Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #AR02

Most recents (7)

Tested it out with this new KY map. Based on 2016-2019 results, intrigued how it would do in 2020. The #KY04 (R+7 PVI) seems more competitive than the real #KY06 (R+9), with the movement in the Cincinnati and Lexington suburbs. 2/27 davesredistricting.org/join/d389d8e2-…
However, I also did a bunch of Democratic gerrymanders after 2012 redistricting to compare with the real Republican ones. Thought I’d review how my designs performed in light of 2016. The contrast shows just how much of a difference partisan control makes (spoiler: a lot). 3/27
Read 27 tweets
Holy crap. The new Sabato Crystal Ball House ratings change is...big.

This is the first time the Crystal Ball has given Democrats better than 50/50 odds of taking the House. And there is a LOT to unpack here.

centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…
Here are Sabato's topline changes.

5 races are no longer Safe R: #IA04, #IN02, #IN09, #PA16, #TX31

3 races shift from Likely R to Lean R: #AR02, #FL16, #NM02

9 more R seats are now Tossups: #IA03, #IL06, #KY06, #MI08, #OH01, #OH12, #TX07, #WV03

And #FL13 is now Safe D.
Here are a few takeaways:

-White nationalist Rep. Steve King has a credible challenge
-IN and WV have competitive House races (and the extra attention from Ds could help their senators here)
-#OH12 special is REALLY close
-Dem women vets (McGrath, Hegar) are kicking ass.
Read 3 tweets
THREAD

Q2 Fundraising is over, and Democrats did a great job!

But I was chatting with @ybbkaren and an interesting question came up:

With SO MANY great candidates, how do we decide who needs donations the most? Many are worthy, but our personal funds are not unlimited.
So I came up with an idea for my own list of Dems who need $$$ based upon the following criteria:

*They have won their primary
*They are trying to flip “swing” GOP-held seats (per @CookPolitical ratings)
*They are behind their GOP opponents in “Cash on Hand” (per @OpenSecretsDC)
That’s not to say that other Democrats in swing districts are not worthy. They are. But the following, from a strategic $$$ perspective, might be the best place to donate *for now*.

This is the list of those House candidates, and their donation links, based on that criteria:
Read 27 tweets
If you, like me, cannot point to a single thing @RepFrenchHill has done for the benefit of his constituents in #AR2 then you owe it to yourself and everyone else in the seven county area to vote for @clarketucker this November. #arpx #Vote #Midterms2018
.@RepFrenchHill has voted to end coverage for pre-existing conditions. He doesn't care whether or not you can afford to see a doctor, or even if your health insurance will cover a visit. He does not care about #Arkansans #AR2 #ByeFrench #VoteThemOut #arpx
.@RepFrenchHill supports @realDonaldTrump #ConcentrationCamps for migrant children, infants, and toddlers. He refuses to speak up about these egregious #HumanRights violations. #Arkansas deserves a better, more humane representative in #AR2 - @clarketucker is that person! #Vote
Read 89 tweets
Hey ARKANSAS!
Here’s a THREAD of all your Democratic Candidates for Congress, Governor, Lt. Gov, Secretary of State & Attorney General. With photos and website links!
Also lots of Voter Info with Links!
Register by October 9 to vote in #Midterms2018 on NOVEMBER 6, 2018
#VoteBlue
#ARKANSAS VOTER Registration
You must fill out a paper Voter Registration Application sos.arkansas.gov/uploads/electi…
Mail or deliver to County Clerk. Addresses: sos.arkansas.gov/uploads/County…
Check your Registration status here: voterview.ar-nova.org/VoterView/Home…
Polling Locations voterview.ar-nova.org/VoterView/Poll…
#ARKANSAS
Absentee Ballot Request to County Clerk for Primaries by mail or email by October 9, 2018
Return by Nov 5
Absentee Voting Application form here: sos.arkansas.gov/uploads/electi…
View Absentee Ballot status here: voterview.ar-nova.org/VoterView/Abse…
Military? fvap.gov/uploads/FVAP/F…
Read 16 tweets
Hey #Arkansas!
You get to Vote in Primary Elections MAY 22, 2018
Register by April 23. #AR01 #AR02 #AR03 #AR04
THREAD of all Democratic Candidates for Congress, Governor.
With photos & Website!
(Also check out Dem Candidates for Lt. Gov, Secretary of State & Attorney General.)
VOTER Registration
You must fill out a paper Voter Registration Application sos.arkansas.gov/uploads/electi…
And mail or deliver it to your County Clerk. Addresses here: sos.arkansas.gov/uploads/County…
Check your Registration status here: voterview.ar-nova.org/VoterView/Home…
VOTER ID Rules in ARKANSAS #AR01 #AR02 #AR03 #AR04
See also this article on pending Lawsuit: arkansasonline.com/news/2018/mar/…
Read 15 tweets
Yesterday, #COTD @BenMcAdams rode your #BlueWave2018🌊 from 7.6k followers to 8430! ❤️ Great job, y'all!

This #SaturdayMorning, we are doing a special #COTD to support #MarchForOurLives

We asked #BWCS endorsed candidates where they stand on #GunReform

(1/THREAD)
#AMJoy
.@PiattPatti's son died of a self-inflicted gunshot wound.

"Watching others lose a child and knowing what they feel brings it all back. I don't have a problem with responsible gun ownership, but there is nothing responsible about owning an AR-15."
#MarchForOurLives
#AMJoy
#KY04
"If we want teachers to have to ability to make offensive measures, why not non-lethal weapons? It's terrible that we would have to, but if we do, that route should not be firearms." -@TomPrigg2018
#MarchForOurLives
#AMJoy
Read 51 tweets

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