Most recent unrolls from @ThreadReaderApp
The ongoing problem for the @opcw is that it cannot erase the fact that it helped cover up the murder of 43 civilians in Douma during the investigation of an alleged chlorine gas attack in 2018.
1) When its own scientists sought to challenge the corrupted investigation, they were sidelined and then smeared. Inspector Brendan Whelan recently won his ILOAT case against the @opcw. thegrayzone.com/2026/05/24/opc…
2) During the course of the ILOAT legal battle, the @opcw inadvertently confirmed that they had censored a report from top NATO chemical weapons experts (toxicologists) which had concluded these civilians could not have been killed by chlorine gas:
Perhaps TB's counsel ought to review this case with him before he goes around abusing Christopher Mattei some more. The citation is Mohammed v. Anderson, 833 F. App’x 570 (7th Cir. 2020):
Let's see what Mr. Mohammed did. It seems to have included some rather tame name-calling (milksop? namby-pamby?) among other more obnoxious behavior:
"Free speech! First Amendment!," cried Mr. Mohamed.
Last dunk on Kathy, I promise.
Here’s a thread of some of the Knicks games President @realDonaldTrump has attended over the years.
P.S: I couldn’t find a single picture of Hochul at MSG cheering them on.
Here’s a thread of some of the Knicks games President @realDonaldTrump has attended over the years.
P.S: I couldn’t find a single picture of Hochul at MSG cheering them on.
Actor Elliott Gould is seen conversing with President Donald Trump court-side during the New York Knicks game against the Phoenix Suns on March 5, 1991.
President Donald Trump and John F. Kennedy Jr. at the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers game at Madison Square Garden on March 31, 1999.
I got tired of the Moody's K-shaped debate.
Still, it's worth repeating some additional, somewhat technical, but important issues.
0. Moody's approach essentially amounts to saying:
Share of Consumption done by top 10%
= Consumption of top 10% divided by Total Personal Consumption Expenditures
= (Disposable income of top 10% - Savings of top 10%) divided by (Total disposable income - Total savings).
To do this, you need:
- to define the top 10% of *what*
- good estimates of the amount of disposable income received by the top 10%, and the share of savings they do *out of that concept of disposable income*. Unfortunately, they have neither.
Still, it's worth repeating some additional, somewhat technical, but important issues.
0. Moody's approach essentially amounts to saying:
Share of Consumption done by top 10%
= Consumption of top 10% divided by Total Personal Consumption Expenditures
= (Disposable income of top 10% - Savings of top 10%) divided by (Total disposable income - Total savings).
To do this, you need:
- to define the top 10% of *what*
- good estimates of the amount of disposable income received by the top 10%, and the share of savings they do *out of that concept of disposable income*. Unfortunately, they have neither.
1. To find out the disposable income of the top 10%, Moody's starts from the BEA's total *personal disposable income* ($23 trillion: post-tax, inclusive of c. $1T owner-imputed rent and $2T in employer insurance/pension/Social Security contributions, excl. of realized K gains).
They then multiply it by the observed share of the *SCF's concept of total income* (pre-tax; exclusive of owner-imputed rent or employer contributions; incl. of realized K gains) accruing to the top 10% in the latest Survey of Consumer Finances.
This is plain wrong:
a. pre-tax income is more concentrated than post-tax (taxes are progressive!)
b. realized K gains are highly concentrated at the top (they are very lumpy and asset ownership is concentrated!)
c. both owner-imputed rent and employer contributions are an equalizing force for the distribution of BEA-style disposable income.
So this methodology yields highly inflated shares of BEA disposable income for the top 10% (about 50% instead of the BEA's own calculation of 34-35%).
NB: Moody's corrected their methodology since March 2026 to at least use a post-federal tax correction after many people, including me, pointed out this.
They then multiply it by the observed share of the *SCF's concept of total income* (pre-tax; exclusive of owner-imputed rent or employer contributions; incl. of realized K gains) accruing to the top 10% in the latest Survey of Consumer Finances.
