network and was only able to gather ~$100k. That wasn’t enough to buy a triplex all cash in my market (which is what I was targeting)
So I reached out to friends who could possibly partner up in the deal. Meant splitting the profits but didn’t matter to me. Was going to do whatever it took. If I needed to take on 10 more partners, I would have. It wasn’t about the profit, it was about the skillset
I finally found a partner and using our combined networks, we were able to muster $200k, which allowed us to buy a triplex
I’m going to assume you can raise a similar amount, but if not, no problem. Whatever amount you can raise, you back into a deal of that size. If you truly can’t raise any money, start up a real estate social media account, share your thoughts/analysis, create a network and raise the money that way
Step 2: Finding the deal
- The market: You’re going to go into a market where deals sell for less than $150k/unit. Additionally, deals in the market should be selling for 6% cap rates at minimum otherwise you’re going to find it too difficult
- You’re going to search on Zillow/Redfin for duplexes, triplexes and quads (loopnet and crexi only really work for bigger properties)
- Open up excel. Make a list of every property listed in the market. Track the price per unit it’s listed for and note the price per unit it sells for. There should be 50+ properties on this list or you’re doing it wrong. Download any and all financial information that’s included in the listing. If there’s no information in the listing, call up the broker and get it from him. By the end of this process, you should know exactly what price per unit properties sell for in the market and exactly what cap rate they trade at. You’ll be looking to buy a property below the market price per unit and above the market cap rate (stabilized yield). Simple
- Market rents: Same thing. First use the mls/costar if you have access to it. If not, get comps from brokers (still have to vet them yourself). Worst case scenario, use Zillow/apartments.com for active comps. Put them all in excel, discard any outliers and take the average. You’ll still need to run the “market rent” for each new deal you look at as each property differs slightly, but this should get you close initially
- Expenses: Use the P&L information you now have. Line each individual P&L up next to each other in excel & for each individual line item, note the cost per unit, cost per square foot & the overall expense load as a percent of revenue. Now you’ve figured out both revenue & expenses. You now should be able to create a brand new P&L for new properties you look at from scratch
- Brokers: Every time you see a broker on a listing, you’re going to call him up, ask him a few questions about the deal, tell him your criteria & ask him to add you to his mailing list. You should start receiving “passive” deal flow to your inbox every morning. Should also set Zillow/redfin alerts for your criteria. You’ll probably have to look at over 100 deals before pulling the trigger
- Underwriting. You’re going to underwrite 3-5 deals a week minimum. You’re going to underwrite them based on their stabilized yield (if you don’t know what this is, search my tweets for it). You’re looking for a 200 bps+ spread between your stabilized yield & the market cap rate. The higher the stabilized yield, the better. The goal is to understand exactly what price per unit & stabilized yield you’d buy a property in this market for so you’re ready to pull the trigger when the time comes
Step 3: Pulling the trigger
Your “buy box” should already be established, only thing left to do is find a deal that fits it. You should be tracking the aggregation sites daily, have plenty of broker contacts at this point & have a lot of deal flow hitting your inbox
When you see a deal that fits your criteria, pull the trigger
Since this is your 1st deal, you may have a hard time getting a loan. Instead of whining about this (like most people do), you can:
1. Do the deal all cash
2. Use seller financing
3. Get a guarantor to hop on the loan
Doesn’t matter which one you use, just get the deal done. As quickly as possible
Deal 1 Summary: Depending on your access to capital, your first deal should be 1-5 units in the $200k to $500k range. The timeline should be quick (doesn’t take long to renovate 5 units or less) & the profit doesn’t matter as much so I’m not even going to bother listing it (obviously if you do raise money though, be honest about the return profile up front). The idea is to “get you in the game”
You’re broke and have no skills. Everyone was here at some point. You can either whine about it or you can get moving
Reason most people think making money is hard is that they focus on how hard the end goal is (making $1MM) instead of focusing on the first step of the process – gaining the knowledge necessary to start making money
This first deal doesn’t matter at all. The only reason it matters is to “get you in the game”. Once you buy a deal you start accruing market knowledge, you start accruing relationships (lender, investor, broker, etc) – you start to become “dangerous”
You obviously want it to be a good deal but it doesn’t need to be a *great* deal. Because the purpose isn’t to make money, it’s to gain knowledge/skills/relationships so you can make real money on future deals
So what does this mean in a practical sense?
