Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #BUNDs
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Thanks to @GeoffCutmore & @cnbcKaren for this morning's chat on #SquawkBox.
I did TRY to find something positive to say - honest, folks!
Following are the notes I sent the team before the show:-
🧵1/x
I did TRY to find something positive to say - honest, folks!
Following are the notes I sent the team before the show:-
🧵1/x
Ok. So here goes...
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2/x
Something I've mentioned on here: the enormous scale of Europe's energy problem runs into the €trillions. The #AmpelDesGrauens "Doppel-Wums" -'bazooka' - relief package is €200bln & doubts are *already* being voiced whether will suffice.
3/x
3/x
Thanks to @GeoffCutmore, @cnbcKaren & the #SquawkBox team for having me on this morning's show.
We discussed #bonds & #centralbanks, touched on #supplychains & talked of #Growth's vulnerability, #commodities' appeal.
Slide deck follows:-
1/14
We discussed #bonds & #centralbanks, touched on #supplychains & talked of #Growth's vulnerability, #commodities' appeal.
Slide deck follows:-
1/14
Is your box still backed up in port? How much does the onward haulage cost? What happens to #freight rates after #LNY/#Beijing2022?
2/14
2/14
Thanks to @steve_sedgwick & @cnbcKaren for having me on #CNBC #SquawkBox this AM.
What did we discuss? Well, #inflation of course!
I prepared some slides for the show which I'm happy to present in this thread.
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#macro #Fed #Yellen #JeromePowell #bankofengland #QE
What did we discuss? Well, #inflation of course!
I prepared some slides for the show which I'm happy to present in this thread.
1/n
#macro #Fed #Yellen #JeromePowell #bankofengland #QE
Are people in denial or is the #centralbank money flood just drowning all the signals?
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#inflation
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#inflation
#Commodities, #freight, #carbon - and a whole lot besides - sure do cost a lot more, these days.
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#Deflation unfolding - but as in all moves - we will always see counter-moves or corrections. Last week was such a correction. We must not drop our guard! The economic situation is dire and we are not through the illiquid phase. Major developments ahead! Stay tuned for #HZupdates
It is all about #USD. Last week was a retracement in the new strong spike for #DXY = wave ii (blue). Within days, DXY will likely start strong rally higher - reaching min. 109 within weeks. End target will be reached later this year ~122 #HZupdates
interesting and rare divergence currently between apparently rebounding inflation expectations and bond price action (yields -0.39%) in Germany 🧐
if it’s too obvious, then it’s obviously right. or is it ?
#FGBL_F #BUNDs
if it’s too obvious, then it’s obviously right. or is it ?
#FGBL_F #BUNDs
personally, I think infl exp will come down again, given the 💩 state of global, EU and German growth expectations: ESI and PMI...
but Bunds are not on a one way street either... temporary rich
but Bunds are not on a one way street either... temporary rich
US not as diverged as Germany, but I read them both as a possible further consolidation in TNotes and Bunds.
Some analysts seem to think, that #USDJPY must decline when/if #SP500 is to decline or crash. That is not the case! Observe yellow markings #HZupdates
#USDJPY and #Gold have strong inverse relationship. Both have formed triangles since 2015. Now - main direction will continue. USDJPY towards ~154 - and Gold towards ~800 USD #HZupdates
#Gold did bottom in 2015 - but only for a bounce! A "ZigZag-pattern" is defined by A-B-C waves. A from 2011-15 = 5 waves. B from 2015-19 = Triangle (abcde). Now 5 waves down in wave C. Decline may be very strong! #HZupdates
Last week in markets was truly exciting! Some important signals were provided - which sets us up for some truly great trades 😀Before all leaves FinTwit to relax and enjoy during Christmas - I will provide you with some #HZupdates. Stay tuned! 👍
#EURUSD has been showing a lot of weakness. The LT-perspective is same as it has been for a very long time. Target of ~0.91 to be reached some time during 2019. Coming decline will bring about massive capitulation #HZupdates
#EURUSD - I have had 2 scenarios for how price will develop coming days/weeks. This scenario seems to hold most credibility. We could see small bounce next week - but soon EURUSD will crash in a strong wave lower. Great opportunity to go short is closing in #HZupdates
#EURUSD rally is coming! I have been calling for this for few weeks, and we are getting closer. I expected it to begin >1.130. After breaker this level, I however think, we will see another low in EUR before the pair takes off. Hence, weakness (initially) before rally #HZupdates
Callings of crash in #EURUSD now. I have been of opinion, that we will see significant rally first taking us much higher than most traders anticipate. The rally is the last wave in wave 2. The last chance to get out before the EUR begins crash towards LT-target of 0.91 #HZupdates
Like EUR, #Gold #XAUUSD will also crash. However, we are about to set out for significant rally, which will bring Bulls back out with claims of USD 1500+. This will not be the case and when Gold tops, the decline will be strong. I have updated my LT-target to 750 USD #HZupdates
