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Hello Invest #90E. In *checks notes* ...April.
There are no tropical cyclones of any intensity in the eastern North Pacific best-track record (1966-2019) during the month of April. If this disturbance becomes a tropical depression in the next few days, it'll be the first.
There are no tropical cyclones of any intensity in the eastern North Pacific best-track record (1966-2019) during the month of April. If this disturbance becomes a tropical depression in the next few days, it'll be the first.
The atmosphere and ocean seem relatively conducive for development: SSTs > 26.5C, lots of moisture, increased low-level (850-hPa) vorticity. Vertical wind shear increases to its north, though.
(Below images except the SST map were provided by CIMSS: tropic.ssec.wisc.edu)
(Below images except the SST map were provided by CIMSS: tropic.ssec.wisc.edu)
The NHC gives this disturbance a 40% chance of development in the next 5 days:
