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In my eleven years as an MP, I must say this budget is the one which sticks out in my memory as being so extensively briefed to the media.
From all of the reports, three things are clear:
From all of the reports, three things are clear:
1. The leaked plans show that the Tories are out of touch and have the wrong priorities. They're cutting tax for big industries whilst whacking working people with a cut to Universal Credit #CancelTheCut
2. These policies come at the wrong time - when people are really feeling the pinch. Rising prices of energy, food, and petrol are set to make this one of the hardest winters.
Really interesting piece in tomorrow's Observer on Labour's potential support base 🧵 1/n
"Of those [open to voting Labour], 27% voted Conservative, 17% voted Lib Dem, 3% voted Green and 5% voted for other parties. (The rest did not vote.)"
theguardian.com/politics/2021/…
"Of those [open to voting Labour], 27% voted Conservative, 17% voted Lib Dem, 3% voted Green and 5% voted for other parties. (The rest did not vote.)"
theguardian.com/politics/2021/…
Right so, of those open to voting Labour, 48% did not vote in 2019.
So why target soft Tories, and not non-voters?
The piece argues: "When the group is adjusted for its likelihood to vote, soft Tory supporters account for 43% of the group"
2/n
So why target soft Tories, and not non-voters?
The piece argues: "When the group is adjusted for its likelihood to vote, soft Tory supporters account for 43% of the group"
2/n
But here's the difference. Non-voters require a different strategy. They haven't voted, so you have to inspire them.
As I argued in this piece a month ago "electoral strategy isn't a value-free science", it depends on the coalition you want to build
3/n
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
As I argued in this piece a month ago "electoral strategy isn't a value-free science", it depends on the coalition you want to build
3/n
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
