Most recent unrolls from @ThreadReaderApp

May 21
🧵YES. It is. I debunk this ridiculous piece in this thread.
1/ the lie (from the usual source): Image
2/ He conflates freshwater with potable water to get at his stat and leaves out gas turbine cooling in order to decrease the amount of water most AI datacenters require by about 70%. Image
3/ As an example, a planned AI datacenter in Ohio could consume about 100 million gals of POTABLE water per day. Image
Read 6 tweets
May 21
Targets matter in fantasy football

Looking at last year's numbers + new info vs this year's ADP to find value picks:

Chris Olave (ADP WR 13) 2025 WR 8 in PPG. WR 5 in total targets.

The Saints are one of the NFL's fastest-paced offenses

QB play ⬆️
Minimal target competition
Emeka Egbuka (ADP WR 18) 2025 WR 35 PPG. WR 9 in total targets.

Mike Evans is gone.
Chris Godwin is another year older.

Egbuka was top 20 in TPRR (0.26)

He was also top 25 in YPRR among all WRs lined up outside.
Michael Wilson (ADP WR 39) 2025 WR 20 PPG. WR 10 in total targets.

Wilson was a stud with Jacoby Brissett under center and Marvin Harrison Jr. missing time.

Weeks 11-18 saw Wilson score less than 15 fantasy points just twice. He accounted for six receiving TDs in that span.

In that stretch, MH Jr. played in just three games and saw seven targets.

The big question fantasy players want to know is, can Wilson perform with Harrison Jr. in the lineup? If he can, he's a massive bargain at ADP.
Read 4 tweets
May 21
In 1953, a 29-year-old lawyer got divorced. Lost his house. Lost everything.

A year later, his son was diagnosed with leukemia. Incurable.

He would hold his dying boy in the hospital. Then walk the streets of Pasadena crying.

His son died at 9. He was 31. Broke. Divorced. Burying his child.

He never turned to alcohol. He said: "Self-pity is always counterproductive."

He built a framework of mental models from every field. Said 80 models could solve nearly any problem in business or life.

Warren Buffett called him "the architect" of Berkshire Hathaway. Now worth $1 trillion.

His name was Charlie Munger. Died at 99. Worth $2.6 billion.

I turned his philosophy into 12 prompts.

Here are all 12:Image
1. Inversion Thinking

Munger borrowed a line from the mathematician Jacobi: "Invert, always invert." Instead of asking how to succeed, ask how to fail. Then avoid those things. He applied this to every decision at Berkshire Hathaway. As he put it: "All I want to know is where I'm going to die, so I'll never go there." Most people chase success. Munger systematically eliminated stupidity.

PROMPT-

"I'm facing a major decision and I want to avoid catastrophic mistakes. Here is my situation: [describe]. Using Charlie Munger's Inversion Thinking framework, analyze my position:

1. Instead of asking how this succeeds, what are the top 3 ways this could fail or blow up? Munger said to invert the problem first.

2. What would a fool do in my position? What is the most common path to disaster for someone in my exact situation?

3. What am I assuming will go right that I have no control over? Which of those assumptions, if wrong, would be fatal?

4. If I were advising my worst enemy to destroy themselves in this situation, what would I tell them to do? Am I doing any of those things?

5. Give me one specific action I can take this week to eliminate the single biggest risk you identified above."
2. The Latticework Method

Munger's signature concept. He said you need a "latticework of mental models" drawn from every major discipline. Psychology, physics, biology, economics, history.

In his 1994 USC speech he explained: "80 or 90 important models carry about 90% of the freight in making you a worldly-wise person."

One model gives you a hammer. A latticework gives you the whole toolbox.

PROMPT-

"I'm trying to solve a complex problem and I need to think across multiple disciplines. Here is my situation: [describe]. Using Charlie Munger's Latticework Method, analyze my position:

1. What are the 3 most relevant mental models from different fields (psychology, economics, biology, physics, history) that apply to my situation? Name each model and explain how it maps.

2. Where am I using only one mental model like a hammer looking for nails? What am I missing because of my single-discipline lens?

3. Munger said 80 to 90 models cover 90% of problems. Which models from my blind spots would change my entire analysis if I applied them?

