Most recent unrolls from @ThreadReaderApp
🧵 "Concentrazione di CO2 in atmosfera"
Se si prendono i dataset ufficiali relativi alle emissioni antropiche di CO2 e alle concentrazioni di CO2 in atmosfera dal 1750 ad oggi, ci si rende conto che i dati sono del tutto scorrelati tra di loro sostanzialmente fino al 1962. ⤵️
Se si prendono i dataset ufficiali relativi alle emissioni antropiche di CO2 e alle concentrazioni di CO2 in atmosfera dal 1750 ad oggi, ci si rende conto che i dati sono del tutto scorrelati tra di loro sostanzialmente fino al 1962. ⤵️
Infatti, tenendo conto che la massa dell'atmosfera è circa 5,15e18 kg e che 1 ton di CO2 incrementa la massa dell'atmosfera di circa 0,278 ton dovute all'aggiunta dell'atomo di carbonio (che rappresenta nella molecola di CO2 il 27,8% del peso molecolare - l'ossigeno nè già ⤵️
presente in atmosfera), possiamo incrociare i dati delle emissioni antropiche e della concentrazione in atmosfera per calcolare la percentuale di emissioni che resta in atmosfera rispetto a quella che invece si discioglie negli oceani e finisce nello scambio gassoso con ⤵️
I’ve been off for a week but a Monday is a Monday and noticing must be had so…
#DidYouNotice how recently Arsenal often look worse when they’re winning games?
#DidYouNotice how recently Arsenal often look worse when they’re winning games?
There have been some good examples of this: the game against Man United where Arsenal looked relatively comfortable until they were 1-0 up at which point they immediately looked nervous; the 2-2 draw to Wolves when they gave up a two-goal lead.
But it also happened a little in this weekend’s game against Chelsea where going up 1-0 and then 2-1 both produced stretches where Arsenal looked less confident.
🧵 Mercati energetici dopo l'attacco all'Iran.
Prima seduta aperta: volatilità estrema, traffico bloccato nello Stretto di Hormuz, prezzi in forte rialzo. Hormuz praticamente fermo: Iran dichiara lo stretto chiuso. ~150 navi all’ancora. 5 petroliere danneggiate, 2 vittime. ⬇️
Prima seduta aperta: volatilità estrema, traffico bloccato nello Stretto di Hormuz, prezzi in forte rialzo. Hormuz praticamente fermo: Iran dichiara lo stretto chiuso. ~150 navi all’ancora. 5 petroliere danneggiate, 2 vittime. ⬇️
Assicurazioni sospese per rischio guerra. Il blocco riguarda circa il 20% del commercio mondiale di petrolio e prodotti e ~20% del GNL globale.
L'Iran ha colpito la raffineria di Ras Tanura (Arabia Saudita) e gli impianti GNL in Qatar. Produzione GNL QatarEnergy ferma. ⬇️
L'Iran ha colpito la raffineria di Ras Tanura (Arabia Saudita) e gli impianti GNL in Qatar. Produzione GNL QatarEnergy ferma. ⬇️
I carichi qatarini diretti in Italia (Rovigo) sono confermati, le metaniere erano già in viaggio. Nessuna carenza fisica immediata. Il Qatar pesa per l’Italia ~5 mld Smc nel 2025 (24,5% del GNL importato). Ma i volumi Qatar sono marginali e fanno prezzo a livello globale.⬇️
The crash of the Tanker maritime insurance market will force Gulf tanker escort operations.
Crashing maritime insurance was why 1988's "Operation Praying Mantis" happened.
The problem for China & the EU in 2026 is Gulf Oil no longer flows to the USA.
1/3
Crashing maritime insurance was why 1988's "Operation Praying Mantis" happened.
The problem for China & the EU in 2026 is Gulf Oil no longer flows to the USA.
1/3
The USA is an energy exporting nation now and it doesn't need Gulf oil.
The idea that a huge price spike with the US Economy is actually something Pres. Trump can affect via EXPORT Tariffs.
If domestic suppliers can't make money selling abroad...they won't.
2/3
The idea that a huge price spike with the US Economy is actually something Pres. Trump can affect via EXPORT Tariffs.
If domestic suppliers can't make money selling abroad...they won't.
2/3
This will spike oil prices outside the USA, but forcing China to pay the world rate for oil is in the USA's interests.
