Most recent unrolls from @ThreadReaderApp
UN ANÁLISIS DE LA GUERRA DE UCRANIA DESDE UNA PERSPECTIVA PERONISTA - ACTUALIZACIÓN SEMANAL: 15 - 22/03/2026 - REACTIVACIÓN DEL FRENTE
Rusia busca derrotar a la OTAN en ucrania
Resúmenes anteriores:
Rusia busca derrotar a la OTAN en ucrania
Resúmenes anteriores:
Situación Operativa:
Esta semana parece haberse reactivado el frente con avances rusos en las frentes de Sumy, Lyman, Siversk y Dobropilla.
El Objetivo Operacional ruso es el aniquilamiento de las fuerzas ucranianas en Kramatorsk - Sloviansk concretando de esta manera la
Esta semana parece haberse reactivado el frente con avances rusos en las frentes de Sumy, Lyman, Siversk y Dobropilla.
El Objetivo Operacional ruso es el aniquilamiento de las fuerzas ucranianas en Kramatorsk - Sloviansk concretando de esta manera la
liberación de Dombas y cumpliendo una parte importante de la Directiva Estratégica de Putin del 24/02/22.
El Esfuerzo Operacional Principal es el Comando Operacional Sur que tendrá la tarea de aniquilar a las fuerzas ucranianas en Slaviansk - Kramatorsk, apoyado con dos Esfuerzos
El Esfuerzo Operacional Principal es el Comando Operacional Sur que tendrá la tarea de aniquilar a las fuerzas ucranianas en Slaviansk - Kramatorsk, apoyado con dos Esfuerzos
Earlier this week, I made a post that rightfully made some people upset.
After careful consideration, I decided to delete it.
I want to address it and explain. 🧵
After careful consideration, I decided to delete it.
I want to address it and explain. 🧵
This was the deleted post:
I took this post down for one reason:
I know that when I delete a post and share a serious- looking statement, people pay attention, and I wanted you to know that i have a bill to abolish super PACs.
But it did make people upset.
I know that when I delete a post and share a serious- looking statement, people pay attention, and I wanted you to know that i have a bill to abolish super PACs.
But it did make people upset.
Oddsjam is shilling an "Insiders Tool" for $500/mth
They have me blocked, so here's how to build the tool for free. Just copy/paste the prompt: 👇
They have me blocked, so here's how to build the tool for free. Just copy/paste the prompt: 👇
I build out tools like this for @GetBettorOdds to help users find value or poke with new ideas
Goal is simple: Build dope shit
Below is how to build.. or join BO & I'll build new tools for you monthly @ no added cost
Ok, the simple prompt to get your own **INSIDER KNOWLEDGE**
Goal is simple: Build dope shit
Below is how to build.. or join BO & I'll build new tools for you monthly @ no added cost
Ok, the simple prompt to get your own **INSIDER KNOWLEDGE**
Paste to Claude: Build a Polymarket Winning Wallet Tracker
Stack: Python backend (FastAPI + SQLite), single index.html Tailwind CSS frontend (via CDN)
What it does:
Wallet Discovery — Pull top-performing wallets from Polymarket's public APIs (CLOB API + Gamma Markets API). Identify wallets by profit/ROI over trailing 7d/30d/all-time.
Wallet Tracking — Monitor tracked wallets' open positions, recent trades, and P&L in real-time via Polymarket's Polygon-based APIs.
Market Data — Pull active markets, current prices, volume, and liquidity from the CLOB/Gamma APIs.
Wallet Alerts — Tag/follow specific wallets you want to watch. When a tagged wallet places a new bet, surface it immediately in the UI (highlighted alert feed at the top of the dashboard). The core goal: see when winning bettors place bets in real-time so you can tail them.
