Most recent unrolls from @ThreadReaderApp
1/ Russia faces "tectonic events" in the near future due to Ukraine's seizure of the initiative in the war, which presages an "impending disaster", according to a gloomy commentary by Russian journalist and warblogger Maxim Kalashnikov. ⬇️
2/ Kalashnikov draws attention to the convergence of several unfavourable trends for Russia – economic, military and industrial – which he says are seriously threatening a Russian war effort that is faltering and weakened by chronic corruption, inertia, and backward-thinking.
3/ He writes:
"We are on the eve of a new upheaval. Anyone who studied dialectical and historical materialism ... knows that the number of changes always leads to a qualitative leap. Or a collapse.
War in early summer 2026 is the threshold of the latter. What do we have?"
"We are on the eve of a new upheaval. Anyone who studied dialectical and historical materialism ... knows that the number of changes always leads to a qualitative leap. Or a collapse.
War in early summer 2026 is the threshold of the latter. What do we have?"
بعد ساعات من إطلاق إيران صواريخ على إسرائيل، تحوّل خطاب حسابات إسرائيلية وأخرى مؤيدة لها من الاحتفاء بترامب إلى مهاجمة موقفه الداعي لخفض التصعيد.
❓فما الذي رصده تحليل إيكاد لخطاب هذه الحسابات؟
❓فما الذي رصده تحليل إيكاد لخطاب هذه الحسابات؟
🔻مساء الأحد 7 يونيو 2026، وبعد الضربة الإيرانية، بدأت حسابات مؤيدة لإسرائيل تنتقد ترامب علنًا، بعدما رأت أنه لا يريد لإسرائيل أن ترد على إيران.
🔻هذه الحسابات لم تكن من خصوم ترامب، بل من أكثر البيئات الرقمية تأييدًا له.
🔻هذه الحسابات لم تكن من خصوم ترامب، بل من أكثر البيئات الرقمية تأييدًا له.
🔻حساب Vivid، وهو من أبرز الحسابات التابعة للجان الموالية لإسرائيل انخرط بالحملة.
🔻وصف ترامب بأنه "يخطط لإبلاغ إسرائيل بعدم الرد على إيران"، ثم أضاف: "أحب ترامب، ودعمته لسنوات، لكن هذه المرة، آسف، إنه مخطئ. على إسرائيل أن ترد".
🔻وصف ترامب بأنه "يخطط لإبلاغ إسرائيل بعدم الرد على إيران"، ثم أضاف: "أحب ترامب، ودعمته لسنوات، لكن هذه المرة، آسف، إنه مخطئ. على إسرائيل أن ترد".
The @nytimes has published many one-sided pieces on Israel since October 7, but this ridiculous piece by @Megankstack buries the central fact so completely that you have to excavate the article to find it:
Israel did not start any of this. Hope that helps.
Now let me explain:
Israel did not start any of this. Hope that helps.
Now let me explain:
@nytimes @Megankstack The piece frames Israeli military action in Lebanon, Syria, Gaza, and Iran as evidence of a new expansionism, a country drunk on American backing, settler messianism, and military impunity.
Interesting.
Interesting.
What it treats as merely background noise is that every front it describes was already an active front of war against Israel.
That is the premise on which the entire argument depends.
That is the premise on which the entire argument depends.
If you watch p*rn, don’t expect Allah to put barakah in your time, energy, and discipline.
Here are 5 things your nafs is silently stealing from you:
Here are 5 things your nafs is silently stealing from you:
1. Your focus.
The nafs ammara doesn’t need much. One relapse. One night.
And suddenly you can’t stay on one task.
You open your laptop… but you’re on your phone, switching tabs, finishing nothing.
That’s not laziness. It’s the nafs still in control.
And the scary part? You don’t even notice it.
The nafs ammara doesn’t need much. One relapse. One night.
And suddenly you can’t stay on one task.
You open your laptop… but you’re on your phone, switching tabs, finishing nothing.
That’s not laziness. It’s the nafs still in control.
And the scary part? You don’t even notice it.
2. Your energy.
After a relapse you know the feeling.
Tired. Heavy. Slow. Already behind before Dhuhr even comes.
