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From Sahara to Scandinavia. We are in for another round of #dust and warmth widely across Europe.

The jet stream will buckle in an ideal fashion, optimising dust transport from the Sahara Desert to Scandinavia this weekend.

THREAD
The #CopernicusAtmosphere Monitoring Service forecast for aerosol optical depth ⬇️⬇️⬇️

@CopernicusEU @CopernicusECMWF
A lot of dust has already pushed out of the Sahara into the western Atlantic. More to come though.
Read 4 tweets
Smoke & #AirPollution across South America from active #wildfires #openburning, especially in S Brazil & N Argentina, in #CopernicusAtmosphere forecasts of aerosol optical depth⬅️, total column carbon monoxide↗️ & surface PM2.5↘️ atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/cams/ ImageImageImage
#CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS #opendata for Amazonia Legal & Mato Gross do Sul🇧🇷 showing daily total intensity since 1 August & estimated carbon emissions since 1 July. Generally similar to 2019 Pantanal fires increasing MGS data in recent days. Image
#CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS data for Argentina🇦🇷, Bolivia🇧🇴 & Paraguay🇵🇾 since 1 July Image
Read 5 tweets
Latest @CopernicusECMWF Atmosphere Monitoring Service @ECMWF aerosol forecast (dataviz @windyforecast windy.com/-Aerosol-aod55…) shows thick smoke covering western US in coming days based on 28/09 #wildfires #AugustComplex #ZoggFire #GlassFire #ShadyFire #RedSalmonComplex
Updated monitoring of #CaliforniaFires with #CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS daily total #wildfire radiative power #opendata confluence.ecmwf.int/display/CKB/CA… showing incredible 6 weeks of activity >> 2003-2019 mean. Hoping that the current increase fails to reach mid-Aug & early-Sept peaks. Image
Read 3 tweets
Several days of very active Sakha Republic #wildfires (&new September record emissions) in latest #CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS data & huge area of surface PM2.5 #airpollution windy.com/-PM2-5-pm2p5?c… & smoke go.nasa.gov/340kfVh extends from Yakutsk to Laptev Sea & #Arctic Ocean ImageImageImageImage
More info on Global Fire Assimilation System (GFAS)➡️ confluence.ecmwf.int/display/CKB/CA…

Images show #CopernicusAtmosphere PM2.5 forecast initialized 00UTC 25/09, valid for 13UTC & Suomi NPP VIIRS🛰️ imagery at ~13UTC on 25/09

atmosphere.copernicus.eu
Read 5 tweets
High values of aerosol optical depth corresponding to #CaliforniaFires #OregonFires smoke crossing the North Atlantic to the Norwegian Sea & Scandinavia in the #CopernicusAtmosphere Monitoring Service forecast initialized at 00 UTC on 19/09 atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/cams/ae… Image
Looking ahead to 18 UTC on 20/09 shows smoke aerosol from western US #wildfires crossing northern Scotland & could lead to a spectacular sunset. S UK/N France may also see hazy skies with #SaharanDust @liamdutton @Schafernaker @LucyWeather @Lauratobin1 atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/cams/ae… Image
Read 3 tweets
Thick smoke from #CaliforniaFires #OregonFires crossing North America & North Atlantic reaching Iceland & Scandinavia over weekend in latest @CopernicusECMWF Atmosphere Monitoring Service @ECMWF aerosol forecast visualized by @windyforecast windy.com/-Aerosol-aod55… #wildfires
Dark area of smoke aerosol from western US #wildfires over cloud in #TerraMODIS visible imagery for 17/09 go.nasa.gov/3iIPkmz corresponding to area of high AOD in #CopernicusAtmosphere forecast for 09UTC atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/cams/ae… ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Thick smoke from continuing #CaliforniaFires #OregonFires crossing N America & eventually N Atlantic towards Iceland🇮🇸 & Norwegian Sea in latest @CopernicusECMWF Atmosphere Monitoring Service @ECMWF forecast visualized by @windyforecast windy.com/-Aerosol-aod55…
Note also sea salt aerosol from #HurricanePaulette, #SaharanDust and smoke from #wildfires in Portugal & Spain #IIFF
Latest monitoring data of daily total intensity & estimated annual total carbon emissions for western US #wildfires with #CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS #opendata confluence.ecmwf.int/display/CKB/CA…. #CaliforniaFires #OregonFires & #WashingtonFires continue >> 2003-2019 mean #wildfires2020 #IIFF ImageImage
Read 6 tweets
#CaliforniaFires smoke transport over N Europe is clearly apparent in today's #CopernicusAtmosphere Monitoring Service 12 UTC total aerosol optical depth & carbon monoxide at 500hPa (~5km) forecasts. Looking forward to comparing against @IAGOS_RI ✈️ measurements @ThouretV ImageImage
Explore more with latest charts:
Aerosol optical depth ➡️ atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/cams/ae…
Carbon monoxide at 500hPa ➡️ atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/cams/ca…
Read 3 tweets
Today’s #CopernicusAtmosphere Monitoring Service aerosol optical depth forecast valid for 11 Sept at 00 UTC atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/cams/ae… shows #CaliforniaFires smoke over Ireland before crossing UK & North Sea throughout Friday #wildfires #IIFF Image
Only just noticing the length of the yellow plume (AOD > 0.5) stretching right across the North Atlantic. At first it reminded me of this forecast from June 2019 & link to more information on how we monitor fires & long-range transport of smoke pollution
Read 3 tweets
Escalation of devastating #wildfires, smoke & surface #airpollution across entire western US with very high levels of surface PM2.5 for the coming days. @CopernicusECMWF Atmosphere Monitoring Service @ECMWF forecast initialized 9 Sept at 00 UTC visualized by @windyforecast
1 Aug - 8 Sept 2020 daily total #wildfire radiative power (cf 2003-2019 mean) for US, #CaliforniaFires, #OregonFires & #WashingtonFires from #CopernicusAtmosphere Monitoring Service GFAS data confluence.ecmwf.int/display/CKB/CA… based on NASA MODIS 🛰️ active fire observations #wildfireseason Image
Read 5 tweets
Clear increase in daily total intensity of #CaliforniaFires & #ColoradoFires on 7 Sept >> 2003-2019 mean in #CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS data. Latest 24-hour aerosol & carbon monoxide forecasts show long-range transport of smoke extending across the US from SW to NE. ImageImageImageImage
Aerosol forecast charts ➡️ atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/cams/ae…