4. What historical parallel from a completely different field matches my situation? What happened there, and what does it predict for me?

5. Give me one specific way to combine two of these models this week to produce an insight I could not get from either one alone."
Read 14 tweets
May 21
OK - now at presser by U.S. Attorney Jay Clayton, NYPD Commissioner Jessica S. Tisch and Assistant Director in Charge of the FBI New York Field Office James Barnacle "to brief the media on recent cases" - Inner City Press will live tweet, thread below Image
1:03 pm
Commish Tisch: I want to thank Jay Clayton... The extremist who moves to real-world danger, those cases demand more than one office. The World Cup and 250th Anniversary of our country is coming. We partner, as we'll discuss
Commish Tisch: NYPD does the work on the ground, SDNY prosecutes on Federal charges. We have acting on guns from South Carolina. I began my career building out the NYPD's counter-terrorism work. Just last week, the defendant brought in from Iraq...
Read 10 tweets
May 21
Kerkhoff v. Blaze Media LLC

Steve Baker, Joseph Hanneman, and their company Veritas Regnat LLC have failed to respond to the libel and slander lawsuit brought against them over their erroneous claims that former Capitol Police officer Shauni Kerkhoff was responsible for the J5 Pipe Bombs.

The judge has ordered the clerk to file an entry of default against them and for the plaintiffs to file a motion for default judgment.
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…Image
Blaze Media, which was also sued, has filed an unopposed motion for more time to respond to the suit. The judge gave them until June 11, 2026. Image
In public responses to the lawsuit, Baker has put on a "bring it on!" act, as if he were eager to fight it, to show what evidence he supposedly has, and to use the discovery process to expose some conspiracy to frame Brian J. Cole for the J5 pipe bombs when all along it was Shauni Kerkhoff who planted them as part of a sinister "fedsurrection" plot... or something.

x.com/realjusthuman/…
Read 4 tweets
May 21
Budanov: Russia is building a digital ghetto.

It wants to control people, complicate Ukrainian intelligence work, and prepare society for serious decisions that may be unpopular or hard to explain. That is why it cuts off alternative information. 1/
Budanov: Russia is replacing reality. In Moscow, there is a whole “museum of Ukrainian Nazism.”

It has nothing to do with reality, but it is built logically and professionally. A person who sees it can believe it — that is the danger. 2/
Budanov: Civil resistance under occupation must continue.

Every Ukrainian flag, every sign, every act is a connection with identity, state, history, culture and tradition. It is risky, but without it there will be full colonization. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 21
@AlexRMcColl @Prominent_Bryan strawman, basically all walking distance areas within transit transit are developed to condos not townhouses

We are talking about places 15 min *drive* from train stations or unis
@AlexRMcColl @Prominent_Bryan I've managed a lot of files where it's small condos without dedicated parking as long as it is within a rapid transit thing

What is the issue is when the developer gets greedy and then tries the same in areas without
@AlexRMcColl @Prominent_Bryan there's an informational asymmetry thing - given the GP / LP structure for most developments you can have LP in the dark about this who committed their $ to a white elephant 🐘 project
Read 6 tweets
May 21
We used the keyword "process server" 68 times on one page

People hear that and assume its keyword stuffing. Its not

If you actually look at what ranks on page one of Google, the top results are using their target keyword hundreds of times. Sometimes thousands. Most businesses are still under-using their keyword on their own pages because some blog 10 years ago told them to keep it under 5
But the keyword count isnt the only thing we did

We also added geographic keywords. Fort Worth, Texas. Specifically. In the body. In the headers. In the meta. So Google knows exactly where this client serves

If someone in Fort Worth searches for a process server, Google has a hundred ways of figuring out who in that area to show them. The page that explicitly says "Fort Worth, Texas" in the right places is going to come up before the page that just says "process server" with no location

And then we added the license number on the page
Two reasons. The first is for the visitor. Someone landing on the page can see this is an actually licensed business. Thats a trust signal that takes 5 seconds to register and removes one objection before they even ask

The second is for Google. Google reads everything on the page. When it sees a license number formatted correctly, thats another data point telling it this is a real, verified business. Not just a marketing page hoping to rank

