Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #AZsos

Most recents (11)

A lot of candidates of both parties lost close elections in the 2022 midterms. Most of them conceded the races and accepted it didn’t go their way this time. Otherwise known as adulting.
But because two candidates, the drama queens who ran for #AZGOV and #AZSOS, refuse to admit they lost, spurred on by the biggest drama queen who has ever lived, Donald Trump, I decided to compare a few things.
We know what it looks like when a Republican wins Arizona. Donald Trump himself narrowly won Arizona in 2016. It wasn’t pretty and was a lot closer than when Romney won the state just four years beforehand. But we can use that as a baseline. And compare it to 2020 and 2022.
Read 16 tweets
The gains the Dems made here is *VERY* important for understanding how the next several days are likely to go as they process the remaining 275,000 or so ballots in Maricopa County

BLUF: Dems are well-positioned to win these statewide races
You can take the #AZSEN and #AZSOS races off the table -- AP has called the Senate race for Kelly, NBC has called the SOS race for Fontes. Both lead by 5%+ and would need to win nearly 2 in every 3 remaining ballots to come back. That won't happen.
In the #AZGov, #AZAG and #AZSPI races, the Republicans still have the ability to come from behind. But today's drop favoring Dems means they have a steeper hill to climb.
Read 7 tweets
MariCo has posted 74k ballots. The surge of GOP voters predicted by Republican campaigns failed to materialize

#AZSen
Kelly's lead today grew from 114,894 votes to 123,916 (@AP called the race for @CaptMarkKelly

#AZGov
Hobbs' lead went from 26,879 last night to 31,097
#AZSoS
Fontes' lead went from 109,244 to 118,125

#AZAG
Mayes' lead went from 16,414 to 19,151

#AZSPI
Hoffman grew her lead from 3,852 to 6,665
This batch of ballots were the 17,000 that couldn't be scanned on Election Day at polling sites (likely VERY heavily favoring GOPers) and early ballots dropped off at polling places.

Dems made significant gains all around
Read 4 tweets
MariCo has posted 78k ballots that favored Dem candidates

#AZSen
Kelly's lead went from about 104,570 votes to 114,894

#AZGov
Hobbs' lead went from 19,385 to 26,879
#AZSoS
Fontes' lead went from 98,329 to 109,244

#AZAG
Mayes' lead went from 9,800 to 16,414

#AZSPI
*Lead change*
Hoffman went from trailing by 2,568 to leading by 3,852
***NOTE***

This batch of ballots included only early ballots that were mailed back, not those dropped off at polling places on Tuesday.

Republicans believe that those ballots will be heavily GOP, similar to Election Day voters, which were heavy GOP
Read 4 tweets
Trump +17 county, and the results before this batch were Lake +16. Not sure that's what Rs want...and definitely not what Masters wants (this is frankly embarrassing for him at this point).
Still a coin flip IMO, too much unknown about what's left. Be wary of anyone saying either party's got this in the bag. They don't.
Read 4 tweets
How to know that Kari Lake, Abe Hamadeh and Blake Masters are LYING when they tell voters that Trump supposedly won Arizona and it was "stolen" from him (it wasn't, he lost).
#AZGov
#AZSen
#AZSOS

From my #TrumpLost research project.
81.74% of Arizona's Voting Age Population (VAP) according to the 2020 Census lived in its two largest Metropolitan Areas - Metro Phoenix and Metro Tucson. Biden won both of these Metro areas.
Even before the Election of 2020, Trump-endorsed candidates did not necessarily do great in Arizona, especially in statewide elections.
Read 9 tweets
So, there are 10 Election Deniers running for Secretary of State
in AZ CT IN MA MI MN NV NM VT & WY
#DemocracyDenier
6 of them are in competitive races (per WaPo)
& 2 of them are currently favored to win.
Secretaries of State control the elections.
Help #SaveDemocracy!

THREAD
In Arizona, Adrian Fontes is the Secretary of State you want.
The other guy, Mark Finchem, is an Election Denier. #DemocracyDenier
Who would be overseeing the elections.
See the problem?
It's a competitive race.
You can support @Adrian_Fontes here: electfontes.com
#AZsos
In Connecticut, Stephanie Thomas is the Secretary of State you want.
Her competitor, Dominic Rapini, is an Election Denier. #DemocracyDenier
Who would be overseeing the elections.
See the problem?

You can help by supporting @StephanieforCT here: votestephaniethomas.com

#CTsos
Read 11 tweets
#AZ06: Juan Ciscomani takes 48-20 lead with 53% of estimated GOP vote in. For Dems, former state Sen. Kirsten Engel leads state Rep. Daniel Hernandez 61-34 with 65% of estimated vote in. Biden would have won new seat just 49.3-49.2
57% of estimated vote in for #WA03 top-two. Dem Marie Perez at 32%, pro-impeachment Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler leads Trump-backed Joe Kent 25-20.
Over in #WA04 top-two, pro-impeachment Rep. Dan Newhouse at 27. Dem Doug White leads Trump's guy, Loren Culp 26-22 for second.
Read 7 tweets
Meijer takes a 50.5-49.5 lead with 55% of estimated vote in thanks to more votes out of his Kent County base. Again, not getting a winner for a while. #MI03
We're minutes from a LOT of results out of Arizona and Washington, though more votes will be tallied in both states over the coming days.
AP calls GOP primary for red #MO04 for Mark Alford, a former TV anchor in Kansas City.
Read 15 tweets
Polls have closed in Missouri and most of Kansas and Michigan for a huge election night. We'll be liveblogging the results and tweeting here dailykos.com/stories/2022/8…
While we wait for our first results, check out our preview of what to watch here dailykos.com/stories/2022/8…
We've also put together our cheat-sheet of the night's big races, which we'll be updating as contests are called docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Read 26 tweets
Wait, tweeting the info to the rest of us is LESS important than getting it to the challenged candidates?!?!? That's just.........right!👍

Here, I'll help on the twitter side....

1) Wendy @WendyRogersAZ challenged in #AZ01 (@azgop). By Stetson Kizzar (LaSota representing)

...
2) @delina4congress challenged in #AZ04 (@azdemparty). Challenged by Jane Moore (Golestan representing).
3) @JoseTorresAZ5 challenged in #AZ05 (@azdemparty). Challenged by Jillian Thibault (Weich representing).
Read 21 tweets

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