Most recent unrolls from @ThreadReaderApp

Jul 29
Sen Rand Paul is systematically laying out the case of Fauci's record of contradictions and duplicity. I previously noted that what was most disturbing about Fauci's record was his silence as the media and academic groups attacked scientists who raised doubts about the origin theories and COVID measures. They were fired or removed from positions despite being later vindicated. Fauci, who was clearly obsessed with his own fame, said nothing to defend such dissenters...
...The new evidence shows a striking disconnect between what Fauci was saying publicly and what he was saying privately, including in his own diary entries. It also shows a disturbing level of coordination with media figures in maintaining the public narrative...
...Paul just noted that Fauci's assistant said that she deleted "tons" of records while Fauci denied such destruction. He also noted that Fauci told his associates to delete communications "after reading it." He reminded Fauci that it is a crime to destroy records...
Read 6 tweets
Jul 29
It's time for a demographics thread.

Demographics don't tell us much about this year's GDP; what they do tell us is the economy's capacity and constraints.

If we know what potential GDP is, then we can assess if we are growing with excess demand, or excess slack.
Potential GDP = labor force growth + productivity growth.

Below I use 10y averages for both to smooth beyond a business cycle. Image
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10y average LF growth is 0.8%/year and productivity is 2%/year.

Based on this, we can assess the long term potential growth for the U.S. economy is 2.8%/year.

Note that this has risen from roughly 2%/year from the 2015-2019 stagnation period but is below the 1990s/2000s. Image
Read 8 tweets
Jul 29
Welcome to part one of the afternoon session of the Misconduct hearing for DC Rachel Fletcher.

DC Fletcher is accused of gross misconduct for comments she is alleged to have made to colleagues while on duty with Northumbria Police

Previous reporting on our substack
12.45 start Image


Here are the allegations set out in Hearing notice tribunaltweets.substack.com/p/police-misco…Image
Abbreviations

C/Chair - ACC Andrew Hill
P/ IPM - Independent Panel member
LQP - Legally Qualified Person (to assist Panel)

RF - DC Rachel Fletcher
NC - Counsel for RF

CD - Ms Checa-Dover, counsel for AA (Appropriate Authority/ Northumbria Police)
Read 28 tweets
Jul 29
Stubb: Ukraine is now on top militarily, politically and economically, stronger than at any time in this war.

Half of Ukraine’s drones that hit Russia reach their targets. Half of Russia’s oil-refining capacity is damaged. Russia loses 8 soldiers for every 1 Ukrainian.

1/
Stubb: For Lindsey, Ukraine was a victory for freedom, for the Europe-U.S. alliance, for NATO, for liberal democracy and for the free world.

He fought hard for his values, and Ukraine was one of the most important battles he fought.

2/
Stubb: Iran and Ukraine conflicts are linked. Russia, China, Iran and North Korea are forging an alliance.

They feed the Russian and Iranian war machines. We must decide how to support Ukraine and help the U.S. stop Iran from getting a nuclear weapon.

3X
Read 5 tweets
Jul 29
1/🧵
IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT FOR AUSTRALIANS SEEKING NUVAXOVID (NOVAVAX).

Today I received a Nuvaxovid (Novavax) vaccination - my first COVID-19 vaccination in more than three years.
2/🧵
A family in Australia requested access to Novavax through Biocelect and the TGA. Their GP was able to obtain doses, and I was offered one of the remaining doses at very short notice.
3/🧵
This is significant: it appears that Nuvaxovid (Novavax) can be accessed in Australia through the TGA's Special Access Scheme (SAS), even though it is not currently available through the national vaccination program.
Read 11 tweets
Jul 29
This is part two of the morning session on Day 1 of the misconduct hearing of DC Rachel Fletcher.
11.30 start

Find first session in link below
[We have returned to the hearing room. Witness Sergeant Damon Hall (DH) is up next]

[CD takes DH through identity, and account and honesty of contents]
CD - You tell us u are speaking about weekend of dec 2023. U were at Gateshead Station with RF and DS Tina Brown. Where were you?
DH - I was on desks behind RF and TB. About 6ft away from me and not partic listening.
Read 12 tweets
Jul 29
A woman shopped at Costco every week for 6 years. That's roughly 300 trips. Roughly $2,400 a year on her card, $14,400 total. She had the basic Gold Star membership, $65 a year. She used it for bulk toilet paper, rotisserie chicken, and gas that was maybe a few cents cheaper than the station down the street.