Step 1: Figure out how much equity you either have yourself or can raise
I was literally dead broke for my first deal so was only able to put $2,500 of my own money in. I reached out to my entire network and was only able to gather ~$100k. That wasn’t enough to buy a triplex all cash in my market (which is what I was targeting)
So I reached out to friends who could possibly partner up in the deal. Meant splitting the profits but didn’t matter to me. Was going to do whatever it took. If I needed to take on 10 more partners, I would have. It wasn’t about the profit, it was about the skillset
I finally found a partner and using our combined networks, we were able to muster $200k, which allowed us to buy a triplex
I’m going to assume you can raise a similar amount, but if not, no problem. Whatever amount you can raise, you back into a deal of that size. If you truly can’t raise any money, start up a real estate social media account, share your thoughts/analysis, create a network and raise the money that way
Step 2: Finding the deal
- The market: You’re going to go into a market where deals sell for less than $150k/unit. Additionally, deals in the market should be selling for 6% cap rates at minimum otherwise you’re going to find it too difficult
- You’re going to search on Zillow/Redfin for duplexes, triplexes and quads (loopnet and crexi only really work for bigger properties)
- Open up excel. Make a list of every property listed in the market. Track the price per unit it’s listed for and note the price per unit it sells for. There should be 50+ properties on this list or you’re doing it wrong. Download any and all financial information that’s included in the listing. If there’s no information in the listing, call up the broker and get it from him. By the end of this process, you should know exactly what price per unit properties sell for in the market and exactly what cap rate they trade at. You’ll be looking to buy a property below the market price per unit and above the market cap rate (stabilized yield). Simple
- Market rents: Same thing. First use the mls/costar if you have access to it. If not, get comps from brokers (still have to vet them yourself). Worst case scenario, use Zillow/apartments.com for active comps. Put them all in excel, discard any outliers and take the average. You’ll still need to run the “market rent” for each new deal you look at as each property differs slightly, but this should get you close initially
- Expenses: Use the P&L information you now have. Line each individual P&L up next to each other in excel & for each individual line item, note the cost per unit, cost per square foot & the overall expense load as a percent of revenue. Now you’ve figured out both revenue & expenses. You now should be able to create a brand new P&L for new properties you look at from scratch
- Brokers: Every time you see a broker on a listing, you’re going to call him up, ask him a few questions about the deal, tell him your criteria & ask him to add you to his mailing list. You should start receiving “passive” deal flow to your inbox every morning. Should also set Zillow/redfin alerts for your criteria. You’ll probably have to look at over 100 deals before pulling the trigger
- Underwriting. You’re going to underwrite 3-5 deals a week minimum. You’re going to underwrite them based on their stabilized yield (if you don’t know what this is, search my tweets for it). You’re looking for a 200 bps+ spread between your stabilized yield & the market cap rate. The higher the stabilized yield, the better. The goal is to understand exactly what price per unit & stabilized yield you’d buy a property in this market for so you’re ready to pull the trigger when the time comes
Step 3: Pulling the trigger
Your “buy box” should already be established, only thing left to do is find a deal that fits it. You should be tracking the aggregation sites daily, have plenty of broker contacts at this point & have a lot of deal flow hitting your inbox
When you see a deal that fits your criteria, pull the trigger
Since this is your 1st deal, you may have a hard time getting a loan. Instead of whining about this (like most people do), you can:
1. Do the deal all cash
2. Use seller financing
3. Get a guarantor to hop on the loan
Doesn’t matter which one you use, just get the deal done. As quickly as possible
Deal 1 Summary: Depending on your access to capital, your first deal should be 1-5 units in the $200k to $500k range. The timeline should be quick (doesn’t take long to renovate 5 units or less) & the profit doesn’t matter as much so I’m not even going to bother listing it (obviously if you do raise money though, be honest about the return profile up front). The idea is to “get you in the game”
// Deal 2 //
While you’re stabilizing Deal 1, you should be working on Deal 2. It’s not hard to operate a sub 5-unit property so you’ll have plenty of time. Idea is to close Deal 2 ~18 months after closing Deal 1. This is a very realistic timeline (I know because I’ve done it)
Deal 2 is different. You’re no longer a beginner. This makes life a lot easier. You’ve already established your market, you know your buy box, you have lender relationships & broker relationships. The only thing that’s changing is the deal size, which should now be bigger
This is the big mistake people make. Instead of scaling up after Deal 1, they do a similar-sized deal. They stay in their comfort zone. This is the opposite of what you want to do. Instead, you want to treat the first deal as a stepping stone to larger deals
This next deal should be in the 10-20 unit range, $500k - $2.5MM size range. The timeline should be roughly 18 months and your personal profit should be $38k - $188k. Honestly think this is a low bar but we’ll go with it anyway (you can beat a 2x return on a deal this small)
So how will it work?