Three things

Keyword frequency. Geographic specificity. License number

None of these are exotic SEO tactics. Theyre things most agencies skip because they sound boring

Our clients rank because we do the boring things while everyone else is looking for shortcuts

if you want this run on your business, drop your site in the comments or message us
Read 5 tweets
May 21
🤔🐍Tsss ¿Se acuerdan de la iniciativa de @M_OlgaSCordero y @Javier_Corral sobre la reforma de la reforma judicial? ⚖️

La iniciativa de Cordero-Corral buscaba "despolitizar" al entregarle la facultad de emitir la convocatoria al INE mientras que la Presidenta lo mantiene en el Senado. 🙄

🧵 Hice este comparativo y también encontré …Image
⚖️🎓Mientras la Presidenta le apuesta a la capacitación con o sin la Escuela de Formación Judicial posterior a la elección judicial, Cordero-Corral proponían la certificación obligatoria de competencias a través de la Escuela Nacional de Formación Judicial como requisito indispensable para que un candidato participe en el proceso electoral.Image
📑La Presidenta propone la creación de una Comisión Coordinadora responsable de verificar el cumplimiento de los requisitos constitucionales y legales de las personas participantes, establecer criterios y metodologías homologadas de evaluación, selección y exámenes de conocimientos, y emitir acuerdos que regulen los trabajos de los tres Comités de Evaluación que actualmente existen. 

En tanto en la iniciativa Cordero-Corral proponen la eliminación de esos Comités y el establecimiento del Comité Único de Evaluación.Image
Read 4 tweets
May 21
In 1953, a 29-year-old lawyer got divorced. Lost his house. Lost everything.

A year later, his son was diagnosed with leukemia. Incurable.

He would hold his dying boy in the hospital. Then walk the streets of Pasadena crying.

His son died at 9. He was 31. Broke. Divorced. Burying his child.

He never turned to alcohol. He said: "Self-pity is always counterproductive."

He built a framework of mental models from every field. Said 80 models could solve nearly any problem in business or life.

Warren Buffett called him "the architect" of Berkshire Hathaway. Now worth $1 trillion.

His name was Charlie Munger. Died at 99. Worth $2.6 billion.

I turned his philosophy into 12 prompts.

Here are all 12:Image
1. Inversion Thinking

Munger borrowed a line from the mathematician Jacobi: "Invert, always invert." Instead of asking how to succeed, ask how to fail. Then avoid those things. He applied this to every decision at Berkshire Hathaway. As he put it: "All I want to know is where I'm going to die, so I'll never go there." Most people chase success. Munger systematically eliminated stupidity.

PROMPT-

"I'm facing a major decision and I want to avoid catastrophic mistakes. Here is my situation: [describe]. Using Charlie Munger's Inversion Thinking framework, analyze my position:

1. Instead of asking how this succeeds, what are the top 3 ways this could fail or blow up? Munger said to invert the problem first.

2. What would a fool do in my position? What is the most common path to disaster for someone in my exact situation?

3. What am I assuming will go right that I have no control over? Which of those assumptions, if wrong, would be fatal?

4. If I were advising my worst enemy to destroy themselves in this situation, what would I tell them to do? Am I doing any of those things?

5. Give me one specific action I can take this week to eliminate the single biggest risk you identified above."
2. The Latticework Method

Munger's signature concept. He said you need a "latticework of mental models" drawn from every major discipline. Psychology, physics, biology, economics, history.

In his 1994 USC speech he explained: "80 or 90 important models carry about 90% of the freight in making you a worldly-wise person."

One model gives you a hammer. A latticework gives you the whole toolbox.

PROMPT-

"I'm trying to solve a complex problem and I need to think across multiple disciplines. Here is my situation: [describe]. Using Charlie Munger's Latticework Method, analyze my position:

1. What are the 3 most relevant mental models from different fields (psychology, economics, biology, physics, history) that apply to my situation? Name each model and explain how it maps.

2. Where am I using only one mental model like a hammer looking for nails? What am I missing because of my single-discipline lens?

3. Munger said 80 to 90 models cover 90% of problems. Which models from my blind spots would change my entire analysis if I applied them?

4. What historical parallel from a completely different field matches my situation? What happened there, and what does it predict for me?