This is plain wrong:
a. pre-tax income is more concentrated than post-tax (taxes are progressive!)
b. realized K gains are highly concentrated at the top (they are very lumpy and asset ownership is concentrated!)
c. both owner-imputed rent and employer contributions are an equalizing force for the distribution of BEA-style disposable income.
So this methodology yields highly inflated shares of BEA disposable income for the top 10% (about 50% instead of the BEA's own calculation of 34-35%).
NB: Moody's corrected their methodology since March 2026 to at least use a post-federal tax correction after many people, including me, pointed out this.
2. Moody's approach for allocating savings by disposable income groups amounts to then allocating the very tiny amount of BEA personal savings (e.g. 4% of disposable personal income in Q4-2025) across these groups. Note that even if they assumed that *all* personal savings were done by the top 10%, they would find a lower bound of 50-4=46% of consumption done by the top 10%, still above even the share of disposable income computed by the BEA for this top decile.
However, this concept of savings is completely inconsistent with the use of the SCF concept of income. Even abstracting from the tax part, the appropriate to use savings rates as a share of "SCF-style" income would be substantially higher at the top than personal savings rates as a share of "BEA-style" disposable cash income, because:
a. savings rates out of capital gains are much higher than out of disposable cash income
b. savings rates out of owner-imputed rent, employer-paid benefits, and imputed financial services are all zero in the BEA (pushing "BEA savings rates" down), but these are not part of the cash income SCF measure.
However, this concept of savings is completely inconsistent with the use of the SCF concept of income. Even abstracting from the tax part, the appropriate to use savings rates as a share of "SCF-style" income would be substantially higher at the top than personal savings rates as a share of "BEA-style" disposable cash income, because:
a. savings rates out of capital gains are much higher than out of disposable cash income
b. savings rates out of owner-imputed rent, employer-paid benefits, and imputed financial services are all zero in the BEA (pushing "BEA savings rates" down), but these are not part of the cash income SCF measure.
🚨 Callais plaintiffs accuse Louisiana of dragging out the redistricting process and concealing the state’s true election deadline to keep an allegedly unconstitutional race-based congressional map in place for the 2026 elections.
Plaintiffs argue that Louisiana’s leading proposed congressional map, SB121, preserves the race-based structure of the current majority-Black 2nd District, emulating the 2022 and 2011 maps.
The filing says Louisiana officials have repeatedly refused to disclose the state’s actual deadline for implementing a new congressional map, even as lawmakers move slowly on redistricting legislation.
@BalogunSonia4 I'm happy it is a woman that said this. I guess she had to say it.
The reason is because, there are too many pretty women while there are just few rich men.
Still the reason it is also easy to replace the pretty woman is because all women ever offer is pussy except the outliers.
The reason is because, there are too many pretty women while there are just few rich men.
Still the reason it is also easy to replace the pretty woman is because all women ever offer is pussy except the outliers.
@BalogunSonia4 So if you are breaking up with me, fine, you can go since you don't offer anything other than pussy. And there are other pretty girls begging to do the same because I'm rich.
@BalogunSonia4 But you as a pretty woman can't just get a rich man, except he picks you out of the multiple pretty women chasing him.
That is why there are so many pretty women with broke boyfriends and that is because women don't pick men, men pick women.
That is why there are so many pretty women with broke boyfriends and that is because women don't pick men, men pick women.
Listening to the Norman interview again and it's just blatant how he is trying to gatekeep the Palestine issue for reasons that have nothing to do with Palestine. He says so openly: he attacks the right out of a fear of possible blowback against American jews for the Iran war.
The whole song and dance about how the right is ~~never~~ motivated by suffering or injustice is a thin veneer covering the real problem: according to Finkelstein himself(!!!), jews have acted as a fifth column inside America and are now risking some kind of reckoning.
But if we're being cooly objective here, the motivations of someone like MTG shouldn't matter. If she is out there telling young people in America that Israel treats Palestinians horribly, how is that NOT greasing the skids for the Left to move in and capitalize?
Good evening, I will be live-tweeting the Newfields 143rd Annual Meeting today at 5:30pm for @indydocumenters @mirrorindy. #indydocumenters
Chairwoman Anne Sellers gave the greeting and introduction. She welcomed President and CEO Le Monte G. Booker Sr. He gave stats on the accomplishments and achievements of Newfields this year.