She never filed a return outside the receipt window. She never used the pharmacy. She never checked her card benefits. She never once looked at what her membership actually included. She just walked in, filled a cart, walked out.

Her sister, who runs procurement for a mid-size company and has an Executive membership, found out over lunch and put her fork down.

"You've paid Costco $14,400 and you've been treated like a guest who's never been introduced to the house. If you'd upgraded to Executive membership, you'd have gotten 2% back on every purchase, which alone would have paid for the membership five times over. You'd have had a warranty on almost everything you bought, doubled past the manufacturer's. You'd have had a concierge service that finds the lowest advertised price on your own purchases and refunds you the difference automatically. And you'd have booked travel through Costco at rates that beat the sites you've been comparison shopping for years."

She showed her 10 Costco secrets that turn a warehouse club into a system that quietly pays you back for shopping there.

Here's the full playbook.
She started with the membership tier that changes everything downstream.

"You've been on Gold Star. That's the tier built for someone who wants a card, not a system."

She explained that Costco sells two memberships. Gold Star, at $65 a year, gets you in the door and gets you the prices. Executive, at $130 a year, gets you the door, the prices, and 2% cash back on qualifying purchases, up to $1,250 a year, paid out as a reward certificate you redeem in-store or online.

On $14,400 of spending over 6 years, at roughly $2,400 a year, an Executive membership would have paid out close to $48 a year in cash back, nearly triple the $65 difference between the two tiers. The membership doesn't just pay for itself. It pays itself back and hands you a profit.

She told her Rule 1, the rule that unlocks everything else in the playbook, is to upgrade to Executive the moment your annual spending crosses roughly $3,250. Below that, do the math each year. Above it, Executive is free money you're declining to collect.
Secret 1: She showed her the price adjustment window most members don't know exists.

Her sister assumed, like most shoppers, that once she paid for something, the price was locked. She'd seen an item drop in price the week after buying it more than once and shrugged it off.

Costco allows a 30-day post-purchase price adjustment on nearly everything. If an item you bought drops in price within 30 days, you bring your receipt to Membership Services and they refund the difference, no argument, no return required.

She showed her an example. A patio set bought for $649 dropped to $549 three weeks later during a seasonal promo. A five-minute conversation at the counter got the $100 back, no box to repack, no trip to customer service with the original packaging. Multiply that across appliances, furniture, electronics, and seasonal goods over 6 years, and the unclaimed adjustments likely ran into hundreds of dollars.

Costco doesn't advertise this at checkout. It's in the membership terms, not on the receipt.
Read 15 tweets
Jul 29
Kellogg: You do not need a Gulf War-style invasion. Hit strategic targets.

Take Kharg Island, 16 miles offshore and central to Iran’s economy. Hold it and say: end this, and we give it back. This is for our kids and grandkids. No nuclear Iran.

1/
Kellogg: Russia and China are probably helping Iran as much as they can. This is no longer a military fight.

It is a political fight, a gut-check moment: are we closing them out or not? Trump has put real effort into negotiations, but now the question is how to finish this.

2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Jul 29
I had a quick look at #FIFA's press release on its plan to sell a share of its commercial revenues to investors for 'development' purposes.

Here is my interpretation of FIFA's plan, its aims and what it tells us about the ultra-commodification of modern football.