5. Give me one specific way to combine two of these models this week to produce an insight I could not get from either one alone."
Read 14 tweets
May 21
In 2018 Zucman published a paper in a top econ journal that inadvertently revealed the total federal/state/local tax rate of the top 0.001% was ~40%.

A year later, he realized this undermined his wealth tax. So he fudged the stats to fit his politics.

Image
Details and receipts here, including how I caught Zucman initially trying to hide the old stats off his website.

philmagness.com/2019/10/someth…
And here is a longer academic journal article I wrote about this episode, including digging into what Zucman altered to put his thumb on the statistical scale. independent.org/wp-content/upl…
Read 5 tweets
May 21
1. Histórico pronunciamiento de la Corte Internacional de Justicia en defensa del derecho de huelga. Tiene proyecciones globales y nacionales. En nuestro caso, las restricciones contenidas en la reforma laboral (servicios esenciales) pasan a estar muy cuestionadas. Hilo
2. La discusión arrancó hace muchos años en la Organización Internacional del Trabajo. Los empleadores decidieron avanzar contra el derecho de huelga. Básicamente sostuvieron que no estaba incluido el convenio 87 de la OIT, por lo que no estaba protegido en ese ámbito
3. Los sindicatos pusieron el grito en el cielo. La actitud de los empleadores no solo era absurda, también iba en contra de décadas de trabajo donde se entendía que el derecho de huelga formaba parte del derecho a organizar sindicatos
Read 16 tweets
May 21
It is ridiculous to blame anyone other than Thomas Massie for his own loss. He was shellacked and he blames rural Jews of Kentucky. There is no way that rural Jews cost Thomas Massie his election. There are not enough Jews in Kentucky to make a difference.
1)
Regular Kentuckians rejected Thomas Massie. A reasonable estimate is that Thomas Massie’s district has on the order of a few thousand Jewish voters at most, and likely closer to the low thousands.
2)
In Massie's district, the Jewish share of the electorate is probably well under 1%. With a congressional district population of roughly 700,000 people, that would usually translate to something like 1,000 to 5,000 Jewish residents,
3)
Read 5 tweets
May 21
🚨Claude can now simplify research at a whole new level.

It transforms stacks of academic papers into clean, structured insights in minutes.

No confusion. Just clarity.

Here are 9 prompts to make it effortless 👇
Save this 🔖 Image
PROMPT 1 - The Contradiction Finder

Most researchers miss this. This prompt doesn't:

"Across all papers uploaded, identify every point where two
or more authors directly contradict each other.
For each contradiction:
- State both positions
- Name the papers
- Explain WHY they likely disagree (methodology, dataset, era)

Format as a table."
PROMPT 2 - The Citation Chain

"Pick the 3 most-cited concepts across these papers.

For each concept:
- Who introduced it first?
- Who challenged it?
- Who refined it?
- What's the current consensus (if any)?

Show me the intellectual lineage like a family tree."

This one alone saves 6 hours of backward citation digging.
Read 10 tweets
May 21
🧵 In August 2025, Senate Majority Leader Jamie Pedersen wrote an email explaining the real goal of the "millionaire's tax":

"I would like to force the Washington Supreme Court to reconsider its caselaw that considers income to be property."

Not "fund schools." Force the court.
Pedersen's bill included a "necessity clause" that blocked voters from challenging it via referendum.

They knew voters would reject it, voters have rejected income taxes 10 times, so they made sure you couldn't vote on it.

Then they sent it to court.
Enter Colleen Melody and Theo Angelis.

Both appointed by Governor Bob Ferguson after the income tax passed. Both endorsed by Pedersen, the same person who wrote the strategy to "force" the court.

Both endorsed by Indivisible and the unions that lobbied for the tax. Image
Image
Read 6 tweets
May 21
Study this for 15 days, and you may start seeing life from a completely different perspective.
Days 1-3

Study human psychology.

Learn why people behave the way they do.

You'll stop taking everything personally, react less emotionally, and begin understanding people on a much deeper level.

Once you understand human behavior, the way you communicate with others changes completely.
Days 4-5

Study money.

Not just how to earn it, but how it actually works.