A 2026's "Operation Praying Mantis" will require Chinese and European Navy's doing the escort duties without the US fleet.
3/3.
A 2026's "Operation Praying Mantis" will require Chinese and European Navy's doing the escort duties without the US fleet.
3/3.
In February, the Russian monthly net gains in Ukraine turned negative. Over the whole month, the Russians lost 37 km² of territory in Ukraine.
This is the first net loss since November of 2023, and the worst month for Russia in terms of territory since August of 2023.
1/
This is the first net loss since November of 2023, and the worst month for Russia in terms of territory since August of 2023.
1/
This is mainly due to the Ukrainian counterattacks on the Southern Front, which managed to push the Russians out of 213 km² of territory.
Most of these Ukrainian gains were made around Hulijaipole where Russia lost 192 km².
2/
Most of these Ukrainian gains were made around Hulijaipole where Russia lost 192 km².
2/
Ukrainian forces have reached the village of Ternuvate and past the village of Verbove, but it's unclear wether or not they have managed to establish solid control.
Situation remains dynamic. Much of the area Russia has lost is currently remains in the grey zone.
3/
Situation remains dynamic. Much of the area Russia has lost is currently remains in the grey zone.
3/
1/ Russian commentators say that the success of Iranian drones – which are less sophisticated than their own – in hitting US and other targets in the Gulf shows that America and Europe have failed to prepare for the threat of Russian drone attacks. ⬇️
2/ 'Archangel Spetsnaz' writes:
"After observing the Iran-US war for the third day, we came to the following conclusions:
The Americans, who were planting military bases around the enemy, were reckless in failing to provide closer cover for their own troops and allies."
"After observing the Iran-US war for the third day, we came to the following conclusions:
The Americans, who were planting military bases around the enemy, were reckless in failing to provide closer cover for their own troops and allies."
3/ "For many years, it was entirely predictable that the Iranians would actively employ jet-powered UAVs, yet the Americans have already let through quite a few strikes.
شوفو عروض اللابتوبات اللي جبتها لكم 😉مواصفات قويييييية 👌👏
لابتوب لينوفو، بمعالج انتل، شاشة 15.1 بوصة، وذاكرة رام 16 غيغابايت
العلامة التجاريةلينوفو- ليجن 5i اللون أسود حجم القرص الثابت 1 تيرا بايت -كور i7-ويندوز 11 هوم ميزة مخصصة للألعاب مع بطاقة لعب مجانية لمدة 3 أشهر-إلحق عرض رمضان
amzn.to/4cj9qm7
العلامة التجاريةلينوفو- ليجن 5i اللون أسود حجم القرص الثابت 1 تيرا بايت -كور i7-ويندوز 11 هوم ميزة مخصصة للألعاب مع بطاقة لعب مجانية لمدة 3 أشهر-إلحق عرض رمضان
amzn.to/4cj9qm7
لابتوب العاب 16 انش كايجر KAIGERR، رايزن 7 H255 (8C/16T، R9 6900HX، حتى 4.9GHz) 24GB DDR5 RAM 512GB SSD مع راديون 780M، نوع C، واي فاي 6، بطارية 50.82Wh
اللون رمادي حجم القرص الثابت - 24 جيجابايت- ويندوز 11 برو لوحة مفاتيح بإضاءة خلفية-إلحق العرض
amzn.to/46Vs1RR
اللون رمادي حجم القرص الثابت - 24 جيجابايت- ويندوز 11 برو لوحة مفاتيح بإضاءة خلفية-إلحق العرض
amzn.to/46Vs1RR
ECEVİT’İN AŞÇISI ANLATIYOR;
======================
Başbakanlık konutuna taşındığında, beni çağırıp:
‘-Evlâdım, burası benim evim ve devlet bana maaş veriyor.
Bütün yediğimiz, içtiğimizin parasını benden alacaksın.
======================
Başbakanlık konutuna taşındığında, beni çağırıp:
‘-Evlâdım, burası benim evim ve devlet bana maaş veriyor.
Bütün yediğimiz, içtiğimizin parasını benden alacaksın.
Sakın ola, devletin tek zeytin tanesi boğazımdan geçmesin.
Ben de çok dikkat edeceğim ama, sizden bu konuda çok hassas olmanızı rica ediyorum.’
demişti.