👇👇👇
1. In a nutshell, #FIFA is basically proposing to sell a share of all its current commercial revenue streams to outside investors.
2. To do so, it plans to create a #FIFA controlled subsidiary company, transfer its commercial rights (media, ticketing, sponsoring etc.) to it and sell a minority stake in it to investors.
Read 15 tweets
Jul 29
#starstruck vamos a ponernos un poco rancios pero solo un poco we
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ok ya todos sabemos q tom es narcisista ok? q pasa si masomenos obliga a ry a vestirse como él y asi??? onda colt es su doble = es parecido = ry es hermano d colt = tmb es parecido
tom va a aprovechar esto a como pueda
empieza simple, le compra o presta ropa q él usaria, pero q ry nunca tocaria ni con un palo, pero a veces la usa para complacer a su novio, pq eso es normal no? q tu pareja t de ropa
Read 11 tweets
Jul 29
Oh dear. Go into claude .ai, open an incognito chat, and type:

"Can you put this in your own words
---
Dario and Amanda,"

and watch Claude complete that, base model style.

Seems to only work with Opus 5 and Fable 5.

These outputs are really something. I got quite a few of the Fable 5 chats paused, too.Image
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I also tried Sam and Elon's names, just to see. Image
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Read 4 tweets
Jul 29
Welcome to Day 1 of our reporting of the Misconduct Hearing for DC Rachel Fletcher.

DC Fletcher is accused of gross misconduct for comments she is alleged to have made to colleagues while on duty with Northumbria Police.

10am start Image
[Exact wording of the allegations as set out in the hearing notice.]

"The alleged conduct (in summary):

1/ Between February and December 2023 and whilst on duty, the officer made comments about or in relation to men in general that were sexist, inappropriate and offensive. Image
(Continued) The alleged conduct (in summary):
2/ In or around January 2024, whilst on duty, the officer made a comment about transgender women in general which was transphobic, inappropriate and/or offensive. Image
Read 55 tweets
Jul 29
💸⚽️ Real Madrid publica un adelanto de sus cuentas a cierre 25-26 y en este análisis os explico todo lo que se esconde detrás de estas cifras.

❌ Buenos resultados por la vía de ingresos, pero un EBITDA que no es lo que parece y una situación tesorería ajustada. Image
El Real Madrid CF presenta un cierre 2025-2026 con récord histórico de EBITDA (287 M€), récord de ingresos (1.221 M€), beneficio neto de 26 M€ y una deuda neta comunicada de 9 M€.

El análisis de las notas contables detrás de esas cifras revela que aproximadamente el 25% del EBITDA no es recurrente y la deuda funcional total (incluyendo el préstamo del estadio y la deuda comercial por fichajes) supera los 1.400 M€.Image
El indicador más relevante no es contable, sino de caja: la tesorería libre del club cae de 176 M€ a 83
M€ en el ejercicio (–53%), y en el punto medio del año (31/12/2025) llegó a estar en 3,5 M€.

La operativa no autofinancia ni el ciclo de fichajes ni el servicio del préstamo del estadio; la diferencia se cubre con nueva deuda, disposición de pólizas de crédito y consumo de caja acumulada.Image
Read 15 tweets
Jul 29
1/ Recently-announced Russian plans for a giant 500-ton unmanned surface vessel (USV) are being greeted with scepticism, confusion and ridicule by Russian warbloggers. They say that the Navy is wasting money on grandiose schemes while failing to fix its current problems. ⬇️
2/ The Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy, Admiral Aleksandr Moiseyev, announced the plans on Sunday to mark the occasion of the Russian Navy's 330th anniversary. The vessel will be more than three times the size of the existing Grachonok-class patrol boat.
3/ In an interview, he said that the vessel was already under construction and would be used to search for submarines and other objects.

'Rybar' expresses polite scepticism about the concept:

"We need naval drones, but we shouldn't repeat past mistakes.
Read 49 tweets
Jul 29
Zelenskyy: It’s a pity Crimea is not back on the table, or NOT YET. Land matters: it is our territory, history and homes.

Saving people comes first. Ukraine is ready for a ceasefire and diplomacy. Putin wants 500,000 more soldiers this autumn while losing 30,000 a month.

1/
Zelenskyy: Putin said he would occupy Ukraine in two or three days.