The ruh and nafs feel at war.
Feed the nafs through haram - the ruh feels weaker.
The Prophet ﷺ mentioned the “Ran” on the heart.
And you can feel that weight. Every time.
What does your du’a sound like when you’re carrying that?
After a relapse you know the feeling.
Tired. Heavy. Slow. Already behind before Dhuhr even comes.
The ruh and nafs feel at war.
Feed the nafs through haram - the ruh feels weaker.
The Prophet ﷺ mentioned the “Ran” on the heart.
And you can feel that weight. Every time.
What does your du’a sound like when you’re carrying that?
In 1942 a Black mess attendant saved 15 shipmates by towing them through shark-infested water for eight hours.
The Navy gave him a letter, and the country forgot him.
He died at 37, worn down by a war that never let go of him.
Eighty years later, the Navy named a warship after him.
This is the story of Charles Jackson French..🧵1/6
The Navy gave him a letter, and the country forgot him.
He died at 37, worn down by a war that never let go of him.
Eighty years later, the Navy named a warship after him.
This is the story of Charles Jackson French..🧵1/6
🧵 2/6
Charles Jackson French was born in 1919 in Foreman, Arkansas. His parents died when he was young, and he was raised by his older sister Viola in Omaha, Nebraska.
As a boy in the segregated South, he was barred from the whites-only swimming pools. So he learned to swim in the Red River. It was a skill that would one day save 15 lives.
At 18 he enlisted in the United States Navy. It was 1937, and the Navy, like almost everything else in America at the time, was segregated. At the time, the Navy severely restricted Black sailors to the Steward's Branch and related service roles. French served as a mess attendant, cooking, cleaning, and serving meals to white officers.
He finished his first enlistment and left the Navy in late 1941. Then, just days after the attack on Pearl Harbor, Charles French walked into a recruiting office and signed up again.
He was sent to the Pacific.
Charles Jackson French was born in 1919 in Foreman, Arkansas. His parents died when he was young, and he was raised by his older sister Viola in Omaha, Nebraska.
As a boy in the segregated South, he was barred from the whites-only swimming pools. So he learned to swim in the Red River. It was a skill that would one day save 15 lives.
At 18 he enlisted in the United States Navy. It was 1937, and the Navy, like almost everything else in America at the time, was segregated. At the time, the Navy severely restricted Black sailors to the Steward's Branch and related service roles. French served as a mess attendant, cooking, cleaning, and serving meals to white officers.
He finished his first enlistment and left the Navy in late 1941. Then, just days after the attack on Pearl Harbor, Charles French walked into a recruiting office and signed up again.
He was sent to the Pacific.
🧵 3/6
In the early hours of September 5 1942, French was aboard the USS Gregory, a lightly armed high-speed transport, patrolling the black water between Savo Island and Guadalcanal.
In the darkness a US aircraft accidentally dropped a flare that lit up the Gregory and her sister ship like targets on a stage. Three Japanese destroyers opened fire. The Gregory was hit again and again and sank within minutes.
The survivors were thrown into the open ocean. Many were badly wounded. Sharks moved through the water around them, and a Japanese-held island lay nearby where capture would likely mean death.
French was one of the few men who was uninjured. He helped gather 15 wounded shipmates onto a raft. But the current was slowly dragging them toward the enemy shore.
So French made a decision that should have been impossible.
He tied a rope from the raft around his own waist, slipped into the shark-infested water, and began to swim, pulling all 15 men behind him.
In the early hours of September 5 1942, French was aboard the USS Gregory, a lightly armed high-speed transport, patrolling the black water between Savo Island and Guadalcanal.
In the darkness a US aircraft accidentally dropped a flare that lit up the Gregory and her sister ship like targets on a stage. Three Japanese destroyers opened fire. The Gregory was hit again and again and sank within minutes.
The survivors were thrown into the open ocean. Many were badly wounded. Sharks moved through the water around them, and a Japanese-held island lay nearby where capture would likely mean death.
French was one of the few men who was uninjured. He helped gather 15 wounded shipmates onto a raft. But the current was slowly dragging them toward the enemy shore.
