Most recent unrolls from @ThreadReaderApp

Jul 30
I think a lot of people have lulled themselves into a false sense of security about the conflicts that are currently raging across Europe and the Middle East.

I urge anyone who thinks we do not need to increase defence spending to come and spend one week with me in Ukraine.
Just spend one week here, and see what impact drones that can be assembled for £20,000 a pop and can fly for thousands of miles can have. Live this reality for just 7 days.

Then go home & tell me how Britain could deal with 500 of these things launched in one go at a major city.
Ukraine launched a sophisticated mass drone attack called Operation Spider Web which destroyed billions of dollars worth of Russian military equipment from the back of trucks.

Imagine a ship's worth coming from a ship disguised as a fishing vessel off the British coast.
Read 9 tweets
Jul 30
A propagandista e turista de guerra Rute Sousa, entre outros, foi a Israel numa viagem paga pelas autoridades daquele Estado. Num dos seus últimos vídeos, atacou o meu trabalho no Donbass e que afirmou que eu disse que ali não tinha acontecido nada +
Rute Sousa diz que foram mostrar aquilo que as TVs não querem mostrar e não tem feito outra coisa senão estar nesses mesmos canais estes dias. E é muito curioso porque enquanto jornalista eu fui ao lado da guerra onde mais ninguém estava +
Rute Sousa foi ao lado onde já todos estão. Não há meio que não tenha enviado alguém a Israel nos últimos anos. Israel é tão incrível para este grupo de influencers que não conseguiram explicar porque é que Israel não permite a entrada sem barreiras de jornalistas em Gaza +
Read 7 tweets
Jul 30
The Ceuta invasion is being coordinated by Facebook groups. @finkd

The flagship group description: "Ceuta by every route #hraga_ceuta — Migration is an idea, and the idea does not die."

There are countless posts soliciting people to go with others. This is in clear violation of the Facebook ToS that prohibits content "offers to provide or facilitate human smuggling" or content that asks for "asks for human smuggling services."

The groups that must be banned are:
• Hraga Ceuta 🚢 — 124,639 · 231/day → /groups/749906839376195/
• Hraga Ceuta 🇪🇸 — 36,272 · 186/day → /groups/1302645485013793/
• [Immigration to] ceuta — 31,272 · 31/day → /groups/2161047214157232/
• Haraga_ceuta — 22,382 · 81/day → /groups/2250468988743746/
• Haraga Ceuta sabta 2024/2025 — 15,860 · 12/day → /groups/1370413077068987/
@finkd They call it a "liberation" of Ceuta, a handover back to its owners. @mattvanswol is right on the money. It's an invasion. Image
@finkd @mattvanswol Posters are exchanging phone numbers, maps, requesting "spots" to be guided, discussing how to purchase equipment such as fence grips.

I haven't yet found any discussions on what they plan to do after landing in Ceuta. Image
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Read 6 tweets
Jul 30
One brain. For any robot. 🤖

We’re launching Gemini Robotics 2: our next-generation physical AI bringing full body intelligence to humanoids, advanced dexterity, multi-robot teamwork and more.
Three new models power this breakthrough:
1️⃣ Gemini Robotics 2: A vision-language-action model controlling humanoids from feet to fingertips
2️⃣ Gemini Robotics ER 2: Capable of real-world video understanding and complex, multi-step planning
3️⃣ On-Device 2: Runs locally and adapts to new robot bodies in just a few hours
Gemini Robotics 2 moves physical AI beyond tabletop tasks, enabling intelligent whole-body control for humanoids.

Watch @Apptronik's Apollo 2 process a single prompt to reach, bend, and pick up a watering can ↓
Read 4 tweets
Jul 30
Starting second afternoon session.
C the panel would like to address the matter raised of lack of specificity.
NC I’m making the point of allegations and evidence should be weighed in part.
C so it’s not being suggested it’s impossible for the officer to have a fair hearing
NC on those, I think it must be, yes.
Read 9 tweets
Jul 30
A China "salvou" o mundo silenciosamente durante a guerra do Irã e ninguém notou.

Todas as previsões apocalípticas pra economia mundial e pros preços do petróleo não se concretizaram por causa de uma decisão discreta em Pequim.

Segue comigo no raciocínio que vou explicar como e por que Xi Jinping fez isso!Image
Logo que a guerra estourou, todos os economistas previram um apocalipse econômico. A razão? Petróleo!

20% de todo suprimento do mundo, algo como 20 milhões de barris/dia, passavam pelo estreito de Ormuz.

As previsões apontavam que o preço do petróleo chegaria em US$ 200, causando o maior choque da história e empurrando o mundo pra crise.Image
Alguns meses depois, esse apocalipse econômico nunca se concretizou.