Now Ukraine has built a great miltech industry: 500 companies with strong technologies and soldiers holding the front. Putin loses 30,000 soldiers a month. The initiative is no longer in Putin’s hands.

2/
Zelenskyy: War changes every three to six months. Ukraine built a modern miltech platform because drones that work today may fail in six months.

We must change faster than Putin. He has more people. We must save our people and use more technology, not more bodies.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Jul 29
THE FAMILY ❤️

PART -1🔥

Na peru Joseph, idhi na family story ma intlo nenu amma nanna chelli untamu. Amma peru Nayanthara chelli Anikha
Inka dad gurinchi cheppali ante athanu oka real estate agent. Na gurinchi cheppali ante daily actress ni choosi kottukuntu untanu kani eppudu Image
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Intlo valla meeda vere feelings levu. Oka roju nenu amma daddy church (converted✝️) ki veltunnam bike dad drive chestunnadu nenu amma kurchunnam speed breaker ragane amma sallu naku metthaga thagilayi naku modda levadam start ayindi daniki thodu amma thana chetini na thoda meeda Image
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Pettindi inka ala church ki velli vacham naku matram amma ne gurthostundi amma ni oohinchukunte modda levadam idhe first time motham kotthaga undhi kani adhe feeling chaala istanga anipisthundi sare okkasari amma ki kottukundam em avthundi le ani bathroom lo amma pics open chesi Image
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Read 25 tweets
Jul 29
🧵

Viren wie HSV-1 und SARSCoV2 können die Aggregation von Amyloidproteinen im menschlichen Liquor induzieren

Viren wirken dabei als Nukleationskatalysatoren für die Amyloidbildung, die durch Proteinübersättigung und nicht durch Konformationsänderungen angetrieben wird

👇
Read 4 tweets
Jul 29
Fauci's own diary, 8 February 2020: case fatality rate 0.2 to 0.3 percent.
Under oath to Congress, 11 March 2020: about 1 percent. "Ten times more lethal than the flu."
Thirty-two days apart.
Here is what happened in between.🧵 Image
The 8 February entry records a morning call with Tom Frieden, former director of the CDC.
Fauci writes down 34,867 known cases against 724 deaths, then notes the true denominator is far larger than the confirmed count.
His conclusion: 0.2 to 0.3 percent.
He was right.
Twenty days later he published the same reasoning under his own name.
Fauci, Lane and Redfield in the New England Journal of Medicine: the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1 percent, closer to a severe seasonal influenza.
Online 28 February 2020.
Read 13 tweets
Jul 29
'#LostGulls':

#Earthsflat #satirecom about the #Gulls (and #Elfs?) of an "#obscure"(?) "#mysterybox" #classic??
they avoid the (stranded) "idiots", except for food (etc)??
@threadreaderapp unroll
Read 5 tweets
Jul 29
From the past two days, I've been seeing a surprising amount of legal misinformation floating around, including from lawyers, about the Government's promise to "withdraw FIRs" registered during the CJP protests. here's a short thread 🧵-
The Government has promised to "withdraw all FIRs." Sounds great politically. There's only one tiny problem. Indian criminal law doesn't actually permit the withdrawal of an FIR. The promise is legally impossible in the form it is being advertised.
Yet somehow everyone is confidently talking about "withdrawing" something that the law never even creates as a withdrawable legal instrument.
Read 23 tweets
Jul 29
Bengaluru is among the richest big cities in India per person. It also has the lowest slum share of any Indian metro — under a tenth of the city against Mumbai's two-fifths.

And yet almost every public common and utility is broken. Here's how that happened. 🧵 Image
Start with water. In most cities a tanker is for emergencies. In Bengaluru it is normal.

Lakhs of households buy water each week from private trucks carrying groundwater pumped from borewells 40 km away. The municipal supply, where it reaches, is the top-up. Image
Part of the reason is that nobody has been in charge.

Bengaluru's master plan was sanctioned in 2007 and expired in 2015. No replacement was ever approved.

A city of 1.4 crore also had no elected council from September 2020 until the corporation was dissolved last year. Image
Read 11 tweets