Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #AntiFragile
Most recents (20)
This is a very good take (assuming FDIC does what the FDIC is tasked to do as a regulator…protecting depositors)…the real risk to the system is deleveraging…SVB was in the business of giving out loans on excessively favorable terms…credit extension likely just got tighter…
& leverage will be washing out of the VC ecosystem…which is actually healthy for the ecosystem
If you actually believe in the start-up ecosystem long-term…you should welcome it…it’s a healthy growing pain for the industry, it will come back stronger and more fortified #antifragile
Samurai warriors followed the ancient moral code of Bushido.
Medieval knights had a code of Chivalry.
Even the Mob has a code that governs their decisions.
I’m an emotional disaster who wants to be strong & fit, so I made my own code to protect me from myself:
🧵
Medieval knights had a code of Chivalry.
Even the Mob has a code that governs their decisions.
I’m an emotional disaster who wants to be strong & fit, so I made my own code to protect me from myself:
🧵
1) Move every day. Cardio sucks for weight loss, but it’s great for heart, lung, & mental health.
I move every day. Even 5 minutes counts.
Hitting golf balls, walks with the dogs, handstands in the backyard.
If I move deliberately, it’s a win.
I move every day. Even 5 minutes counts.
Hitting golf balls, walks with the dogs, handstands in the backyard.
If I move deliberately, it’s a win.
2) Strength train 4 times per week (45 minutes).
Current Me and Future Me needs it.
It makes me feel better about what I see in the mirror, it keeps me #antifragile, and it makes me better at everything else.
I never have to ask “Can my body handle it?”
Current Me and Future Me needs it.
It makes me feel better about what I see in the mirror, it keeps me #antifragile, and it makes me better at everything else.
I never have to ask “Can my body handle it?”
Thanks ICP for publishing this essay on #Ritamic Decision Policy. Into year-3 of this series, this post summarizes manthan, research and study of the Vedic origins of sustainable decision policy and strategy, with contemporary examples all can relate to.
Post focuses on sustainable policy to make not one, but a series of interconnected decisions over time.
Can ideas of Vedanta be applied here?
short ans: Y.
Content is of interest to those making gov or private policy, designers, startups, #Ganita/stem students, young parents.
Can ideas of Vedanta be applied here?
short ans: Y.
Content is of interest to those making gov or private policy, designers, startups, #Ganita/stem students, young parents.
The post is divided into 7 sections with links to each at the top. Those who simply want a easy-to-remember idea of Ritamic decision policy can go to the examples- read how Air India altered its DEL-SFO route in harmony with Ritam. flightradar24.com/blog/wp-conten…
Congratulations to #IVE and #LimYoungwoong for winning MMA TOP 10 Award at the Melon Music Awards #MMA2022 tonight 🎉
#KoreanUpdates RZ
#KoreanUpdates RZ
Congratulations to #TXT (#GoodBoyGoneBad) for winning Best Performance - Male Award at the Melon Music Awards #MMA2022 tonight 🎉
#KoreanUpdates RZ
#KoreanUpdates RZ
Congratulations to #LE_SSERAFIM (#ANTIFRAGILE) for winning Best Performance - Female Award at the Melon Music Awards #MMA2022 🎉
#KoreanUpdates RZ
#KoreanUpdates RZ
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 02/15/2022 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2022/02/15/dai…
COVID-19 Counter Measures Should be Age Specific ⋆ Brownstone Institute
brownstone.org/articles/covid…
#COVID19, #CounterMeasures, #AgeSpecific, #OpEd
brownstone.org/articles/covid…
#COVID19, #CounterMeasures, #AgeSpecific, #OpEd
America faces greater division as parties draw safe seats for congressional districts
theguardian.com/us-news/ng-int…
#CongressionalDistricts, #HouseOfRepresentativesSeats,#PartisanPolitics, #remapping
theguardian.com/us-news/ng-int…
#CongressionalDistricts, #HouseOfRepresentativesSeats,#PartisanPolitics, #remapping
100% wrong. Engineering != science.