A guerra continua acontecendo e até se expandindo, Ormuz continua fechado, mas apesar de oscilações o preço do petróleo está bem abaixo de US$ 100.

Como isso é possível? Simples, o maior comprador do mundo parou de comprar.Image
Read 12 tweets
Jul 30
1/10 For seventeen years, Wisconsin has run federal elections without the HAVA State Plan the law requires. I asked for a copy. The Wisconsin Elections Commission couldn't produce one. Because it doesn't exist. So I sued. 🧵 Image
2/10 The last Wisconsin HAVA plan ever published in the Federal Register: November 12, 2009. Its author: the Government Accountability Board, an agency that was ABOLISHED in 2016. WEC has never adopted a plan. Not once. While cashing tens of millions in federal HAVA checks.
3/10 WEC's response to my lawsuit? Its lawyers told the court to throw my case out because I "had an adequate remedy": WEC's own HAVA complaint process. Remember that phrase. Adequate remedy.
Read 10 tweets
Jul 30
I turn 79 today. 

I don’t want any gifts. Instead, my team and I decided to revolutionize the fitness industry — and we’re doing something crazy to celebrate.

Here it is: join.arnoldspumpclub.com/birthday

Between today and Sunday, August 9, when you join the Pump Club app and complete four workout programs in your first year, you pay nothing. 

Zero. Nada. Zilch. 

No fine print. If you show up and do the work, your first year is free. The payments are automatically sent back to your card. 

If that feels shocking, then let me say it even more plainly. 

Sign up for the app through that link. Try it free for 7 days. After your trial, pay $100 for your first year. Complete four workout programs. Get $100 back automatically: $50 after your first, and $50 after your fourth.Image
Have I Lost My Mind?

“Arnold, I thought you were a good businessman. How does this make sense?”

I am a good businessman. But unlike most other fitness apps, the Pump Club is not backed by a private equity fund or a hedge fund. It’s 100% backed by me. 

Look. I am fighting a fitness crusade. This is personal — not just business. I’ve been trying to get people to train for six decades, and I’ve found something that works.

If I can make millions of you train consistently all year, I’ll take the loss.

Let me explain.

Over the years, I've learned an ugly truth about the business of fitness.

The industry profits most when you fail.

Think about it.

Every January, gyms and apps scream DISCOUNTS.

They want you to sign up, pay up, and then quietly disappear.

I've talked to gym owners who admitted something shocking: they get nervous advertising after January, because it reminds members who don't show up that they're still paying every month.

Think about that. They want you to forget you’re paying them. 

That's the system.

And I don't like that system.

Because we are not here just to take your money.

We are here to make you better.

Progress, not profit, is our primary business principle.

We only deserve profit if you're winning. We have to win together.

The most frustrating thing is, even with the fitness industry exploding into a $270 billion business, nobody really knows (or cares) how to make someone fit for life.

I care. And now I know how.
We’ve Learned What Makes People Work Out — From Real Data

I'm a curious guy and I love statistics. The benefit of running a fitness app is I suddenly have all the data in the world about how people change their behavior. I'm not one of those people that sells data and I never will be. 

But I am someone who will use it to make you better.

I can use data to see what works — and what doesn't.

Other people start a fitness app to run a business. For the past 3 years, we’ve been running an experiment. Testing. Searching.

We tested everything.

What we saw was clear and uncomfortable for the industry:

The bigger the upfront discount, the less people train. Every time.

When we gave heavy discounts, more people joined — but fewer people showed up, fewer finished programs, and fewer changed their lives.

This is not a surprise — the majority of people who join a fitness app never start a workout. Anyone who has ever been in a gym in January and stayed until February has seen the attendance drop.

We finally decided to try something different.

Instead of making it cheaper to start, we made it cheaper to finish.

We gave people money back for completing a program.

And those members?

They were different.

More consistent.

More committed.

More likely to finish.

In the fitness app world, it is normal to have 85% of the people who download your app never use it.

We have been very proud that we always doubled the industry standard.

But when we gave an incentive for finishing a program — a discount they earned, instead of one we gave up front — we didn't just double the average. We flipped it upside down.

85% of people started training.

That's when we knew: this is the right way to do fitness.
Read 7 tweets
Jul 30
VA HILO

"FOTOVOLTAICAS LA RUINA DE ESPAÑA"
A lo largo de este hilo podréis comprobar las millonadas que la mayoría salen de nuestro pais.

