Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Armenia_Russia
Most recents (4)
#Armenia_Russia: Putin's mediation role did not result in significant breakthroughs on the status of Nagorno-Karabakh. As far as is now known, several points were removed from the draft 15-point document. Putin has thanked Pashinyan and Aliyev for being open to negotiations.
Describing the decisions taken by the EU (due to Macron's facilitation) in the European Political Community regarding the EU civilian mission in Armenia, Putin commented that the EU would make efforts to exclude Russia from all formats related to security in the South Caucasus.⤵️
In reality, it is Armenia that is trying to find efficient alternative security guarantees because Russia's geopolitical relevance is fading. After talks with Pashinyan and Aliyev in Sochi, Putin admitted that nothing was decided on the peace and demarcation negotiations.⤵️
#Armenia_Russia: PM Pashinyan continues with his pragmatic foreign policy. He has just announced the intention to approve the extension of the mandate of the Russian peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh. This is in his interests and he also throws the "hot potato" at Azerbaijan,⤵️
which should also agree to have the Russian peacekeepers in its disputed territory with Armenia. Pashinyan reiterated that Russia remains the security guarantor of Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh. This can only mean that Armenia opts for a compartimentalized approach towards⤵️
Russia. Where Russia is an ineffective protection of the Armenian borders against the Azeri pushes and attacks, Armenia appeals to the EU (which is preparing a civilian monitoring mission in which the staff of the EU mission in Georgia will participate). On the other hand,⤵️
#Armenia_Russia: Armenia joins Turkey and Vietnam that recently stopped accepting Russian “Mir” international payment cards. This will affect the comfort of thousands of Russians who flocked to Armenia after Russia started the aggression against Ukraine,⤵️
followed by heavy Western sanctions. Armenia's decision coincides with Pelosi's visit and the decline in the geopolitical relevance of Russia and the CSTO. The cancellation of the use of Mir care does not mean that Armenia joins the sanctions regime against Russia.👇⤵️
However, this is a strong political signal coming to Moscow from Yerevan, where protests for leaving the CSTO took place a few days ago. It appears that the Armenian leadership is building diplomacy to lay the groundwork for US assistance and presence in the region.⤵️
#Armenia_Russia: Putin is trying to save face for Russia. He argues that the military hostilities between Azerbaijan and Armenia do not take place in Nagorno Karabakh (Artsakh) patrolled by Russian peacekeepers, but on the border of the two countries. Perhaps Putin overlooks⤵️
(consciously) the following aspects: 1) Russia and CSTO have obligations towards Yerevan. They are security guarantors for Armenia along with other CSTO members, including those that lean towards the West (such as Kazakhstan);⤵️
2) Instead of transferring responsibility for deterring attacks from Azerbaijan, Russia might do better by proposing a new deal whereby it would move 1,000 of its peacekeepers from Karabakh to Armenia's border with Azerbaijan.⤵️