You’re going to buy another value-add multi deal using the same process laid out above. Stabilized yield 200bps+ above the market cap rate (gets you to roughly a 2x return) Let’s say you buy a $2.5MM deal. 75% debt, 25% equity. You don’t have to syndicate this deal but I’ll assume you’re still capital constrained & need to
$2.5MM * 25% = $625,000 total equity. I’ll assume you’re putting in 10% of the equity or $62,500
I’ll assume you’re able to 2x your equity in the deal over the course of 18 months (short timeframe again because of the low number of units), which is very doable for a deal in this size range. 2x means $625,000 in profit
Since you syndicated the deal (assuming a 30% promote), you’re entitled to 30% of the profits even though you only put in 10% of the equity
$625,000 profit * 30% = $188k. Not bad for 18 months of work
And you also obviously get your initial capital back, which gives you a decent chunk of change to invest in your next deal. But you’re just getting started
While you’re stabilizing Deal 1, you should be working on Deal 2. It’s not hard to operate a sub 5-unit property so you’ll have plenty of time. Idea is to close Deal 2 ~18 months after closing Deal 1. This is a very realistic timeline (I know because I’ve done it)
Deal 2 is different. You’re no longer a beginner. This makes life a lot easier. You’ve already established your market, you know your buy box, you have lender relationships & broker relationships. The only thing that’s changing is the deal size, which should now be bigger
This is the big mistake people make. Instead of scaling up after Deal 1, they do a similar-sized deal. They stay in their comfort zone. This is the opposite of what you want to do. Instead, you want to treat the first deal as a stepping stone to larger deals
This next deal should be in the 10-20 unit range, $500k - $2.5MM size range. The timeline should be roughly 18 months and your personal profit should be $38k - $188k. Honestly think this is a low bar but we’ll go with it anyway (you can beat a 2x return on a deal this small)
So how will it work?
You’re going to buy another value-add multi deal using the same process laid out above. Stabilized yield 200bps+ above the market cap rate (gets you to roughly a 2x return) Let’s say you buy a $2.5MM deal. 75% debt, 25% equity. You don’t have to syndicate this deal but I’ll assume you’re still capital constrained & need to
$2.5MM * 25% = $625,000 total equity. I’ll assume you’re putting in 10% of the equity or $62,500
I’ll assume you’re able to 2x your equity in the deal over the course of 18 months (short timeframe again because of the low number of units), which is very doable for a deal in this size range. 2x means $625,000 in profit
Since you syndicated the deal (assuming a 30% promote), you’re entitled to 30% of the profits even though you only put in 10% of the equity
$625,000 profit * 30% = $188k. Not bad for 18 months of work
And you also obviously get your initial capital back, which gives you a decent chunk of change to invest in your next deal. But you’re just getting started
Stubb: Russia gained under 1% of Ukrainian territory in 2025 at a cost of 400,000 killed or wounded.
At this pace, taking Donetsk could cost another 800,000. Militarily, this is failure. Putin’s goal remains all of Ukraine; only a threat to his regime may change that.
1/
At this pace, taking Donetsk could cost another 800,000. Militarily, this is failure. Putin’s goal remains all of Ukraine; only a threat to his regime may change that.
1/
Stubb: Putin’s war has been a strategic failure. He wanted to take Ukraine, but pushed it deeper into Europe and NATO.
He wanted to stop NATO expansion, but got Finland and Sweden instead. He wanted global power — yet Russia’s influence is fading from Syria to Iran.