EOLICA CABEZO SAN ROQUE SA 2.482.584,00 €. 28/07/2026. Socios Únicos Italian Subholdco Spa y Falck Renewables Wing Limited.
Nuestros euros directamente a Italia.Image
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PARQUE EÓLICO LA CARRACHA S.L. 14.608.695,00 € 29/07/2026. cuyo presidente es Adam Patrick. y que ha sido apoderado hasta el 2026 de EOLICA CABEZO SAN ROQUE SA. La empresa anterior ADAM PATRICK nos lleva directamente a Inglaterra. Image
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PARQUE EÓLICO PLANA DE JARRETA. 14.608.695,00 € 29/07/2026. Como vemos va al mismo sitio. Vuelve Adam Patrick. Zaragoza Image
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Read 16 tweets
Jul 30
1/ COVID-19 and Presidential Leadership (2020)

An Evidence-Based Historical Review

Tweet 1/11

Four years after the most disruptive public health emergency in a century, debates over COVID-19 often generate more heat than light. Partisans on both sides have selectively remembered the pandemic, emphasizing facts that support their preferred narrative while minimizing those that do not.

This thread takes a different approach.

It attempts to reconstruct President Donald Trump’s public statements and major actions from January 2020 through Election Day using contemporaneous records, White House transcripts, peer-reviewed literature, government reports, and other primary sources whenever possible.

The goal is not to defend President Trump, nor to prosecute him. Where the historical record supports praise, it is given. Where it documents mistakes or missed opportunities, those are presented as well. Where uncertainty remains, it is acknowledged.

Pandemics unfold in real time under conditions of incomplete information. Leaders inevitably make imperfect decisions. Yet history also teaches that presidential communication can influence public behavior as profoundly as presidential policy.

This thread examines both.

Primary references: White House archives; CDC; NIH; GAO; Congressional testimony; peer-reviewed literature.Image
2/ January 2020: An Early Response That Bought Time—but Did Not Fully Use It

COVID-19 first entered American consciousness in January 2020 as reports emerged from Wuhan, China.

The Trump administration deserves credit for several early actions. On January 31, it announced restrictions on entry for many foreign nationals who had recently traveled from China, following the declaration of a Public Health Emergency. Many public health experts have since concluded these measures likely delayed—but could not prevent—the virus’s arrival in the United States.

Buying time, however, is only valuable if that time is used effectively.

During February, the United States struggled to expand diagnostic testing, strengthen surveillance, and prepare coordinated national mitigation strategies. Those shortcomings reflected both immediate decisions and longer-standing structural weaknesses in American public health preparedness.

Viewed historically, January represents a mixed chapter: an administration that recognized the potential seriousness of the threat early enough to implement travel restrictions, but one that did not fully translate that additional time into nationwide readiness.

References: CDC; HHS Public Health Emergency declaration; GAO; peer-reviewed analyses of travel restrictions.Image
3/ February 2020: Private Knowledge and Public Messaging

One of the most consequential episodes of the pandemic concerns not a policy decision, but presidential communication.

On February 7, 2020, during a recorded interview with journalist Bob Woodward, President Trump acknowledged that SARS-CoV-2 spread through the air and described it as “more deadly than even your strenuous flu.”

By late January, National Security Advisor Robert O’Brien had reportedly warned the President that COVID-19 could become the greatest national security challenge of his presidency.

Yet throughout much of February, Trump’s public messaging remained considerably more reassuring. He repeatedly suggested the outbreak was under control, predicted case numbers would soon decline, and on February 27 stated:

“It’s going to disappear. One day—it’s like a miracle—it will disappear.”

Months later, Trump explained his reasoning to Woodward:

“I wanted to always play it down… because I don’t want to create a panic.”

Reasonable observers can disagree about whether reassurance was the appropriate communication strategy. What is historically well documented is that Trump’s private assessment of the virus differed substantially from much of his public messaging during February.

References: Woodward recordings; White House remarks; contemporaneous reporting.Image
Read 11 tweets
Jul 30
Shiver me timbers Donald block me on my Facebook have no fear I'll still get his videos 🤣🤣🤣🤣 this screenshot is from when he blocked me..... Keep abusing my cops Donald and I'll keep abusing you some people are babying you just cause you are a vulnerable retard well that's
Not me not when it comes to MY COPS so fucking stay away from them and fucking stop harassing them and stop filming them THEY HATE IT and so do I
@ChrisPentecos @Photobehindlens @World_Watch_ @LangleyResident @BarbaraDoduk @Cdnwatcher @Istandtoreason @facepalmchris @trustednerd @felixcruggins @CultureGuard @WaxMyBallsShow @FranLa9 @kfurneaux20 @VernThurston @JonYaniv @JNonsense46242
Read 4 tweets
Jul 30
Why does the p*rn addiction return every time you promise not to return to it?