***
Ben de çok dikkat edeceğim ama, sizden bu konuda çok hassas olmanızı rica ediyorum.’
demişti.
***
Bir gün kahvaltı yapılacak ve peynir yok.
Her nasılsa ihmal etmişiz.
Gittim bizzat kendisinden peynir almak için para istedim.
Bütün ceplerini karıştırdı, para çıkmadı.
Her nasılsa ihmal etmişiz.
Gittim bizzat kendisinden peynir almak için para istedim.
Bütün ceplerini karıştırdı, para çıkmadı.
Keir Starmer is now a Prime Minister without power.
He knows that the country has turned against him, but he sees one last opportunity to distract the public from his crimes.
Here’s the REAL reason Starmer “can’t decide” about joining a war against Iran:🧵
He knows that the country has turned against him, but he sees one last opportunity to distract the public from his crimes.
Here’s the REAL reason Starmer “can’t decide” about joining a war against Iran:🧵
Last night, Keir Starmer announced that he would allow Donald Trump to use British military bases in his war on Iran.
Starmer sent jets to protect the Epstein class: war criminals in Washington DC + paedophiles in Tel Aviv.
Within the hour, RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus was attacked.
Starmer sent jets to protect the Epstein class: war criminals in Washington DC + paedophiles in Tel Aviv.
Within the hour, RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus was attacked.
When Starmer visited Akrotiri in December 2024, he said: “We can’t tell the world what you’re doing here.”
For two years, Starmer used the base to gather intelligence for Israeli genocidaires.
Now, the “dead duck” Prime Minister is dragging us into a war on their behalf.
For two years, Starmer used the base to gather intelligence for Israeli genocidaires.
Now, the “dead duck” Prime Minister is dragging us into a war on their behalf.
As the battle rages in Iran the strikes aren’t polling very high.
What causes this? Simple Thread:
Americans distrust everything after Afghanistan but most importantly, Iraq. That’s the lens they look at everything with.
Trump must show different and change things.
What causes this? Simple Thread:
Americans distrust everything after Afghanistan but most importantly, Iraq. That’s the lens they look at everything with.
Trump must show different and change things.
We know in October 2002 on the heels of 9/11 - Bush 2 convinced the world that Iraq had WMD’s - they did not.
georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/…
georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/…
Earlier in 2002 Netanyahu spoke to Congress justifying the use of force ending Iraq.
Israel did not participate
c-span.org/video/?c452912…
Israel did not participate
c-span.org/video/?c452912…
Je ne dois pas suivre ce Hadith, j’ai un Madhab à suivre :
As-Sindi a dit (1/4, Hachiyat As-Sindi ‘ala Sunan Ibn Majah) :
Le Prophète ﷺ a dit :
« Certes, il m’a été donné le Livre (le Coran) et quelque chose de semblable avec lui. Bientôt, un homme, appuyé sur son divan, dira
As-Sindi a dit (1/4, Hachiyat As-Sindi ‘ala Sunan Ibn Majah) :
Le Prophète ﷺ a dit :
« Certes, il m’a été donné le Livre (le Coran) et quelque chose de semblable avec lui. Bientôt, un homme, appuyé sur son divan, dira
: “Tenez-vous-en à ce Coran : ce que vous y trouvez comme licite, rendez-le licite, et ce que vous y trouvez comme illicite, rendez-le illicite.” »
Al-Fadil At-Tibi a dit en expliquant le hadith précédent :
« Dans ce hadith, il y a un reproche et une réprimande sévère contre celui qui, par exagération dans la vénération (du Coran), délaisse la Sunna et l’application du hadith,
« Dans ce hadith, il y a un reproche et une réprimande sévère contre celui qui, par exagération dans la vénération (du Coran), délaisse la Sunna et l’application du hadith,
Tra le altre cose che il caso Schettini ci dovrebbe insegnare c'è il fatto che praticamente nessuno dei content creator di successo è banalmente un tizio con un cellulare.
Nessuno è davvero spontaneo, nessuno è davvero sé stesso, nessuno riprende davvero il suo quotidiano, neanche il tizio che fa i video nel suo furgone mentre fa consegne.
L'illusione della spontaneità, d'altra parte, non è solo per creare l'immagine di vicinanza col pubblico, è anche un meccanismo di gatekeeping.