Real-Time Visualization — Frontend dashboard showing:Live alert feed of new bets from tagged wallets (most recent first)
Leaderboard of top wallets (sortable by ROI, profit, win rate)
Per-wallet detail view (open positions, trade history, P&L curve)
Market heatmap or grid of active markets with prices
Ability to tag/untag wallets directly from the leaderboard or detail view
Live updates via polling
Key Polymarket APIs to use:
CLOB API (clob.polymarket.com) — order book, prices, trades
Gamma Markets API (gamma-api.polymarket.com) — market metadata, resolution
Polygon/on-chain data for wallet positions and trade history
No external paid APIs — everything from Polymarket's public endpoints and on-chain data.
Requirements:
FastAPI backend with SQLite for caching/persistence
Single index.html frontend using Tailwind CSS via CDN
All content inline in one HTML file (no external JS/CSS files)
Mobile-responsive design
Polling-based live updates (configurable interval)
Clean project structure: backend/ and frontend/ directories
Stack: Python backend (FastAPI + SQLite), single index.html Tailwind CSS frontend (via CDN)
What it does:
Wallet Discovery — Pull top-performing wallets from Polymarket's public APIs (CLOB API + Gamma Markets API). Identify wallets by profit/ROI over trailing 7d/30d/all-time.
Wallet Tracking — Monitor tracked wallets' open positions, recent trades, and P&L in real-time via Polymarket's Polygon-based APIs.
Market Data — Pull active markets, current prices, volume, and liquidity from the CLOB/Gamma APIs.
Wallet Alerts — Tag/follow specific wallets you want to watch. When a tagged wallet places a new bet, surface it immediately in the UI (highlighted alert feed at the top of the dashboard). The core goal: see when winning bettors place bets in real-time so you can tail them.
Real-Time Visualization — Frontend dashboard showing:Live alert feed of new bets from tagged wallets (most recent first)
Leaderboard of top wallets (sortable by ROI, profit, win rate)
Per-wallet detail view (open positions, trade history, P&L curve)
Market heatmap or grid of active markets with prices
Ability to tag/untag wallets directly from the leaderboard or detail view
Live updates via polling
Key Polymarket APIs to use:
CLOB API (clob.polymarket.com) — order book, prices, trades
Gamma Markets API (gamma-api.polymarket.com) — market metadata, resolution
Polygon/on-chain data for wallet positions and trade history
No external paid APIs — everything from Polymarket's public endpoints and on-chain data.
Requirements:
FastAPI backend with SQLite for caching/persistence
Single index.html frontend using Tailwind CSS via CDN
All content inline in one HTML file (no external JS/CSS files)
Mobile-responsive design
Polling-based live updates (configurable interval)
Clean project structure: backend/ and frontend/ directories
An interesting new review proposes that Long COVID is not just about what keeps the immune system on, but also about what fails to turn it off🧵
This review proposes a striking model for Long COVID. A self sustaining loop in which lingering danger signals keep innate immunity activated, tissue injury generates new inflammatory cues, and the normal transition from inflammation to repair never fully happens.
1. After the acute infection is over, the body may still be exposed to signals that look dangerous to the innate immune system. These could include leftover SARS2 material, reactivated latent viruses, microbial products leaking across damaged mucosal barriers like the gut or nasopharynx, distress signals released by injured tissues themselves.
Quick point of order: MAGA Republicans define themselves thusly because they are Trump-first voters. So they’ll back him no matter what he does. So him getting nearly 100% support from that group is preordained. They’ve self identified as people who will back Trump on anything.
That group can’t, alone, win elections anywhere remotely competitive. They can often win GOP primaries. Which is why Trump’s endorsement is so important. But in swingy statewide and national elections you need a lot of independents and Rep-leaners. It’s those voters who are
Influenced by the vibes and podcasters and empty promises of “no wars” and “lowering grocery prices on day one.” They’ll vote for whichever person they think is going to improve their material well-being and otherwise improve their lives. Trump is losing those people and so will
Private equity sold low vol and portfolio diversification for a decade. That was volatility laundering. No mark-to-market doesn't mean no losses. It means no discovery until it's too late. And it's getting late.
Bitcoin grows in stature as the facade of the fiat fractional-reserve credit system limps from one crisis to the next. 🧵
Bitcoin grows in stature as the facade of the fiat fractional-reserve credit system limps from one crisis to the next. 🧵
The liquidity complex is showing stress. MOVE index spiking. DXY at the 100.50 tripwire. Credit conditions are tightening in PE and AI-exposed sectors. Inflation expectations are now meaningfully elevated. The macro plumbing is not constructive.
Equity markets were slow to work it out. However, RSI divergences formed across major indices this year— price making higher highs while momentum rolls over. Classic late-cycle topping structure. The market is pricing a soft landing. The credit market is not.
I uncovered a coordinated foreign Information Operation here on X. This is a 16 page thread that gets juicier the further you read. 🧵 Buckle up as we learn how Iran, Russia, China and Turkey are subverting the West on social media. CC: @nikitabier THREAD 🧵
Red flags:
Location: “West Asia”
Date Joined: Sep25, very recent
Username Changes: 2 already
CC: @nikitabier
Location: “West Asia”
Date Joined: Sep25, very recent
Username Changes: 2 already
CC: @nikitabier
This “West Asia” account only follows one account, the official China MFA... CC: @nikitabier
1).
„ @IsraeliPM Benjamin @netanyahu and his son Yair joined leaders of Europeʼs far-right parties at a Conservative Political Action Committee event in Hungary on Sat.,
„ @IsraeliPM Benjamin @netanyahu and his son Yair joined leaders of Europeʼs far-right parties at a Conservative Political Action Committee event in Hungary on Sat.,
2).
rallying behind @PM_ViktorOrban at the U.S.-led gathering in Budapest ahead of his uphill battle in next month's Hungarian elections.
[...]
One of the last keynote speeches was given by the leader of the far-right @AfD party, @Alice_Weidel.”
March 22, 2026
rallying behind @PM_ViktorOrban at the U.S.-led gathering in Budapest ahead of his uphill battle in next month's Hungarian elections.
[...]
One of the last keynote speeches was given by the leader of the far-right @AfD party, @Alice_Weidel.”
March 22, 2026
3).
@haaretzcom (@Haaretz) archive.is/20260322202831…
@haaretzcom (@Haaretz) archive.is/20260322202831…
1 Ibn Taymiyya's Theory of Language~
🧵
His ToL is inseparable from his broader epistemology. Meaning (ma'na) is not an abstract universal subsisting independently, but arises through usage (isti'mal), intention (qasd), and shared convention (urf).
🧵
His ToL is inseparable from his broader epistemology. Meaning (ma'na) is not an abstract universal subsisting independently, but arises through usage (isti'mal), intention (qasd), and shared convention (urf).
2 He rejects the reification of meanings outside lived linguistic practice. Against the logicians influenced by Aristotle and later Islamic Peripatetics like Ibn Sina, Ibn Taymiyya denies that words signify fixed essences via necessary correspondences.
3 Instead, signification is contingent, historically embedded, and grounded in communal habit, not ontological necessity. In his critique of Aristotelian logic, he rejects the tripartite division (lafz–ma'na–shay') as overly rigid.
1).
„In Nov., officers from the same unit were documented, fatally shooting two Palestinians in the West Bank city of Jenin after they had surrendered.
„In Nov., officers from the same unit were documented, fatally shooting two Palestinians in the West Bank city of Jenin after they had surrendered.
2).
Footage showed the two exiting a house in the Jabal Abu Dhiya neighborhood with their hands raised. After the officers detained them and ordered them to lie on the ground at the entrance to the building, they shot them at close range [1].
Footage showed the two exiting a house in the Jabal Abu Dhiya neighborhood with their hands raised. After the officers detained them and ordered them to lie on the ground at the entrance to the building, they shot them at close range [1].
3).
The following day, far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir announced he would promote the unit's commander. Unlike the current case, in that November incident, the officers were summoned for questioning on the same day of the shooting.”
March 22, 2026
The following day, far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir announced he would promote the unit's commander. Unlike the current case, in that November incident, the officers were summoned for questioning on the same day of the shooting.”