2/
He wanted to stop NATO expansion, but got Finland and Sweden instead. He wanted global power — yet Russia’s influence is fading from Syria to Iran.
2/
Stubb: Air defense is changing fast as Ukraine reshapes warfare with drones and missiles. We need to diversify more.
And we’re reaching a point where Europe, the US, and Gulf states may need Ukraine’s military know-how more than Ukraine needs them.
3/
And we’re reaching a point where Europe, the US, and Gulf states may need Ukraine’s military know-how more than Ukraine needs them.
3/
@franceinfo Faudrait déjà arrêter d'appeler (surtout VOUS les médias !) cela des "Vélo ou VAE" alors que ce sont des cyclomoteurs : électriques ou thermiques, ça ne change rien, ils devraient être considérés comme -50cm3 : puisqu'il n'y a pas besoin de pédaler !
1/n
1/n
@franceinfo Un VRAI VAE, est un vélo (ave besoin de pédaler) apportant une assistance électrique . Ce n'est plus le cas de ces engins avec commande d'accélération au guidon (comme des cyclo/moto/scooters ... à moteur continu).
2/3
2/3
@franceinfo A cause de cela & des cons (Decathlon & autres revendeurs compris, abusant de l'appelation en jouant sur une faille juridique, existante à dessein !), les (vrais) cyclistes seront traités comme des 50cc : assurance, licence, plaque d'immatriculation…
3/3
3/3
Öffentliche Nettostromerzeugung in D. am gestrigen 26.04.26:
Gesamt 0,951 TWh
EE (Wind, PV, Biom., Wasser): 74,8%
Fossil (Kohle, Gas, Öl): 25,2%
CO₂: 192g/kWh
NettoEXPORT 2026 gesamt: 2,23 TWh von 156,1 TWh (1,4% der Erzeugung)
#Energiewende
1/5
Gesamt 0,951 TWh
EE (Wind, PV, Biom., Wasser): 74,8%
Fossil (Kohle, Gas, Öl): 25,2%
CO₂: 192g/kWh
NettoEXPORT 2026 gesamt: 2,23 TWh von 156,1 TWh (1,4% der Erzeugung)
#Energiewende
1/5
2/5
Während der obere Tweet die inländische #Stromerzeugung (0,951 TWh) zeigte, folgt hier die Zusammensetzung der inländischen #Bedarfsdeckung (0,999 TWh) Mit den Importen:
Eigenproduziert EE: 71,2% (vom Bedarf)
Eigenproduziert Fossil: 23,9%
Importe: 4,8% (netto)
Während der obere Tweet die inländische #Stromerzeugung (0,951 TWh) zeigte, folgt hier die Zusammensetzung der inländischen #Bedarfsdeckung (0,999 TWh) Mit den Importen:
Eigenproduziert EE: 71,2% (vom Bedarf)
Eigenproduziert Fossil: 23,9%
Importe: 4,8% (netto)
3/5
Unsere gestrigen Importe stammten aus:
Frankreich, Polen, Schweiz, Österreich, Norwegen & Dänemark.
Am gleichen Tag gingen Exporte nach:
Dänemark, Niederlande, Norwegen, Belgien & Luxemburg.
Unsere gestrigen Importe stammten aus:
Frankreich, Polen, Schweiz, Österreich, Norwegen & Dänemark.
Am gleichen Tag gingen Exporte nach:
Dänemark, Niederlande, Norwegen, Belgien & Luxemburg.
1/ Starving Russian soldiers in Ukraine have been eating their comrades and Ukrainians, according to intercepted Russian communications. Audio and photographic evidence indicates that several incidents of cannibalism likely occured in 2025. ⬇️
2/ The UK's Sunday Times newspaper has published evidence of what Ukrainian intelligence sources say were at least five instances where Russian soldiers were said by their fellow soldiers and commanders to have engaged in cannibalism.
3/ The evidence reportedly came to light from intercepted messages on Telegram, which has universally been used by the Russians for battlefield communications until it was recently blocked by the Russian government.
1/9
I am so sick of conspiracy theorists spinning everything into a new conspiracy theory.
The shooting at the WHCD was obviously real and totally organic.
False flags don’t happen anymore.