Si balla – Geopolitica, mercati e la mossa a tenaglia USA (Iran-Venezuela)
In queste ore la tensione esplode, dopo gli attacchi USA-Israele all’Iran (28 feb/1 mar 2026), serve chiarezza fattuale. Freddezza.
I mercati reagiscono, è normale siamo nel vortice delle prime 72 ore.
In queste ore la tensione esplode, dopo gli attacchi USA-Israele all’Iran (28 feb/1 mar 2026), serve chiarezza fattuale. Freddezza.
I mercati reagiscono, è normale siamo nel vortice delle prime 72 ore.
Trump sembra un pazzo, ma ha fissato l’orizzonte di “quattro settimane o meno”.
Questo è un messaggio chiaro ai mercati: non sarà guerra infinita. È un confine temporale deliberato per ridurre incertezza e permettere pricing razionale.
Questo è un messaggio chiaro ai mercati: non sarà guerra infinita. È un confine temporale deliberato per ridurre incertezza e permettere pricing razionale.
Le fasi classiche di queste crisi sono sempre le stesse:
48-72 ore di risk-off emotivo, poi rimbalzi tecnici.
I prossimi 10 giorni diranno se il mercato compra la narrazione della durata limitata.
E se serviranno 30/60/90 giorni o sei mesi per assorbire lo shock.
48-72 ore di risk-off emotivo, poi rimbalzi tecnici.
I prossimi 10 giorni diranno se il mercato compra la narrazione della durata limitata.
E se serviranno 30/60/90 giorni o sei mesi per assorbire lo shock.
Tucker Carlson, Marjorie Taylor Greene et al knew Iran attempted to assassinate President Trump twice. In truth, they showed they do not support or care about him or his MAGA American First agenda which includes peace through strength.
1)
1)
Further, we were protecting American interests against a terrorist regime that says, "Death to America" and that "America is the Big Devil". Since 1979, they or their proxies have taken Americans hostage and killed and injured many more both service people and
2)
2)
civilians around the world. A summary is below.
Summary of Casualties
Killed:
Beirut bombings (1983): 258
Khobar Towers (1996): 19
Iraq War (2003–2011): ~603
Gaza bombing (2003): 3
Hamas/PIJ attacks (1996–2003): 11
Second Lebanon War (2006): 1
3)
Summary of Casualties
Killed:
Beirut bombings (1983): 258
Khobar Towers (1996): 19
Iraq War (2003–2011): ~603
Gaza bombing (2003): 3
Hamas/PIJ attacks (1996–2003): 11
Second Lebanon War (2006): 1
3)
A thread of Italy's most fascinating underground wonders 🧵
Naples Underground (Napoli Sotterranea)
Beneath Naples lies a layered city carved over centuries. Greek aqueducts, Roman tunnels, and WWII shelters reveal a hidden world beneath the streets.
Beneath Naples lies a layered city carved over centuries. Greek aqueducts, Roman tunnels, and WWII shelters reveal a hidden world beneath the streets.
Matera’s Hidden Cisterns
Below the Sassi, ancient cisterns and water systems were carved directly into the rock, sustaining life in this remarkable city for generations.
Below the Sassi, ancient cisterns and water systems were carved directly into the rock, sustaining life in this remarkable city for generations.
Anoche vi "Nuremberg". Es un filme impactante aunque no del todo fidedigno. Su gran mérito es mostrar sin cortes el pietaje real de los campos nazis de exterminio. Es el mismo que vieron en el tribunal en la vida real. Para quienes niegan el Holocausto, es imperativo que lo vean. (1/X)
Ahora bien, la película contiene varios errores y dos mentiras flagrantes. Errores: nadie golpeaba el túnel de los prisioneros mientras ellos se encaminaban a la sala. Todo se desarrolló en medio de la más estricta seguridad. Göring nunca fumó puros en su celda, etc. (2/X)
Mentiras: El fanático antisemita Julius Streicher no se quebró al final, ni lloró, ni hizo amigos, ni le agradeció nada a nadie, fuese judío o no. Se negó a colaborar con su defensa, mostrandose arrogante y desafiante hasta el final. Sus últimas palabras: "Los bolcheviques los colgarán a ustedes. Heil Hitler!" (3/X)
Quelques mots, à mon tour, sur le discours évènement de la journée.
En bref : très positif (avec un regret).