March 22, 2026
Lista obserwowanych TGA • Rajdowcy pod Clarity Act
Wraz z uzupełnieniem TGA i prognozowaną na kwiecień podwyżką stóp w Japonii, pierwsze tygodnie drugiego kwartału przyniosą obniżone ceny przed istotną zmianą regulacyjną związaną z ustawą Clarity Act.
Wraz z uzupełnieniem TGA i prognozowaną na kwiecień podwyżką stóp w Japonii, pierwsze tygodnie drugiego kwartału przyniosą obniżone ceny przed istotną zmianą regulacyjną związaną z ustawą Clarity Act.
Ze względu na to, że regulacje dotyczące kryptowalut koncentrują się na stablecoinach, sektor ten jest głównym celem, obok wybranych protokołów DeFi i agentów AI ze zintegrowanymi funkcjami portfela.
Na wykresie pojawiają się silne sygnały odwrócenia trendu. Centrifuge wprowadza tokenizację RWA w łańcuchu bloków, a dzięki wsparciu Clarity Act projekt jest na dobrej drodze do znacznego wzrostu.
Você provavelmente já viu essa marca de leite no supermercado.
O que você não sabia é que a produção fica no Oeste da Bahia, em uma cidade de 9 mil habitantes, e foi criada por um neozelandês.
(Segue 🧵...)
O que você não sabia é que a produção fica no Oeste da Bahia, em uma cidade de 9 mil habitantes, e foi criada por um neozelandês.
(Segue 🧵...)
Tudo começou no ano 2000, quando David e Simon Wallace, pai e filho, produtores de leite na Nova Zelândia, vieram ao Brasil em busca de genética adaptada ao clima tropical.
Eles viajaram por todo o país. Rodaram mais de 150 mil quilômetros.
E concluíram que o Brasil tinha condições ideais para produzir leite da forma que imaginaram.
Eles viajaram por todo o país. Rodaram mais de 150 mil quilômetros.
E concluíram que o Brasil tinha condições ideais para produzir leite da forma que imaginaram.
Depois de 2 anos de busca, a escolha foi por terras em Jaborandi, uma cidade com apenas 9 mil habitantes no sudoeste da Bahia, perto da divisa com Goiás.
Ali, fundaram a Fazenda Leite Verde, que depois viria a se chamar Leitíssimo.
Ali, fundaram a Fazenda Leite Verde, que depois viria a se chamar Leitíssimo.
How to deal with someone who is committed to misunderstanding you:
Emotionally difficult people are fulfilled by getting someone else emotionally activated. They want your reaction. Good or bad, it feeds their deep longing for connection.
They escalate situations quickly or assume things you don't mean. Your heart might start racing. You go on the defensive. You over-explain.
You're caught in their emotional vortex.
You're caught in their emotional vortex.
Lazarus, the friend of Jesus, is stone-cold, four-days dead. And Jesus, with a word, . . . brings him back to embodied life.
We probably have heard sermons parsing out the details: 🧵
We probably have heard sermons parsing out the details: 🧵
Jesus was a short journey away, He intentionally waits—despite his love for Lazarus & his sisters—He comes to Bethany too late. Lazarus’ disease has so overtaken him that he is sealed up in death, shut off from his family, from his community, and from his life. 2/
As I consider the imagery of the tomb, I don’t have to wonder very long to recognize the graves in my own soul. I know them well, these dead places I’ve long sealed off to keep the odor of decay at bay.
“Take away the stone,” Jesus says to the bystanders. 3/
“Take away the stone,” Jesus says to the bystanders. 3/
#1-1 Destruir la flota Iraní, cosa que lograron, pero ese objetivo no asegura el control de Ormuz que para pesar de Palmito @glafferriere que nos decía que era imposible cerrarlo esta cerrado y el precio del petróleo disparado
(cosa que palmito también decía que no iba a ocurrir) y la producción de fertilizantes colapsada. Acá este señor, un tal John Mearsheimer, que parece que sabe lo explica
Le mois de mars 2026 pourrait être le pire mois de progression russe 🇷🇺 en Ukraine 🇺🇦 depuis le printemps 2024.