So French made a decision that should have been impossible.
He tied a rope from the raft around his own waist, slipped into the shark-infested water, and began to swim, pulling all 15 men behind him.
#SamediCinéma
#MitterrandAuCinéma
Le Roman du pouvoir, Patrick Rotman et Jean Lacouture
III. Les Illusions perdues (1981-1988)
I. Revue des événements
II. Remarques
🧵1/8
#MitterrandAuCinéma
Le Roman du pouvoir, Patrick Rotman et Jean Lacouture
III. Les Illusions perdues (1981-1988)
I. Revue des événements
II. Remarques
🧵1/8
I. - 1981 L’état de grâce dure 6 mois : mesures sociales, abolition de la peine de mort, c’est l’accomplissement des promesses du candidat.
Cependant, faire passer la politique avant l’économie n’est plus possible à l’automne et il faut dévaluer le franc.
2/8
Cependant, faire passer la politique avant l’économie n’est plus possible à l’automne et il faut dévaluer le franc.
2/8
- 82-84 : 2e et 3e dévaluations et pause dans les réformes.
Engagement européen : discours du Bundestag, la France reste dans le SME (83) et sommet de Fontainebleau (84).
- 84-86 : Fabius 1er ministre, crise de l’école, affaire Greenpeace.
FM mène le tout en luttant contre le cancer.
3/8
Engagement européen : discours du Bundestag, la France reste dans le SME (83) et sommet de Fontainebleau (84).
- 84-86 : Fabius 1er ministre, crise de l’école, affaire Greenpeace.
FM mène le tout en luttant contre le cancer.
3/8
1/ The explosion in Moscow this morning killed Colonel Damir Davydov, head of the procurement department of the Main Missile and Artillery Directorate of the Russian Ministry of Defense, according to VChK-OGPU. ⬇️
2/ VChK-OGPU reports:
"The BMW X3 in which Damir Davydov, head of the Main Missile and Artillery Directorate [GRAU] of the Russian Ministry of Defence, was blown up today belongs to Davydov himself. He purchased the used car in 2024 from a businessman in the Vladimir region.
"The BMW X3 in which Damir Davydov, head of the Main Missile and Artillery Directorate [GRAU] of the Russian Ministry of Defence, was blown up today belongs to Davydov himself. He purchased the used car in 2024 from a businessman in the Vladimir region.
3/ "More than 15 years ago, Davydov headed the Central Testing Technical Bureau at the 51st Arsenal of the Main Missile and Artillery Directorate of the Russian Ministry of Defense, located in the Vladimir region.
Ouvimos que o problema não é o salário mínimo mas a sua proximidade com o salário médio. Concordo em parte. Mas desvalorizar o SMN é um erro.
Espanha subiu o SMN sem inflação descontrolada — permitindo consumo de maior qualidade. O problema não é o mínimo, é o modelo de baixo valor que se aproveita dele.
~870 mil trabalhadores recebem o SMN (20% dos assalariados). Maioria não paga IRS. Sem base tributável alargada, não há Estado social pagável: saúde, educação, infraestruturas ficam reféns. SMN baixo = consumo baixo.
🧵 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐑𝐮𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐨𝐧 𝐓𝐚𝐦𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐥, 𝐓𝐚𝐣𝐬𝐢𝐦, 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐓𝐚𝐬𝐡𝐛𝐢𝐡 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐇𝐚𝐧𝐛𝐚𝐥𝐢 𝐌𝐚𝐝𝐡𝐡𝐚𝐛
Tamthil becomes clear disbelief when a person means that Allah’s attributes share the same haqiqah (ontological reality), kunh (quintessential nature),
Tamthil becomes clear disbelief when a person means that Allah’s attributes share the same haqiqah (ontological reality), kunh (quintessential nature),
kayfiyyah (modality), or mahiyyah (quiddity) as the attributes of created beings. Likewise, it is disbelief to claim that Allah’s dhat (essence) or sifat fall under a shared genus and differentia with created things, or to ascribe the specific properties of creation to Allah.