Carbon monoxide forecast charts ➡️ atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/cams/ca…
Incredible scale of ongoing #CaliforniaFires with total estimated #wildfire emissions for California to 7 Sept 2020 already state’s highest annual total in 18-year #CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS dataset (Colorado achieved this in August) confluence.ecmwf.int/display/CKB/CA… #CAfire #COfire ImageImage
Read 6 tweets
As #wildfires increase across western US today’s #CopernicusAtmosphere Monitoring Service surface PM2.5 & aerosol forecasts for 12UTC, based on 🛰 fire & smoke obs from 6 Sept, show smoke impact on #airquality spreading eastwards. Visualized by @windyforecast ImageImage
PM2.5 forecast ➡️ windy.com/-PM2-5-pm2p5?c…
Aerosol Optical Depth forecast ➡️ windy.com/-Aerosol-aod55…

More info ➡️ atmosphere.copernicus.eu
Read 4 tweets
Analyses of organic matter aerosol optical depth, based on 🛰️ obs, showing large-scale smoke transport around N Hemisphere from #Siberia #ArcticFires (& #CaliforniaFires) between 1 Aug to 2 Sept 2020. @CopernicusECMWF Atmosphere Monitoring Service @ECMWF atmosphere.copernicus.eu
#ArcticFires were very active in first week of August 2020 but reduced to more usual activity for most of the month with slight increase as summer came to an end. #opendata from #CopernicusAtmosphere Global Fire Assimilation System based on MODIS 🛰️ obs confluence.ecmwf.int/display/CKB/CA… ImageImageImage
Read 5 tweets
Quick initial evaluation of #CopernicusAtmosphere Monitoring Service AOD forecasts in relation to long-range transport of #CaliforniaFires & #ColoradoFires smoke vs. Aeronet measurements at Fresno & @NASAAmes CA, Sterling CO, Missoula MT, N Great Plains ND & Sioux Falls SD Image
More info on Aeronet measurements at aeronet.gsfc.nasa.gov. #Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring service forecasts are initialized from analyses which assimilate satellite observations - independent measurements such as Aeronet are essential to evaluation and validation
Read 6 tweets
Peak #ArcticFires activity seems a long time ago but Sakha Republic & Chukotka🇷🇺still experiencing above average daily total #wildfire intensity for late August in #CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS data to 24/08. #TerraMODIS🛰️imagery shows continuation on 25/08 go.nasa.gov/3ldIDKV ImageImageImageImage
#Wildfire activity in other parts of #Siberia has been relatively low all summer. Krasnoyarsk & Irkustk have been experiencing increased daily total intensity over last 2 weeks close to 2003-2018 mean & << 2019. ImageImage
Global Fire Assimilation System data based on MODIS obs (only Terra available since 17 August)➡️ confluence.ecmwf.int/display/CKB/CA…
Latest maps➡️ atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/cams/fi…
NASA imagery➡️ go.nasa.gov/3ldIDKV
Read 6 tweets
Smoke from #CaliforniaFires already covering huge area of western US/Canada & predicted to continue eastwards across the Great Lakes to the North Atlantic in @CopernicusECMWF Atmosphere Monitoring Service @ECMWF forecast visualized by @windyforecast windy.com/-Aerosol-aod55…
Daily total fire radiative power of #CaliforniaFires & #ColoradoFires continues >> 2003-2019 mean in #CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS data with 2020 already the highest annual total estimated #wildfire carbon emissions for Colorado. ImageImageImageImage
Read 5 tweets
Thick smoke plumes from escalating scale & intensity of #wildfires in California, Colorado & western US predicted to spread across N America in latest @CopernicusECMWF Atmosphere Monitoring Service @ECMWF aerosol forecast visualized by @windyforecast windy.com/-Aerosol-aod55…
#AirPollution related to #CaliforniaWildfires & #ColoradoWildfires affecting huge area in #CopernicusAtmosphere Monitoring Service 24-hour forecasts (init 00 UTC, 20/08/2020) of ⬅️total column carbon monoxide, ↗️surface CO concentration & ↘️surface PM2.5 concentration #airquality ImageImageImage
Read 6 tweets

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