L'accélération promise par beaucoup d'analystes depuis 3 ans n'a toujours pas eu lieu et l'armée ukrainienne tient sans l'aide américaine.
🧵THREAD🧵1/22 ⬇️
L'accélération promise par beaucoup d'analystes depuis 3 ans n'a toujours pas eu lieu et l'armée ukrainienne tient sans l'aide américaine.
🧵THREAD🧵1/22 ⬇️
Alors que le lancement des offensives de printemps de l'armée russe se fait attendre (Ocheretyne au printemps 2024 et la route Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka en 2025), l'armée russe ne montre aucun signe d'une accélération de sa progression.
Source des données : @Pouletvolant3 ⬇️
Source des données : @Pouletvolant3 ⬇️
La Russie 🇷🇺 occupe :
🔹19.5% du territoire ukrainien (contre 18.12% en janvier 2023)
🔸100% de la Crimée
🔸99.67% de l’oblast de Louhansk (98.39%)
🔸79.48% de l’oblast de Donetsk (57.16%)
🔸75.45% de l'oblast de Zaporijjia (72.52%)
🔸72.11% de l’oblast de Kherson (72.08%)
🔹19.5% du territoire ukrainien (contre 18.12% en janvier 2023)
🔸100% de la Crimée
🔸99.67% de l’oblast de Louhansk (98.39%)
🔸79.48% de l’oblast de Donetsk (57.16%)
🔸75.45% de l'oblast de Zaporijjia (72.52%)
🔸72.11% de l’oblast de Kherson (72.08%)
1).
„Ali Larijani, Iran’s top security official, strolled confidently in dark sunglasses and a black coat Friday through a rally of regime loyalists in central Tehran. It was his first public appearance in a war in which he was a known target.
„Ali Larijani, Iran’s top security official, strolled confidently in dark sunglasses and a black coat Friday through a rally of regime loyalists in central Tehran. It was his first public appearance in a war in which he was a known target.
2).
– »Brave people. Brave officials. Brave leaders. This combination cannot be defeated« – he wrote later on X.
– »Brave people. Brave officials. Brave leaders. This combination cannot be defeated« – he wrote later on X.
3).
Four days later, he was dead. Early Tuesday morning, Israel’s intelligence services found Larijani gathered with other officials at a hideout on the outskirts of Tehran and killed him with a missile strike.
Four days later, he was dead. Early Tuesday morning, Israel’s intelligence services found Larijani gathered with other officials at a hideout on the outskirts of Tehran and killed him with a missile strike.
A troubling interaction with a so-called protector of the survivor community (meaning MK-Ultra survivors) leads me to share this thread about the importance of independent thinking. It is based on Q. (🧵) /1
As new truths come to light, new people will try to assert authority by claiming superior knowledge.
To avoid becoming "sheep" all over again, individuals must rely on their own discernment.
The goal is to avoid trading one set of "masters" for another.
/2
To avoid becoming "sheep" all over again, individuals must rely on their own discernment.
The goal is to avoid trading one set of "masters" for another.
/2
True freedom is found in your own ability to verify facts, not in following a new "leader" who claims to have the “inside track.”