As explained in #Antifragile, our world is built by engineers, tinkerers, & practitioners, often uneducated, misclaimed by universities.
Science never claims ANYTHING about these matters. Science=research procedure not a risk control method.
As explained in #Antifragile, our world is built by engineers, tinkerers, & practitioners, often uneducated, misclaimed by universities.
Science never claims ANYTHING about these matters. Science=research procedure not a risk control method.
The BS model:
Science => Technology => Practice.
Historically, the truth:
Practice =>Technology =>"Scientific" misattribution
@paulg
Science => Technology => Practice.
Historically, the truth:
Practice =>Technology =>"Scientific" misattribution
@paulg
Know How vs. Know What
A truth is that, as much as we enjoy counterintuitive intellectual puzzles, our world owes a lot more to the Teslas than to the Einsteins.
Engineers would have figured out the time discrepancies without asking questions. The reverse doesn't work.
A truth is that, as much as we enjoy counterintuitive intellectual puzzles, our world owes a lot more to the Teslas than to the Einsteins.
Engineers would have figured out the time discrepancies without asking questions. The reverse doesn't work.
Had a fun time talking about #leadership in #STEM (at any stage of career), #BlackExcellence #WomenInSTEM #DEI #DiversityandInclusion to a range of students and faculty at @tennesseetech. Thanks for the invitation @JosephCSlater. Look forward to building further on this.
Talked about ways to take on community level leadership roles to develop skills in acquiring funding, managing a budget, team building, managing people, executing.
Know what you are good at and balance the rest with your team. Don’t try to be it all.
Know what you are good at and balance the rest with your team. Don’t try to be it all.
1/8 Die #MPK könnte am 22. handeln. Könnte.
Wir könnten dann jammernd und in Empörung darüber vergehen. Könnten.
Oder - wir machen etwas sehr, sehr Deutsches. Wir engagieren uns im Ehrenamt. In jeder Kommune genügend für 3-fach-tracing.
Eine Freiwillige Covidwehr.
Wir könnten dann jammernd und in Empörung darüber vergehen. Könnten.
Oder - wir machen etwas sehr, sehr Deutsches. Wir engagieren uns im Ehrenamt. In jeder Kommune genügend für 3-fach-tracing.
Eine Freiwillige Covidwehr.
2/8 Freiwillige Covidwehr - oder der Deutschen Covid-Tracing-Gesellschaft. Oder Tracking for Future. Oder in der COVIDA. Dem Landestracebund. Im hippen #tracetothetop. Zivildienst? Coviddienst. Kehrwoche? Tracewoche.
3/8 Entscheidend ist:
Wir müssen *absolut* sicher sein, dass wir von jeder Infektion alle Kontakte finden und jeden Tag testen. Bei jedem Fall muss das die Mission der Freunde, Familie, Kollegen sein.
Wir müssen *absolut* sicher sein, dass wir von jeder Infektion alle Kontakte finden und jeden Tag testen. Bei jedem Fall muss das die Mission der Freunde, Familie, Kollegen sein.
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 12/26/2020 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2020/12/26/dai…
In Search of a New Reserve Currency - World Game
brunomacaes.substack.com/p/in-search-of…
#reserve #currency #world
brunomacaes.substack.com/p/in-search-of…
#reserve #currency #world
@ryankatzrosene criticizing the New Narrative “Ditch red meat & dairy, & don’t bother with local food”: canadianfoodstudies.uwaterloo.ca/index.php/cfs/…
Excellent read, in defense of contextual, community-centered approaches to food instead of top-down, reductionist 'efficiency' planning. #Antifragile
Excellent read, in defense of contextual, community-centered approaches to food instead of top-down, reductionist 'efficiency' planning. #Antifragile
"To assert that the localized cultural context of food is inconsequential to health & sustainability is to follow in the footsteps of a colonial mindset" 💯!!