Sometimes security for an event with the President is lax. Sometimes they don’t fly drones over rooftops to check for hidden snipers. Sometimes they only post counter-snipers on roofs at campaign rallies on the exact days a hidden sniper shows up.
I am so sick of conspiracy theorists spinning everything into a new conspiracy theory.
The shooting at the WHCD was obviously real and totally organic.
False flags don’t happen anymore.
Sometimes security for an event with the President is lax. Sometimes they don’t fly drones over rooftops to check for hidden snipers. Sometimes they only post counter-snipers on roofs at campaign rallies on the exact days a hidden sniper shows up.
2/9
Just because there was a magician performing on stage at the WHCD as the shooting started doesn’t make this event part of a broader sleight-of-hand.
It’s not like the CIA once hired magicians to help put together a pamphlet called The Official CIA Manual of Trickery and Deception.
It’s not that deep, bro.
Just because there was a magician performing on stage at the WHCD as the shooting started doesn’t make this event part of a broader sleight-of-hand.
It’s not like the CIA once hired magicians to help put together a pamphlet called The Official CIA Manual of Trickery and Deception.
It’s not that deep, bro.
3/9
It’s insane to think this is all theater conducted by an ancient evil.
Just because Abraham Lincoln was shot in the head in a theater by one of the most well-known actors of that time doesn’t mean our nation is comprised of dark forces who fetishize power, symbolism, chaos, and violence. It doesn’t mean they’ve turned fame into idol worship. It doesn’t mean they can isolate, fund, and radicalize any sad lunatic. It doesn’t mean these so-called deep state types use violence to justify budgets and policies. It’s not like the CIA created Charles Manson. It’s not like the CIA was following Oswald.
The magic bullet is as real today as it was sixty years ago.
It’s insane to think this is all theater conducted by an ancient evil.
Just because Abraham Lincoln was shot in the head in a theater by one of the most well-known actors of that time doesn’t mean our nation is comprised of dark forces who fetishize power, symbolism, chaos, and violence. It doesn’t mean they’ve turned fame into idol worship. It doesn’t mean they can isolate, fund, and radicalize any sad lunatic. It doesn’t mean these so-called deep state types use violence to justify budgets and policies. It’s not like the CIA created Charles Manson. It’s not like the CIA was following Oswald.
The magic bullet is as real today as it was sixty years ago.
He predicted:
• AI vision breakthrough (1989)
• Neural network comeback (2006)
• Self-supervised learning revolution (2016)
Now Yann LeCun's 5 new predictions just convinced Zuckerberg to redirect Meta's entire $20B AI budget.
Here's what you should know (& how to prepare):
• AI vision breakthrough (1989)
• Neural network comeback (2006)
• Self-supervised learning revolution (2016)
Now Yann LeCun's 5 new predictions just convinced Zuckerberg to redirect Meta's entire $20B AI budget.
Here's what you should know (& how to prepare):
@ylecun is Meta's Chief AI Scientist and Turing Award winner.
For 35 years, he's been right about every major AI breakthrough when everyone else was wrong.
He championed neural networks during the "AI winter."
But his new predictions are his boldest yet...
For 35 years, he's been right about every major AI breakthrough when everyone else was wrong.
He championed neural networks during the "AI winter."
But his new predictions are his boldest yet...
1. "Nobody in their right mind will use autoregressive LLMs a few years from now."
The technology powering ChatGPT and GPT-4? Dead within years.
The problem isn't fixable with more data or compute. It's architectural.
Here's where it gets interesting...
The technology powering ChatGPT and GPT-4? Dead within years.
The problem isn't fixable with more data or compute. It's architectural.
Here's where it gets interesting...