/3
/3
🟥 UPDATE NUMBER TWO | 22 MARCH 2026
🔳 Sources: journalists on the ground
🟥 GAZA
🔳 Powerful explosions were heard across Gaza City as israeli strikes intensified into the evening
▪️A residential apartment near Taj Mall on Yarmouk Street was directly targeted causing injuries including children and significant structural damage
▪️Medical sources confirmed at least 3 injuries transferred to Al Shifa Medical Complex as fire spread inside the apartment following the strike
🔳 The continued targeting of residential buildings marks a clear escalation and breach of the ceasefire with civilians once again at the centre of the bombardment
▪️Footage from the scene shows civilians being carried from the building as smoke and flames filled the area
🔳 Earlier in Al Nuseirat camp israeli forces carried out a direct strike on a police vehicle while it was on duty resulting in the killing of three officers
▪️Captain Ali Abu Rabee First Lieutenant Ahmed Hamdan and Assistant Ahmed Tabasha were killed in the attack alongside multiple injuries
▪️Scenes from the aftermath show the completely destroyed vehicle as well as funeral processions taking place across Gaza
🔳 Two Palestinians including a child were injured by israeli gunfire in Beit Lahia in the north while naval forces targeted fishing boats off Khan Younis
▪️The targeting of both civilians and livelihoods continues to deepen the humanitarian crisis across the Strip
🔳 Despite the bombardment scenes from displacement camps show a young girl teaching children using a makeshift board
▪️Even under fire Gaza continues to produce moments of resilience amid destruction
🔳 Sources: journalists on the ground
🟥 GAZA
🔳 Powerful explosions were heard across Gaza City as israeli strikes intensified into the evening
▪️A residential apartment near Taj Mall on Yarmouk Street was directly targeted causing injuries including children and significant structural damage
▪️Medical sources confirmed at least 3 injuries transferred to Al Shifa Medical Complex as fire spread inside the apartment following the strike
🔳 The continued targeting of residential buildings marks a clear escalation and breach of the ceasefire with civilians once again at the centre of the bombardment
▪️Footage from the scene shows civilians being carried from the building as smoke and flames filled the area
🔳 Earlier in Al Nuseirat camp israeli forces carried out a direct strike on a police vehicle while it was on duty resulting in the killing of three officers
▪️Captain Ali Abu Rabee First Lieutenant Ahmed Hamdan and Assistant Ahmed Tabasha were killed in the attack alongside multiple injuries
▪️Scenes from the aftermath show the completely destroyed vehicle as well as funeral processions taking place across Gaza
🔳 Two Palestinians including a child were injured by israeli gunfire in Beit Lahia in the north while naval forces targeted fishing boats off Khan Younis
▪️The targeting of both civilians and livelihoods continues to deepen the humanitarian crisis across the Strip
🔳 Despite the bombardment scenes from displacement camps show a young girl teaching children using a makeshift board
▪️Even under fire Gaza continues to produce moments of resilience amid destruction
Cont…
Cont…
🚨 Do you understand what's happening to Big Tech right now..
the five biggest tech companies on earth are spending 94% of their operating cash flow on AI infrastructure.. ninety four percent..
> Amazon is projected to go negative free cash flow this year.. as much as $28 billion in the red..
> Alphabet's free cash flow is expected to collapse 90%.. from $73 billion to $8 billion..
> the Big Five raised $121 billion in bonds in 2025 alone..
> Morgan Stanley projects $1.5 trillion in tech debt over the coming years..
for the first time in history.. hyperscalers hold more debt than cash..
and what are they getting for all of this..
$650 billion spent on AI infrastructure.. generating $35 billion in AI revenue.. that's 5 cents back for every dollar spent..
these companies used to be the greatest cash machines ever built.. now they're borrowing money to keep the data center lights on..
I'd say they're not investing in AI.. they're gambling on it.. with your pension fund, your 401k, and your job..
and if the bet doesn't pay off.. they don't go broke.. you do..
the five biggest tech companies on earth are spending 94% of their operating cash flow on AI infrastructure.. ninety four percent..
> Amazon is projected to go negative free cash flow this year.. as much as $28 billion in the red..
> Alphabet's free cash flow is expected to collapse 90%.. from $73 billion to $8 billion..
> the Big Five raised $121 billion in bonds in 2025 alone..
> Morgan Stanley projects $1.5 trillion in tech debt over the coming years..
for the first time in history.. hyperscalers hold more debt than cash..
and what are they getting for all of this..
$650 billion spent on AI infrastructure.. generating $35 billion in AI revenue.. that's 5 cents back for every dollar spent..
these companies used to be the greatest cash machines ever built.. now they're borrowing money to keep the data center lights on..
I'd say they're not investing in AI.. they're gambling on it.. with your pension fund, your 401k, and your job..
and if the bet doesn't pay off.. they don't go broke.. you do..