'Efficiency' planners pooh-pooh this as romanticism. So do vegans. From my debate with Barnard👇
academic.oup.com/ajcn/article/1…
'Efficiency' planners pooh-pooh this as romanticism. So do vegans. From my debate with Barnard👇
academic.oup.com/ajcn/article/1…
Should have stated *many* vegans and *most* efficiency planners, but I ran out of characters 😄
Thanks for the invitation @Ned_Arick to talk of #thestateofhealthcare
We have clear #evidence of a #system that has failed as has been pointed out by leading experts like @EricTopol
Respect the work on systems done by @MartyMakary @PatrickConwayMD @donberwick
#MedTwitter
We have clear #evidence of a #system that has failed as has been pointed out by leading experts like @EricTopol
Respect the work on systems done by @MartyMakary @PatrickConwayMD @donberwick
#MedTwitter
Am at @MITSloan doing @MITSloanFellows to learn from experts like @zeynepton @lpbreva @EshipMIT to solve problems through #innovation.
When the biggest #healthcare crisis in a century comes, why couldn’t we be more #antifragile? Why were lives & jobs lost? #MedTwitter
Not ok
When the biggest #healthcare crisis in a century comes, why couldn’t we be more #antifragile? Why were lives & jobs lost? #MedTwitter
Not ok
In past, folks like those who authored, edited, approved #Medbikini studies defined #professionalism, labeled docs with MBAs as “sellouts” - but #business of #healthcare fails to deliver needed care for results or #quality #MedTwitter #COVID19 #pandemic
nytimes.com/2020/05/15/us/…
nytimes.com/2020/05/15/us/…
It's out! How to Manage your Engineering Team Under Pressure - Lessons on Antifragility By Adam Wolff @dmwlff From Robinhood @RobinhoodApp and Facebook
Listen or read: bit.ly/3g2stko
Hosted by @FancyKarolina, powered by @codingsans
#engineeringmanagement #Antifragile
Listen or read: bit.ly/3g2stko
Hosted by @FancyKarolina, powered by @codingsans
#engineeringmanagement #Antifragile
1. Preserve optionality:
Not committing to a single course of action is valuable. Incrementality is a great way to make it work in practice. You set a direction, and set up checkpoints where you can stop, and redirect yourself.
Not committing to a single course of action is valuable. Incrementality is a great way to make it work in practice. You set a direction, and set up checkpoints where you can stop, and redirect yourself.
2. Skin in the game:
If your employees can succeed without helping the business, that makes the organization fragile. You need to give them the proper responsibility and proportionate accountability to make them thrive.
If your employees can succeed without helping the business, that makes the organization fragile. You need to give them the proper responsibility and proportionate accountability to make them thrive.
Clear directions from venture capitalists on fund raising
1. Acknowledge the new reality that revenues are tending towards zero. Prior valuations and also cost structures were based on revenue projections. Now, costs need to be reimagined from base levels (1/n)
1. Acknowledge the new reality that revenues are tending towards zero. Prior valuations and also cost structures were based on revenue projections. Now, costs need to be reimagined from base levels (1/n)
Investors are more than happy to support founders. No investor is saying NO to funds. However, such requests need to be practical and balance obligations. Every founder has to be rational and bring costs down. (2/n)
Founders need to be practical at this time. Valuations were based on GMV, however, now is the time to Be PRACTICAL and accept lower valuations. This also means that a company hoping for a Series D valuation might have to settle for Series C valuation. (3/n)
The #Covid_19 crisis is an excellent example of how stress can make systems #Antifragile because it offers us a opportunity to see the weaknesses extant in global travel and supply chains and to develop policies and procedures for dealing with pandemic control and treatment. 1/6
I'm not one for Panglossian interpretations. I do assert, however, that we have a valuable opportunity and, therefore, a real duty to learn and to make definite changes in order that we are better prepared to handle the next--inevitable--pandemic. 2 /6
Despite COVID-19's viciousness it is relatively benign when compared to many alternatives. What if the next challenge is as infectious as a flu but has the rate of morbidity of a hemorrhagic fever? We must change. What we must not do is create a massive Federal program. 3/6
The #CoronaVirus or #Covid19 is a classic #BlackSwan event.
No one could see it coming. (Ok @BillGates did highlight risk of a pandemic - but realistically not many planned for this)
...
