Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #4ss
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The pandemic & ICU
There is questionable value of conversation with an individual who is either misinformed or intentionally misrepresenting recent history
However a thread to correct the record/explain apparent inconsistency in data that may lead others to honest error
1/n
There is questionable value of conversation with an individual who is either misinformed or intentionally misrepresenting recent history
However a thread to correct the record/explain apparent inconsistency in data that may lead others to honest error
1/n
March 2020 was a time of uncertainty & fear.
The evidence from Wuhan & northern Italy is that we would be engulfed by an unprecedented number of sick patients many needing ICU
Doing nothing was never an option
2/n
The evidence from Wuhan & northern Italy is that we would be engulfed by an unprecedented number of sick patients many needing ICU
Doing nothing was never an option
2/n
Early modelling suggested our 13 beaded DGH ICU would expect >500 ICU patients in a few weeks.
About 8 months work in one.
Three things reduced actual numbers
-voluntary public behaviour to reduce social interaction
-lockdown
-the predictions were likely too high
3/n
About 8 months work in one.
Three things reduced actual numbers
-voluntary public behaviour to reduce social interaction
-lockdown
-the predictions were likely too high
3/n
