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Now for a #Ghana 🧵 as this keeps being raised and I want to discuss two big shifts in JNIM strategy since 2021: /1
1) from the west, Katibat Alidougou has moved into Cote d'Ivoire's NE Bounkani and Zanzan Depart in 2020/2021 where there is some early evidence that they are penetrating Ghana’s Upper West region (ungoverned space around Dollar Power) and then freely move up to Burkina Faso. 2/
2) Meanwhile, JNIM is moving westward from the WAP park complex; in May JNIM moved their Ansarul Islam factions into the Koulou triangle, in presumably a deliberate move to localize the insurgency, and free up their katibats to move westward towards SW Burkina and Ghana /3