President Booker shared about his background coming from Chicago with a life shaped by art, and what it means to him. discovernewfields.org/newsroom/welco…
🧵 I watched Hasan’s Cuba doc so you don’t have to
A regular Hasan viewer asked me to watch his Cuba documentary, seemingly because it would change my mind. It actually did the opposite.
We are still waiting to learn more about the reported OFAC probe into the Nuestra América Cuba convoy, which Fox says involves as many as 40 Americans, including Hasan Piker.
But this is the “journalism” Hasan is going to point to as proof that his Cuba trip was legitimate.
The medical missions are presented as pure humanitarian virtue, with no serious scrutiny of the forced-labor allegations, how much of the doctors’ pay the regime keeps, or whether host countries are receiving fully accredited care.
Cuba’s blackout-ridden, Soviet-era power grid becomes a story about American cruelty and heroic solar panels from China, not the regime’s decades of mismanagement.
The medical “miracle cures” get the soft-touch treatment too, with no real interrogation of what has actually been proven, what is still experimental, and what is just regime hype.
And the doc literally ends with a close-up on The People’s Forum, CODEPINK, a Fidel Castro billboard reading “Fidel, faithful to your legacy,” as Hasan repeats the revolutionary slogan “Patria o muerte, venceremos.”
But wait, there’s more.
A regular Hasan viewer asked me to watch his Cuba documentary, seemingly because it would change my mind. It actually did the opposite.
We are still waiting to learn more about the reported OFAC probe into the Nuestra América Cuba convoy, which Fox says involves as many as 40 Americans, including Hasan Piker.
But this is the “journalism” Hasan is going to point to as proof that his Cuba trip was legitimate.
The medical missions are presented as pure humanitarian virtue, with no serious scrutiny of the forced-labor allegations, how much of the doctors’ pay the regime keeps, or whether host countries are receiving fully accredited care.
Cuba’s blackout-ridden, Soviet-era power grid becomes a story about American cruelty and heroic solar panels from China, not the regime’s decades of mismanagement.
The medical “miracle cures” get the soft-touch treatment too, with no real interrogation of what has actually been proven, what is still experimental, and what is just regime hype.
And the doc literally ends with a close-up on The People’s Forum, CODEPINK, a Fidel Castro billboard reading “Fidel, faithful to your legacy,” as Hasan repeats the revolutionary slogan “Patria o muerte, venceremos.”
But wait, there’s more.
I honestly don’t think I’ve ever seen anything quite like it.
Almost 15% of the entire documentary is just Cuba’s Deputy Foreign Minister, Carlos F. de Cossio, talking largely uninterrupted.
Almost 15% of the entire documentary is just Cuba’s Deputy Foreign Minister, Carlos F. de Cossio, talking largely uninterrupted.
Even Medea Benjamin, who is reportedly also facing a subpoena, has offered a more critical view of Cuba than Hasan’s documentary ever did.
The Egyptian Origins of the Tree of Life and Kabbalah - I
Before the Sefirot were written on parchment, they were engineered in stone. This part tracks how the structural matrix of the Tree of Life was built along the Nile, hidden inside temple geometry and divine genealogies.
🧵
Before the Sefirot were written on parchment, they were engineered in stone. This part tracks how the structural matrix of the Tree of Life was built along the Nile, hidden inside temple geometry and divine genealogies.
🧵
The Tree of Life is widely known as the geometric heart of Jewish Kabbalah. But history and archaeology reveal a deeper truth: its mathematical matrix, metaphysical laws, and initiatory structures were fully operated in Ancient Egypt millennia before.
To understand the historical transition of this sacred science, we must look beyond dogma. What medieval Cabalists codified into 10 abstract spheres (Sephirot) and 22 paths was a brilliant linguistic translation of Egypt’s pictographic and architectural mysteries.
A thread.
As much of this conversation is limited by blocks and its hard to follow I thought I’d put it all here in a thread.