Learn about:
•Compound interest
•Assets vs liabilities
•Leverage
•Wealth creation

Many people stay financially stuck simply because no one ever taught them the rules of money.
Read 8 tweets
May 21
NEW: Former Israeli soldier Jonathan Kestenbaum has resigned as a director of Labour Together.

Last month, I uncovered the “IDF diary” of the Labour peer. Now, he’s stepping down.

Here’s what happened:🧵 Image
On May 14th, the think tank of Morgan McSweeney fame relaunched with a new website and name: “Think Labour”.

The organisation claimed to be “more than a new logo”, but they retained the same company number as Labour Together Ltd., still registered as active on Companies House. Image
Image
According to Companies House, former Israeli soldier and current Labour peer Jonathan Kestenbaum was still a director when Think Labour launched.

So were current CEO Alison Phillips and former Tony Blair press officer Mike Craven.

Then, four days later, Kestenbaum resigned. Image
Image
Read 12 tweets
May 21
The DNC finally released the full 192 page 2024 election autopsy today.

I haven't read the whole thing, but I did read "What Happened" and it's very clear why the DNC did not release it. It's not Gaza/Palestine - that is not mentioned once in any capacity.

It's just a horrible document. The most incompetent thing I've seen in a very long time. It provides essentially no information of any value. I'll give some examples in the thread.Image
First off, it's missing the "national overview" and the introduction for the electoral review section. Image
It's insanely obsessed with Josh Stein, for some reason. I'm serious, nearly all of the battleground analysis is a comparison between Harris and Stein. Image
Read 13 tweets
May 21
Is GenAI causing the relative decline in early-career hiring? Our latest research finds that these effects may be conflated with another important driver: the rise of WFH arrangements (1/N) Image
The decline, which has been widely documented, has seen a large fall in the share of new hires going to early-career / junior workers. We find a near 10pp decline in junior-share of new hires in US, UK, Canada, Australia Image
This has been shown to be concentrated in routine-cognitive white collar occupations. The challenge we highlight is that GenAI exposure is super strongly correlated with WFH exposure, posing a challenge for empirical analysis. Image
Read 9 tweets
May 21
14 mars 2026. Moments difficiles : un mercenaire britannique documente la brutalité de l’occupation contre des affamés à Gaza.
Une vidéo publiée par le mercenaire britannique David McIntosh montrant des soldats israéliens tirant sur des civils palestiniens
french.palinfo.com/actualites/202…
qui attendaient de l’aide alimentaire dans la bande de Gaza a ravivé le souvenir de ce que certains décrivent comme un crime brutal contre des Palestiniens affamés.

Selon ce que McIntosh a publié sur sa page sur l’application Instagram, les images qu’il a filmées durant sa…
sa période de travail au sein d’une force conjointe chargée de sécuriser les points de distribution d’aide de la fondation « @GHFUpdates » montrent des soldats israéliens positionnés sur des chars tirant en direction de civils rassemblés près des sites…
instagram.com/p/DVj86pJiIly/
Read 18 tweets
May 21
This is Dr. Gábor Somlyai.

A Hungarian molecular biologist & cancer researcher who followed 2,600+ cancer patients over 32+ years.

His message? Cancer is driven by a variable almost nobody in medicine talks about: Deuterium.

Here is his framework: 🧵 Image
Image
1/ Cancer keeps rising despite decades of research & billions spent.

By 2050, cancer incidence is projected to increase by 80% in men — & deaths caused by cancer to double.

Somlyai:

"Despite all our efforts, we are still facing the same challenge: can we make a substantial breakthrough in treating cancer?"Image
2/ By the time cancer is detected — it's been growing for years.

It takes 4-5 years for a single cell to become a tumor 0.5-1 cm in size — the minimum detectable by current technology.

By then there are already over 10 million cells in that tumor.

During those same years, cells can break off and travel elsewhere. Another 4-5 years before those form metastases.

The 5-year survival marker in oncology — the standard used to declare someone cured — reflects this timeline exactly.

If cancer hasn't come back in 5 years, the window in which those travelling cells would have formed new tumors has passed.

And this is why the only intelligent strategy isn't just detection — it's prevention.Image
Read 29 tweets