This would necessarily entail affirming created limitations for Allah, exalted is He above that. Examples of this include the belief of Christians who ascribe divinity to Isa Ibn Maryam, a created human being, and idol worshippers who direct worship to created forms and statues.
"[We consider] an unequivocal military defeat and occupation of Germany absolutely necessary for moral and political reasons." -Helmuth James von Moltke
They urged Britain to start the war.
They sabotaged the Eastern Front.
What did these gentlemen do on D-Day?
A thread. 🧵
They urged Britain to start the war.
They sabotaged the Eastern Front.
What did these gentlemen do on D-Day?
A thread. 🧵
"We know that the success of our struggle would likely mean the complete collapse of our national unit. But we are prepared to face that." -Helmuth James von Moltke, 1942.
When people tell you who they are, listen.
This is what aristocracy looks like.
When people tell you who they are, listen.
This is what aristocracy looks like.
In 1943, Canaris has Moltke meet the OSS in Istanbul.
OSS agents tell Bill Donovan of "the readiness of a powerful German group to prearrange and support military operations of the Allies against Nazi Germany," and draft the "Hermann Plan" for the Chiefs of Staff.
OSS agents tell Bill Donovan of "the readiness of a powerful German group to prearrange and support military operations of the Allies against Nazi Germany," and draft the "Hermann Plan" for the Chiefs of Staff.
Documentos obtidos pela equipe do Intercept Brasil desmentem a versão de aliados ao bolsonarismo de que não havia comprovação das transações financeiras de Daniel Vorcaro para fundo ligado a Eduardo Bolsonaro.
Segue o fio para conferir 🧶👇
Segue o fio para conferir 🧶👇
🧵I asked Alter Statems AI to explain the connections between the gut, the immune system, and autonomic nervous system dysfunction. Remember to always double check an AI for accuracy.
🦠 The Gut: Not Just a Digestive Tube
The gut is arguably the most underestimated organ system in the body. It's not just where food goes — it's a 30-foot-long neurological and immunological command center that operates with remarkable autonomy.
The gut is arguably the most underestimated organ system in the body. It's not just where food goes — it's a 30-foot-long neurological and immunological command center that operates with remarkable autonomy.
Key anatomical facts:
The gut contains roughly 100 million neurons — more than the spinal cord — forming the enteric nervous system(ENS), often called the "second brain."
It houses approximately 70-80% of the body's total immune cells, concentrated in the gut-associated lymphoid tissue (GALT).
The gut epithelium is a single cell layer thick — a microscopic barrier between you and the outside world. The surface area? About 300 square meters, roughly the size of a tennis court.
The gut contains roughly 100 million neurons — more than the spinal cord — forming the enteric nervous system(ENS), often called the "second brain."
It houses approximately 70-80% of the body's total immune cells, concentrated in the gut-associated lymphoid tissue (GALT).
The gut epithelium is a single cell layer thick — a microscopic barrier between you and the outside world. The surface area? About 300 square meters, roughly the size of a tennis court.
Claude Fable 5 is here. New model generation, new way of working.
Here's how to get started in Claude Code and on the Claude Platform: 🧵
Here's how to get started in Claude Code and on the Claude Platform: 🧵
In Claude Code, run /model and select Fable from the model picker, or switch directly with:
/model claude-fable-5
/model claude-fable-5
In the API, switch the model ID parameter to "claude-fable-5" in both the Messages API and Claude Managed Agents. For some accounts, an admin may need to enable access first.
The /claude-api skill in Claude Code can help you build with Fable on the API.
The /claude-api skill in Claude Code can help you build with Fable on the API.
Some of the worst misconceptions about flyover country come from ignorant urbanites who are quite literally flying over our states
I've read a number of these. They are surprised by the sheer vastness of the Heartland. When they look down they think they see unowned emptiness
1/
I've read a number of these. They are surprised by the sheer vastness of the Heartland. When they look down they think they see unowned emptiness
1/
occupied by nothing and nobody. Then they do two interesting mental tricks. Because the interior of America looks empty to them, they somehow decide that it is their property to do what they wish with, that whatever ideas they have should govern.