Here’s why.
Because determination alone is not enough.

Many people make a sincere promise:

“This is the last time.”
Yet they return.

Not because they were insincere,
but because the causes that led them to the sin were never removed.
The soul weakens through repetition.

The first time may feel shocking.
The second time feels easier.

Then what once disturbed the heart becomes familiar.

This is one of the dangers of repeated sin.
Read 10 tweets
Jul 30
Dlaczego Polskie SZ nie zestrzeliły 1 pocisku a ukraińskie zestrzeliwuja ich setki?

Bo:
- Ukraina jest w stanie wojny a Polska nie
- nasza przestrzeń powietrzna jest (co do zasady) otwarta a ukraińska nie
- dlatego Ukraińcy mogą strzelać swobodnie a my...nie

1/ Image
W ukraińskiej przestrzeni powietrznej operują niemal wyłącznie statki powietrzne należące do ukraińskich SZ oraz innych resortów siłowych.

Jeśli pojawia się w niej nagle "obcy obiekt" to niemal na pewno jest to obiekt stanowiący zagrożenie dla kraju.

2/
Nam może się wydawać że jak coś "pewnie" jest rosyjskim pociskiem manewrującym to trzeba to KILL HIM i sprawa załatwiona.

Dowódcy Operacyjnemu i jego ludziom nie może się wydawać.

Oni muszą wiedzieć że "raczej" Ch-101 to NA PEWNO Ch-101
3/
Read 11 tweets
Jul 30
En TheirStack hemos puesto mucho esfuerzo en que los ingenieros desarrollemos una mentalidad de producto.

No creemos que en una startup sea opcional entender el negocio, y menos aún con la IA. La autonomía que te da tener un contexto global es nuestra ventaja competitiva.
Hace unos meses di un meetup en Coruña sobre cómo vemos nosotros los pasos que puede dar un desarrollador junior para convertirse en Product Engineer. Image
Por si alguien no está convencido de la importancia de este salto os dejo un par de diapos Image
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Read 15 tweets
Jul 30
We will shortly be starting the afternoon session of Day 2 of the following hearing:
DC Fletcher is accused of gross misconduct for comments she is alleged to have made to colleagues while on duty with Northumbria Police.
For background, please see today’s earlier threads and our Substack:
tribunaltweets.substack.com/p/police-misco…
We begin.
CD the defence bundle all were depending on was submitted by officer in chief.
Submissions. 1. Did the AA approach in good faith? 2. Have they proved a breach? Not a trial against Sean McG. Line managing can be difficult. A pattern of behaviour before anything unusual.
Read 44 tweets
Jul 30
$100 billion!

If SpaceX leased out all of their compute capacity (Colossus 1 & 2, Macroharder and Minihard) they good generate about $100+ billion of annual revenue (some rough numbers according to Grok)

That's equivalent to Tesla's revenues - just with four AI data centers.

1/8Image
Here's what operational and under construction

2/8 Image
Current revenues from leasing compute.

3/8 Image
Read 8 tweets
Jul 30
In the 1930s, thousands of Finns moved to the Soviet Union.

They went off to build a paradise, blinded by propaganda.

Within just a few years, thousands of them would become victims of Stalin's Great Terror. 🧵 Image
An estimated 15,000–20,000 Finns settled in Soviet Karelia.

They included workers, loggers, engineers, teachers and entire families from Finland, the United States and Canada.

Their skills were needed to build the new socialist society. Image
At first, life seemed promising.

Finnish-language schools opened, jobs were plentiful, and many believed they had found a better future.

Then everything changed. Image
Read 16 tweets
Jul 30
MANTARAYUDA
Part 8 - Jejak Wanamarta

Ada sebuah hutan tempat dimana berbagai makhluk keramat bersarang. Tempat roh-roh tua berkuasa dan penuh tipu daya..

@bacahorror @IDN_Horor @ceritaht #bacahorror Image
(Di Jagad Segoro Demit…)

Srakk!!
Tiba-tiba Cahyo terjatuh di antara rimbunnya semak dan dedaunan.

Tubuhnya menghantam tanah cukup keras. Namun, benturan itu nyaris tak terasa berkat Roh Wanasura yang merasuki dirinya. Seandainya bukan karena perlindungan roh panglima wanara itu, tulang-tulangnya mungkin sudah remuk sejak tadi.

Cahyo perlahan membuka mata. Ia bangkit sambil mengamati sekeliling, berusaha mengenali tempat tempatnya terdampar.

Sunyi...