#Thread
⬇️⬇️⬇️
En bref : très positif (avec un regret).
#Thread
⬇️⬇️⬇️
Première chose : ça a beau être évident, il faut le dire : ce discours était bien plus attendu que les autres, depuis 1996 probablement. L'état du monde le commandait. Les prédécesseurs immédiats de Macron (dont lui-même la dernière fois) n'avaient pas cette ambiance.
Ensuite, le discours montre une profonde compréhension du sujet. Il ne s'agit pas uniquement de redire, ou de poncifs.
Bij een #Volt-campagne-event in Delft. #draad #erbij #live
Er is hoog bezoek: Europarlementariër Reinier Van Lanschot komt spreken over het belang van de maakindustrie. voltnederland.org/agenda/delft-d…
Het is in het vakwerkhuis en zo ziet het eruit.
Bilan des désertions du côté du régime tortionnaire iranien (Pahlavi nous assurait en juin 2025 avoir près de 50 000 ralliements... C'est dire son sérieux et pourquoi Trump l'ignore) : 0.
Pas même un diplomate, un responsable administratif, un policier quittant le pays... 1/
Pas même un diplomate, un responsable administratif, un policier quittant le pays... 1/
On prévient depuis des années, et encore ces derniers mois, que ce régime est une construction solide, complexe, à la fois militaire, politique, idéologique et confessionnelle.
Mais dire cela, c'est être traité de valet des mollahs, dont je suis le premier des critiques. 2/
Mais dire cela, c'est être traité de valet des mollahs, dont je suis le premier des critiques. 2/
Il faut être dans le réel : on a eu, en seulement quelques années la mort de quasiment tous les chefs iraniens (militaires, religieux et politiques). Soleimani (on a oublié son élimination), Khamenei, et des centaines d'autres.
Tous sont remplacés, en permanence... 3/
Tous sont remplacés, en permanence... 3/
Since the nation apparently woke up yesterday to the realization that we have sleeper cells in our country, here’s a thread of recent articles worth reading.
And no, it’s not just the IRGC; their proxies (like Hezbollah), other groups like the Islamic State, al-Qaeda and their proxies (like Lashkar-e-Taiba) are also on our soil.
And no, it’s not just the IRGC; their proxies (like Hezbollah), other groups like the Islamic State, al-Qaeda and their proxies (like Lashkar-e-Taiba) are also on our soil.
🚨 ALERTA: A temporada do confisco anual começou! Declaração IRPF 2026 (ano-base 2025) abre em breve — prepare o bolso e os documentos. O Estado quer mais do seu suor de 2025. As isenções maiores (até R$ 5 mil/mês) só valem a partir de 2026 → declaração só em 2027. Eu como contador separei uma thread com tudo para vocês! 👇
Prazo oficial (esperado, confirmação Receita em breve): Início: 16 ou 17 de março de 2026
Fim: 29 ou 31 de maio de 2026 (último dia útil)
Multa por atraso: mínima R$ 165,74 → até 20% do imposto devido.
Não entregue atrasado — o Leviatã adora punir!
Fim: 29 ou 31 de maio de 2026 (último dia útil)
Multa por atraso: mínima R$ 165,74 → até 20% do imposto devido.
Não entregue atrasado — o Leviatã adora punir!
Quem é obrigado a declarar (ano-base 2025)?
Se você se enquadrou em PELO MENOS UM desses:
Até R$ 2.428,80: isento
R$ 2.428,81 a R$ 2.826,65: 7,5% (deduz R$ 182,16)
R$ 2.826,66 a R$ 3.751,05: 15% (deduz R$ 394,16)
R$ 3.751,06 a R$ 4.664,68: 22,5% (deduz R$ 675,49)
Acima: 27,5% (deduz R$ 908,73) Progressivo = punição ao mérito. Quem produz mais, paga mais %!
Se você se enquadrou em PELO MENOS UM desses:
Até R$ 2.428,80: isento
R$ 2.428,81 a R$ 2.826,65: 7,5% (deduz R$ 182,16)
R$ 2.826,66 a R$ 3.751,05: 15% (deduz R$ 394,16)
R$ 3.751,06 a R$ 4.664,68: 22,5% (deduz R$ 675,49)
Acima: 27,5% (deduz R$ 908,73) Progressivo = punição ao mérito. Quem produz mais, paga mais %!