2/
2/
The next trick is highly encouraged, and if they think about the people at all - they believe them to be social & mental inferiors. Just the hicks & yokels from the middle of bumblefuck nowhere. Really, too unimportant to have a say.
3/
3/
Introducing Claude Fable 5: a Mythos-class model that we’ve made safe for general use.
Its capabilities exceed those of any model we’ve ever made generally available.
Its capabilities exceed those of any model we’ve ever made generally available.
Fable 5 is state-of-the-art on nearly all tested benchmarks, with exceptional performance in software engineering, knowledge work, scientific research, and vision.
The longer and more complex the task, the larger Fable 5’s lead over our other models.
The longer and more complex the task, the larger Fable 5’s lead over our other models.
Releasing a model this capable comes with risks. Without safeguards, Fable 5’s capabilities in areas like cybersecurity could be misused to cause serious damage.
Queries on a narrow range of topics will instead receive a response from our next-most-capable model, Opus 4.8.
Queries on a narrow range of topics will instead receive a response from our next-most-capable model, Opus 4.8.
@afro_hamza The one great setback- most of the religions face is that; the let down their guard and let the liberals( non-political ) decide what the interpretation is ,leading to erosion of authenticity and coining of terms as “Orthodoxy” or “literalist” e.g. the baptists in Christianity..
@afro_hamza Were immune to the theological drift most other sects went through theological liberalism( e.g a Christian saying i don’t really care what the book says ( bible ) one should be nice to people ; but the fact being Christianity being more than that ; e.g in muslim context
@afro_hamza Heart should be pure no matter the actions of the Individuals as in :” telling someone to pray, be modest , be mindful etc“ and them saying heart is what matters; as if The God who revealed the book ( Quran ) is oblivious to this fact)
Algunos tienen dudas sobre la falta de presición del conteo rápido. En cambio, la predicción de fue más precisa.
¡No hay nada sorprendente!
Explico el porqué.
Gracias @chubakueno por absolver mis dudas el domingo.elecciones-peru.live
¡No hay nada sorprendente!
Explico el porqué.
Gracias @chubakueno por absolver mis dudas el domingo.elecciones-peru.live
Primero, supongamos, en honor a Antauro, que los dioses del Tawantinsuyo nos quieren jugar una mala pasada y hacer del conteo rápido lo más impreciso posible. ¿Qué deberían hacer?
1) que la elección lo más pegada posible, 50.1% al ganador.
2) maximizar el error muestral
1) que la elección lo más pegada posible, 50.1% al ganador.
2) maximizar el error muestral
El conteo rápido es una muestra de 1k mesas sobre un total de 90k.
Si cada mesa i tiene una preferencia pᵢ por un candidato. Maximizar el error muestral es maximizar:
max varianza S² = promedio de (pᵢ− p̄)²,
sujeto a
promedio pᵢ = p̄=0.501.
Solución abajo...👇
Si cada mesa i tiene una preferencia pᵢ por un candidato. Maximizar el error muestral es maximizar:
max varianza S² = promedio de (pᵢ− p̄)²,
sujeto a
promedio pᵢ = p̄=0.501.
Solución abajo...👇
Emotional suppression proves harmful because it sustains chronic stress and inflammation that gradually impair brain function. 🧵
Today, we're introducing Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5, two configurations of our next major language model.
I'd normally highlight the numbers: It's SOTA on nearly all benchmarks. I want to talk about something else, because with Fable 5 out in the world, I think a third era quietly started today.
I lead Claude Code & Cowork on the desktop, so I think a lot about how people use AI to get work done. I believe we're about to see a major shift, moving from giving AI tasks to giving it responsibilities.
I'd normally highlight the numbers: It's SOTA on nearly all benchmarks. I want to talk about something else, because with Fable 5 out in the world, I think a third era quietly started today.
I lead Claude Code & Cowork on the desktop, so I think a lot about how people use AI to get work done. I believe we're about to see a major shift, moving from giving AI tasks to giving it responsibilities.
When LLMs first hit the mainstream, users asked them questions, like a smarter search engine or an autocomplete for code.
Then the frontier moved to tasks, handing the model an entire problem. Which bug to fix, what doc to write. That's how most of our advanced users work with AI: They're in the loop. Every task starts and ends with a human.