Watch as JK Rowling tries to offer pearls. Communication appears impossible at this point.
It starts here. Simple enough. 1/
As much of this conversation is limited by blocks and its hard to follow I thought I’d put it all here in a thread.
Watch as JK Rowling tries to offer pearls. Communication appears impossible at this point.
It starts here. Simple enough. 1/
The misunderstanding begins immediately. 2/
JK Rowling attempts once again. Patiently. Oh so patiently. 3/
Dreamina integra creación visual a partir de imagen, texto, video y audio en una sola plataforma.
Dentro de ella, Dreamina Seedance 2.0 destaca como uno de los modelos más potentes del momento, logrando el #1 en los tres rankings de Arena: T2V, I2V y Video Edit.
Incluso supera a modelos como HappyHorse en rendimiento.
Lo mejor: ya está disponible para todos en Dreamina, sin espera.
Dentro de ella, Dreamina Seedance 2.0 destaca como uno de los modelos más potentes del momento, logrando el #1 en los tres rankings de Arena: T2V, I2V y Video Edit.
Incluso supera a modelos como HappyHorse en rendimiento.
Lo mejor: ya está disponible para todos en Dreamina, sin espera.
Descubre Dreamina Seedance 2.0, el modelo de video multimodal líder en la industria, diseñado para contar historias que cobran vida.
Fusiona imágenes, videos, audio y texto para crear narrativas impresionantes, con un control absoluto sobre cada acción, efecto visual y movimiento de cámara.
Fusiona imágenes, videos, audio y texto para crear narrativas impresionantes, con un control absoluto sobre cada acción, efecto visual y movimiento de cámara.
Su capacidad multimodal hace que la creación sea más flexible, ya que permite la generación conjunta de imágenes, video, audio y texto, al mismo tiempo que mantiene una alta consistencia entre distintos estilos, logrando resultados más estables y coherentes.
Tu creatividad, sin límites!
Tu creatividad, sin límites!
1/ Right now, a bill called C-22 is moving through Parliament. It would let police pull information on who you talk to, when, and where, all without a warrant. It's at committee this week. 🧵
2/ C-22 drops the bar for police to "reasonable suspicion," the lowest threshold in Canadian criminal law, and forces your providers to keep a year of everyone's metadata. Michael Geist calls it "a comprehensive surveillance map of virtually every Canadian."
3/ It even opens the door to handing your data to Trump's America without a Canadian judge. The biggest civil-liberties groups in the country, from the CCLA to OpenMedia, call C-22 the most expansive invasion of our privacy rights in modern history.
thewalrus.ca/trump-wants-to…
thewalrus.ca/trump-wants-to…
ALERT: 35 Former federal judges file motion in Florida asking court to *re-open* Trump's $10 billion lawsuit vs. his I.R.S.
Filing: "This court was deceived"
"The 'settlement' commandeers the contrived sum of $1.776 billion from the U.S. Treasury"
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…
Filing: "This court was deceived"
"The 'settlement' commandeers the contrived sum of $1.776 billion from the U.S. Treasury"
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…
Former federal judges in their filing asking court to re-open Trump's $10 billion lawsuit vs. I.R.S.
They argue Trump and his own I.R.S. and Justice Dept are plotting together
FILING: "The parties to this case are using this lawsuit as the legal justification for these actions. This is not speculation; the parties themselves have proclaimed it"
(MORE)
They argue Trump and his own I.R.S. and Justice Dept are plotting together
FILING: "The parties to this case are using this lawsuit as the legal justification for these actions. This is not speculation; the parties themselves have proclaimed it"
(MORE)
Former federal judges on the slush fund
"This “settlement” is a product of collusion and is itself a fraud on the Court"
"This “settlement” is a product of collusion and is itself a fraud on the Court"
1\🧵
Bizarrely high price for citizens for failing 'group immunity' in corona approach.
We present here our systems-risk and precautionary management analysis for the Dutch Corona Inquiry.
This will reframe the Inquiry!
Cc: #PECorona
@Daandekort92 @songulmutluer @RobJetten
Bizarrely high price for citizens for failing 'group immunity' in corona approach.