The Malaccan Heat (Thread)
- Heatwave in India
- West Bengal elections
- US Iran war
- Rahul Gandhi's current visit of Nicobar
- A 16 year old incident
In this thread
They look different but how all these events are interconnected to each other
1-15
- Heatwave in India
- West Bengal elections
- US Iran war
- Rahul Gandhi's current visit of Nicobar
- A 16 year old incident
In this thread
They look different but how all these events are interconnected to each other
1-15
On 1st April
PIB issue a waring of IMD about upcoming heatwave in India but that time nobody spoke about it because everyone knows that April - June are hot months in India and every year temp remains between 40 - 50 degree in this season
PIB issue a waring of IMD about upcoming heatwave in India but that time nobody spoke about it because everyone knows that April - June are hot months in India and every year temp remains between 40 - 50 degree in this season
23rd April
Polling happens in first phase of elections for West Bengal
Record breaking 92% poling happens
And many observer say that this polling went in favour of BJP
Huge poling is also expected in second phase which is scheduled on 29th April
Polling happens in first phase of elections for West Bengal
Record breaking 92% poling happens
And many observer say that this polling went in favour of BJP
Huge poling is also expected in second phase which is scheduled on 29th April
@Boris25309876 @Sabisteb @SitSilver Wieso denke Ich bei Krebserkrankungen und Infektionskrankheiten nur an Kurt Blome?
@Boris25309876 @Sabisteb @SitSilver 1/ Ich finds gut das ihr beiden, Boris und Sabine euch mit dem Zeugs beschäftigt, schön das du Gerhardt das hier geliked hast. Ich versuche seit Jahren euch darafu aufmerksam zu machen, wie weit all dies zurückreicht und wie wenig die meisten tatsächlich wissen.
@Boris25309876 @Sabisteb @SitSilver 2/ du, @SitSilver hast gute Verbindungen zu Multipolar. Ich weiss nicht wie weit Paul Schreyer in die Geschichte zurückgeht. Denn diese ganze Scheiße ist sehr viel größer als viele denken wollen. Warum hat Tom Lausen, zu recht, nach der Installation von Holtherm gefragt?
1. A member of the U.S. Special Forces was just arrested for using classified info to turn a 400K profit on Polymarket.
The company is CELEBRATING this scandal as evidence that "the system works."
But Polymarket's story doesn't add up.
Let's dig in.
🧵
The company is CELEBRATING this scandal as evidence that "the system works."
But Polymarket's story doesn't add up.
Let's dig in.
🧵
2. Gannon Van Dyke, part of the Special Forces unit that captured former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, was indicted for misappropriating classified information to turn a 400K profit on Polymarket.
popular.info/p/polymarket-c…
popular.info/p/polymarket-c…
3. Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan posted: “We flagged this, referred it, and cooperated throughout the process.”
But indictment credits “reports of unusual trading" in "the press and on social media” with bringing scrutiny to Van Dyke's accounts.
Polymarket’s internal systems are not mentioned.
But indictment credits “reports of unusual trading" in "the press and on social media” with bringing scrutiny to Van Dyke's accounts.
Polymarket’s internal systems are not mentioned.
[THREAD 🧵]
Aperçu de l’enseignement de l’algèbre maintenu dans le cursus traditionnel sous la colonisation française au travers du sharh du savant de Constantine Ibn al-Muwaffaq al-Qusantini (m. 1940) de la Yasminiyya.
Aperçu de l’enseignement de l’algèbre maintenu dans le cursus traditionnel sous la colonisation française au travers du sharh du savant de Constantine Ibn al-Muwaffaq al-Qusantini (m. 1940) de la Yasminiyya.
Ibn al-Yassamini (m. 601 H / 1204 ap. J.-C.), savant de l’époque almohade, est l'auteur d’Al-Yassiminiyya, un poème qui fut l’un des supports d’enseignement de l’algèbre les plus répandus dans la tradition maghrébine. Son usage s'est poursuivi jusqu'au milieu du XXe siècle. En effet, Ibn al-Muwaffaq al-Qusantini, juge et enseignant à Constantine, l'a transmise à ses élèves jusqu'à sa mort. Il en a également rédigé un commentaire basé sur celui de Sibt al-Mardini (m. 912 H / 1506 ap. J.-C.). En voici une petite présentation :
L'algèbre tourne dans ses problèmes autour de trois types seulement, qui sont : le nombre absolu, la racine, et al-mal (carré de l'inconnue). Al-mal désigne le carré de la racine et son genre, dont il aborde la racine unique, une partie de la racine et ce qui s'ajoute à la racine. Et il en va de même pour le bien et le nombre.
L'auteur de la Yassiminiya a dit :
« L'algèbre repose sur trois : al-mal, les nombres, puis la racine. »
L'auteur de la Yassiminiya a dit :
« L'algèbre repose sur trois : al-mal, les nombres, puis la racine. »