No one could see it coming. (Ok @BillGates did highlight risk of a pandemic - but realistically not many planned for this)
...
Such a chaotic event is catastrophic for those who are #Fragile,
A downturn for #Robust
Good for #Antifragile
(Channelling my inner NNT)
A downturn for #Robust
Good for #Antifragile
(Channelling my inner NNT)
What is fragility?
As per @nntaleb checklist
- too much concentration of power (can’t talk back to authority with honest feedback)
- one trick pony (export one commodity)
- too much leverage (financial or over optimised supply chain)
- experience of previous crisis
As per @nntaleb checklist
- too much concentration of power (can’t talk back to authority with honest feedback)
- one trick pony (export one commodity)
- too much leverage (financial or over optimised supply chain)
- experience of previous crisis
"emergence happens as a consequence of the system is in criticality" ~ 9:13
now, what is the relation between #criticality and #antifragility? is criticality a consequence of the system being #Antifragile?
researchgate.net/publication/33…
researchgate.net/publication/33…
or criticality is the underlying mechanism of antifragility?
My personal generalized thoughts and conclusions from #RWRI 12 @nntaleb
-Statistics is about the elimination of noise
-Decision making gets easier in uncertain conditions
-Skin in the game is a filtering mechanism
-Group behavior is not expressed by individual preferences
-Statistics is about the elimination of noise
-Decision making gets easier in uncertain conditions
-Skin in the game is a filtering mechanism
-Group behavior is not expressed by individual preferences
-Nature is scale invariant
-You create tail events simply by regulating the process - it’s an unnatural constraint
-It’s misconstrued that lowering variability actually lowers risk
-McDonalds exists as an insurance policy
-Everything non-linear is necessarily convex/concave
-You create tail events simply by regulating the process - it’s an unnatural constraint
-It’s misconstrued that lowering variability actually lowers risk
-McDonalds exists as an insurance policy
-Everything non-linear is necessarily convex/concave
-Don’t theorize about what people want, just act on what they do
-Have optionality on the convexity of random events
-PTSD vs Post traumatic stress growth. One is talked about because it makes $$$
-Floor your losses
-Zero intelligence trading works when you have convexity bias
-Have optionality on the convexity of random events
-PTSD vs Post traumatic stress growth. One is talked about because it makes $$$
-Floor your losses
-Zero intelligence trading works when you have convexity bias
1/n: “Everything gains or loses from volatility. Fragility is what loses from volatility and uncertainty.”
Had 4-5 uninterrupted flight hours this Friday. Re-read #Antifragile by @nntaleb. So here’re some nuggets/quotes/insights from one of my favorite books. #TweetThread 👇🏼
Had 4-5 uninterrupted flight hours this Friday. Re-read #Antifragile by @nntaleb. So here’re some nuggets/quotes/insights from one of my favorite books. #TweetThread 👇🏼
2: Some things seem to improve if they are placed in environments of volatility and unpredictability. ‘Antifragile’ analyzes why this is the case. It suggests that this quality has been vital for the progress of human civilization since ancient times.
3: Taleb describes that something is antifragile when it gets better with chaos, disorder, and time whereas anything fragile hates volatility.
Nature is the ultimate example of something antifragile as it can adapt and gets stronger with difficult times.
Nature is the ultimate example of something antifragile as it can adapt and gets stronger with difficult times.
Awesome panel called “#bitcoin Without Internet” at #MCC2019–covering satellites, #meshnetworks & #hamradio & ways to handle last-mile connectivity issues. #antifragile @adam3us @nvk @remyers_ @eiaine @goTenna @Blockstream @Coinkite
“It doesn’t really matter what kind of radio you use. They all run at lightspeed.” —@nvk
“The types of use for these different communication technologies are going to be different in different parts of the world.” —@remyers_
Some notes on @nntaleb's #Antifragile: Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility,randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure, risk, and uncertainty.. there is no word for the exact opposite of fragile. Let us call it antifragile.
This is pretty much a sense of complexity
of much interesting is that aging and chronical diseases (as diabetes) lower your complexity level in physiological time series such as heart rate (working paper)