We present here our systems-risk and precautionary management analysis for the Dutch Corona Inquiry.
This will reframe the Inquiry!
Cc: #PECorona
@Daandekort92 @songulmutluer @RobJetten
2a\🧵
Extreme high price for citizens of government's denial of:
🔸️*early* warnings
🔸️arrrogant dismissal
🔸️extreme lingering cost of COVID/LongCOVID's immune legacy.
Extreme high price for citizens of government's denial of:
🔸️*early* warnings
🔸️arrrogant dismissal
🔸️extreme lingering cost of COVID/LongCOVID's immune legacy.
2b\🧵
Various perpetrators here:
De Jonge, Van Dissel, Marion Koopmans, Bonte, Veldhoen, Keulemans
Various perpetrators here:
De Jonge, Van Dissel, Marion Koopmans, Bonte, Veldhoen, Keulemans
Bolton: Iran is using negotiations to prove it controls the Strait of Hormuz, that everyone must bargain with Tehran before Arab oil and cargoes leave the Gulf.
If Iran can turn Hormuz on and off like a light switch, the precedent is disastrous. 1/
If Iran can turn Hormuz on and off like a light switch, the precedent is disastrous. 1/
Bolton: Tehran is desperately playing for time.
If Iran gets control of the Strait and resumes oil revenues, it will rebuild the Quds Force, militias, nuclear program, missile program and drone program — then threaten the Gulf even more. 2/
If Iran gets control of the Strait and resumes oil revenues, it will rebuild the Quds Force, militias, nuclear program, missile program and drone program — then threaten the Gulf even more. 2/
Bolton: Freedom of the seas is the core issue. Hormuz was an international waterway where commercial vessels and even warships had the right of innocent passage.
If Iran can control passage or charge tolls, that right is becoming history. 3/
If Iran can control passage or charge tolls, that right is becoming history. 3/
Imagina que te ofrecen un trabajo que consiste en sobrevivir meses en una roca en medio del mar, rodeado de tormentas asesinas y sin posibilidad de escape. ¿Lo aceptarías? Estos son los 9 faros más letales, aislados y claustrofóbicos del planeta. Tira del hilo 🧵👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
En la costa sur de Islandia se alza el faro de Thrídrangar, construido en 1939 sobre un pilar basáltico de cuarenta metros de altura. No hay muelle ni escaleras posibles y, para edificarlo, alpinistas profesionales escalaron la piedra resbaladiza bajo olas asesinas.
Durante décadas, el único modo de que los fareros accedieran a su puesto de trabajo en Thrídrangar era saltando desde un barco en movimiento hacia un diminuto saliente de roca. Te hablé sobre él aquí
O escândalo do Rioprevidência é maior do que está sendo contado.
A imprensa cobriu os R$ 3 bilhões, a Operação Compliance Zero e o Cláudio Castro. Mas os detalhes mais absurdos estão nos acórdãos do TCE e esses não saíram em lugar nenhum.
Eu li. Vou resumir pra vocês. 🧵
A imprensa cobriu os R$ 3 bilhões, a Operação Compliance Zero e o Cláudio Castro. Mas os detalhes mais absurdos estão nos acórdãos do TCE e esses não saíram em lugar nenhum.
Eu li. Vou resumir pra vocês. 🧵
Existe uma prática no mercado financeiro chamada “veículo criado sob medida”: você cria um fundo do zero, alguém entra com o dinheiro amanhã, e o fundo passa a existir por causa desse investidor.
O Rioprevidência fez isso em pelo menos QUATRO fundos diferentes ligados ao Banco Master. Com o dinheiro das aposentadorias de 235 mil servidores do Estado do RJ.
O Rioprevidência fez isso em pelo menos QUATRO fundos diferentes ligados ao Banco Master. Com o dinheiro das aposentadorias de 235 mil servidores do Estado do RJ.
O caso mais absurdo é o fundo ARENA.
O fundo foi criado em 18/12/2024. No dia seguinte, o Rioprevidência entrou com R$50 milhões. Nas semanas seguintes, aportou mais centenas de milhões, chegando a R$1,1 bilhão no total.