Hutan tua itu begitu lengang hingga suara napasnya sendiri terdengar asing. Namun, ke mana pun ia memandang, hanya ada rasa cemas yang semakin menyesakkan dada.

Sebuah hutan yang begitu tua...
"Danan?!" teriak Cahyo.

Ia segera memanjat salah satu pohon tertinggi untuk mencari keberadaan sahabatnya. Pandangannya menyapu lautan pepohonan dari ujung ke ujung, tetapi tak ada satu pun tanda yang menunjukkan di mana Danan terjatuh.

Sesekali kepalanya berdenyut.
Suara-suara tak kasatmata mulai berbisik di dalam benaknya. Semakin lama, bisikan itu semakin jelas, seolah ada sesuatu yang berusaha menyusup ke dalam pikirannya dan mengambil alih kesadarannya.

Memang begitulah Jagad Segoro Demit.
Alam itu memiliki kesadarannya sendiri. Kesadaran yang perlahan menggerogoti siapa pun yang memasukinya hingga kehilangan akal dan jati diri.

Namun, Wanasura berada di dalam tubuh Cahyo.
Kesadaran sang panglima wanara jauh lebih kuat. Berkali-kali ia menepis bisikan-bisikan gelap yang mencoba menguasai Cahyo.

Dengan hati masih dipenuhi kecemasan, Cahyo bergegas mencari jalan untuk menemukan Danan.
Baru beberapa langkah berjalan, seseorang tiba-tiba muncul dari balik pepohonan, seolah memang telah lama menunggunya.

"Kawanmu tidak jatuh di tempat yang sama."
"Siapa?"
Cahyo menoleh.

Yang berdiri di hadapannya bukan manusia, melainkan seekor kera yang mengenakan pakaian layaknya seorang pendekar.

Cahyo tidak langsung menjawab. Ia memiringkan kepala, memperhatikan wajah sosok itu dengan saksama.

"Kita... pernah bertemu?" tanyanya pelan, merasa ada keakraban yang sulit dijelaskan.

"Kalau kau masih bocah nakal yang dulu sering merepotkanku, seharusnya memang kita pernah bertemu," jawab sang kera.

Mata Cahyo langsung membelalak.
"Ka-kamu... Giridaru?!"

Raut cemasnya seketika berubah menjadi senyum lebar.

Ia akhirnya mengingat wajah itu. Memang tampak sedikit lebih tua, tetapi usia bangsa wanara nyaris tak meninggalkan bekas pada wajah mereka.

Tanpa pikir panjang, Cahyo langsung memeluk Giridaru erat.

"Syukurlah... Di zamanku aku melihat akhir hayatmu..." ucap Cahyo dengan suara bergetar. Ia masih mengingat Giridaru yang bertahan hidup hingga usia yang nyaris mustahil.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 30
For those who are still confused why 'israel' mass murders children.

Here is a list of verses from jewish scriptures that reference or demand the killing of children and newborns.

'Blessed shall he be who takes your little ones and dashes them against the rock!' -Psalm 137:9 Image
'Now therefore, kill every male among the little ones...'
- Numbers 31:17 Image
'Their infants will be dashed in pieces before their eyes; their houses will be plundered and their wives ravished (violated).'
- Isaiah 13:16 Image
Read 12 tweets
Jul 30
1/ The Russian blogosphere is agog with speculation, rumours, claims, and much criticism of the authorities after the Russian government's decision to put Telegram founder Pavel Durov on the wanted list for terrorism. The reasons are murky, as usual for Russia. ⬇️ Image
2/ Officially, Durov is wanted for 'extremist activities', for allegedly not preventing Ukrainian agents recruiting saboteurs via Telegram. 'Intelligence Diary' notes:
3/ "The trigger was a dating bot called "Daivinchik"; the claim is that foreign intelligence agencies use it to recruit teenagers and that Durov fails to prevent this.
Read 48 tweets
Jul 30
Mumbai has an elegant solution for slums: relocate residents to tall buildings on some of the slum real estate, develop the rest.

This is an elegant solution to the perpetual slum dilemma: cast out the poorest, or accept low value land use in perpetuity. Did it work? 1/ Image
This is an incredible paper. 10 years ago, it was nigh unheard of to be able to track people at scale after their slums were redeveloped.

It turns out electoral rolls in India have tons of identifying info — ages, parent names, etc — and are updated every five years. 2/ Image
Aside, I look forward to seeing voter data get as established as historical US Censuses as a tool for understanding economic change in India.

There is so much there, and so many individual researchers are doing overlapping work making sense of them. We need a SHRUG for this! 3/ Image
Read 10 tweets