Then the frontier moved to tasks, handing the model an entire problem. Which bug to fix, what doc to write. That's how most of our advanced users work with AI: They're in the loop. Every task starts and ends with a human.
With Fable 5, I've personally moved on to responsibilities or "loops".
I no longer tell Claude to investigate a particular crash report. It runs in a loop, watching every crash report that comes in. Its job is no longer to help me fix a crash, it's to keep our apps from crashing.
I no longer tell Claude to investigate a particular crash report. It runs in a loop, watching every crash report that comes in. Its job is no longer to help me fix a crash, it's to keep our apps from crashing.
Desde que o Intercept revelou as negociações entre Flávio Bolsonaro e Daniel Vorcaro para financiar o filme Dark Horse, aliados do bolsonarismo passaram a afirmar que não existiam provas das transações financeiras. Documentos obtidos por nossa equipe desmentem essa versão e ajudam a reconstruir o caminho percorrido pelo dinheiro.
Segue o fio para mais detalhes 🧶👇
Segue o fio para mais detalhes 🧶👇
Desde que o Intercept revelou as negociações entre Flávio Bolsonaro e Daniel Vorcaro para financiar o filme Dark Horse, aliados do bolsonarismo passaram a afirmar que não existiam provas das transações financeiras.
Agora, dois novos documentos ajudam a reconstruir o caminho percorrido pelo dinheiro.
Agora, dois novos documentos ajudam a reconstruir o caminho percorrido pelo dinheiro.
O primeiro documento é uma planilha intitulada "Funding Schedule", apresentada nas conversas dos envolvidos como o cronograma de financiamento do projeto. O arquivo registra uma operação de quase US$ 24 milhões — cerca de R$ 134 milhões na época —, exatamente o valor que o Intercept Brasil revelou na primeira reportagem da série.
When I placed the Renewed Hope Agenda before Nigerians, I did not speak of housing in vague terms. I gave my word that this administration would work to make decent homes affordable again, and that a hardworking family, after years of paying rent, would finally have a path to a house of its own.
Let me account for that promise plainly, by juxtaposing what we pledged beside what we have actually achieved.
1/
Let me account for that promise plainly, by juxtaposing what we pledged beside what we have actually achieved.
1/
We promised a programme built on a national scale, 100,000 homes in all, with 50,000 in the first phase through cities of 1,000 units in every geopolitical zone and the Federal Capital Territory, and estates of up to 500 units in the remaining 30 states.
What stands today is no longer a drawing. We broke ground on more than 3,000 homes at Karsana in Abuja, the 2,000-unit city at Ibeju-Lekki in Lagos has reached advanced completion with sales already underway, and across the country, more than 15,000 units are rising as I write this.
2/
What stands today is no longer a drawing. We broke ground on more than 3,000 homes at Karsana in Abuja, the 2,000-unit city at Ibeju-Lekki in Lagos has reached advanced completion with sales already underway, and across the country, more than 15,000 units are rising as I write this.
2/
A house does not begin at its walls, and we refused to govern as though it did. We promised to confront the foundation, the tools and the cost of building itself.
So we have moved to title land that sat for generations as dead capital, working with the World Bank to lift this nation from fewer than one plot in ten formally registered toward one in two.
We have strengthened the framework that governs equipment leasing, so that a builder or contractor can secure the machines a project needs with legal certainty and the confidence of those who finance them, and no site stands idle for want of a crane.
And,we have published uniform prices on our homes, so that no Nigerian pays a bribe to learn the cost of a roof, while raising materials hubs in all six zones so that we build with our own hands and our own resources.
3/
So we have moved to title land that sat for generations as dead capital, working with the World Bank to lift this nation from fewer than one plot in ten formally registered toward one in two.
We have strengthened the framework that governs equipment leasing, so that a builder or contractor can secure the machines a project needs with legal certainty and the confidence of those who finance them, and no site stands idle for want of a crane.
And,we have published uniform prices on our homes, so that no Nigerian pays a bribe to learn the cost of a roof, while raising materials hubs in all six zones so that we build with our own hands and our own resources.
3/