O fundo investia em quê? Exclusivamente em títulos públicos federais.
O fundo foi criado em 18/12/2024. No dia seguinte, o Rioprevidência entrou com R$50 milhões. Nas semanas seguintes, aportou mais centenas de milhões, chegando a R$1,1 bilhão no total.
O fundo investia em quê? Exclusivamente em títulos públicos federais.
À quoi ressemble la détresse face à la chaleur ?
Je passe souvent devant cet immeuble à l'approche de l'été et je ne peux m'empêcher d'être choqué.
Cette façade orientée sud-ouest résume à elle seule la souffrance de millions d'habitants face à la chaleur.
UN FIL 1/8
Je passe souvent devant cet immeuble à l'approche de l'été et je ne peux m'empêcher d'être choqué.
Cette façade orientée sud-ouest résume à elle seule la souffrance de millions d'habitants face à la chaleur.
UN FIL 1/8
Par où commencer ?
Les couvertures de survie et les rideaux sont un maigre pansement pour essayer de contenir les quelques 10 000 Watts de puissance solaire qui frappent l’ensemble des vitrages l’après-midi.
2/8
Les couvertures de survie et les rideaux sont un maigre pansement pour essayer de contenir les quelques 10 000 Watts de puissance solaire qui frappent l’ensemble des vitrages l’après-midi.
2/8
Bien sûr, elles ne peuvent rien face à l’effet de serre colossal que produit cette façade survitrée car elles sont placées derrières le vitrage.
Le soleil est passé et le mal est déjà fait.
3/8
Le soleil est passé et le mal est déjà fait.
3/8
V roce 1868 narazil skotský geolog Alexander Murray na Newfoundlandu na něco, co vůbec nedávalo smysl.
V kameni byl otisk podivného tvora.
Tvora, který neměl kosti a který neměl ani schránku.
A hlavně byl příliš starý na to, aby tam podle tehdejší vědy vůbec mohl být 😱 🧵
V kameni byl otisk podivného tvora.
Tvora, který neměl kosti a který neměl ani schránku.
A hlavně byl příliš starý na to, aby tam podle tehdejší vědy vůbec mohl být 😱 🧵
Otisk totiž ležel pod vrstvami hornin, které tehdejší geologové považovali za „úplný začátek života“.
Pod nimi už podle tehdejších představ nemělo být nic složitého.
Jen pustý svět bakterií a jednoduchých organismů.
Přesto tam našel tohle...
Pod nimi už podle tehdejších představ nemělo být nic složitého.
Jen pustý svět bakterií a jednoduchých organismů.
Přesto tam našel tohle...
A tak nastal pro tehdejší vědu obrovský problém.
Pokud Murray opravdu našel fosilii složitého organismu, znamenalo by to, že se vědci v historii života na Zemi dramaticky mýlili.
A znáte to... mýlit se nechce (skoro) nikdo...
Pokud Murray opravdu našel fosilii složitého organismu, znamenalo by to, že se vědci v historii života na Zemi dramaticky mýlili.
A znáte to... mýlit se nechce (skoro) nikdo...
Don't believe the Moody's number.
We have two distributional consumption measures:
- BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey: 23%. The direct household survey of spending.
- BLS Distributional PCE: 26%. A BLS prototype designed to repair underreporting.
We have two distributional consumption measures:
- BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey: 23%. The direct household survey of spending.
- BLS Distributional PCE: 26%. A BLS prototype designed to repair underreporting.
First, Moody's isn't measuring spending. It's bascally just income.
They pull top-10% income shares from one survey, apply them to BEA disposable income, subtract a modeled saving estimate, call what's left "outlays."
Antoine walked through
They pull top-10% income shares from one survey, apply them to BEA disposable income, subtract a modeled saving estimate, call what's left "outlays."
Antoine walked through
The SCF puts the top 10% at around 50% of income, much higher than CES-style household income or BEA personal income.
SCF income includes realized capital gains. BEA excludes because gains are asset-price changes, not current-production income.
SCF income includes realized capital gains. BEA excludes because gains are asset-price changes, not current-production income.